Toast Inc
NYSE:TOST
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TOST stock under the Base Case scenario is 18.64 USD. Compared to the current market price of 42.36 USD, Toast Inc is Overvalued by 56%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Toast Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Toast Inc
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Toast Inc. is a leading provider of all-in-one restaurant management software, designed to streamline the operational complexities of the foodservice industry. Founded in 2012, the company's innovative platform empowers restaurants of all sizes to enhance their customer experience through seamless ordering, payment processing, and data analytics. By leveraging its cloud-based technology, Toast equips restaurant owners with tools to manage everything from front-of-house operations to back-office functions, enabling them to focus on what they do best: delivering exceptional food and service. With a mission to transform the restaurant experience, Toast has quickly established itself as a truste...
Toast Inc. is a leading provider of all-in-one restaurant management software, designed to streamline the operational complexities of the foodservice industry. Founded in 2012, the company's innovative platform empowers restaurants of all sizes to enhance their customer experience through seamless ordering, payment processing, and data analytics. By leveraging its cloud-based technology, Toast equips restaurant owners with tools to manage everything from front-of-house operations to back-office functions, enabling them to focus on what they do best: delivering exceptional food and service. With a mission to transform the restaurant experience, Toast has quickly established itself as a trusted partner within the industry, boasting a diverse customer base that includes independent eateries and large chains alike.
As the restaurant landscape evolves, particularly in the face of challenges posed by the pandemic and a growing demand for digital engagement, Toast stands poised for continued growth. The company's recent expansions into new verticals, such as delivery and takeout solutions, and its ongoing investment in product development highlight its commitment to meeting the needs of modern foodservice businesses. For investors, Toast represents an exciting opportunity not only due to its strong revenue growth and robust market position but also its proactive efforts to adapt and innovate in a highly competitive environment. By focusing on customer needs and enhancing operational efficiency, Toast Inc. is not merely surviving the changing tides of the restaurant industry but is actively helping shape its future.
Toast, Inc. is a technology company that provides a cloud-based restaurant management platform primarily focused on helping restaurants manage their operations more effectively. The core business segments of Toast can be broken down into the following areas:
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Point of Sale (POS) Systems:
- Toast offers a comprehensive POS system that enables restaurants to process transactions efficiently. This includes hardware and software solutions for order taking, payment processing, and inventory management.
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Restaurant Management Software:
- This segment includes various software applications that help restaurants manage key operations such as online ordering, menu management, and labor management. It streamlines operations and helps optimize performance.
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Online Ordering and Delivery Services:
- Toast provides tools for restaurants to facilitate online ordering and deliveries, allowing customers to place orders directly through the restaurant’s website or app. This segment has become increasingly important, especially with the rise of takeout and delivery options.
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Customer Relationship Management (CRM):
- The platform includes tools to help restaurants build and maintain relationships with their customers. This can involve loyalty programs, targeted marketing campaigns, and analytics to track customer behavior and preferences.
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Payment Processing:
- Toast manages payment processing for restaurants, which includes handling various payment methods (credit cards, digital wallets, etc.). This segment is integral to the overall POS system and transaction management.
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Reporting and Analytics:
- The platform offers robust reporting and analytics features, allowing restaurant owners to track sales, analyze performance metrics, and make data-driven decisions to enhance their operations.
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Integrations and Partnerships:
- Toast provides integration capabilities with other restaurant technologies, including third-party apps for accounting, payroll, and supply chain management, enhancing the overall functionality and flexibility of their platform.
By focusing on these core business segments, Toast aims to provide a holistic solution for restaurant management, helping businesses improve efficiency, drive revenue, and enhance the customer experience.
Toast Inc., a cloud-based restaurant management platform, has several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals in the point-of-sale (POS) and restaurant management industry:
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All-in-One Solution: Toast provides a comprehensive suite of services that includes POS, payroll, employee management, inventory management, online ordering, and customer relationship management (CRM). This integrated approach simplifies operations for restaurant owners, allowing them to manage multiple facets of their business from a single platform.
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Cloud-Based Technology: Being a cloud-based platform means Toast can offer real-time data access, flexibility, and scalability, which are essential for modern restaurants. It also allows for easier updates and maintenance without the need for extensive on-site hardware.
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Focus on the Restaurant Industry: Unlike some competitors that serve multiple industries, Toast focuses exclusively on the restaurant sector. This specialization allows the company to tailor its features and services specifically to the needs of restaurants, improving user experience and operational efficiency.
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Robust Ecosystem of Integrations: Toast has developed a wide range of integrations with other software and services, including payment processors, delivery services, and third-party apps. This enables restaurants to customize their operations and workflows to fit their unique needs.
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Strong Customer Support and Community: Toast emphasizes customer service and community engagement, offering extensive resources, training, and support for its users. This focus on customer satisfaction can lead to increased loyalty and retention.
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Data-Driven Insights and Analytics: Toast leverages data analytics to provide actionable insights to restaurant owners. These insights can help optimize operations, improve customer experience, and make informed business decisions.
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Mobile-Friendliness: The ability to access the platform from mobile devices allows restaurant owners and staff to manage operations on the go, which is particularly important in a fast-paced environment like a restaurant.
