Palantir Technologies Inc
NYSE:PLTR
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one PLTR stock under the Base Case scenario is 8.92 USD. Compared to the current market price of 64.35 USD, Palantir Technologies Inc is Overvalued by 86%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Palantir Technologies Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Palantir Technologies Inc
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Palantir Technologies Inc. emerged from the shadows of Silicon Valley, forging its path as a pioneering software company specializing in data integration and analysis. Founded in 2003, Palantir initially captured the interest of governmental agencies with its flagship products, Palantir Gotham and Palantir Foundry. These platforms have empowered organizations to sift through vast amounts of data, extracting actionable insights for national security and public sector challenges. As the demand for robust data solutions surged in the private sector, Palantir extended its reach to industries such as finance, healthcare, and energy, positioning itself as a critical player in the growing field of...
Palantir Technologies Inc. emerged from the shadows of Silicon Valley, forging its path as a pioneering software company specializing in data integration and analysis. Founded in 2003, Palantir initially captured the interest of governmental agencies with its flagship products, Palantir Gotham and Palantir Foundry. These platforms have empowered organizations to sift through vast amounts of data, extracting actionable insights for national security and public sector challenges. As the demand for robust data solutions surged in the private sector, Palantir extended its reach to industries such as finance, healthcare, and energy, positioning itself as a critical player in the growing field of data analytics. Its unique approach combines artificial intelligence with user-friendly interfaces, allowing clients to harness the full potential of their data while ensuring privacy and security.
For investors, Palantir represents a blend of innovation and strategic foresight. The company has prioritized long-term relationships over short-term profits, establishing significant contracts with both government and commercial clients. Despite being classified as a high-risk stock, Palantir's emphasis on growth and scalability makes it a compelling option for those willing to embrace volatility. With its strong revenue growth, driven by an expanding customer base and increasing demand for data-driven decision-making tools, the firm is well-positioned for future success. As major industries seek to leverage data analytics for competitive advantage, Palantir's commitment to constant innovation and a seasoned leadership team could be the key to unlocking substantial returns for savvy investors looking beyond traditional tech stocks.
Palantir Technologies Inc. operates primarily in the data analytics and software sector, focusing on providing advanced data integration, visualization, and analytical solutions for businesses and government institutions. Its core business segments include:
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Government: This segment serves national security, civil, and defense organizations. Palantir’s software is used for various applications, including intelligence analysis, counter-terrorism, disaster recovery, and operational planning. The government segment has historically been the backbone of Palantir's revenue, with contracts from agencies such as the Department of Defense and the Department of Homeland Security.
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Commercial: Palantir’s commercial segment caters to a diverse range of industries, including finance, healthcare, manufacturing, and energy. The company provides solutions that enable businesses to integrate and analyze large datasets, optimize operations, reduce costs, and enhance decision-making. The commercial segment has been a key area of growth for Palantir, attracting a variety of clients looking to leverage data for competitive advantage.
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Palantir Foundry: This is a specific platform within the commercial segment designed to help organizations manage and analyze their data. Foundry allows companies to create custom applications tailored to their specific needs and facilitates collaboration across departments, empowering users to glean insights from their data without requiring extensive technical expertise.
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Palantir Gotham: Primarily used within the government segment, Gotham is tailored for intelligence and defense applications. It provides tools for integrating, visualizing, and analyzing data from disparate sources, helping users derive actionable intelligence and support mission-critical operations.
Palantir’s strength lies in its ability to handle complex data environments, its robust technology stack, and its focus on partner and client relationships. The company continues to expand its offerings and capabilities, fostering growth in its commercial segment while maintaining a strong presence in government contracts.
Palantir Technologies Inc has several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals in the data analytics and software industry:
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Specialized Solutions for Complex Problems: Palantir focuses on providing solutions for complex, high-stakes environments such as government agencies and large corporations, particularly in defense, intelligence, and healthcare. Its platforms, Palantir Foundry and Palantir Gotham, are designed to solve intricate data challenges that many competitors may struggle with.
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Deep Integration and Customization: Palantir’s software is highly customizable, allowing it to be tailored to specific user needs and workflows. This deep integration into clients’ operations creates a reliance on their systems, making it challenging for competitors to displace Palantir once it has been established.
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Strong Government Ties: Palantir has long-standing contracts with government agencies, particularly in defense and intelligence sectors. This strong foothold provides credibility, a network of relationships, and significant revenue streams that can be hard for new entrants to replicate.
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Focus on Security and Compliance: Palantir places a strong emphasis on security and compliance, which is crucial in sectors dealing with sensitive data. Its platforms are built to meet high-security standards, attracting clients from industries where data integrity and privacy are paramount.
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Data Integration and Visualization Capabilities: The company excels in integrating disparate data sources and providing advanced visualization tools. This capability allows users to derive insights from large and complex datasets, offering a significant advantage over competitors with less robust data handling capabilities.
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Proprietary Technology: Palantir leverages proprietary algorithms and machine learning techniques, enhancing its ability to provide unique insights from the data it processes, further setting it apart from competitors who may not have the same level of technological advancement.
