Dillard's Inc
NYSE:DDS
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one DDS stock under the Base Case scenario is 255.88 USD. Compared to the current market price of 399.98 USD, Dillard's Inc is Overvalued by 36%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Dillard's Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Dillard's Inc., a prominent name in the retail sector, is a leading department store operator based in the United States, specializing in high-quality fashion apparel, accessories, cosmetics, and home goods. Founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard in El Dorado, Arkansas, the company has cemented its reputation for providing a diverse range of products that cater to a broad customer base. With over 280 stores across 29 states, Dillard's extends its reach through a robust e-commerce platform, which has become increasingly important in a rapidly evolving retail landscape. The company has focused on delivering a premium shopping experience, characterized by exceptional customer service and exclusi...
Dillard's Inc., a prominent name in the retail sector, is a leading department store operator based in the United States, specializing in high-quality fashion apparel, accessories, cosmetics, and home goods. Founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard in El Dorado, Arkansas, the company has cemented its reputation for providing a diverse range of products that cater to a broad customer base. With over 280 stores across 29 states, Dillard's extends its reach through a robust e-commerce platform, which has become increasingly important in a rapidly evolving retail landscape. The company has focused on delivering a premium shopping experience, characterized by exceptional customer service and exclusive brands, which positions it favorably against its competitors in both physical and online retail spaces.
For investors, Dillard's presents both opportunities and challenges. The company's strong financial performance, highlighted by steady revenue growth and a solid balance sheet, showcases its resilience even amid economic fluctuations and shifts in consumer behavior. In recent years, Dillard's has adeptly navigated supply chain disruptions and changing shopping habits by enhancing its digital presence and optimizing inventory management. With a loyal customer base and effective merchandising strategies, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on potential growth in the retail sector. However, investors should remain mindful of ongoing challenges such as increased competition and the ever-evolving market dynamics that could impact profitability. As Dillard's continues to refine its operational strategies and adapt to industry trends, it presents a compelling case for those seeking long-term investment potential in a robust retail brand.
Dillard's Inc. operates primarily as a department store retailer, and its core business segments can be broadly categorized as follows:
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Apparel: This segment represents a significant portion of Dillard's product offerings, including men's, women's, and children's fashion apparel. They feature a mix of established brands and private label products, catering to a diverse customer base.
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Home Goods: Dillard's also offers a variety of home goods, including bedding, home decor, and kitchen items. This segment appeals to consumers looking for quality home essentials and decorative items.
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Cosmetics and Fragrances: The cosmetics and fragrance department is a crucial part of Dillard's offerings, including a wide range of beauty products from high-end brands to more accessible options.
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Footwear: Footwear is another important segment for Dillard's, providing a range of options from casual to formal shoes for men, women, and children.
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Accessories and Jewelry: This segment includes handbags, jewelry, watches, and other fashion accessories, enhancing the overall shopping experience for customers looking to complete their outfits.
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Specialty and Designer Brands: Dillard's often features specialty and designer brands, which help to attract customers who are seeking exclusive products and the latest trends in fashion.
Overall, Dillard's focuses on creating a comprehensive shopping experience through its diverse range of merchandise categories, supported by a commitment to customer service. The company operates physical stores while also enhancing its e-commerce presence, aiming to reach customers both in-store and online.
Dillard's Inc. possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the retail sector:
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Strong Regional Presence: Dillard's operates a concentrated network of department stores primarily in the southern and southwestern United States. This regional focus allows the company to tailor its merchandise and marketing strategies to the preferences of local consumers, fostering customer loyalty.
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Broad Product Range: The company offers a diverse range of merchandise, including apparel, cosmetics, home goods, and accessories. By providing a wide selection of brands and products, Dillard's meets various customer needs and encourages cross-shopping.
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Private Label Brands: Dillard's invests in its private label brands, which typically offer higher margins compared to national brands. These exclusive products create a unique value proposition for customers and help differentiate Dillard's from competitors.
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Customer Service Orientation: The company emphasizes customer service and a positive shopping experience. Enhanced customer service can lead to increased customer satisfaction and loyalty, providing an edge over competitors.
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E-commerce Development: While traditional department stores have struggled with the transition to online retail, Dillard's has developed a growing e-commerce platform that complements its physical stores. This omnichannel approach allows customers to shop in a way that suits them best.
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Efficient Inventory Management: Dillard's has developed systems for effective inventory management, allowing it to optimize stock levels and enhance product availability. This efficiency helps minimize markdowns and maximizes profitability.
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Real Estate Holdings: The company's ownership of prime retail locations and real estate can serve as a competitive advantage by reducing rental costs and providing potential for appreciation over time.
