LATAM Airlines Group SA
SGO:LTM
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one LTM stock under the Base Case scenario is 13.83 CLP. Compared to the current market price of 13.04 CLP, LATAM Airlines Group SA is Undervalued by 6%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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LATAM Airlines Group SA
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Fundamental Analysis
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LATAM Airlines Group SA
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LATAM Airlines Group SA stands as the largest airline in Latin America, having emerged from the merger of LAN Airlines of Chile and Brazil's TAM Airlines in 2012. This remarkable union created a powerhouse that operates an extensive network of domestic and international flights across 26 countries, connecting key markets in North America, Europe, and Asia with the vibrant economies of South America. The company not only boasts a diversified revenue stream from passenger services but also includes cargo operations, maintenance, and travel-related services, making it an essential player in the region’s transportation sector. Despite facing significant challenges, including the impact of COVID-...
LATAM Airlines Group SA stands as the largest airline in Latin America, having emerged from the merger of LAN Airlines of Chile and Brazil's TAM Airlines in 2012. This remarkable union created a powerhouse that operates an extensive network of domestic and international flights across 26 countries, connecting key markets in North America, Europe, and Asia with the vibrant economies of South America. The company not only boasts a diversified revenue stream from passenger services but also includes cargo operations, maintenance, and travel-related services, making it an essential player in the region’s transportation sector. Despite facing significant challenges, including the impact of COVID-19, LATAM's strategic partnerships, notably with American Airlines, and its commitment to innovative sustainability practices position it as a resilient entity, adaptable to shifting market demands.
For investors, LATAM Airlines Group SA presents both opportunities and considerations. The company’s robust fleet and well-established routes underpin its ability to capture growing demand in the travel sector. As travel restrictions ease, LATAM is poised to capitalize on revitalized tourism and demand for air travel, particularly within the burgeoning middle class in Latin America. However, potential investors should also note the complexities that come with operating in a capital-intensive industry marked by volatility in fuel prices and currency fluctuations. LATAM's ongoing focus on restructuring and strengthening its balance sheet post-bankruptcy illustrates management's commitment to returning to profitability and enhancing shareholder value. By balancing growth opportunities with prudent financial management, LATAM is setting the stage for a potential recovery that could benefit its investors in the long run.
LATAM Airlines Group SA is a major airline holding company in Latin America, which operates a broad range of air transport services. Here are the core business segments of LATAM Airlines Group:
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Passenger Services:
- This segment includes the transporting of passengers on domestic and international flights. LATAM Airlines offers various ticket classes, from economy to premium services, catering to different customer segments. This segment is critical as it generates the majority of the group's revenue.
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Cargo Services:
- LATAM operates a dedicated cargo division that transports freight across its extensive network. Cargo services include shipping goods, mail, and special cargo products. The company leverages its passenger aircraft capacity for cargo transport, especially when demand surges.
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Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO):
- LATAM provides maintenance services for its fleet and for third-party airlines. This segment includes routine maintenance and major overhauls of aircraft, which represents a diversification of revenue streams beyond just passenger and cargo transport.
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Loyalty Program (LATAM Pass):
- LATAM has a frequent flyer program that allows customers to earn and redeem points for travel, upgrades, and other benefits. This program not only drives customer loyalty but also generates revenue through partnerships with hotels, car rental companies, and credit card issuers.
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Ground Services:
- This includes services provided at airports, such as check-in, baggage handling, and ramp services. While primarily focused on supporting the passenger and cargo flights, it also represents an ancillary source of revenue.
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Tourism and Travel Services:
- LATAM Airlines Group offers additional travel-related services, including packages for leisure travelers. These services may include hotel bookings, car rentals, and travel insurance.
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Alliances and Partnerships:
- LATAM is part of the Oneworld alliance, which allows it to collaborate with other international airlines. This segment enhances connectivity and expands the network offerings for passengers, contributing to a broader revenue potential.
Through these segments, LATAM Airlines aims to maintain a comprehensive service offering in the highly competitive aviation market, catering to both passenger and cargo needs while focusing on operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.
LATAM Airlines Group SA, as one of the largest airline groups in Latin America, possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals. Here are some key factors contributing to its competitive edge:
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Extensive Network: LATAM Airlines has a vast and diversified network spanning across Latin America, North America, Europe, and Asia. This extensive route network allows for better connectivity and convenience for passengers traveling within the region and beyond.
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Strong Brand Recognition: As a well-established airline group, LATAM enjoys significant brand recognition in Latin America. This reputation can attract both leisure and business travelers who prefer reliability and quality service.
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Membership in Alliances: LATAM Airlines is a member of the Oneworld alliance, which enhances its competitive positioning by providing access to a broader range of partnerships, codeshare agreements, and reciprocal benefits for frequent flyers.
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Diverse Fleet: The airline group operates a diverse fleet of aircraft, catering to various market demands and allowing for efficient operation across short and long-haul routes. This versatility can help in optimizing capacity and improving profitability.
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Focus on Innovation and Technology: LATAM has been investing in technology and innovation to improve customer experience, streamline operations, and enhance safety. This includes investments in digital services, upgraded booking platforms, and improved in-flight services.
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Strategic Hub Locations: LATAM hosts several key hubs in major cities like SĂŁo Paulo and Santiago, which serve as focal points for regional and international traffic. These hub locations enable better connectivity and operational efficiency.
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Cargo Operations: LATAM has a robust cargo division, which complements its passenger services and provides additional revenue streams. The growing e-commerce sector further enhances cargo operations, particularly in a region with increasing trade.
