A

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
NYSE:AMR

Watchlist Manager
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
NYSE:AMR
Watchlist
Price: 245.46 USD -2.49% Market Closed
Market Cap: 3.2B USD
Have any thoughts about
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc?
Write Note

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one AMR stock under the Base Case scenario is 271.52 USD. Compared to the current market price of 245.46 USD, Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc is Undervalued by 10%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

AMR Intrinsic Value
271.52 USD
Undervaluation 10%
Intrinsic Value
Price
A
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Backtest Intrinsic Value
Dive into the past to invest in the future

Uncover deeper insights with the Valuation Backtest. Learn how current stock valuations stack up against historical averages to gauge true investment potential.

Start backtest now and learn if your stock is truly undervalued or overvalued!

Run Backtest
Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

Backtest Example
Register to View Results
Register to View Results

To access the results of this valuation backtest, please register an account with us. Registration is quick and gives you instant access to insights on 3 stocks per week for free.

Backtest Unavailable

The backtest for AMR cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints. Please select a different stock or adjust your settings.

Backtest In Progress...
Backtest In Progress...
How do you feel about AMR?
Bearish
Neutral
Bullish

Fundamental Analysis

Company Quality
No Indicators Selected
Select Indicators

Select up to 3 indicators:

Insider Trading
0-3
Months
0-6
Months
0-12
Months
0-36
Months
No Periods Selected
Select Periods

Select up to 2 periods:

Investment Journal
AI Assistant
AI Assistant
Ask me anything about Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Provide an overview of the primary business activities
of Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

What unique competitive advantages
does Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc hold over its rivals?

What risks and challenges
does Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc face in the near future?

Has there been any significant insider trading activity
in Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc recently?

Summarize the latest earnings call
of Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Is it considered overvalued or undervalued
based on the latest financial data?

Show all valuation multiples
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide P/S
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide P/E
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide P/OCF
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide P/FCFE
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide P/B
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide EV/S
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide EV/GP
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide EV/EBITDA
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide EV/EBIT
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide EV/OCF
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide EV/FCFF
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide EV/IC
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Show me price targets
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc made by professional analysts.

What are the Revenue projections
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc?

How accurate were the past Revenue estimates
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc?

What are the Net Income projections
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc?

How accurate were the past Net Income estimates
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc?

What are the EPS projections
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc?

How accurate were the past EPS estimates
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc?

What are the EBIT projections
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc?

How accurate were the past EBIT estimates
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc?

Compare the revenue forecasts
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc with those of its competitors based on recent analyst estimates.

Compare the intrinsic valuations
of Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc and its key competitors using the latest financial data.

Compare historical revenue growth rates
of Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc against its competitors.

Analyze the profit margins
(gross, operating, and net) of Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc compared to its peers.

Compare the P/E ratios
of Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc against its peers.

Discuss the investment returns and shareholder value creation
comparing Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc with its peers.

Analyze the financial leverage
of Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc compared to its main competitors.

Show all profitability ratios
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide ROE
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide ROA
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide ROIC
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide ROCE
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide Gross Margin
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide Operating Margin
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide Net Margin
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide FCF Margin
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Show all solvency ratios
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide D/E Ratio
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide D/A Ratio
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide Interest Coverage Ratio
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide Altman Z-Score Ratio
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide Quick Ratio
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide Current Ratio
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Provide Cash Ratio
for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

What is the historical Revenue growth
over the last 5 years for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc?

What is the historical Net Income growth
over the last 5 years for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc?

What is the current Free Cash Flow
of Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc?

Discuss the annual earnings per share (EPS)
trend over the past five years for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.

Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Current Assets 1.1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 484.6m
Receivables 375.9m
Other Current Assets 232.5m
Non-Current Assets 1.4B
PP&E 1.1B
Intangibles 41.6m
Other Non-Current Assets 282.3m
Current Liabilities 304.6m
Accounts Payable 111.4m
Accrued Liabilities 120.1m
Other Current Liabilities 73.1m
Non-Current Liabilities 524.2m
Long-Term Debt 3.6m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 520.6m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Revenue
3.3B USD
Cost of Revenue
-2.6B USD
Gross Profit
720.2m USD
Operating Expenses
-291.8m USD
Operating Income
428.4m USD
Other Expenses
-62.7m USD
Net Income
365.7m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q3 2024, Alpha Metallurgical shipped 4.1 million tons, marking a decline from 4.6 million in Q2, impacted by lower coal prices and market softness. The average realization for metallurgical coal fell from $145.94 to $136.35 per ton. Looking ahead, guidance for 2025 anticipates shipments of 15 to 16 million tons, with costs of coal sales projected between $103 and $108 per ton. The company aims to reduce SG&A expenses by 11% and has committed 86% of its metallurgical volume at an average price of $152.42. Despite current challenges, Alpha remains optimistic for future growth.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

AMR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc's profitability score is 77/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional 3-Year Average ROIC
Positive Free Cash Flow
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
77/100
Profitability
Score

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc's profitability score is 77/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

AMR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc's solvency score is 84/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Negative Net Debt
Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
84/100
Solvency
Score

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc's solvency score is 84/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

AMR Price Targets Summary
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast AMR stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMR is 338.64 USD with a low forecast of 335.32 USD and a high forecast of 348.6 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
335.32 USD
37% Upside
Average
Price Target
338.64 USD
38% Upside
Highest
Price Target
348.6 USD
42% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates
Want to learn more about Wall St estimates for AMR?

Click here to dive deeper.

Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for AMR is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Ownership

AMR Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

AMR News

Other Videos

Profile

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Metals & Mining

Market Cap

3.2B USD

Dividend Yield

0.79%

Description

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. is a mining company. The company is headquartered in Bristol, Tennessee and currently employs 3,500 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2018-11-09. The firm is principally engaged in supplying metallurgical products to the steel industry. The firm extracts, processes and markets met and thermal coal from deep and surface mines for sale to steel and coke producers, industrial customers, and electric utilities. The firm operates in one reportable segment: Met, which consists of five active mines and two preparation plants in Virginia, fourteen active mines and five preparation plants in West Virginia, as well as expenses associated with certain closed mines. The Met segment operations consist of met coal mines, including Deep Mine 41, Road Fork 52, Black Eagle, and Lynn Branch. The coal produced by its Met segment operations is predominantly met coal with some amounts of thermal coal being produced as a byproduct of mining. The company conducts mining operations only in the United States with mines in Central Appalachia.

Contact

TENNESSEE
Bristol
340 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd
+14235730300.0
alphametresources.com

IPO

2018-11-09

Employees

3 500

Officers

CEO, Treasurer & Director
Mr. Charles Andrew Eidson
President & COO
Mr. Jason E. Whitehead
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. J. Todd Munsey
Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary
Mr. Mark Matthew Manno
Senior Vice President of Corporate Communications
Ms. Emily O'Quinn
Executive VP & Chief Commercial Officer
Mr. Daniel E. Horn

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one AMR stock?

The intrinsic value of one AMR stock under the Base Case scenario is 271.52 USD.

Is AMR stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 245.46 USD, Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc is Undervalued by 10%.

Back to Top