Trex Company Inc
NYSE:TREX
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TREX stock under the Base Case scenario is 46.71 USD. Compared to the current market price of 72.25 USD, Trex Company Inc is Overvalued by 35%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Trex Company Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Trex Company Inc
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Trex Company Inc. has carved out a remarkable niche in the outdoor living industry, becoming the leading manufacturer of wood-alternative decking and railing products. Founded in 1996, Trex demonstrated a visionary commitment to sustainability by pioneering composite materials that blend recycled wood and plastic. This innovative approach not only resonates with eco-conscious consumers but also provides durable, low-maintenance solutions that outperform traditional timber. As the popularity of outdoor spaces has surged, especially post-pandemic, Trex has capitalized on this trend, positioning itself at the forefront of a booming market that emphasizes quality, longevity, and environmental re...
Trex Company Inc. has carved out a remarkable niche in the outdoor living industry, becoming the leading manufacturer of wood-alternative decking and railing products. Founded in 1996, Trex demonstrated a visionary commitment to sustainability by pioneering composite materials that blend recycled wood and plastic. This innovative approach not only resonates with eco-conscious consumers but also provides durable, low-maintenance solutions that outperform traditional timber. As the popularity of outdoor spaces has surged, especially post-pandemic, Trex has capitalized on this trend, positioning itself at the forefront of a booming market that emphasizes quality, longevity, and environmental responsibility.
Investors looking at Trex Company Inc. will find a company with a strong track record of revenue growth and profitability, driven by its innovative product offerings and robust brand loyalty. With a focus on expanding its production capacity and advancing its distribution capabilities, Trex is poised to capture a larger share of the outdoor living market. Furthermore, its strategic investments in research and development ensure that it stays ahead of competitors, continually enhancing its products to meet changing consumer demands. As sustainability becomes a focal point for both consumers and investors alike, Trex stands out as a compelling choice for those interested in combining financial opportunity with environmental stewardship.
Trex Company Inc. is a leading manufacturer of wood-alternative decking and railing products, primarily made from recycled wood and plastic. The company's core business segments can be broken down into the following categories:
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Residential Decking:
- This segment focuses on producing decking products for homeowners. Trex’s composite decking offerings are designed to provide durability, low maintenance, and aesthetic appeal. The products in this segment are popular among DIY enthusiasts and contractors alike.
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Commercial Decking:
- Trex also caters to the commercial market, providing decking solutions that meet the specific needs of commercial spaces such as parks, boardwalks, and outdoor public areas. These products are typically designed to be more robust to withstand higher foot traffic and various environmental conditions.
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Railing Products:
- Alongside decking, Trex manufactures a variety of railing systems that complement its decking products. These railings are available in several styles and materials, aimed at providing safety and enhancing the visual appeal of outdoor spaces.
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Outdoor Living Products:
- This segment includes a range of outdoor living items such as lighting, furniture, and accessories designed to enhance the experience of outdoor spaces. Trex aims to create an integrated outdoor living solution that is consistent with its decking and railing products.
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Recycling and Sustainability:
- As part of its commitment to sustainability, Trex incorporates recycled materials into its products. This aspect not only differentiates the company in the marketplace but also aligns with growing consumer preferences for environmentally responsible products.
These core segments collectively position Trex as a leader in the composite decking industry, catering to both residential and commercial markets while emphasizing sustainability and innovation.
Trex Company Inc., a leading manufacturer of wood-alternative decking products, has several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Innovative Product Offering: Trex specializes in eco-friendly composite decking made from recycled materials, which appeals to environmentally conscious consumers. Their products offer the look and feel of traditional wood without the maintenance issues often associated with it.
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Strong Brand Reputation: Trex has established a reputation for quality and durability in the outdoor living industry. This strong brand can foster customer loyalty and increase sales through word-of-mouth referrals.
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Extensive Distribution Network: Trex has built a wide-ranging distribution network, which makes its products readily available to a broad customer base, including homeowners and contractors. This extensive reach ensures market penetration that smaller competitors may struggle to achieve.
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Economies of Scale: As a leading player in the composite decking industry, Trex benefits from economies of scale, enabling efficient production processes and lower costs per unit. This ability to produce at scale helps in maintaining competitive pricing.
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Research and Development (R&D): Trex invests significantly in R&D to innovate and improve its product offerings. This commitment to continuous improvement means Trex can stay ahead of industry trends and address consumer preferences more effectively than some competitors.
