Hapag Lloyd AG
XETRA:HLAG
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one HLAG stock under the Base Case scenario is 111.96 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 156.5 EUR, Hapag Lloyd AG is Overvalued by 28%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Hapag Lloyd AG
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Fundamental Analysis
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Hapag-Lloyd AG is a key player in the global shipping industry, renowned for its extensive network and commitment to innovation and sustainability. Founded in 1847, the company has grown to become one of the largest container shipping lines in the world, operating a fleet of over 240 vessels that serve more than 600 ports across the globe. With a strong focus on operational efficiency and customer-centric solutions, Hapag-Lloyd consistently delivers reliable shipping services that cater to the logistics needs of various industries, from retail to manufacturing. The company is dedicated to enhancing its digital capabilities, providing real-time tracking and advanced logistics management, whic...
Hapag-Lloyd AG is a key player in the global shipping industry, renowned for its extensive network and commitment to innovation and sustainability. Founded in 1847, the company has grown to become one of the largest container shipping lines in the world, operating a fleet of over 240 vessels that serve more than 600 ports across the globe. With a strong focus on operational efficiency and customer-centric solutions, Hapag-Lloyd consistently delivers reliable shipping services that cater to the logistics needs of various industries, from retail to manufacturing. The company is dedicated to enhancing its digital capabilities, providing real-time tracking and advanced logistics management, which not only improves operational transparency but also significantly aligns with the evolving expectations of modern businesses.
For investors, Hapag-Lloyd offers an attractive investment proposition backed by solid fundamentals and a robust financial performance. In recent years, the company has experienced substantial revenue growth, significantly bolstered by rising demand for container shipping amid robust global trade recovery. Hapag-Lloyd's commitment to sustainability and reduced emissions through its investment in fuel-efficient vessels positions it favorably amidst increasing regulatory scrutiny and environmental awareness among consumers and businesses. With a strategic focus on expanding its market share and improving service efficiency, Hapag-Lloyd AG embodies a resilient business model that appeals to investors seeking exposure to the dynamic logistics sector while remaining mindful of environmental impacts.
Hapag-Lloyd AG is a prominent global shipping company, primarily involved in container shipping and logistics. The core business segments of Hapag-Lloyd AG typically include:
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Container Shipping: This is the primary segment of Hapag-Lloyd's business. It involves the transportation of containerized cargo across global trade routes. Hapag-Lloyd operates a large fleet of container ships and offers various types of services, including standard shipping, and specialized transport for specific cargo needs.
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Logistics Services: Hapag-Lloyd provides logistics solutions to complement its shipping services. This includes supply chain management, inland transportation, and customs clearance. The company aims to facilitate end-to-end solutions for customers by integrating logistics services into their shipping operations.
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Intermodal Services: This segment involves the combination of different modes of transportation, such as sea, rail, and truck, to provide comprehensive shipping solutions. Hapag-Lloyd offers intermodal services to enhance connectivity and flexibility across its network.
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Specialized Cargo Services: Hapag-Lloyd also manages specialized cargo shipments that may require additional handling or specialized containers, such as refrigerated containers for perishables or flat-rack containers for oversized cargo.
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E-commerce and Digital Services: With the rise of digitalization, Hapag-Lloyd has been investing in e-commerce and digital services to improve customer experience. This includes online booking platforms, cargo tracking systems, and other digital solutions to streamline operations.
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Sustainability and Environmental Services: As part of a growing focus on sustainability, Hapag-Lloyd is actively involved in initiatives aimed at reducing the environmental impact of shipping, including investments in fuel-efficient technologies and sustainable practices.
These segments allow Hapag-Lloyd to cater to a wide range of customer needs in the global shipping and logistics markets while maintaining a competitive edge in the industry.
Hapag-Lloyd AG, a major player in the international shipping industry, possesses several unique competitive advantages that help distinguish it from its rivals:
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Strong Brand Recognition: Hapag-Lloyd has a long-standing reputation in the maritime industry, which fosters trust and loyalty among customers and partners. Its established brand helps attract business, especially in emerging markets.
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Diverse Fleet: The company operates a modern and flexible fleet of container vessels that are equipped with the latest technology for fuel efficiency and environmental compliance. This fleet diversity enables Hapag-Lloyd to serve various shipping needs and adapt to market changes effectively.
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Global Network: Hapag-Lloyd has an extensive global network, with services covering major trade routes across Europe, the Americas, Asia, and Africa. This broad reach enhances its ability to provide comprehensive services and respond to customer demands quickly.
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Strategic Alliances: The company participates in alliances and partnerships, such as THE Alliance, which provides Hapag-Lloyd with access to a wider range of routes and capacity-sharing, reducing operational costs and enhancing service reliability.
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Digital Innovation: Hapag-Lloyd invests in digital solutions and technology, improving operational efficiency and customer experience. Their digital platforms enhance visibility and control over shipments, enabling customers to make informed decisions.
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Sustainability Commitment: The company prioritizes sustainability, focusing on reducing its carbon footprint and integrating eco-friendly practices. This commitment can appeal to environmentally-conscious customers and align with global standards and regulations.
