Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd
NSE:RVNL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one RVNL stock under the Base Case scenario is 112.38 INR. Compared to the current market price of 420.2 INR, Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd is Overvalued by 73%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. (RVNL) has emerged as a key player in the Indian infrastructure landscape, specializing in the development and implementation of rail infrastructure projects. Established in 2003, the company operates primarily under the Indian Ministry of Railways, focusing on enhancing and modernizing the country's extensive railway network. Its core activities include the construction of new lines, electrification of tracks, and the implementation of advanced signaling systems, all aimed at improving the efficiency and safety of Indian railways. With the government aiming to bolster the rail sector as part of its larger infrastructure vision, RVNL stands at the forefront, poised for...
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. (RVNL) has emerged as a key player in the Indian infrastructure landscape, specializing in the development and implementation of rail infrastructure projects. Established in 2003, the company operates primarily under the Indian Ministry of Railways, focusing on enhancing and modernizing the country's extensive railway network. Its core activities include the construction of new lines, electrification of tracks, and the implementation of advanced signaling systems, all aimed at improving the efficiency and safety of Indian railways. With the government aiming to bolster the rail sector as part of its larger infrastructure vision, RVNL stands at the forefront, poised for significant growth as a facilitator of crucial connectivity projects.
For investors, RVNL offers a compelling opportunity rooted in India’s ambitious infrastructure development plans. The government's commitment to rail modernization translates into a robust pipeline of projects, enhancing RVNL’s revenue potential and market positioning. The company has the advantage of being a public sector undertaking, which often comes with greater government support and stability. With a strong order book and a reputation for timely project delivery, Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. is ideally positioned to capture the expanding opportunities in the rail sector, making it an attractive option for investors looking to engage with India's growing economy and infrastructure needs.
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL) is an Indian public sector undertaking that plays a critical role in the development of railway infrastructure in India. As a company focused on enhancing the efficiency and capacity of Indian Railways, RVNL has several core business segments:
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Railway Infrastructure Development: RVNL is primarily involved in the planning, construction, and development of railway infrastructure projects, including new rail lines, doubling of existing lines, and conversion of meter-gauge lines to broad gauge.
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Electrification: The company undertakes electrification projects of railway lines, ensuring the use of electric locomotives which is more efficient and environmentally friendly compared to diesel locomotives.
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Station Development: RVNL is involved in the modernization and redevelopment of railway stations, aiming to enhance passenger amenities and streamline the overall travel experience. This includes the construction of new airport-like terminals.
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Project Management and Consultancy Services: RVNL offers project management and consultancy services related to rail infrastructure, helping in effective execution and timely completion of projects. This includes working alongside various stakeholders, including state governments and the Indian Railways.
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Signaling and Telecommunication: The company also focuses on the development and modernization of railway signaling and telecommunication systems, which are crucial for safe and efficient train operations.
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Rolling Stock and Maintenance: Although RVNL primarily focuses on infrastructure, it may also be associated with the procurement and maintenance of rolling stock (trains and carriages) to support operational efficiency.
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Renewable Energy Initiatives: In line with sustainable development goals, RVNL is also exploring renewable energy projects, such as solar and wind energy installations, which aim to harness alternative energy sources for operational needs.
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Public-Private Partnerships (PPP): RVNL engages in public-private partnerships to attract private investment for railway projects, facilitating faster development and leveraging private sector efficiency.
These segments not only highlight RVNL's commitment to the expansion and modernization of India's railway network but also reflect its strategic role in contributing to the country’s economic growth by enhancing transportation infrastructure.
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd (RVNL) has several unique competitive advantages that can position it favorably against its rivals in the infrastructure and railways sector:
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Strong Backing from Indian Railways: As a Public Sector Undertaking (PSU) under the Ministry of Railways, RVNL benefits from direct government support, ensuring robust project financing and stable demand for its services.
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Experience and Expertise: RVNL has a deep understanding of railway projects due to its long-standing involvement in the sector. This experience aids in efficient project execution and risk management.
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Comprehensive Service Offering: RVNL engages in multiple aspects of railway infrastructure, including construction, maintenance, and enhancement, allowing it to cater to various needs of its clients effectively.
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Strategic Partnerships: The company often collaborates with other public and private entities, which can result in better resource pooling, risk sharing, and enhanced project capabilities.
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Regulatory Advantages: Being a government entity, RVNL may have a more favorable regulatory environment, such as easier access to land and faster approval processes compared to private competitors.
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Focus on Emerging Markets: RVNL has been involved in projects targeting underserved and emerging markets, positioning itself advantageously as demand for rail infrastructure grows in India and neighboring countries.
