SPS Commerce Inc
NASDAQ:SPSC

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SPS Commerce Inc Logo
SPS Commerce Inc
NASDAQ:SPSC
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Price: 189.13 USD 1.51% Market Closed
Market Cap: 7.1B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one SPSC stock under the Base Case scenario is 119.97 USD. Compared to the current market price of 189.13 USD, SPS Commerce Inc is Overvalued by 37%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

SPSC Intrinsic Value
119.97 USD
Overvaluation 37%
Intrinsic Value
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Base Case
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SPS Commerce Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

SPS Commerce Inc. is a leading cloud-based retail network platform specializing in supply chain management and logistics solutions. Founded in 1987, the company has evolved to meet the dynamic needs of retailers, suppliers, and logistics providers by facilitating seamless collaboration through its comprehensive assortment of analytics, data integration, and automated processes. With a focus on improving visibility and efficiency in the supply chain, SPS Commerce has positioned itself as a crucial partner for businesses looking to enhance operational capabilities and drive profitability. As global e-commerce continues to grow exponentially, the demand for robust supply chain solutions becomes...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
SPS Commerce Inc

Current Assets 344.6m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 205.8m
Receivables 55.6m
Other Current Assets 83.3m
Non-Current Assets 658.7m
PP&E 44.6m
Intangibles 591.6m
Other Non-Current Assets 22.5m
Current Liabilities 146.3m
Accounts Payable 8.1m
Accrued Liabilities 59.3m
Other Current Liabilities 78.9m
Non-Current Liabilities 27.6m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 27.6m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
SPS Commerce Inc

Revenue
611.8m USD
Cost of Revenue
-204.2m USD
Gross Profit
407.7m USD
Operating Expenses
-320.6m USD
Operating Income
87m USD
Other Expenses
-8.5m USD
Net Income
78.5m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
SPS Commerce Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q3 2024, SPS Commerce achieved revenues of $163.7 million, marking a 21% year-over-year increase, driven by a 2% rise in recurring customers to approximately 45,200. The company anticipates Q4 revenue between $168.5 million and $169.5 million, reflecting a 16-17% growth. Adjusted EBITDA improved by 19% to $48.4 million, and full-year revenue is projected between $635.4 million and $636.4 million, indicating an 18-19% increase over 2023. With robust cash reserves of $206 million, SPS remains focused on leveraging acquisitions and enhancing customer engagement to drive future growth.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

SPSC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

SPS Commerce Inc's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
61/100
Profitability
Score

SPS Commerce Inc's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

SPSC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

SPS Commerce Inc's solvency score is 77/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
77/100
Solvency
Score

SPS Commerce Inc's solvency score is 77/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

SPSC Price Targets Summary
SPS Commerce Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast SPSC stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SPSC is 229.95 USD with a low forecast of 189.88 USD and a high forecast of 262.5 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
189.88 USD
0% Upside
Average
Price Target
229.95 USD
22% Upside
Highest
Price Target
262.5 USD
39% Upside
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Dividends

SPS Commerce Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for SPSC is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
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Ownership

SPSC Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
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12 Months
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Profile

SPS Commerce Inc Logo
SPS Commerce Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Technology

Market Cap

7.1B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

SPS Commerce, Inc. provides cloud-based supply chain management services. The company is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota and currently employs 1,901 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2010-04-22. The firm's SPS Commerce cloud-based Platform offers a range of services, including Fulfillment, Analytics, and Other Products. The Fulfillment product provides fulfillment automation and replaces or augments an organization’s existing staff and trading partner electronic communication infrastructure by enabling compliance with retailers’ rulebooks, automatic and digital exchange of information. The Analytics solution consists of data analytics applications that enable its customers to improve their visibility across their supply chains through analytics capabilities. The company also provides several complimentary products, such as its assortment product and its community product.

Contact

MINNESOTA
Minneapolis
333 S 7th St Ste 1000
+16124359400.0
www.spscommerce.com

IPO

2010-04-22

Employees

1 901

Officers

CEO & Director
Mr. Chadwick Collins
President & COO
Mr. James J. Frome
Executive VP & CFO
Ms. Kimberly K. Nelson
Senior VP & CTO
Mr. Jamie Thingelstad
Chief Administrative Officer & Chief Human Resources Officer
Ms. Lynn Myhran
Senior VP & Chief Sales Officer
Mr. Dan Juckniess
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Senior VP & Chief Marketing Officer
Mr. Mark O'Leary
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one SPSC stock?

The intrinsic value of one SPSC stock under the Base Case scenario is 119.97 USD.

Is SPSC stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 189.13 USD, SPS Commerce Inc is Overvalued by 37%.

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