Pembina Pipeline Corp
TSX:PPL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one PPL stock under the Base Case scenario is 51.29 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 60.01 CAD, Pembina Pipeline Corp is Overvalued by 15%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Pembina Pipeline Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Pembina Pipeline Corporation is a key player in the North American energy infrastructure landscape, primarily focused on the transportation and processing of natural gas and natural gas liquids. Established in 1954, Pembina has evolved into a premier energy service provider through strategic growth initiatives, including a diverse portfolio of assets spanning pipelines, facilities, and logistics. Investors are drawn to Pembina for its relatively stable cash flows, which are bolstered by long-term contracts and a commitment to sustainable operational practices. The company's robust infrastructure supports the energy needs of thriving markets in Canada and the United States, positioning it as...
Pembina Pipeline Corporation is a key player in the North American energy infrastructure landscape, primarily focused on the transportation and processing of natural gas and natural gas liquids. Established in 1954, Pembina has evolved into a premier energy service provider through strategic growth initiatives, including a diverse portfolio of assets spanning pipelines, facilities, and logistics. Investors are drawn to Pembina for its relatively stable cash flows, which are bolstered by long-term contracts and a commitment to sustainable operational practices. The company's robust infrastructure supports the energy needs of thriving markets in Canada and the United States, positioning it as an essential player within the energy transition narrative.
For investors, Pembina stands out not only for its solid fundamentals but also for its commitment to returning value through a reliable dividend policy. The company has consistently paid dividends and regularly increased them, a testament to its strong financial health and disciplined management approach. By focusing on environmentally responsible practices and investing in innovative technologies, Pembina is not just responding to market demands but is also preparing for a more sustainable future. With an extensive network, strategic partnerships, and a strong balance sheet, Pembina Pipeline Corporation is not only a vital cog in the energy sector but also an attractive investment opportunity for those seeking both stability and growth in the complex world of energy infrastructure.
Pembina Pipeline Corporation operates primarily in the energy sector, focusing on transportation and logistics for the oil and gas industry. The company's core business segments can be outlined as follows:
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Transportation: This segment is primarily responsible for the transportation of crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. Pembina operates an extensive network of pipelines that span across Western Canada and parts of the United States. The transportation segment also includes various gathering systems that collect raw hydrocarbons from production sites and transport them to processing facilities or markets.
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Facilities: Pembina's facilities segment includes midstream services related to processing, storage, and transportation of hydrocarbons. This encompasses natural gas processing plants, which separate NGLs from natural gas, and various storage solutions. This segment supports the infrastructure needs of producers and provides essential services that enhance the efficiency of hydrocarbon processing.
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Marketing and New Ventures: This segment involves the marketing of crude oil and NGLs and the development of new business opportunities. Pembina's marketing activities enable the company to optimize the value of the hydrocarbons it transports and processes by finding the best markets for its products. Additionally, Pembina explores new ventures that can leverage its existing infrastructure and expertise.
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International Operations: While Pembina is predominantly focused on North America, it has been expanding its reach into international markets, exploring opportunities that align with its core competencies in pipeline transportation and midstream services.
Overall, Pembina Pipeline Corporation's business model emphasizes the integration of its pipeline, processing, and marketing operations, positioning the company as a vital player in the energy supply chain. The firm is well-regarded for its stable cash flows and dividend payments, making it an attractive choice for investors looking for exposure to the North American energy sector.
Pembina Pipeline Corporation is a significant player in the midstream sector of the energy industry, primarily focused on transporting and processing hydrocarbons. Here are some unique competitive advantages that Pembina may hold over its rivals:
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Diversified Asset Base: Pembina has a well-diversified portfolio of services, including crude oil and natural gas transportation, processing, and storage. This diversification helps mitigate risk and allows the company to leverage various revenue streams.
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Integrated Solutions: Unlike some competitors, Pembina offers integrated services that extend from upstream producers to downstream consumers. This integrated approach can make it more attractive to customers looking for seamless service.
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Strong Infrastructure: Pembina has invested heavily in its pipeline infrastructure, allowing it to maintain an extensive network that can accommodate a range of products. This extensive infrastructure provides a competitive edge, as it enhances reliability and capacity for its clients.
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Strategic Partnerships and Contracts: Pembina has established long-term contracts with key customers in the energy sector. These long-term relationships provide stable cash flows, which can be a significant advantage in times of market volatility.
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Geographic Positioning: Pembina primarily operates in Western Canada and the northern United States, positioning it strategically to benefit from the growing production in the Montney and Duvernay plays. This geographic focus can provide logistical advantages and market access that some competitors may lack.
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Commitment to Sustainability: Pembina has prioritized sustainability and environmental responsibility, which is increasingly important to investors and regulators. Their investments in carbon capture and other sustainable practices can differentiate them from competitors who may not focus as heavily on these initiatives.
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Financial Strength and Stability: Pembina has a strong balance sheet and a history of sustainable dividends. This financial strength enables the company to invest in growth opportunities while providing returns to shareholders, creating a competitive allure.
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Regulatory Experience and Compliance: Given the highly regulated nature of the energy sector, Pembina's familiarity with regulatory frameworks can serve as a competitive asset. A strong track record in compliance can enhance reputation and operational efficiency.
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Technological Innovations: Pembina has shown adaptability through technological investments that improve efficiency and safety in their operations. This technological edge can enhance their competitive position within the market.
