A2 Milk Company Ltd
NZX:ATM
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Estee Lauder Companies Inc
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Church & Dwight Co Inc
NYSE:CHD
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Pfizer Inc
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American Express Co
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NYSE:KO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ATM stock under the Base Case scenario is 6 NZD. Compared to the current market price of 5.3 NZD, A2 Milk Company Ltd is Undervalued by 12%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
A2 Milk Company Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
A2 Milk Company Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
A2 Milk Company Ltd
Current Assets | 1.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 968.9m |
Receivables | 78.1m |
Other Current Assets | 240.9m |
Non-Current Assets | 446.9m |
Long-Term Investments | 44.1m |
PP&E | 257.4m |
Intangibles | 111.1m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 34.4m |
Current Liabilities | 416.8m |
Accounts Payable | 347.6m |
Other Current Liabilities | 69.2m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 51.6m |
Long-Term Debt | 60.6m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | -9m |
Earnings Waterfall
A2 Milk Company Ltd
Revenue
|
1.7B
NZD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-906.7m
NZD
|
Gross Profit
|
766.6m
NZD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-564.4m
NZD
|
Operating Income
|
202.2m
NZD
|
Other Expenses
|
-34.7m
NZD
|
Net Income
|
167.6m
NZD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
A2 Milk Company Ltd
NZD | |
Free Cash Flow | NZD |
The a2 Milk Company reported strong financial performance aligning with its double-digit revenue and earnings growth expectations. FY23 featured a 10% revenue surge to $1.59 billion, an 11.8% EBITDA increase to $219 million, maintaining a 13.8% margin, and a significant EPS growth of 28.7% to $0.212. The results were buoyed by a strong China segment, with sales surging by 38% and gaining substantial market share in China labeled Infant Milk Formula (IMF). The company observed its highest brand investment at $260 million, boosting China brand health metrics. Concurrent investments in marketing and reregistration of China label IMF by SAMR were notable highlights. For FY24, a cautiously optimistic forecast projects low single-digit revenue growth amidst a challenging China IMF market, with gross and EBITDA margins expected to be broadly similar to FY23.
What is Earnings Call?
ATM Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
A2 Milk Company Ltd's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
A2 Milk Company Ltd's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ATM Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
A2 Milk Company Ltd's solvency score is 84/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
A2 Milk Company Ltd's solvency score is 84/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ATM Price Targets Summary
A2 Milk Company Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATM is 7 NZD with a low forecast of 6.36 NZD and a high forecast of 7.93 NZD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ATM is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Description
The a2 Milk Co. Ltd. engages in the distribution and sale of milk and dairy products. The firm operates through four segments, which include Australia and New Zealand; China and other Asia; the UK, and the USA. The firm's portfolio composition includes liquid milk, infant formula and other. The Australia and New Zealand segment includes the sale of milk, cream, infant formula, whole milk powder and ice cream. China and other Asia segment includes milk, infant formula, and whole milk powder sales. The China and other Asia segment is also responsible for the infant formula supply chain from New Zealand to all markets. The UK and USA segment includes milk and infant formula sales. The firm's brands include a2 Milk and a2 Platinum.
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The intrinsic value of one ATM stock under the Base Case scenario is 6 NZD.
Compared to the current market price of 5.3 NZD, A2 Milk Company Ltd is Undervalued by 12%.