CEZ as
PSE:CEZ
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CEZ stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 143.61 CZK. Compared to the current market price of 900 CZK, CEZ as is Undervalued by 21%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
CEZ as
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Fundamental Analysis
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CEZ Group, a dominant player in Central and Eastern Europe's energy sector, has established itself as a multifaceted company offering a mix of electricity generation, distribution, and trading services. Originating from the Czech Republic, CEZ boasts a diversified portfolio that includes nuclear, renewable, and fossil fuel energy sources, making it a key contributor to the region’s energy stability and transition towards cleaner alternatives. With a strong focus on sustainability, the company is committed to reducing carbon emissions and increasing investments in renewable energy, aligning itself with global environmental goals while ensuring reliable energy supply to millions of customers....
CEZ Group, a dominant player in Central and Eastern Europe's energy sector, has established itself as a multifaceted company offering a mix of electricity generation, distribution, and trading services. Originating from the Czech Republic, CEZ boasts a diversified portfolio that includes nuclear, renewable, and fossil fuel energy sources, making it a key contributor to the region’s energy stability and transition towards cleaner alternatives. With a strong focus on sustainability, the company is committed to reducing carbon emissions and increasing investments in renewable energy, aligning itself with global environmental goals while ensuring reliable energy supply to millions of customers. This strategic pivot not only positions CEZ as a forward-thinking leader in the energy transition but also enhances its attractiveness as a long-term investment opportunity.
For investors, CEZ represents a compelling blend of stability and growth potential. With a significant market share in the Czech Republic and expansion efforts in neighboring countries, including investments in wind and solar projects, CEZ is poised to benefit from the growing demand for clean energy solutions. Furthermore, the company’s robust financial health, characterized by steady revenue streams and attractive dividend payouts, provides a solid foundation for consistent returns. As governmental policies increasingly favor renewable energy and carbon neutrality, CEZ's proactive adaptation to these trends exemplifies its resilience and strategic foresight. For those looking to invest in a company with both legacy strength and future potential, CEZ stands out as a noteworthy candidate.
CEZ Group, a prominent Central European energy company based in the Czech Republic, operates across several core business segments. Here’s an overview of these segments:
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Generation and Distribution of Electricity: This is the primary segment of CEZ's operations. It includes the production of electricity through various means, such as nuclear, coal-fired, hydroelectric, and renewable sources. CEZ also manages the distribution networks that deliver electricity to consumers in their service areas.
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Trade in Electricity and Gas: CEZ is involved in the wholesale and retail trading of electricity and natural gas. This segment covers not just the sale of energy but also the provision of related services to businesses and residential consumers, ensuring competitive pricing and good customer service.
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Renewable Energy: As part of its commitment to sustainability, CEZ has been increasing its investment in renewable energy sources, including wind, solar, and biomass. This segment reflects the company’s efforts to transition to cleaner energy and reduce carbon emissions.
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Energy Services: This includes a variety of services related to energy efficiency, maintenance, and optimization of energy consumption. CEZ offers solutions to help businesses and consumers reduce energy usage and costs through innovative technologies and smart energy management systems.
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Nuclear Energy: CEZ operates nuclear power plants, which play a significant role in its overall energy generation mix. This segment focuses on the safe and efficient operation of these facilities, which provide a substantial portion of the country’s electricity.
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Mining: CEZ owns and operates coal mining operations that supply fuel for its coal-fired power plants. This vertical integration helps ensure a stable supply chain for electricity generation.
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International Operations: CEZ has expanded its activities beyond the Czech Republic, with investments and operations in several countries across Central and Eastern Europe, including Poland, Romania, and Bulgaria. This segment contributes to diversification and growth for the company.
Each of these segments plays a crucial role in CEZ Group's overall strategy, which focuses on sustainable growth, energy security, and the transition towards a low-carbon economy.
CEZ Group, a prominent Czech energy utility company, has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the energy sector:
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Diverse Energy Portfolio: CEZ operates a balanced mix of energy sources, including nuclear, coal, renewables, and natural gas. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations and regulatory changes affecting certain energy types.
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Strong Market Position: As a leading player in the Central and Eastern European energy market, CEZ benefits from substantial market share and brand recognition. Its established presence in multiple countries provides a competitive edge in terms of scale and operational efficiencies.
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Nuclear Energy Expertise: CEZ is one of the largest producers of nuclear energy in the region, which not only stabilizes its energy supply but also positions it favorably in terms of future energy transitions towards low-carbon options. The safety and reliability of its nuclear plants contribute to its competitive advantage.
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Innovation and Technology Investments: The company has invested in smart grid technologies and renewable energy projects, enabling it to stay ahead of industry trends and meet evolving customer demands. This focus on innovation supports its long-term sustainability and operational efficiency.
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Regulatory Relationships: CEZ has cultivated strong relationships with regulatory agencies in its operating regions. This strategic positioning can help the company navigate complex regulatory environments more effectively than its competitors.
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Vertical Integration: CEZ’s operations encompass the entire energy supply chain, from generation to distribution and sales. This vertical integration allows for better control over costs, improved profit margins, and enhanced customer service.
