TransAlta Corp
TSX:TA
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TA stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.64 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 15.02 CAD, TransAlta Corp is Undervalued by 31%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
TransAlta Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
TransAlta Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
TransAlta Corp
Current Assets | 2.6B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.2B |
Receivables | 1.1B |
Other Current Assets | 302m |
Non-Current Assets | 7B |
Long-Term Investments | 138m |
PP&E | 5.8B |
Intangibles | 699m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 377m |
Current Liabilities | 1.6B |
Accounts Payable | 661m |
Short-Term Debt | 5m |
Other Current Liabilities | 884m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 6.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 4.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
TransAlta Corp
Revenue
|
3.5B
CAD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-713m
CAD
|
Gross Profit
|
2.8B
CAD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-2B
CAD
|
Operating Income
|
827m
CAD
|
Other Expenses
|
-573m
CAD
|
Net Income
|
254m
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
TransAlta Corp
CAD | |
Free Cash Flow | CAD |
In Q3 2024, TransAlta achieved solid financial performance, reporting adjusted EBITDA of $325 million and free cash flow of $140 million ($0.47 per share). Their hedging strategy helped mitigate lower merchant power prices, leading to a realized price of $90 per megawatt hour. Despite softer Alberta spot prices averaging $55, the company is well-prepared with $1.8 billion in liquidity for further investments. Looking ahead, they aim to maintain free cash flow at the top of their guidance range and are optimistic about closing the Heartland Generation acquisition. The Sundance Unit 6 will be mothballed to conserve resources until market conditions improve.
What is Earnings Call?
TA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
TransAlta Corp's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
TransAlta Corp's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
TransAlta Corp's solvency score is 28/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
TransAlta Corp's solvency score is 28/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TA Price Targets Summary
TransAlta Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TA is 16.29 CAD with a low forecast of 10.35 CAD and a high forecast of 18.9 CAD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TA is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
TransAlta Corp. engages in the generation and distribution of electricity through wind, hydro, gas and coal power plants. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Alberta and currently employs 1,282 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2001-07-31. The firm owns, operates and manages a portfolio of assets representing approximately 8,128 megawatts (MW) of capacity and uses a range of fuels comprised of water, wind and solar, natural gas, and thermal coal. Its segments include Generation Segments and Energy Marketing Segment. Generation Segments include six segments: Hydro, Wind and Solar, North American Gas, Australian Gas, Alberta Thermal, and Centralia. Its Energy Marketing segment is engaged in the wholesale trading of electricity and other energy-related commodities and derivatives. Energy Marketing manages available generating capacity as well as the fuel and transmission needs of the generation segments by utilizing contracts of various durations for the forward sales of electricity and for the purchase of natural gas and transmission capacity.
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The intrinsic value of one TA stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.64 CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 15.02 CAD, TransAlta Corp is Undervalued by 31%.