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Collaborative Approach: The company fosters collaboration between its teams and clients' teams, often embedding its engineers within client organizations to ensure effective implementation and ongoing adaptation. This approach strengthens client relationships and loyalty.
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Reputation and Brand Equity: Palantir's brand is associated with cutting-edge technology and elite analytic capabilities, particularly in the high-stakes fields it serves. Its reputation for effectiveness in government applications helps build trust with commercial clients exploring similar solutions.
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Scalability: The platforms developed by Palantir are designed to scale, allowing for easy extension of services as clients grow or as their needs evolve. This scalability is attractive to both existing and potential clients seeking long-term partners in their data strategies.
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Ethical Considerations and Governance: Palantir has made efforts to address concerns about its data ethics and governance practices, positioning itself as a responsible player in the data analytics space, which may resonate with clients mindful of social and ethical implications.
These competitive advantages contribute to Palantir's unique position in the market, enabling it to serve a diverse range of high-profile clients and maintain a robust growth trajectory against its rivals.
Palantir Technologies Inc. faces several risks and challenges that could impact its performance in the near future:
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Regulatory Scrutiny: Palantir’s contracts with government agencies, particularly in defense and surveillance, may come under increased regulatory scrutiny over privacy and data use concerns. Changes in regulations could affect its ability to operate or secure contracts.
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Competition: The data analytics market is crowded, with numerous competitors including established firms like IBM and Microsoft, as well as startups that are agile and innovative. Increased competition could lead to pricing pressures and loss of market share.
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Dependency on Government Contracts: A significant portion of Palantir’s revenue comes from government contracts. Any changes in government spending, priorities, or policy could adversely affect its financial health.
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Public Perception and Ethical Concerns: Palantir’s association with surveillance and data analysis for law enforcement raises ethical concerns. Public backlash against privacy infringements could lead to loss of clients or contracts and affect brand reputation.
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Execution Risks: As Palantir expands into new markets and sectors (like commercial businesses), it faces internal execution challenges in adapting its platform effectively to meet the needs of a broader customer base.
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Customer Concentration: Dependence on a small number of large clients can pose risks. A significant loss or reduction of spending from any key client could substantially impact overall revenues.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns or instability can lead to reduced budgets for both government and private clients, which may affect Palantir’s sales.
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Technological Risks: Rapid advancements in technology require ongoing investment in innovation. Failure to keep pace with technological advancements could hinder competitiveness.
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Scalability Issues: As Palantir continues to grow, it may face challenges in scaling operations efficiently while maintaining the quality of service.
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Workforce Management: Attracting and retaining skilled tech talent is crucial, especially in a highly competitive labor market. High turnover or difficulty in hiring can disrupt operations and project delivery.
These factors, among others, pose challenges for Palantir and require careful strategic management to mitigate potential risks.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Palantir Technologies Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Palantir Technologies Inc
Current Assets | 5.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 4.6B |
Receivables | 668.1m |
Other Current Assets | 119.2m |
Non-Current Assets | 416.1m |
PP&E | 251.9m |
Intangibles | 19.5m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 144.7m |
Current Liabilities | 943.5m |
Accounts Payable | 27m |
Accrued Liabilities | 312.9m |
Other Current Liabilities | 603.6m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 326.5m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 326.5m |
Earnings Waterfall
Palantir Technologies Inc
Revenue
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2.6B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-500.1m
USD
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Gross Profit
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2.1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.8B
USD
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Operating Income
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365.2m
USD
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Other Expenses
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111.4m
USD
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Net Income
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476.6m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Palantir Technologies Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3, Palantir achieved a remarkable 30% revenue growth, with the U.S. segment soaring 44%. They raised their fiscal 2024 revenue guidance to $2.807 billion, reflecting a 26% year-over-year growth rate. The U.S. commercial revenue soared by 54%, marking a sequential increase of 13%. The company reported an adjusted operating margin of 38%, and for the first time, achieved over $1 billion in adjusted free cash flow, highlighting operational efficiency. Looking ahead, Palantir anticipates Q4 revenue between $767 million and $771 million, with a bullish outlook for U.S. commercial revenue expected to exceed $687 million, showcasing strong demand in the AI space.
What is Earnings Call?
PLTR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Palantir Technologies Inc's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Palantir Technologies Inc's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
PLTR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Palantir Technologies Inc's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Palantir Technologies Inc's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
PLTR Price Targets Summary
Palantir Technologies Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PLTR is 38.51 USD with a low forecast of 11.11 USD and a high forecast of 59.85 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for PLTR is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
PLTR Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
Palantir Technologies, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the development of data integration and software solutions. The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado and currently employs 2,920 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2020-09-30. The firm operates through two segments: Commercial and Government. The Commercial segment serves customers working in non-government industries. The Government segment serves customers that are agencies in the United States federal government and non-United States governments. The company has built three principal software platforms: Palantir Gotham (Gotham), Palantir Foundry (Foundry) and Palantir Apollo (Apollo). Its Gotham enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants. Its Foundry transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data. Its Apollo enables continuous deployment, configuration management, and central software operations management across any environment for their own software products.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one PLTR stock under the Base Case scenario is 8.92 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 64.35 USD, Palantir Technologies Inc is Overvalued by 86%.