Saab AB
STO:SAAB B
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one SAAB B stock under the Base Case scenario is 194.25 SEK. Compared to the current market price of 243.95 SEK, Saab AB is Overvalued by 20%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Saab AB
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Fundamental Analysis
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Saab AB, a Swedish aerospace and defense company founded in 1937, has evolved into a key player in global security and defense solutions. Initially recognized for its aircraft manufacturing, Saab has diversified its portfolio to include advanced technologies in areas such as surveillance, cyber security, and ground combat systems. The company's flagship products, including the Gripen fighter jet and the AUV62 underwater vehicle, demonstrate its commitment to innovation and excellence. With a strong emphasis on research and development, Saab invests significantly in new technologies, creating a robust pipeline of future offerings that are vital in an increasingly complex geopolitical landscap...
Saab AB, a Swedish aerospace and defense company founded in 1937, has evolved into a key player in global security and defense solutions. Initially recognized for its aircraft manufacturing, Saab has diversified its portfolio to include advanced technologies in areas such as surveillance, cyber security, and ground combat systems. The company's flagship products, including the Gripen fighter jet and the AUV62 underwater vehicle, demonstrate its commitment to innovation and excellence. With a strong emphasis on research and development, Saab invests significantly in new technologies, creating a robust pipeline of future offerings that are vital in an increasingly complex geopolitical landscape.
For investors, Saab AB presents a compelling opportunity as a stable entity within the defense sector. The company benefits from long-term contracts with governments and military organizations, underpinning its revenue with predictable income streams. Furthermore, Saab's strategic partnerships and collaborations across Europe and beyond position it to capitalize on the rising defense budgets driven by global security challenges. With a strong balance sheet, effective cost management, and a commitment to sustainability, Saab is not only focused on immediate performance but also on long-term value creation. As nations prioritize military readiness and technological advancements, Saab AB stands poised to be a vital contributor and a potentially lucrative investment in the defense and aerospace industry.
Saab AB, a Swedish aerospace and defense company, operates through several core business segments. Each segment is focused on different aspects of defense technology, aerospace systems, and security solutions. Here’s a breakdown of these core business segments:
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Aeronautics:
- This segment primarily focuses on the development and production of military and civilian aircraft. The Gripen fighter aircraft is notable within this segment, alongside other unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and advanced systems for air traffic management.
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Defense and Security Solutions:
- Saab provides a wide range of defense and security solutions including ground systems, naval systems, and electronic warfare. This segment encompasses systems for land-based defense, surveillance, reconnaissance, and maritime security, contributing to various military and civil defense capabilities.
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Industrial Products and Services:
- This segment includes the production of various products such as missiles, torpedoes, and other defense-related technology. It also offers services like maintenance, logistics, and training to enhance the operational capabilities of defense customers.
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Support and Services:
- Saab provides extensive support services that include software solutions, maintenance, and upgrades for guided weapons systems and military platforms to ensure operational effectiveness throughout their lifecycle.
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Cybersecurity and Communications:
- As the importance of cyber defense grows, this segment focuses on providing cybersecurity solutions and secure communication systems for both defense and civil sectors, enhancing the resilience of critical infrastructures.
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Space Systems:
- Saab also engages in the development and production of components for space applications, including satellite systems and other technologies supporting space missions.
Saab AB aims to provide innovative and advanced solutions to meet the evolving needs of defense and security markets globally, while also focusing on sustainability and technological advancement in aerospace and defense sectors.
Saab AB, a Swedish aerospace and defense company, has several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals:
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Innovative Technology and Engineering Expertise: Saab is recognized for its cutting-edge technology in areas such as fighter jets (Gripen), advanced military systems, and high-tech surveillance solutions. The company's focus on R&D helps maintain its competitive edge in technological advancements.
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Niche Market Focus: Saab operates in niche markets, particularly in defense and security. By specializing in specific areas such as airborne systems, underwater systems, and ground combat systems, it is able to build deep expertise and respond effectively to specific customer needs.
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Strong Partnership and Collaboration: Saab has established various partnerships and collaborations with governments and other defense companies globally, which strengthens its position in the market. These relationships enhance its ability to secure contracts and develop tailored solutions.
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Adaptability to Customer Needs: The company has a reputation for being adaptable, allowing it to cater to the specific requirements of its clients, whether they are military forces or governmental agencies. This customer-centric approach builds trust and long-term relationships.
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Sustainability and Ethical Practices: Saab places a strong emphasis on sustainability and corporate social responsibility. This focus appeals to governments and organizations prioritizing ethical practices, providing Saab a favorable image and competitive edge in procurement processes.
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Operational Efficiency and Cost Management: Through lean manufacturing principles and streamlined operations, Saab has achieved operational efficiencies that can be passed on to customers in the form of competitive pricing.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: Saab's extensive range of products, from military aircraft to civil security systems and products for the automotive industry, provides it with diversification. This reduces reliance on any single revenue stream and enables it to capitalize on various market segments.