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Sustainability Focus: The Indian government's push toward sustainable development and green initiatives aligns with RVNL's projects, which may enhance its reputation and project viability.
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Financial Stability: As a government-backed firm, RVNL often enjoys better credit ratings and lower borrowing costs, providing a financial buffer compared to private competitors who might face higher risks.
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Project Backlog and Pipeline: RVNL typically has a robust order book and pipeline of future projects, translating to sustained revenue streams and growth potential.
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Skilled Workforce: The company can attract and retain talent due to its public sector status, reputation, and the stability it offers compared to many private companies in the infrastructure sector.
By leveraging these advantages, RVNL can maintain a competitive edge over its rivals in the railway and infrastructure development markets.
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd (RVNL), as a public sector undertaking under the Ministry of Railways in India, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some of the primary concerns:
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Regulatory Risks: Being a government entity, RVNL is subject to various regulations and policies that may change with new government mandates or economic policies, potentially impacting project execution and revenue.
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Project Delays: Infrastructure projects are often prone to delays due to land acquisition issues, environmental clearances, or opposition from local communities. Any significant delays could affect revenue and profitability.
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Financial Risks: Fluctuations in interest rates can affect the cost of financing projects. RVNL may rely on borrowings for funding its projects, and increases in interest rates could lead to higher repayment obligations.
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Competition: The entry of private players in the railway infrastructure sector poses a threat. Increased competition could lead to reduced margins on projects or difficulty in securing contracts.
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Execution Capabilities: RVNL’s ability to deliver projects on time and within budget is critical. Challenges in managing large-scale projects efficiently can lead to cost overruns and reputational damage.
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Economic Slowdown: An economic downturn could lead to reduced government spending on infrastructure projects, affecting RVNL's order book and growth prospects.
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Technological Changes: Rapid advancements in technology may require RVNL to invest continuously in new tools and systems to remain competitive, which may strain budgets.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, especially in sourcing materials and equipment, can delay project timelines and increase costs.
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Skilled Workforce Shortage: A shortage of skilled labor in the construction and engineering sectors can hinder project execution and increase operational costs.
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Environmental and Social Issues: Projects that negatively impact the environment or local communities may face public opposition, litigation, or increased regulatory scrutiny.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As RVNL adopts digital solutions for operations, the risk of cyberattacks increases. A breach could disrupt operations and lead to financial loss and damage to reputation.
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Political Risks: Changes in government or policies at the central or state level can impact funding, project priorities, or operational directives.
Addressing these challenges will require strategic planning, effective project management, strong stakeholder engagement, and ongoing investment in technology and human resources.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd
Current Assets | 97.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 50.7B |
Receivables | 15.5B |
Other Current Assets | 31.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 98.7B |
Long-Term Investments | 44.2B |
PP&E | 4.5B |
Intangibles | 88.6m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 49.9B |
Current Liabilities | 45.8B |
Accounts Payable | 2.5B |
Other Current Liabilities | 43.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 62.9B |
Long-Term Debt | 55.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 7.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd
Revenue
|
203.9B
INR
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-188.4B
INR
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Gross Profit
|
15.5B
INR
|
Operating Expenses
|
-3.9B
INR
|
Operating Income
|
11.6B
INR
|
Other Expenses
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2.9B
INR
|
Net Income
|
14.6B
INR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd
INR | |
Free Cash Flow | INR |
RVNL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
RVNL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
RVNL Price Targets Summary
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RVNL is 364.14 INR with a low forecast of 253.51 INR and a high forecast of 486.15 INR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for RVNL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
RVNL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
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Dividend Yield
Description
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. engages in the development and construction of railway infrastructure. The company is headquartered in New Delhi, Delhi. The company went IPO on 2019-04-11. RVNL is focused on mobilizing financial resources and implement projects pertaining to reinforcement of Golden Quadrilateral. RVNL executes all types of railway projects including new lines, doubling, gauge conversion, railway electrification, metro projects, workshops, major bridges, construction of cable stayed bridges, and institutional buildings. The company works on a turnkey basis and undertakes the full cycle of project development from conceptualization to commissioning including stages of design, preparation of estimates, calling contracts, project and contract management. RVNL has implemented various rail infrastructure projects, which include Diva - Kalyan 5th & 6th Line; Gurup - Saktigarh Extn of 3rd Line; Jakhapura- Haridaspur 3rd Line; Karjoda - Palanpur Doubling, and Civil Engineering Works in connection with diesel loco component factory, Dankuni.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one RVNL stock under the Base Case scenario is 112.38 INR.
Compared to the current market price of 420.2 INR, Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd is Overvalued by 73%.