Athabasca Oil Corp
TSX:ATH

Watchlist Manager
Athabasca Oil Corp Logo
Athabasca Oil Corp
TSX:ATH
Watchlist
Price: 5.06 CAD 1.4%
Market Cap: 2.7B CAD
Have any thoughts about
Athabasca Oil Corp?
Write Note

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one ATH stock under the Base Case scenario is 6.81 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 5.06 CAD, Athabasca Oil Corp is Undervalued by 26%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

ATH Intrinsic Value
6.81 CAD
Undervaluation 26%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Athabasca Oil Corp

Backtest Intrinsic Value
Dive into the past to invest in the future

Uncover deeper insights with the Valuation Backtest. Learn how current stock valuations stack up against historical averages to gauge true investment potential.

Start backtest now and learn if your stock is truly undervalued or overvalued!

Run Backtest
Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

Backtest Example
Register to View Results
Register to View Results

To access the results of this valuation backtest, please register an account with us. Registration is quick and gives you instant access to insights on 3 stocks per week for free.

Backtest Unavailable

The backtest for ATH cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints. Please select a different stock or adjust your settings.

Backtest In Progress...
Backtest In Progress...
How do you feel about ATH?
Bearish
Neutral
Bullish
Discover Undervalued Stocks
Energy Industry

Fundamental Analysis

Risks & Rewards

 

 

 

 

View All Risks & Rewards
Company Quality
No Indicators Selected
Select Indicators

Select up to 3 indicators:

Insider Trading
0-3
Months
0-6
Months
0-12
Months
0-36
Months
No Periods Selected
Select Periods

Select up to 2 periods:

Notes
AI Assistant
AI Assistant
Ask me anything about Athabasca Oil Corp

Provide an overview of the primary business activities
of Athabasca Oil Corp.

What unique competitive advantages
does Athabasca Oil Corp hold over its rivals?

What risks and challenges
does Athabasca Oil Corp face in the near future?

Is it considered overvalued or undervalued
based on the latest financial data?

Show all valuation multiples
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide P/S
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide P/E
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide P/OCF
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide P/FCFE
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide P/B
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide EV/S
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide EV/GP
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide EV/EBITDA
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide EV/EBIT
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide EV/OCF
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide EV/FCFF
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide EV/IC
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Show me price targets
for Athabasca Oil Corp made by professional analysts.

What are the Revenue projections
for Athabasca Oil Corp?

How accurate were the past Revenue estimates
for Athabasca Oil Corp?

What are the Net Income projections
for Athabasca Oil Corp?

How accurate were the past Net Income estimates
for Athabasca Oil Corp?

What are the EPS projections
for Athabasca Oil Corp?

How accurate were the past EPS estimates
for Athabasca Oil Corp?

What are the EBIT projections
for Athabasca Oil Corp?

How accurate were the past EBIT estimates
for Athabasca Oil Corp?

Compare the revenue forecasts
for Athabasca Oil Corp with those of its competitors based on recent analyst estimates.

Compare the intrinsic valuations
of Athabasca Oil Corp and its key competitors using the latest financial data.

Compare historical revenue growth rates
of Athabasca Oil Corp against its competitors.

Analyze the profit margins
(gross, operating, and net) of Athabasca Oil Corp compared to its peers.

Compare the P/E ratios
of Athabasca Oil Corp against its peers.

Discuss the investment returns and shareholder value creation
comparing Athabasca Oil Corp with its peers.

Analyze the financial leverage
of Athabasca Oil Corp compared to its main competitors.

Show all profitability ratios
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide ROE
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide ROA
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide ROIC
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide ROCE
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide Gross Margin
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide Operating Margin
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide Net Margin
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide FCF Margin
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Show all solvency ratios
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide D/E Ratio
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide D/A Ratio
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide Interest Coverage Ratio
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide Altman Z-Score Ratio
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide Quick Ratio
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide Current Ratio
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Provide Cash Ratio
for Athabasca Oil Corp.

What is the historical Revenue growth
over the last 5 years for Athabasca Oil Corp?

What is the historical Net Income growth
over the last 5 years for Athabasca Oil Corp?

What is the current Free Cash Flow
of Athabasca Oil Corp?

Discuss the annual earnings per share (EPS)
trend over the past five years for Athabasca Oil Corp.

Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Athabasca Oil Corp

Current Assets 504.4m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 334.9m
Receivables 113.9m
Other Current Assets 55.7m
Non-Current Assets 1.7B
PP&E 1.3B
Other Non-Current Assets 419.8m
Current Liabilities 198.2m
Accounts Payable 129.7m
Other Current Liabilities 68.6m
Non-Current Liabilities 477.3m
Long-Term Debt 195.6m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 281.7m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Athabasca Oil Corp

Revenue
1.3B CAD
Cost of Revenue
-497.3m CAD
Gross Profit
825.7m CAD
Operating Expenses
-465m CAD
Operating Income
360.7m CAD
Other Expenses
-129.8m CAD
Net Income
230.9m CAD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Athabasca Oil Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

ATH Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Athabasca Oil Corp's profitability score is 66/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Net Income
66/100
Profitability
Score

Athabasca Oil Corp's profitability score is 66/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ATH Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Athabasca Oil Corp's solvency score is 73/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
High Interest Coverage
Short-Term Solvency
73/100
Solvency
Score

Athabasca Oil Corp's solvency score is 73/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

ATH Price Targets Summary
Athabasca Oil Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast ATH stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATH is 6.46 CAD with a low forecast of 5.56 CAD and a high forecast of 7.88 CAD.

Lowest
Price Target
5.56 CAD
10% Upside
Average
Price Target
6.46 CAD
28% Upside
Highest
Price Target
7.88 CAD
56% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates
Want to learn more about Wall St estimates for ATH?

Click here to dive deeper.

Dividends

Athabasca Oil Corp
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for ATH is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Profile

Athabasca Oil Corp Logo
Athabasca Oil Corp

Country

Canada

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

2.7B CAD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Athabasca Oil Corp. is an exploration and production company, which engages in the development of thermal and light oil assets. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Alberta. The company went IPO on 2010-04-08. The firm is focused on developing thermal oil and light oil resource plays in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin in Alberta, Canada. Its thermal oil division consists of its cornerstone producing Leismer asset, Hangingstone asset, Corner development asset and the Dover West exploration asset in the Athabasca region of northeastern Alberta. The company produces light oil and liquid-rich natural gas from unconventional reservoirs. The firm's development has been focused on the Montney in the Greater Placid area and the Duvernay in the Greater Kaybob area near the town of Fox Creek, Alberta. In Greater Placid, it has a 70% operated working interest in approximately 90,000 gross Montney acres. In Greater Kaybob, it has a 30% non-operated interest in approximately 205,000 gross acres of commercially prospective Duvernay lands.

Contact

ALBERTA
Calgary
1200-215 9 Ave SW
+14032378227.0
www.atha.com

IPO

2010-04-08

Employees

140

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Mr. Robert Anthony Broen B.Sc.Eng., P.Eng.
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Matthew Taylor C.F.A.
VP of Business Development & General Counsel
Mr. Cameron Danyluk B.Com., L.L.B.
Vice President of Thermal Oil
Ms. Karla Dawn Ingoldsby

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one ATH stock?

The intrinsic value of one ATH stock under the Base Case scenario is 6.81 CAD.

Is ATH stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 5.06 CAD, Athabasca Oil Corp is Undervalued by 26%.

Back to Top