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Financial Strength: A robust balance sheet and strong cash flow provide CEZ with the flexibility to invest in new projects and technologies, absorb market shocks, and pursue strategic acquisitions or partnerships.
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Sustainability Initiatives: CEZ is increasingly focused on sustainability and reducing carbon emissions, aligning its operations with global energy transition goals. This commitment can enhance its reputation and attract environmentally-conscious consumers and investors.
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Geographical Diversification: Operating in multiple Central and Eastern European countries provides CEZ with geographical diversification, allowing it to spread risk and take advantage of varying market conditions across different regions.
These competitive advantages enable CEZ to maintain resilience in a rapidly changing energy landscape while positioning itself for future growth and sustainability.
CEZ Group, a major player in Central and Eastern Europe’s energy sector, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here’s a strategic analysis of some of the key issues:
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Regulatory Changes: The energy industry is heavily regulated, and any changes in laws or regulations, particularly those related to environmental standards and renewable energy incentives, can impact CEZ's operations and profitability.
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Energy Transition: As the world shifts towards renewable energy sources, CEZ must adapt its business model. This transition may require significant investments in new technologies and infrastructure, which could affect cash flow and financial stability in the short term.
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Market Volatility: Energy prices can be volatile due to geopolitical tensions, supply chain issues, and variations in demand. Fluctuations in electricity prices can adversely impact revenue and margins.
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Competition: The liberalization of energy markets leads to increased competition, including from renewable energy providers and new market entrants. CEZ will need to focus on innovation and customer service to maintain its market position.
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Technological Disruption: The rise of distributed energy resources (e.g., solar panels, battery storage) and advancements in energy storage and smart grid technologies could disrupt CEZ's traditional business model.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As the energy sector increasingly relies on digital technology, the risk of cyberattacks grows. A successful attack could lead to significant operational disruptions and financial losses.
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Supply Chain Challenges: Global supply chain issues, especially concerning critical components for energy production (e.g., wind turbines, solar panels), can delay projects and increase costs.
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Climate Change: The impacts of climate change can affect energy production (e.g., hydropower availability) and increase regulatory scrutiny on emissions. CEZ may face challenges in meeting sustainability targets.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns can reduce energy demand and affect the company’s financial performance. Additionally, inflation could raise operational costs without a corresponding increase in prices.
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Public Perception and Social Responsibility: Increasing public awareness regarding environmental issues means that companies in the energy sector are scrutinized more closely. Failure to meet societal expectations can hurt CEZ's reputation and market position.
Addressing these challenges will require a proactive strategy, investment in research and development, and a commitment to sustainable practices. CEZ may need to pivot towards a more diversified energy portfolio while strengthening its core operations.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
CEZ as
Balance Sheet Decomposition
CEZ as
Current Assets | 227.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 48.1B |
Receivables | 62.4B |
Other Current Assets | 116.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 541.9B |
Long-Term Investments | 8.3B |
PP&E | 453.9B |
Intangibles | 29.3B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 50.4B |
Current Liabilities | 206B |
Accounts Payable | 39.7B |
Short-Term Debt | 7.7B |
Other Current Liabilities | 158.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 327.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 119.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 208B |
Earnings Waterfall
CEZ as
Revenue
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329.8B
CZK
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Cost of Revenue
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-86.6B
CZK
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Gross Profit
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243.2B
CZK
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Operating Expenses
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-160.8B
CZK
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Operating Income
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82.3B
CZK
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Other Expenses
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-54B
CZK
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Net Income
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28.4B
CZK
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
CEZ as
CZK | |
Free Cash Flow | CZK |
CEZ Group reported a 5% increase in EBITDA to CZK 62.4 billion in the first half of 2023, while net income fell 34% to CZK 22.3 billion due to windfall taxes. Despite these headwinds, the company is holding firm on its full-year EBITDA guidance of CZK 105-115 billion and adjusted net income of CZK 33-30 billion. Shareholders relished a record dividend of CZK 145 per share, paid out on August 1. Generation and trading activities encountered both positive price impact and regulatory costs, whereas mining benefited from higher commodity prices despite lower volumes.
What is Earnings Call?
CEZ Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
CEZ as's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
CEZ as's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CEZ Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
CEZ as's solvency score is 55/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
CEZ as's solvency score is 55/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CEZ Price Targets Summary
CEZ as
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CEZ is 843.92 CZK with a low forecast of 643.66 CZK and a high forecast of 1 071 CZK.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CEZ is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
CEZ as engages in the generation, distribution, and trading of electricity, heat, natural gas, and other related activities. The company is headquartered in Praha, Praha and currently employs 28,043 full-time employees. The Company’s core businesses are generation and distribution of electricity, electricity trading, generation and distribution of heat, gas trading, and relate activities. The Company’s activities are divided into four segments: Production, Distribution, Mining, and Other Business. The company operates various types of power plants: nuclear, coal, hydro, biomass, photovoltaic, wind and natural gas. The firm is operational in Poland, Austria, Bulgaria and Turkey, as well as the Netherlands, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia and Cyprus, among others. As a parent entity of CEZ Consolidated Group, it operates numerous subsidiaries, associates and joint-ventures.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one CEZ stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 143.61 CZK.
Compared to the current market price of 900 CZK, CEZ as is Undervalued by 21%.