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Sustainability Focus: The environmental aspect of Trex's products resonates with an increasingly eco-conscious consumer base. Their commitment to sustainability in sourcing materials and manufacturing processes can differentiate them in a crowded market.
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High Barriers to Entry: The technology and investment required to compete in the composite decking industry create barriers to entry for new competitors. This can protect Trex's market share and pricing power.
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Customer Support and Education: Trex provides extensive resources and support to customers, including installation guidance and maintenance tips. This customer-centric approach can enhance user experience and foster loyalty.
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Diverse Product Lines: Beyond decking, Trex has diversified its product offerings to include railing systems and other outdoor living products, allowing it to capture additional market share and respond to various customer needs.
These unique competitive advantages position Trex Company Inc. favorably in the market, allowing it to maintain leadership over its rivals in the composite decking industry.
Trex Company Inc, a leader in composite decking and related products, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Raw Material Supply Chain Risks: Trex relies on materials like wood fibers and plastic resins. Any disruption in the supply chain, whether due to geopolitical issues, trade barriers, or natural disasters, could impact production and increase costs.
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Economic Conditions: The economic environment, including factors like inflation, interest rates, and housing market fluctuations, can significantly influence consumer spending on home improvement projects, which in turn affects Trex's sales.
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Competition: The market for decking materials is competitive, with established players and new entrants constantly emerging. Innovations in traditional wood products and alternative materials could pose a threat to Trex’s market share.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in environmental regulations, safety standards, and building codes could impact Trex’s operations and product offerings. The company must stay compliant and responsive to such changes.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid changes in technology could require Trex to innovate continuously. Failure to stay ahead or adapt to new trends and consumer preferences could hinder growth.
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Consumer Preferences: As sustainability becomes increasingly important to consumers, Trex may face challenges in aligning its product offerings with evolving customer expectations regarding environmental impact.
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Marketing and Brand Strategy: Maintaining brand loyalty and effectively communicating the benefits of composite products over traditional wood is critical. Any missteps in marketing strategies could harm Trex's reputation and sales.
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Weather Impact: Trex’s business can be sensitive to weather patterns, as severe weather can disrupt construction activities and affect seasonal demand for building materials.
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International Markets: Expanding into international markets poses challenges, including regulatory hurdles, cultural differences, and varying economic conditions that may complicate entry and growth strategies.
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Financial Performance: The company’s financial performance is also at risk from rising operational costs and the need for continual investment in marketing and product development to maintain its competitive edge.
In navigating these challenges, Trex can leverage its established brand, focus on innovation, and commitment to sustainability to sustain its growth trajectory.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Trex Company Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Trex Company Inc
Current Assets | 352.7m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 12.8m |
Receivables | 140.1m |
Other Current Assets | 199.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 914.5m |
PP&E | 889m |
Intangibles | 19.4m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 6.1m |
Current Liabilities | 251.2m |
Accounts Payable | 61.5m |
Accrued Liabilities | 115.8m |
Short-Term Debt | 70m |
Other Current Liabilities | 3.9m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 128.1m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 128.1m |
Earnings Waterfall
Trex Company Inc
Revenue
|
1.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-678m
USD
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Gross Profit
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501.6m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-183.2m
USD
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Operating Income
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318.3m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-79.8m
USD
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Net Income
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238.6m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Trex Company Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
TREX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Trex Company Inc's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Trex Company Inc's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TREX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Trex Company Inc's solvency score is 56/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Trex Company Inc's solvency score is 56/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TREX Price Targets Summary
Trex Company Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TREX is 82.05 USD with a low forecast of 65.65 USD and a high forecast of 111.83 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TREX is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
TREX Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Trex Co., Inc. engages in the manufacture of wood-alternative decking and railing. The company is headquartered in Winchester, Virginia and currently employs 2,074 full-time employees. The firm is also a provider of custom-engineered commercial railing and staging systems for the commercial and multi-family market, including sports stadiums and performing arts venues. The firm operates in two reportable segments: Trex Residential Products (Trex Residential), and Trex Commercial Products (Trex Commercial). Trex Residential manufactures outdoor living products, consisting of composite decking and railing products, hidden fasteners, and outdoor living accessories. Trex Commercial manufactures and sells its custom, modular and architectural railing and staging systems. The firm offers a range of products, such as Trex Outdoor Furniture, Trex RainEscape, Trex Pergola, Trex Latticeworks, Trex Cornhole Boards, Diablo Trex Blade, Trex SpiralStairs and Structural Steel Posts, and others.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one TREX stock under the Base Case scenario is 46.71 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 72.25 USD, Trex Company Inc is Overvalued by 35%.