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Experienced Management Team: Pembina's management team has significant industry experience and expertise, contributing to strategic decision-making and the company's overall competitiveness in the market.
By focusing on these areas, Pembina Pipeline Corp can strengthen its position as a leader in the midstream sector, attracting clients and investors alike while maintaining resilience against competitive pressures.
Pembina Pipeline Corporation, a key player in the North American energy infrastructure sector, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some of the primary factors to consider:
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Regulatory Environment: Changes in government policies and regulations regarding environmental protections, emissions, and pipeline approvals can pose significant risks. Increased scrutiny from environmental agencies and community opposition can delay projects and increase costs.
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Market Volatility: Fluctuations in oil and gas prices can impact Pembina’s revenue. While they have a diversified portfolio, sustained low prices can lead to reduced demand for transport and processing services.
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Economic Conditions: A slowdown in the global economy can lead to decreased energy consumption, negatively impacting the demand for pipeline services. Economic uncertainties can also affect investors’ confidence and capital availability.
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Infrastructure Investment Needs: With growing demand for energy and shifts towards renewable sources, Pembina needs to invest in its infrastructure to adapt and remain competitive. This requires significant capital expenditure and can strain financial resources.
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Technological Change: As the energy industry evolves, Pembina must adapt to new technologies and methods, including renewable energy solutions. Failing to innovate could result in losing market competitiveness.
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Environmental and Climate Risks: Increasing pressure to reduce carbon emissions and shift towards sustainable energy sources poses a challenge to traditional pipeline operations. Pembina may face reputational risks if it does not meet investor and public expectations regarding sustainability.
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Geopolitical Risk: Instability in key oil and gas producing regions can affect supply chains and pricing. Changes in trade policies or tariffs can also impact the company’s operations and profitability.
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Competition: The energy infrastructure sector is competitive, and Pembina faces challenges from both established companies and new entrants. Maintaining market share while also investing in growth is crucial.
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Long-Term Contracts Vulnerability: Pembina often relies on long-term contracts for stability. If contracts are renegotiated or not renewed due to market conditions, this could impact future revenue.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As the energy sector increasingly relies on technology, the risk of cyberattacks becomes more pronounced. A successful attack could compromise operations and lead to significant financial and reputational damage.
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Labor and Supply Chain Disruptions: Labor shortages and disruptions in the supply chain can impact project timelines and operational efficiency, particularly in a competitive labor market.
Addressing these challenges requires proactive risk management strategies, careful financial planning, and a focus on innovation and sustainability in Pembina’s operations.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Pembina Pipeline Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Pembina Pipeline Corp
Current Assets | 1.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 104m |
Receivables | 1B |
Other Current Assets | 357m |
Non-Current Assets | 33.9B |
Long-Term Investments | 4.3B |
PP&E | 22.9B |
Intangibles | 6.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 317m |
Current Liabilities | 2.3B |
Accounts Payable | 1.2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 1.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 16.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 12.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
Pembina Pipeline Corp
Revenue
|
7.7B
CAD
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Cost of Revenue
|
-4.6B
CAD
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Gross Profit
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3.1B
CAD
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Operating Expenses
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-452m
CAD
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Operating Income
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2.7B
CAD
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Other Expenses
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-838m
CAD
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Net Income
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1.9B
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Pembina Pipeline Corp
CAD | |
Free Cash Flow | CAD |
Pembina Pipeline's Q3 2024 earnings highlighted a record adjusted EBITDA of $1.019 billion, maintaining strong performance largely due to recent acquisitions and increased volumes. The company has narrowed its 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $4.225 billion to $4.325 billion. Significant milestones included the complete acquisition of Aux Sable's U.S. operations, enhancing service offerings. Looking ahead, Pembina expects 4% to 6% volume growth in 2025. The ongoing construction of major projects like Cedar LNG is anticipated to yield further revenue. Overall, momentum from industry-wide growth catalysts supports Pembina's outlook for sustained long-term value.
What is Earnings Call?
PPL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Pembina Pipeline Corp's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Pembina Pipeline Corp's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
PPL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Pembina Pipeline Corp's solvency score is 34/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Pembina Pipeline Corp's solvency score is 34/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
PPL Price Targets Summary
Pembina Pipeline Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PPL is 62.7 CAD with a low forecast of 54.54 CAD and a high forecast of 68.25 CAD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for PPL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Pembina Pipeline Corp. engages in the provision of transportation and midstream services. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Alberta and currently employs 2,488 full-time employees. The firm's segments are organized into three divisions: Pipelines, Facilities and Marketing & New Ventures. The Pipelines Division provides customers with pipeline transportation, terminalling, storage and rail services in key market hubs in Canada and the United States for crude oil, condensate, natural gas liquids and natural gas. The Facilities Division includes infrastructure that provides Pembina's customers with natural gas, condensate and Natural gas liquid (NGL) services. The Marketing & New Ventures Division is focused on maximizing the value of hydrocarbon liquids and natural gas originating in the basins where the Company operates. The firm owns an integrated system of pipelines that transport various hydrocarbon liquids and natural gas products produced primarily in western Canada.
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The intrinsic value of one PPL stock under the Base Case scenario is 51.29 CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 60.01 CAD, Pembina Pipeline Corp is Overvalued by 15%.