TMX Group Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one X stock under the Base Case scenario is 28 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 44.09 CAD, TMX Group Ltd is Overvalued by 36%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
TMX Group Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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TMX Group Ltd. serves as the cornerstone of Canada's capital markets, operating through its flagship exchanges, the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) and the TSX Venture Exchange. Founded in 1852 and headquartered in Toronto, TMX plays a vital role in connecting investors and issuers, providing a platform for raising capital and trading securities. With a diverse array of asset classes, including equities, derivatives, and fixed income, TMX Group has solidified itself as a pivotal institution in both Canadian and global financial markets. The company's commitment to innovation and technology ensures that it remains at the forefront of market trends, fostering a transparent and efficient environme...
TMX Group Ltd. serves as the cornerstone of Canada's capital markets, operating through its flagship exchanges, the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) and the TSX Venture Exchange. Founded in 1852 and headquartered in Toronto, TMX plays a vital role in connecting investors and issuers, providing a platform for raising capital and trading securities. With a diverse array of asset classes, including equities, derivatives, and fixed income, TMX Group has solidified itself as a pivotal institution in both Canadian and global financial markets. The company's commitment to innovation and technology ensures that it remains at the forefront of market trends, fostering a transparent and efficient environment for trading.
As an investor, understanding TMX Group's strategic focus on growth and expansion is key. The company has consistently adapted to changing market dynamics by enhancing its digital offerings and expanding its geographical reach. With a strong emphasis on customer relationships and technological advancements, TMX is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities in both traditional and alternative investments. The underlying strength of Canada's economy, coupled with TMX's robust infrastructure and services, provides a sound foundation for prospective investors to consider. As TMX continues to champion initiatives for sustainable and responsible investing, it aims to attract a diverse range of investment participants, ultimately enhancing its value proposition in an ever-evolving financial landscape.
TMX Group Ltd. is a Canadian company that operates multiple exchanges and related services. Its core business segments include:
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Equities Trading and Listings: This segment is focused on the trading of equity securities on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) and the TSX Venture Exchange (TSX-V). It generates revenue from trading commissions, listing fees from companies wishing to go public, and various other services for market participants.
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Fixed Income and Derivatives: This segment involves the trading of fixed income securities and derivatives products. The TMX Group plays a vital role in the Canadian fixed income market, including government and corporate bonds, as well as derivative products such as options and futures.
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Market Data and Analytics: TMX Group provides vital market data and analytical tools to clients, including institutional investors, traders, and financial professionals. This segment generates revenues through subscriptions and data feeds, offering insights into market trends and performance.
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Clearing and Settlement Services: This segment offers critical clearing and settlement services for trades executed across TMX's platforms. This includes managing the post-trade processes and ensuring the accurate transfer of ownership and funds.
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Technology Solutions: TMX Group provides technology and infrastructure solutions to support both its own operations and those of third-party clients. This includes trading platforms, risk management systems, and other tech-based innovations that enhance trading efficiency and market operations.
These segments collectively position TMX Group as a central player in the Canadian capital markets, facilitating investment activities across various asset classes. The firm’s focus on innovation and technology also aligns with key industry trends, enhancing its value proposition to clients.
TMX Group Ltd, the operator of Canada's major stock exchanges, including the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) and the TSX Venture Exchange (TSXV), possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. Here are some key points:
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Strong Market Position: As the primary exchange in Canada, TMX Group benefits from a well-established brand and strong market presence. This leadership position attracts a diverse range of companies and investors.
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Diverse Product Offering: TMX Group provides a wide array of financial services and products, including equities, fixed income, derivatives, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and other investment products. This diversification allows them to cater to different investor needs and mitigate risks.
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Liquidity and Depth: The TSX and TSXV are considered liquid markets, providing investors with opportunities to execute large trades without significantly impacting prices. High liquidity attracts more participants, further reinforcing the competitive advantage.
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Regulatory Framework: TMX operates under a well-structured regulatory environment, which enhances investor confidence and promotes market integrity. Its compliance and governance standards are often seen as stringent, appealing to investors looking for stable investment platforms.
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Global Connectivity: TMX Group has been working to enhance its global access by connecting with international markets, which allows Canadian companies to attract foreign investment and gives local investors access to global opportunities.
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Technological Innovation: The company invests in cutting-edge technology to improve trading efficiency, speed, and reliability. This commitment to technology fosters a modern trading environment, thereby attracting more users.
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Strong Relationships with Market Participants: Established relationships with a wide range of market participants—including financial institutions, corporations, and investors—enhance TMX's competitive positioning and facilitate collaborative opportunities.
