CVS Health Corp
NYSE:CVS
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CVS stock under the Base Case scenario is 147.57 USD. Compared to the current market price of 58.01 USD, CVS Health Corp is Undervalued by 61%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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CVS Health Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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CVS Health Corp. embodies a pivotal role in the evolving healthcare landscape, blending retail pharmacy services with a robust healthcare system. Founded in 1963, CVS has transformed from a traditional pharmacy into a comprehensive health services provider, offering a myriad of solutions including pharmacy benefit management, retail clinics, and specialized health programs. The company’s strategic acquisitions, notably the purchase of Aetna in 2018, have positioned CVS to deliver integrated healthcare solutions that not only enhance patient care but also streamline costs. This diversified business model is designed to meet the growing demand for accessible and affordable healthcare, enabling...
CVS Health Corp. embodies a pivotal role in the evolving healthcare landscape, blending retail pharmacy services with a robust healthcare system. Founded in 1963, CVS has transformed from a traditional pharmacy into a comprehensive health services provider, offering a myriad of solutions including pharmacy benefit management, retail clinics, and specialized health programs. The company’s strategic acquisitions, notably the purchase of Aetna in 2018, have positioned CVS to deliver integrated healthcare solutions that not only enhance patient care but also streamline costs. This diversified business model is designed to meet the growing demand for accessible and affordable healthcare, enabling CVS to capture a substantial share of the market while driving sustainable revenue growth.
For investors, CVS Health represents an enticing opportunity, rooted in its fundamental strengths and forward-looking strategies. The company's ability to adapt to changing healthcare trends, such as the rise of telehealth and the increasing importance of preventative care, underscores its commitment to innovation. With a significant foothold in both retail and insurance sectors, CVS is uniquely positioned to capitalize on synergies that enhance profitability and customer satisfaction. Additionally, the company’s consistent focus on expense management and strategic investments in digital health technologies promise to fortify its competitive edge. As CVS Health continues to expand its services and improve operational efficiencies, investors can anticipate a resilient performance, making it a compelling consideration for those looking to invest in the future of healthcare.
CVS Health Corp. operates through several core business segments, each contributing to its overall strategy of providing integrated healthcare solutions. The main segments are:
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Pharmacy Services:
- This segment includes the management of the company's pharmacy benefits management (PBM) services through Caremark. It provides services such as prescription drug plan administration, medication management, and specialty pharmacy services. The focus here is on cost management and providing value through drug formulary management and clinical support.
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Retail/LTC (Long-Term Care):
- CVS operates a network of retail pharmacy stores that offer prescription drugs, over-the-counter medications, health and beauty products, and convenience items. This segment also includes the Long-Term Care business that provides pharmacy services to nursing facilities, assisted living, and other long-term care settings.
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Health Care Services:
- This segment encompasses a range of health services, including MinuteClinic, which offers walk-in medical clinics positioned within CVS pharmacy locations. It also includes the expansion into health services through subsidiary Aetna, which offers health insurance, wellness programs, and a variety of health-related services.
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Aetna:
- Acquired by CVS Health in 2018, Aetna is a significant part of the company’s strategy, providing a wide range of health insurance and managed care services to individuals and organizations. This segment positions CVS as a major player in the health insurance market, leveraging synergies with the company’s pharmacy and retail operations.
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Innovation and Health Solutions:
- This involves the development of new healthcare solutions to enhance patient care and reduce costs through technology and analytics. This segment aims to address various health challenges and improve outcomes through personalized health strategies.
Together, these segments allow CVS Health to leverage its extensive network and resources to offer a comprehensive range of healthcare solutions, enhancing the patient experience while also aiming to reduce overall healthcare costs.
CVS Health Corp possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the healthcare and pharmaceutical sectors:
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Integrated Healthcare Services: CVS Health operates an integrated model combining pharmacy services, health insurance (through Aetna), and retail clinics (MinuteClinic). This allows the company to provide a seamless healthcare experience, improving patient outcomes while driving efficiencies.
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Extensive Network: With thousands of retail locations across the U.S., CVS Health has one of the most extensive pharmacy and health service networks. This broad geographic reach enhances customer convenience and accessibility, allowing them to capture a larger customer base.
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Aetna Acquisition: The acquisition of Aetna has positioned CVS Health as a comprehensive healthcare provider. It enables the company to offer insurance products alongside pharmacy and clinical services, facilitating a unique approach to value-based care that rivals typically do not match.
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Data Analytics Capabilities: CVS Health’s investment in data analytics allows it to better understand customer needs and behaviors, optimize operations, enhance customer engagement, and personalize healthcare services. This data-driven approach contributes to improved health outcomes and operational efficiencies.
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Wellness and Preventive Care Focus: CVS Health has placed significant emphasis on preventive care and wellness programs, including smoking cessation and chronic disease management. This focus aligns with the broader trends in healthcare emphasizing prevention, thus enhancing customer loyalty.
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Diverse Revenue Streams: Unlike many competitors, CVS Health generates revenue from multiple sources, including retail pharmacy, pharmacy benefits management (through Caremark), health insurance, and in-store health services. This diversity mitigates risks and stabilizes revenue.
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Strong Brand Recognition and Trust: CVS Health is one of the most recognized brands in the healthcare sector. Its commitment to community health and corporate social responsibility initiatives bolsters its reputation and fosters customer loyalty.
