Hydro One Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one H stock under the Base Case scenario is 34.06 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 44.38 CAD, Hydro One Ltd is Overvalued by 23%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Hydro One Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Hydro One Ltd. stands as a prominent player in Canada's electricity transmission and distribution sector, serving approximately 1.5 million customers across Ontario. As a publicly traded company, it was carved out of Ontario Hydro in 2015, emerging as the largest electricity transmission utility in the province. The company's core mission revolves around delivering safe and reliable power while investing in modernizing its infrastructure to accommodate increasing demand and the shift towards renewable energy sources. With significant assets exceeding CAD 30 billion, Hydro One plays an essential role in regional energy stability and economic growth, making it a cornerstone of Ontario's energy...
Hydro One Ltd. stands as a prominent player in Canada's electricity transmission and distribution sector, serving approximately 1.5 million customers across Ontario. As a publicly traded company, it was carved out of Ontario Hydro in 2015, emerging as the largest electricity transmission utility in the province. The company's core mission revolves around delivering safe and reliable power while investing in modernizing its infrastructure to accommodate increasing demand and the shift towards renewable energy sources. With significant assets exceeding CAD 30 billion, Hydro One plays an essential role in regional energy stability and economic growth, making it a cornerstone of Ontario's energy landscape.
For potential investors, Hydro One represents a blend of stability and growth potential. The company benefits from a regulated model that allows for predictable revenue streams through its revenue cap framework, providing a layer of security amid fluctuating market conditions. Furthermore, Hydro One is actively engaged in strategic initiatives to upgrade its technology and expand its capacity, aiming to meet both customer needs and environmental commitments. The company’s consistent dividend payments have made it a reliable option for income-focused investors, while its commitment to innovative growth strategies underlines its ambition to thrive in a rapidly changing energy market. In essence, Hydro One is not just an energy company; it embodies a strategic pathway to a sustainable energy future, making it an intriguing opportunity for investors seeking long-term value.
Hydro One Ltd. is a major electricity transmission and distribution company based in Ontario, Canada. Its core business segments primarily include:
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Transmission Segment: This segment is responsible for the high-voltage transmission of electricity from generation facilities to distribution networks. Hydro One operates a vast network of transmission lines and substations, ensuring the reliable delivery of electricity across Ontario. This segment typically generates stable revenue through regulated rates set by the Ontario Energy Board.
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Distribution Segment: Hydro One's distribution segment involves the delivery of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. This includes managing local distribution networks, maintaining infrastructure, and connecting customers to the power grid. Like the transmission segment, the distribution business is also regulated, leading to predictable cash flows.
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Renewable Energy Development: Hydro One is increasingly focusing on integrating renewable energy sources into its operations. This includes investing in infrastructure to support renewable energy projects, such as solar and wind power, as the company looks to enhance its sustainability initiatives and meet provincial renewable energy goals.
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Telecommunications Services: Although not its primary focus, Hydro One also provides telecommunication services through its fiber optic networks. This segment supports operational efficiencies and can provide additional revenue streams.
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Management and Regulatory Services: Hydro One engages in management services related to its asset base and provides regulatory consultation pertinent to electricity operations in Ontario. This involves strategic planning and interactions with regulatory bodies, which can influence the overall operational framework and financial performance.
Each of these segments is vital for Hydro One’s overall business strategy, as they contribute to the reliable delivery of electricity, support sustainable initiatives, and enhance operational efficiencies in an evolving energy landscape.
Hydro One Ltd, as one of Canada's largest electricity transmission and distribution companies, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Extensive Infrastructure Network: Hydro One has developed a vast and mature infrastructure network across Ontario, providing them with significant coverage and reliability. This extensive network offers a barrier to entry for competitors who would need substantial investment to establish a similar system.
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Regulatory Framework: Being a regulated utility, Hydro One enjoys stability in its revenue model through regulated returns on investments. This regulatory framework can create predictability in cash flows, making it more appealing to investors compared to non-regulated competitors.
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Brand Recognition and Customer Loyalty: Hydro One has built a strong brand presence and customer base in Ontario. This recognition and trust foster customer loyalty, which is pivotal in the utility sector where switching costs are high.
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Operational Efficiency and Scale: With its size, Hydro One can benefit from economies of scale, allowing it to lower operational costs per unit processed compared to smaller competitors. This operational efficiency is crucial in an industry where margins can be tight.
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Investment in Technology: Hydro One is committed to investing in new technologies such as smart grid solutions and renewable energy integration. This focus not only enhances operational efficiency but also meets the growing demand for sustainable energy solutions, giving them an edge over competitors who may not innovate at the same pace.
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Government Support: As a major player in the public utility sector, Hydro One often benefits from government support and public policy initiatives aimed at ensuring energy reliability and sustainability, which can be an advantage when compared to privately-owned rivals.