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Loyal Customer Base: Dillard's has cultivated a loyal customer base through special promotions, credit card programs, and rewards. This loyalty can provide a stable revenue stream, especially during economic downturns.
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Adaptability: Dillard's has shown an ability to adapt to changing market conditions, including shifting consumer preferences and evolving retail trends, allowing it to position itself effectively against newer competitors.
In summary, Dillard's maintains a competitive edge through its regional focus, product diversity, private label offerings, customer service, omnichannel strategy, real estate assets, and strong customer loyalty. These factors position the company well against its rivals in the retail landscape.
Dillard's Inc. is a department store chain that faces various risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Economic Conditions: Changes in consumer spending patterns due to economic downturns, inflation, or rising interest rates can affect sales. As disposable incomes fluctuate, discretionary spending on clothing and home goods may decline.
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Competition: The retail landscape is highly competitive, with Dillard's facing challenges not just from traditional department stores, but also from e-commerce giants like Amazon and specialty online retailers. The shift toward online shopping can impact foot traffic in physical stores.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing global supply chain issues, exacerbated by the pandemic, can lead to delays in inventory availability. This can affect the ability to meet consumer demand and impact sales.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: Shifts in consumer trends, such as preferences for sustainable products, casual wear, or athleisure, require Dillard's to adapt its product offerings. Failure to accurately gauge these preferences can lead to excess inventory or missed sales opportunities.
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Omnichannel Retailing: As consumers increasingly expect a seamless shopping experience across online and brick-and-mortar stores, Dillard's must continue to invest in its digital infrastructure and enhance its customer service to meet these expectations.
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Labor Market Issues: Hiring and retaining qualified staff can be challenging, particularly in a tightening labor market. Increased labor costs could affect profitability.
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Real Estate Costs: Dillard's relies on its physical store footprint, and rising leasing costs, along with potential store closures, could impact overall performance.
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Regulatory Risks: Changes in labor laws, trade policies, and tariffs can affect operational costs and overall profitability.
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Brand Perception: Maintaining a strong brand image is essential. Negative publicity due to issues such as corporate governance, employee treatment, or product recalls can damage customer loyalty.
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Technological Advancements: Keeping pace with technological changes in retail, such as advanced inventory management systems, data analytics for marketing, and enhanced e-commerce capabilities, requires ongoing investment.
In summary, Dillard's Inc. faces a multifaceted array of challenges that necessitate strategic planning and adaptability to thrive in a rapidly evolving retail environment.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Dillard's Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Dillard's Inc
Current Assets | 2.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.1B |
Receivables | 99.9m |
Other Current Assets | 1.3B |
Non-Current Assets | 1.2B |
PP&E | 1.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 124.5m |
Current Liabilities | 780.3m |
Accounts Payable | 768.8m |
Accrued Liabilities | 11.5m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 932.6m |
Long-Term Debt | 521.5m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 411.1m |
Earnings Waterfall
Dillard's Inc
Revenue
|
6.8B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-4B
USD
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Gross Profit
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2.8B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-2B
USD
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Operating Income
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797.1m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-136.8m
USD
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Net Income
|
660.4m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Dillard's Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
DDS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Dillard's Inc's profitability score is 72/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Dillard's Inc's profitability score is 72/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
DDS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Dillard's Inc's solvency score is 75/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Dillard's Inc's solvency score is 75/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
DDS Price Targets Summary
Dillard's Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DDS is 292.74 USD with a low forecast of 195.94 USD and a high forecast of 399 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for DDS is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
DDS Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Dillard's, Inc. engages in the retail of fashion apparel, cosmetics, and home furnishings, and other consumer goods. The company is headquartered in Little Rock, Arkansas and currently employs 20,100 full-time employees. The firm operates through two segments: the operation of retail department stores and a general contracting construction company. The company operates approximately 280 Dillard's stores, including 30 clearance centers, and an Internet store offering a selection of merchandise including fashion apparel for women, men and children, accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings and other consumer goods. The firm also operates a general contracting construction company, CDI Contractors, LLC (CDI), whose business includes constructing and remodeling stores for the Company. The firm's merchandise selections include its lines of exclusive brand merchandise, such as Antonio Melani, Gianni Bini, GB, Roundtree & Yorke and Daniel Cremieux. Its retail stores are located primarily in shopping malls and open-air centers throughout the Southwest, Southeast and Midwest regions of the United States.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one DDS stock under the Base Case scenario is 255.88 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 399.98 USD, Dillard's Inc is Overvalued by 36%.