Luckin Coffee Inc
OTC:LKNCY

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Luckin Coffee Inc
OTC:LKNCY
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Price: 24.57 USD 1.87% Market Closed
Market Cap: 6.9B USD
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Relative Value

The Relative Value of one LKNCY stock under the Base Case scenario is 10.01 USD. Compared to the current market price of 24.57 USD, Luckin Coffee Inc is Overvalued by 59%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

LKNCY Relative Value
Base Case
10.01 USD
Overvaluation 59%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
95
vs Industry
41
Median 3Y
2.4
Median 5Y
2.8
Industry
1.4
Forward
10.6
vs History
50
vs Industry
34
Median 3Y
24.3
Median 5Y
19.1
Industry
20.3
Forward
37
vs History
34
vs Industry
11
Median 3Y
26.8
Median 5Y
18.5
Industry
9.8
vs History
30
vs Industry
19
Median 3Y
24.9
Median 5Y
-1.1
Industry
18.9
vs History
71
vs Industry
20
Median 3Y
4.7
Median 5Y
4.5
Industry
2.2
vs History
82
vs Industry
51
Median 3Y
2
Median 5Y
2.4
Industry
1.9
Forward
9.7
vs History
68
vs Industry
39
Median 3Y
5.5
Median 5Y
4.7
Industry
3.9
vs History
42
vs Industry
20
Median 3Y
19.6
Median 5Y
14.1
Industry
10.7
Forward
3 858.4
vs History
39
vs Industry
31
Median 3Y
18.5
Median 5Y
0.3
Industry
16.4
Forward
103.3
vs History
36
vs Industry
14
Median 3Y
24.3
Median 5Y
17.1
Industry
11.9
vs History
31
vs Industry
23
Median 3Y
22.9
Median 5Y
0.2
Industry
17.3
vs History
77
vs Industry
20
Median 3Y
3.6
Median 5Y
3.6
Industry
1.3

Multiples Across Competitors

LKNCY Competitors Multiples
Luckin Coffee Inc Competitors

All Multiples
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
All Countries
Close
Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
CN
Luckin Coffee Inc
OTC:LKNCY
6.9B USD 1.6 21.1 17.9 17.9
US
McDonald's Corp
NYSE:MCD
207.4B USD 8 25.2 17.7 20.8
US
Starbucks Corp
NASDAQ:SBUX
102.1B USD 2.8 27.3 16.8 22
US
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
82.2B USD 7.5 55.2 36.2 42.6
UK
Compass Group PLC
LSE:CPG
45.5B GBP 1.3 29.6 14.8 20.8
US
Yum! Brands Inc
NYSE:YUM
37.3B USD 5.2 24.5 19.1 20.4
CA
Restaurant Brands International Inc
NYSE:QSR
29.3B USD 3.7 23 16.9 18.7
US
Darden Restaurants Inc
NYSE:DRI
21.9B USD 1.9 21 13.1 17.7
CN
Yum China Holdings Inc
NYSE:YUMC
18.4B USD 1.6 20.6 10 14
US
Domino's Pizza Inc
NYSE:DPZ
14.6B USD 3.1 25.4 20.4 22.4
IN
Swiggy Ltd
NSE:SWIGGY
1.2T INR 6.8 -34.4 -35.6 -30.4
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
CN
Luckin Coffee Inc
OTC:LKNCY
Average EV/EBITDA: 18.3
17.9
-88%
N/A
US
McDonald's Corp
NYSE:MCD
17.7
5%
3.5
US
Starbucks Corp
NASDAQ:SBUX
16.8
11%
1.5
US
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
36.2
19%
1.9
UK
Compass Group PLC
LSE:CPG
14.8
21%
0.7
US
Yum! Brands Inc
NYSE:YUM
19.1
8%
2.4
CA
Restaurant Brands International Inc
NYSE:QSR
16.9
12%
1.4
US
Darden Restaurants Inc
NYSE:DRI
13.1
6%
2.2
CN
Yum China Holdings Inc
NYSE:YUMC
10
10%
1
US
Domino's Pizza Inc
NYSE:DPZ
20.4
8%
2.5
IN
S
Swiggy Ltd
NSE:SWIGGY
Negative Multiple: -35.6 N/A N/A
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
CN
Luckin Coffee Inc
OTC:LKNCY
Average EV/EBIT: 21.7
17.9
-38%
N/A
US
McDonald's Corp
NYSE:MCD
20.8
5%
4.2
US
Starbucks Corp
NASDAQ:SBUX
22
12%
1.8
US
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
42.6
20%
2.1
UK
Compass Group PLC
LSE:CPG
20.8
23%
0.9
US
Yum! Brands Inc
NYSE:YUM
20.4
8%
2.6
CA
Restaurant Brands International Inc
NYSE:QSR
18.7
12%
1.6
US
Darden Restaurants Inc
NYSE:DRI
17.7
7%
2.5
CN
Yum China Holdings Inc
NYSE:YUMC
14
10%
1.4
US
Domino's Pizza Inc
NYSE:DPZ
22.4
8%
2.8
IN
S
Swiggy Ltd
NSE:SWIGGY
Negative Multiple: -30.4 N/A N/A