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Focus on Growth Segments: TMX has a focus on growth sectors, particularly in technology, clean energy, and healthcare, which aligns with market trends and investor interests. This strategy helps in attracting more listings and investment.
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Economic and Market Knowledge: TMX benefits from its deep understanding of the Canadian economy and the sectors that dominate it. This insight allows them to tailor their services and offerings to better suit local market conditions.
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Sustainability Initiatives: As the market increasingly shifts towards sustainable and responsible investing, TMX has taken steps to support ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) initiatives, positioning itself to appeal to socially-conscious investors.
These competitive advantages help TMX Group Ltd maintain its leading position in one of the premier markets globally while continuing to innovate and adapt to the evolving financial landscape.
TMX Group Ltd, which operates the Toronto Stock Exchange and is a key player in Canada's capital markets, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Market Volatility: Fluctuations in market conditions can negatively impact trading volumes, affecting revenue from transaction fees. Economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, or external shocks can amplify these risks.
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Regulatory Changes: The financial services industry is heavily regulated. Changes in regulations could impose additional compliance costs or alter competitive dynamics in the capital markets.
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Technological Disruption: Rapid advancements in technology might lead to increased competition from fintech firms and other market participants. TMX needs to continuously innovate to remain competitive.
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Global Economic Conditions: Economic slowdowns or recessions in Canada or globally can impact investor sentiment and trading activity, reducing fees and listing revenue.
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Competition: TMX faces competition from other exchanges and alternative trading systems, both domestically and internationally. This competition may increase pressure on pricing and services.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a financial institution, TMX is vulnerable to cyberattacks and data breaches, which can compromise sensitive information and disrupt operations.
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Operational Risks: These include the risks of system failures, technology outages, or mismanagement of internal processes, which can lead to significant operational disruptions.
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Investor Sentiment and Confidence: Changes in investor confidence due to economic, political, or environmental factors can influence trading volumes and listings.
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Dependency on Key Customers: A significant portion of revenue may come from a small number of large clients; losing any of these clients could impact financial performance.
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Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Pressure: Increasing demand for ESG-compliant investments could change market dynamics and force TMX to adapt its offerings and engage with stakeholders on sustainability issues.
In summary, while TMX Group Ltd has a robust business model, it must navigate these challenges effectively to maintain its position in the market and ensure sustainable growth.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
TMX Group Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
TMX Group Ltd
Current Assets | 44.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 518.9m |
Receivables | 241.3m |
Other Current Assets | 44B |
Non-Current Assets | 7.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 2.7m |
PP&E | 89.3m |
Intangibles | 7.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 141.2m |
Current Liabilities | 44.7B |
Accounts Payable | 186.3m |
Short-Term Debt | 15.4m |
Other Current Liabilities | 44.5B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 3.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
TMX Group Ltd
Revenue
|
3.1B
CAD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.7B
CAD
|
Gross Profit
|
1.4B
CAD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-777.8m
CAD
|
Operating Income
|
590.5m
CAD
|
Other Expenses
|
-183.9m
CAD
|
Net Income
|
406.6m
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
TMX Group Ltd
CAD | |
Free Cash Flow | CAD |
X Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
TMX Group Ltd's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
TMX Group Ltd's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
X Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
TMX Group Ltd's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
TMX Group Ltd's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
X Price Targets Summary
TMX Group Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for X is 44.82 CAD with a low forecast of 42.42 CAD and a high forecast of 48.3 CAD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for X is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
TMX Group Ltd. operates cash and derivative markets for multiple asset classes including equities, fixed income and energy. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Ontario and currently employs 1,576 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2002-11-06. The firm's segments include Global Solutions, Insights & Analytics, Capital Formation, Derivatives Trading & Clearing, Equities and Fixed Income Trading & Clearing. The Global Solutions, Insights & Analytics deliver equities, derivatives, and index data as well as integrated data sets to fuel high-value and third-party analytics which help clients make better trading and investment decisions. Its operations in the Capital Formation include Toronto Stock Exchange, TSX Venture Exchange, equity market and TSX Trust. Its operations in the Derivatives Trading and Clearing include Montreal Exchange and Canadian Derivatives Clearing Corporation. Its operations in Equities and Fixed Income Trading & Clearing segment are the trading operations of Toronto Stock Exchange and TSX Venture Exchange.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one X stock under the Base Case scenario is 28 CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 44.09 CAD, TMX Group Ltd is Overvalued by 36%.