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Strategic Partnerships: CVS has engaged in strategic partnerships with various healthcare providers and technology companies to enhance its service offerings. Collaborations with organizations like Salesforce for improved customer relationship management reflect a forward-thinking approach.
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Innovation in Service Delivery: The integration of technology in service delivery, including telehealth services and digital health resources, allows CVS Health to meet the evolving needs of consumers, particularly in light of the increasing demand for remote healthcare solutions.
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Regulatory Navigation and Compliance: With a deep understanding of the regulatory environment and experience in compliance, CVS Health can adeptly navigate the complexities of healthcare regulations, which can be a barrier to entry for new competitors.
These competitive advantages collectively enhance CVS Health's market position, enabling it to effectively compete and adapt in an evolving healthcare landscape.
CVS Health Corp faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which can significantly impact its operations and financial performance. Here are some of the key risks:
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Regulatory Challenges: The healthcare and pharmacy sectors are highly regulated. Changes in healthcare regulations, reimbursement rates, and policies at both federal and state levels can impact profitability.
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Competition: CVS operates in a highly competitive market, facing pressure from other pharmacy chains, e-pharmacies, and healthcare providers. This competition can lead to price wars and reduced market share.
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Integration of Aetna: The successful integration of Aetna (acquired in 2019) remains a challenge. Effective synergy realization is crucial for driving profitability and enhancing service offerings.
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Reimbursement Pressure: CVS's margins may be affected by changes in reimbursement rates from insurers and government programs. Persistent pressure from Pharmacy Benefit Managers (PBMs) can further complicate financial stability.
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Economic Uncertainty: Economic downturns or shifts in consumer spending habits can impact pharmacy sales and healthcare services utilization.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues can lead to drug shortages, which can impact CVS's ability to meet customer demands and maintain inventory levels.
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Technological Investments: While technology can enhance efficiency and service offerings, substantial investments in IT and digital health platforms come with risks, including implementation challenges and cybersecurity threats.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: As consumers increasingly seek digital health services, CVS needs to adapt its business model to meet these evolving preferences, which may require further investment and innovation.
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Labor Challenges: The healthcare industry is facing labor shortages, particularly among pharmacists and healthcare professionals. Recruiting and retaining talent can be a significant challenge.
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Legal Liabilities: CVS may face lawsuits related to prescription drugs, especially concerning opioid prescriptions, which could result in significant financial liabilities.
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Public Perception and Brand Trust: Maintaining public trust is crucial, especially in healthcare. Any negative publicity can harm the brand and customer loyalty.
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Patient Privacy and Data Security: As CVS expands its digital health services, ensuring the security and privacy of patient data is paramount, and breaches could lead to regulatory penalties and loss of trust.
Navigating these challenges will require strategic planning, adaptation, and a strong focus on operational excellence.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
CVS Health Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
CVS Health Corp
Current Assets | 67.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 9.7B |
Receivables | 36.2B |
Other Current Assets | 21.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 185.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 28.9B |
PP&E | 29B |
Intangibles | 119.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 8.1B |
Current Liabilities | 84.6B |
Accounts Payable | 54.9B |
Accrued Liabilities | 21.9B |
Short-Term Debt | 800m |
Other Current Liabilities | 7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 92.9B |
Long-Term Debt | 59.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 33B |
Earnings Waterfall
CVS Health Corp
Revenue
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368.9B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-316.5B
USD
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Gross Profit
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52.4B
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Operating Expenses
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-41.2B
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Operating Income
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11.2B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-6.2B
USD
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Net Income
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5B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
CVS Health Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In the third quarter, CVS Health earned nearly $95.4 billion in revenue, a 6% increase year-over-year, with significant growth in health care benefits, rising 25%. However, the company faced an adjusted operating loss of $924 million in this segment, driven by elevated medical costs and premium deficiency reserves of $1.1 billion. Looking forward, while formal guidance for 2024 is not provided, anticipated challenges include potential losses in Medicare business and adjustments to benefit offerings. In 2025, CVS aims for margin recovery, estimating a membership decrease of 5-10% in its Medicare Advantage plans to improve profitability amidst ongoing management changes.
What is Earnings Call?
CVS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
CVS Health Corp's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
CVS Health Corp's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CVS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
CVS Health Corp's solvency score is 33/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
CVS Health Corp's solvency score is 33/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CVS Price Targets Summary
CVS Health Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CVS is 68.72 USD with a low forecast of 57.57 USD and a high forecast of 95.68 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CVS is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
CVS Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
CVS Health Corp. engages in the provision of healthcare services. The company is headquartered in Woonsocket, Rhode Island and currently employs 300,000 full-time employees. The firm's segments include Pharmacy Services, Retail/LTC, Health Care Benefits and Corporate/Other. The Pharmacy Services segment provides a range of pharmacy benefit management (PBM) solutions, including plan design offerings and administration, retail pharmacy network management services, mail order pharmacy, specialty pharmacy, clinical services, disease management services and medical spend management. Retail/LTC segment sells prescription drugs and a range of health and wellness products and general merchandise. The Health Care Benefits segment offers a range of traditional, voluntary and consumer-directed health insurance products and related services. The firm's services include health & wellness services, health plans, pharmacy services and prescription drug coverage. The firm has approximately 9,900 retail locations, over 1,200 walk-in medical clinics, a pharmacy benefits manager.
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The intrinsic value of one CVS stock under the Base Case scenario is 147.57 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 58.01 USD, CVS Health Corp is Undervalued by 61%.