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Sustainability Initiatives: As demand for sustainable practices rises, LATAM is focused on improving its environmental footprint through various initiatives, including fleet modernization and carbon offset programs, which can appeal to environmentally-conscious travelers.
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Local Knowledge and Adaptation: LATAM’s deep understanding of the Latin American market enables it to tailor its services, marketing efforts, and pricing strategies effectively, addressing the specific needs and preferences of regional customers.
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Loyalty and Frequent Flyer Programs: LATAM’s loyalty programs offer compelling incentives for frequent travelers, fostering customer loyalty and retention while also enhancing collaborations with other airlines and service providers.
In summary, LATAM Airlines Group SA's competitive advantages stem from its broad network, strong brand loyalty, strategic alliances, operational efficiency, technological investments, and an understanding of market dynamics in Latin America. These factors help position the company favorably against competitors in the airline industry.
LATAM Airlines Group SA, like many airlines, faces a range of risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Economic Instability: LATAM operates in various countries, many of which can experience economic volatility. Economic downturns can lead to reduced passenger demand and lower revenues.
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Fuel Prices: Fluctuations in oil prices can significantly impact operating costs. Given the airline industry's dependence on fuel, increases in fuel prices can squeeze margins.
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Competition: The airline industry is highly competitive, with multiple carriers vying for market share in Latin America. Both traditional airlines and low-cost carriers pose a challenge to LATAM's pricing and revenue strategies.
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Regulatory Challenges: Changes in aviation regulations, safety standards, and government policies can affect operations. This includes anything from environmental regulations to changes in air traffic management.
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Pandemic Recovery: The airline industry is still recovering from the impacts of COVID-19. As travel restrictions ease, LATAM must manage the reintroduction of routes and services while ensuring safety and customer confidence.
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Currency Fluctuations: LATAM conducts business across multiple currencies, making it vulnerable to foreign exchange risks. Depreciation of local currencies against the dollar could impact revenue and profitability.
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Labor Relations: Labor disputes or strikes can disrupt operations. LATAM must maintain strong relationships with employees while managing costs.
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Fleet Management: The management of aircraft assets is crucial. This includes decisions about fleet expansion, maintenance, and procurement in light of current and future demand.
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Technological Advancements: Keeping up with advancements in technology for both operations and customer service is essential. Failure to adopt new technologies could result in competitive disadvantages.
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Environmental Considerations: Increasing scrutiny over carbon emissions and sustainability initiatives could lead to regulatory changes and affect operational procedures, potentially increasing costs.
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Geopolitical Risks: Regional instability, including political crises and social unrest, can impact operations, route safety, and traveler confidence.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As with many airlines, LATAM faces potential cybersecurity threats that can impact operations, customer data, and overall reputation.
By closely monitoring these challenges and proactively addressing them, LATAM Airlines Group SA can navigate the uncertainties of the airline industry and work towards sustainable growth.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
LATAM Airlines Group SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
LATAM Airlines Group SA
Current Assets | 4.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2.1B |
Receivables | 1.4B |
Other Current Assets | 703.3m |
Non-Current Assets | 11B |
Long-Term Investments | 48.3m |
PP&E | 9.8B |
Intangibles | 1.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 125.1m |
Current Liabilities | 6.2B |
Accounts Payable | 1.4B |
Accrued Liabilities | 462.4m |
Other Current Liabilities | 4.4B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 8.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 6.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
LATAM Airlines Group SA
Revenue
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12.7B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-9.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
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3.1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.8B
USD
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Operating Income
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1.4B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-585.4m
USD
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Net Income
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788m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
LATAM Airlines Group SA
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
LATAM Airlines delivered robust third quarter results, increasing capacity by 15.1% and transporting 21.1 million passengers, up 7.1% year-over-year. The airline reported a net income of $301 million for the quarter, reflecting a 30% increase, bolstering year-to-date net income to $705 million. Adjusted EBITDAR reached $828 million, with a margin of 25.2%. Looking ahead, LATAM anticipates adjusted EBITDAR for 2024 to exceed $3 billion. The company maintains a strong liquidity position of $3.6 billion and a healthy leverage ratio of 1.7x, underscoring its operational resilience and commitment to cost efficiency.
What is Earnings Call?
LTM Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
LATAM Airlines Group SA's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
LATAM Airlines Group SA's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
LTM Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
LATAM Airlines Group SA's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
LATAM Airlines Group SA's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
LTM Price Targets Summary
LATAM Airlines Group SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LTM is 18.68 CLP with a low forecast of 15.15 CLP and a high forecast of 24.15 CLP.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for LTM is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Description
LATAM Airlines Group SA is holding company, which engages in the provision of passenger air transportation and cargo services. The company is headquartered in Renca, Santiago and currently employs 29,114 full-time employees. These businesses are performed directly or through its subsidiaries in different countries. The company operates through two segments: the Air transportation business and the Coalition and loyalty program Multiplus. The company Air transportation segment corresponds to the route network for air transport. Its segment of Coalition and loyalty program called Multiplus is a frequent flyer programs, which operate as a unilateral system of loyalty that offers a flexible coalition system. The firm operates a fleet of over 329 aircrafts. Its passenger aircrafts include Airbus A319-100, Airbus A350-900, Boeing 767-300ER, Boeing 787-8, Boeing 787-9 and Boeing 777-300ER.
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The intrinsic value of one LTM stock under the Base Case scenario is 13.83 CLP.
Compared to the current market price of 13.04 CLP, LATAM Airlines Group SA is Undervalued by 6%.