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Financial Strength: Strong financial performance and robust capital management enable Hapag-Lloyd to invest in fleet modernization, technology, and market opportunities, giving it a competitive edge over less financially stable competitors.
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Customer-Centric Approach: Hapag-Lloyd emphasizes personalized service and tailor-made logistics solutions, which can enhance customer satisfaction and loyalty, differentiating it from larger, less flexible competitors.
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Established Relationships: Long-standing relationships with port authorities, logistics partners, and supply chain stakeholders provide Hapag-Lloyd with advantages in negotiations and operational efficiency.
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Operational Efficiency: Investment in process optimization and supply chain management helps Hapag-Lloyd reduce costs and respond quickly to changing market demands, allowing it to offer competitive pricing and reliable service.
These competitive advantages make Hapag-Lloyd a formidable player in the global shipping industry, enabling it to navigate challenges while maximizing opportunities for growth and customer satisfaction.
Hapag-Lloyd AG, as a major player in the global shipping and logistics industry, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Economic Uncertainty: Global economic fluctuations can significantly impact shipping demand. Economic slowdowns, such as those caused by inflation or geopolitical tensions, can reduce trade volumes.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Events such as natural disasters, pandemics, or geopolitical conflicts can disrupt shipping routes and port operations, leading to delays and increased costs.
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Regulatory Changes: Stricter environmental regulations, such as those imposed by the International Maritime Organization (IMO), may require significant investment in fleet upgrades and could impact operational costs.
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Fuel Price Volatility: Fluctuations in fuel prices can affect operating margins. A shift to more sustainable fuels to comply with regulations may also lead to higher costs in the short term.
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Competition: The shipping industry is highly competitive, with many players vying for market share. Increased capacity from new entrants or fleet expansions by competitors can lead to price wars and squeezed margins.
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Technological Disruptions: Rapid advancements in technology, including automation and digitalization, require continual investment. Companies that fail to adapt can fall behind in efficiency and customer service.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As logistics operations become more digitalized, the risk of cyberattacks increases, potentially leading to operational disruptions and data breaches.
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Labor Shortages: The maritime industry faces challenges in attracting and retaining skilled labor, which can affect operations and service quality.
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Environmental Sustainability: Increasing pressure from stakeholders to adopt sustainable practices could require significant shifts in operational strategies, which may involve costs and require time to implement.
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Geopolitical Risks: Events such as trade wars, sanctions, and political instability in key regions can disrupt trade routes and impact shipping volumes.
These challenges necessitate agile strategic planning and strong risk management practices to navigate the evolving landscape of the global shipping industry.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Hapag Lloyd AG
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Hapag Lloyd AG
Current Assets | 10.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 7.9B |
Receivables | 1.7B |
Other Current Assets | 668.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 18.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.3B |
PP&E | 13.5B |
Intangibles | 3.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 212.9m |
Current Liabilities | 5.9B |
Accounts Payable | 2.5B |
Accrued Liabilities | 12.4m |
Other Current Liabilities | 3.4B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 646.4m |
Earnings Waterfall
Hapag Lloyd AG
Revenue
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16.7B
EUR
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Cost of Revenue
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-12.3B
EUR
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Gross Profit
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4.4B
EUR
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Operating Expenses
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-3.6B
EUR
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Operating Income
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809.2m
EUR
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Other Expenses
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-44m
EUR
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Net Income
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765.2m
EUR
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Hapag Lloyd AG
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
In the first quarter of 2024, revenue rose 13% to $4.6 billion, with EBITDA tripling to $942 million and EBIT reaching $396 million from a previous $251 million loss. Liner Shipping saw a 32% drop in average freight rates but improved quarter-on-quarter by 14%. Transpacific volumes surged 28% due to recovering U.S. demand. Despite uncertainties, the company narrowed its EBITDA guidance to $2.2-$3.3 billion and EBIT to $0-$1.1 billion. Challenges like higher bunker costs due to rerouting were noted, but strategic growth in terminals and a positive cash position of $6.3 billion offers a strong outlook.
What is Earnings Call?
HLAG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Hapag Lloyd AG's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Hapag Lloyd AG's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
HLAG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Hapag Lloyd AG's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Hapag Lloyd AG's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
HLAG Price Targets Summary
Hapag Lloyd AG
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HLAG is 129.46 EUR with a low forecast of 80.8 EUR and a high forecast of 189 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for HLAG is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
HLAG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Hapag-Lloyd AG is a container liner shipping company, which engages in the transportation of containers by sea. The company is headquartered in Hamburg, Hamburg and currently employs 13,634 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2015-11-06. The firm focuses on providing liner services between all continents. Its fleet comprises container vessels with capacity up to 10,500 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEU). Its products and services include e-business solutions, security information services, special cargo services, reefer solutions, customs clearance, as well as US flag services, among others. The firm also offers online tracing services for its clients. The company operates worldwide in over 100 countries.
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The intrinsic value of one HLAG stock under the Base Case scenario is 111.96 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 156.5 EUR, Hapag Lloyd AG is Overvalued by 28%.