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Diversified Services: Hydro One offers a range of services beyond traditional electricity distribution, including renewable energy projects, which can create additional revenue streams.
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Strong Financial Position: Hydro One typically maintains a robust financial profile, characterized by stable revenue, manageable debt levels, and strong cash flows. This financial strength enables the company to invest in new projects and improvements, providing a competitive edge in a capital-intensive industry.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Hydro One has positioned itself as a leader in the Ontario energy sector, distinguishing itself from competitors and facing fewer barriers to growth.
Hydro One Ltd, as a prominent electricity transmission and distribution company in Ontario, Canada, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance in the near future. Some of these include:
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Regulatory Changes: Hydro One operates in a heavily regulated industry. Changes in regulatory frameworks, including rates and service standards imposed by the Ontario Energy Board, can impact revenue and operational flexibility.
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Political and Economic Factors: Changes in government policies, including energy policy shifts and infrastructure investment priorities, can affect Hydro One's business environment. Economic fluctuations could also impact electricity demand.
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Aging Infrastructure: Like many utility companies, Hydro One may face issues related to aging infrastructure. Upgrading and maintaining these assets can be costly and time-consuming.
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Climate Change and Extreme Weather: Increasing frequency and severity of extreme weather events can strain the utility's operations, leading to higher maintenance costs, increased outages, and the need for more resilient infrastructure.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As utilities become increasingly reliant on digital technologies, they face heightened risks from cyberattacks. A successful attack could disrupt service delivery and undermine customer trust.
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Competition and Market Dynamics: While Hydro One has a substantial market share, the potential emergence of alternative energy sources (e.g., solar, wind) and decentralization of energy generation could affect its business model.
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Financing and Capital Expenditure: Maintaining and expanding infrastructure requires substantial capital investment. Changes in interest rates or constraints on financing could impact Hydro One's ability to fund projects.
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Workforce Management: Attracting, training, and retaining skilled labor is crucial for operational efficiency. Any difficulties in managing its workforce could impair service delivery.
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Public Perception and Social License to Operate: Public sentiment, particularly regarding environmental and social governance (ESG) issues, affects Hydro One’s ability to operate. Negative perceptions can lead to regulatory hurdles and operational challenges.
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Technological Advances: Rapid technological advancements in energy efficiency, renewable energy, and smart grid technologies require Hydro One to adapt its services and operational processes continually.
Addressing these risks will require a strategic approach that includes investments in technology, infrastructure upgrades, stakeholder engagement, and proactive regulatory communication. By focusing on these areas, Hydro One can better position itself to navigate the evolving energy landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Hydro One Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Hydro One Ltd
Current Assets | 1.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 74m |
Receivables | 748m |
Other Current Assets | 569m |
Non-Current Assets | 32.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 48m |
PP&E | 28B |
Intangibles | 1.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 3.7B |
Current Liabilities | 3.5B |
Accounts Payable | 387m |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.2B |
Short-Term Debt | 877m |
Other Current Liabilities | 993m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 18.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 14.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 4.1B |
Earnings Waterfall
Hydro One Ltd
Revenue
|
8.1B
CAD
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Cost of Revenue
|
-3.9B
CAD
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Gross Profit
|
4.2B
CAD
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Operating Expenses
|
-2.3B
CAD
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Operating Income
|
1.9B
CAD
|
Other Expenses
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-762m
CAD
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Net Income
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1.1B
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Hydro One Ltd
CAD | |
Free Cash Flow | CAD |
H Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Hydro One Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Hydro One Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
H Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Hydro One Ltd's solvency score is 25/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Hydro One Ltd's solvency score is 25/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
H Price Targets Summary
Hydro One Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for H is 45.08 CAD with a low forecast of 40.4 CAD and a high forecast of 48.3 CAD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for H is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Hydro One Ltd. engages in the transmission and distribution of electricity. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Ontario. The company went IPO on 2015-11-05. The firm operates through three segments: Transmission, Distribution and Other. The Transmission Segment, which comprises the transmission of high voltage electricity across the province, interconnecting local distribution companies and certain directly connected industrial customers throughout the Ontario electricity grid. The Distribution Segment, which comprises the delivery of electricity to end customers and certain other municipal electricity distributors. The other segment consists of Company's subsidiary, Acronym Solutions Inc., which provides telecommunications support for the Company's transmission and distribution businesses. The firm's subsidiaries include Hydro One Inc., Hydro One Networks Inc. (Hydro One Networks), Hydro One Sault Ste. Marie LP (HOSSM) and B2M Limited Partnership (B2M LP), among others.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one H stock under the Base Case scenario is 34.06 CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 44.38 CAD, Hydro One Ltd is Overvalued by 23%.