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Proven Track Record and Reputation: With decades of experience in the defense sector, Saab has built a strong reputation for reliability and performance. This long-standing history instills confidence in customers and distinguishes it from newer entrants or less reputable competitors.
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Investment in Future Technologies: Saab's commitment to future technologies, such as unmanned systems and cyber defense, positions it well for upcoming trends in the defense industry, ensuring it remains relevant against evolving threats and competition.
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Geopolitical Factors and Local Partnerships: As a European defense contractor, Saab often has a unique position in contracts with European nations and may benefit from local government policies favoring domestic companies.
These competitive advantages help Saab AB maintain a strong position in the aerospace and defense industry while navigating challenges from competitors.
Saab AB, a prominent player in the defense, aerospace, and security sectors, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Geopolitical Instability: As a defense contractor, Saab is heavily affected by geopolitical tensions. Conflicts in Eastern Europe, the Middle East, or other regions can influence defense budgets and procurement strategies, potentially affecting orders.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, exacerbated by events like the COVID-19 pandemic, can impact the availability of components necessary for production. This might lead to delays and increased costs.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid technological changes demand continuous investment in research and development. Failure to keep up with innovations in defense and aerospace could render Saab's offerings less competitive.
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Dependence on Government Contracts: A significant portion of Saab's revenue is derived from government contracts. Changes in government policies, defense budgets, or procurement processes can negatively affect its business stability.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a defense company, Saab is a potential target for cyberattacks. Ensuring robust cybersecurity measures to protect sensitive data and systems is crucial and requires continuous investment.
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Environmental Regulations: Increasing pressure on companies to adhere to environmentally sustainable practices could necessitate changes in manufacturing processes and product design, potentially leading to increased costs.
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Market Competition: Saab faces strong competition from both established defense contractors and emerging players. The need to differentiate its offerings can lead to price pressures and thin margins.
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Geoeconomic Factors: Economic slowdowns or recessions may lead governments to cut back on defense spending, impacting Saab’s sales.
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Compliance and Regulatory Risks: Operating in multiple countries exposes Saab to varied regulations and compliance requirements, which can complicate operations and increase costs.
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Public Sentiment and Ethical Dilemmas: The company may face reputational risks associated with its products and services, particularly in relation to arms sales in conflict zones or to countries with questionable human rights records.
Addressing these risks requires strategic foresight, agility in operations, and robust risk management practices. Understanding and adapting to this landscape will be pivotal for Saab's sustained growth and competitiveness.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Saab AB
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Saab AB
Current Assets | 56.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 7.5B |
Receivables | 26.4B |
Other Current Assets | 22.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 31.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 3.3B |
PP&E | 14B |
Intangibles | 13B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 972m |
Current Liabilities | 39B |
Accounts Payable | 6B |
Accrued Liabilities | 9.6B |
Other Current Liabilities | 23.5B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 14.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 9.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 5B |
Earnings Waterfall
Saab AB
Revenue
|
57B
SEK
|
Cost of Revenue
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-44.5B
SEK
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Gross Profit
|
12.5B
SEK
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Operating Expenses
|
-7.4B
SEK
|
Operating Income
|
5.1B
SEK
|
Other Expenses
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-1.5B
SEK
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Net Income
|
3.6B
SEK
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Saab AB
SEK | |
Free Cash Flow | SEK |
Saab has reported a strong second quarter with almost SEK 40 billion in new orders, bringing the half-year total to SEK 58.2 billion. The company’s order backlog has grown to SEK 183 billion, driven by significant demand, particularly from international markets. Saab continues to invest heavily in R&D, focusing on AI and autonomous systems. Despite a negative cash flow in the first half, Saab is confident about achieving a positive cash flow for the full year, bolstered by significant payments already received in July. EBIT margin rose from 8.3% to 8.6%, reflecting improved efficiency and sales growth.
What is Earnings Call?
SAAB B Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Saab AB's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Saab AB's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
SAAB B Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Saab AB's solvency score is 59/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Saab AB's solvency score is 59/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
SAAB B Price Targets Summary
Saab AB
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for SAAB B is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Saab AB engages in the production and sale of products, services, and solutions for military defence, commercial aviation and civil security. The company is headquartered in Linkoping, Ostergotland and currently employs 18,153 full-time employees. The Company’s operations are divided into six business areas. The Aeronautics includes the development of civil and military aviation technology, including the Gripen and Unmanned Aerial Systems. The Dynamics comprises a product portfolio of weapon systems, such as support weapons, missiles, Remotely Operated Vehicles and signature management systems. The Electronic Defense Systems provides airbone, land-based and naval systems and radar, signals intelligence and self-protection. The Security and Defense Solutions provides the military and civil security market with, among others, computerized command, control, communications and intelligence systems. The Support and Services offers service and support to the Saab’s clients. Among others, the Company operates through Thyssen Krupp Marine Systems AB and Nordic Defence Industries, a producer of mine disposal charge systems.
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Employees
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The intrinsic value of one SAAB B stock under the Base Case scenario is 194.25 SEK.
Compared to the current market price of 243.95 SEK, Saab AB is Overvalued by 20%.