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Strategic Partnerships: Toast has formed partnerships with various other companies in the food and beverage ecosystem, enhancing its offerings and expanding its reach in the market.
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Adaptability to Market Trends: Toast has demonstrated a strong ability to pivot and adapt to emerging trends, such as the rise of online ordering and contactless payments, which have become increasingly important in the restaurant industry.
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Financial Tools: Toast provides financial solutions, such as financing options and payment processing, that simplify the financial aspect of running a restaurant. This can make it easier for restaurant owners to manage cash flow and other financial issues.
Overall, Toast's unique combination of features, industry focus, and customer-centric approach positions it favorably against competitors in the rapidly evolving restaurant management landscape.
Toast Inc, a leading restaurant management software company, faces various risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Market Competition: The restaurant tech space is becoming increasingly crowded as more companies enter the market. Toast must differentiate itself to maintain its market share and potentially face price competition, which can compress margins.
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Economic Factors: Fluctuations in the economy can affect consumer spending in restaurants. Economic downturns could lead to reduced sales for Toast’s customers, impacting their ability to pay for services.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid changes in technology require Toast to continuously innovate its products and services. Failure to keep up with technological trends could result in obsolescence or loss of market share to more innovative competitors.
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Customer Retention and Acquisition: Keeping existing customers satisfied while pursuing new clients is crucial. High churn rates can be detrimental, particularly in a subscription-based business model.
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Data Security and Privacy: As a company that handles vast amounts of customer data, Toast must address potential cybersecurity threats and ensure compliance with data privacy regulations, which can be costly and complex.
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Supply Chain Challenges: Disruptions in the supply chain can affect the restaurant industry, indirectly impacting Toast’s client base. Economic pressures on suppliers might also affect the prices and availability of essential goods.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations, including labor laws and tax policies, can have a significant impact on the restaurant industry and, by extension, on Toast's over 60,000 customers.
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Dependence on the Restaurant Industry: As Toast primarily serves restaurants, any significant changes in consumer behavior towards dining out (e.g., shifts to delivery or meal kits) could impact Toast’s growth prospects.
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International Expansion: If Toast seeks to expand internationally, it may face new cultural, regulatory, and operational challenges that it is not currently equipped to handle.
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Integration Challenges: As Toast grows, it may acquire other companies or technologies. Successfully integrating these into its existing operations can pose significant challenges that, if not managed properly, could hinder performance.
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Interest Rate and Inflation Pressures: Rising interest rates and inflation could impact operational costs for restaurant clients and consumer spending, affecting revenue for Toast.
To navigate these risks, Toast will need to maintain a strong focus on innovation, customer engagement, and monitoring economic and market trends. Effective risk management strategies and a flexible business model will be essential to adapt to these challenges.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Toast Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Toast Inc
Current Assets | 1.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.3B |
Receivables | 174m |
Other Current Assets | 356m |
Non-Current Assets | 425m |
PP&E | 126m |
Intangibles | 135m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 164m |
Current Liabilities | 748m |
Accounts Payable | 30m |
Accrued Liabilities | 453m |
Other Current Liabilities | 265m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 59m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 59m |
Earnings Waterfall
Toast Inc
Revenue
|
4.7B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-3.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
|
1.1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.1B
USD
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Operating Income
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-28m
USD
|
Other Expenses
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-21m
USD
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Net Income
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-49m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Toast Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, Toast added approximately 7,000 net locations, boosting total to about 127,000, a 28% year-over-year increase. The company achieved a 35% rise in gross profit, reaching $113 million in adjusted EBITDA with a 30% margin. Looking ahead, Toast expects 32%-35% growth in subscription and fintech gross profit for Q4 and adjusted EBITDA of $90-$100 million. For the full year, they anticipate adjusted EBITDA of $352-$362 million, marking a significant 20 percentage point margin improvement year-over-year. Investments in new products and geographic expansion position Toast well for continued growth into 2025.
What is Earnings Call?
TOST Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Toast Inc's profitability score is 39/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Toast Inc's profitability score is 39/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TOST Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Toast Inc's solvency score is 74/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Toast Inc's solvency score is 74/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TOST Price Targets Summary
Toast Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TOST is 38.81 USD with a low forecast of 25.25 USD and a high forecast of 52.5 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TOST is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
TOST Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Toast, Inc. engages in the development and provision of consumer payment application for restaurants. The company is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts and currently employs 3,172 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-09-22. The Company’s platform provides a suite of software as a service (SaaS), products, financial technology solutions including integrated payment processing, restaurant-grade hardware, and a broad ecosystem of third-party partners. The firm provide customers with a single platform that gives them the tools and features they need to run their business across point of sale (POS), restaurant operations, digital ordering and delivery, marketing and loyalty, and team management. This suite of software and hardware products is integrated with financial technology solutions, which includes payment processing and other products. The firm serves as the restaurant operating system, connecting front of house and back of house operations across dine-in, takeout, and delivery channels. The company operates approximately 48,000 restaurant locations.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one TOST stock under the Base Case scenario is 18.64 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 42.36 USD, Toast Inc is Overvalued by 56%.