SPS Commerce Inc
NASDAQ:SPSC
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one SPSC stock under the Base Case scenario is 120.1 USD. Compared to the current market price of 167.2 USD, SPS Commerce Inc is Overvalued by 28%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
SPS Commerce Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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SPS Commerce Inc. is a leading cloud-based retail network platform specializing in supply chain management and logistics solutions. Founded in 1987, the company has evolved to meet the dynamic needs of retailers, suppliers, and logistics providers by facilitating seamless collaboration through its comprehensive assortment of analytics, data integration, and automated processes. With a focus on improving visibility and efficiency in the supply chain, SPS Commerce has positioned itself as a crucial partner for businesses looking to enhance operational capabilities and drive profitability. As global e-commerce continues to grow exponentially, the demand for robust supply chain solutions becomes...
SPS Commerce Inc. is a leading cloud-based retail network platform specializing in supply chain management and logistics solutions. Founded in 1987, the company has evolved to meet the dynamic needs of retailers, suppliers, and logistics providers by facilitating seamless collaboration through its comprehensive assortment of analytics, data integration, and automated processes. With a focus on improving visibility and efficiency in the supply chain, SPS Commerce has positioned itself as a crucial partner for businesses looking to enhance operational capabilities and drive profitability. As global e-commerce continues to grow exponentially, the demand for robust supply chain solutions becomes ever more critical, creating a substantial market opportunity for companies like SPS Commerce.
In recent years, SPS Commerce has demonstrated impressive financial performance, reflecting strong customer retention and a growing subscription revenue model, which offers predictable cash flows and margins. By serving over 100,000 retail partners across various sectors, the company has developed a solid reputation for innovation and reliability. In addition, SPS Commerce’s commitment to leveraging data analytics for actionable insights provides clients with the tools they need to optimize their supply chains and respond agilely to market changes. For investors, the combination of a strong market position, progressive technology, and an expanding customer base suggests a promising future, positioning SPS Commerce as a compelling investment opportunity in the retail technology space.
SPS Commerce, Inc. primarily operates in the retail and supply chain management sector, providing a range of cloud-based solutions designed to enhance supply chain efficiency and connectivity. Here are the core business segments of SPS Commerce:
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Retail Solutions: This segment focuses on helping retailers streamline their operations by improving supply chain connectivity. SPS Commerce provides electronic data interchange (EDI) solutions, allowing retailers to communicate efficiently with suppliers, manage orders, and optimize inventory through automation.
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Supply Chain Solutions: SPS offers solutions to enhance collaboration between retailers and suppliers. This includes tools for inventory management, forecast collaboration, and analytics to improve decision-making and operational efficiency in the supply chain.
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Analytics and Insights: By leveraging data generated through its platforms, SPS Commerce provides analytics solutions that offer insights into sales trends, inventory levels, and operational performance. This helps organizations make informed decisions and improve their supply chain strategies.
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Marketplace Solutions: This segment targets businesses looking to optimize their online marketplace operations. SPS Commerce equips sellers with tools to manage their presence on various e-commerce platforms, focusing on integration, fulfillment, and performance tracking.
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Managed Services: SPS Commerce also offers managed services that help businesses manage their EDI and other integrations more efficiently. This service segment allows companies to outsource the technical complexities of EDI, enabling them to focus on their core operations.
These segments work together to provide comprehensive solutions that enhance the efficiency of e-commerce operations and supply chain management, catering to a wide range of industries, including retail, grocery, and fashion. The overarching goal of SPS Commerce is to enable seamless communication and collaboration across the supply chain to drive operational success for its customers.
SPS Commerce Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that help it maintain a strong position in the market for cloud-based supply chain and retail solutions. Here are some key advantages:
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Comprehensive Network: SPS Commerce boasts one of the largest retail networks in the industry, connecting thousands of trading partners. This extensive network facilitates easier and faster integration for retailers and suppliers, offering a significant advantage over competitors.
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Rich Industry Expertise: With years in the supply chain and retail sectors, SPS has developed in-depth expertise, allowing it to tailor its solutions for specific industries. This knowledge helps them understand customer needs better than many of their competitors.
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Scalable Solutions: SPS Commerce offers scalable solutions that can cater to businesses of all sizes, from small vendors to large enterprises. This adaptability enables them to serve a diverse customer base, which is often challenging for rivals with more rigid offerings.
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Strong Customer Relationships: The company places a strong emphasis on customer service and support, fostering long-term relationships. Their commitment to customer success can lead to higher retention rates and recurring revenue, which is advantageous compared to competitors.
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Innovation and Technology: SPS invests in advanced technology and constantly innovates its platform, including features like analytics and artificial intelligence. This commitment to technology helps differentiate their offerings and provides customers with valuable insights that can improve supply chain efficiency.
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Proven Track Record: The company's established reputation and successful case studies provide potential clients with confidence in their solutions, making SPS a preferred partner for many retail companies.
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Compliance and Standards: SPS Commerce often stays ahead of regulatory changes and compliance standards, which can be a significant hurdle for competitors. This proactive approach helps clients navigate the complexities of supply chain operations more effectively.
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Partnership Ecosystem: The company has forged partnerships with leading ERP solutions and other software providers. This ecosystem allows for seamless integrations and enhances the value of their service offerings, making them more attractive to potential clients.
By leveraging these advantages, SPS Commerce Inc. positions itself effectively against its competition, focusing on customer needs, technological innovation, and expansive network capabilities.
SPS Commerce Inc, like many companies in the tech and e-commerce sectors, faces several risks and challenges as it navigates through the market landscape. Here are some potential risks and challenges for SPS Commerce:
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Market Competition: The field of supply chain management and cloud-based solutions is highly competitive, with numerous players ranging from established firms to new entrants. Increased competition could lead to pricing pressures, reduced margins, and customer attrition.
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Technological Changes: Rapid technological advancements can render existing solutions obsolete. SPS Commerce needs to continuously innovate its services and enhance its technology to stay ahead of competitors and meet evolving customer needs.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns, inflation, or shifts in consumer spending can impact the retail industry, which is crucial for SPS Commerce’s business model. Reduced spending by retailers could lead to decreased demand for their solutions.
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Customer Reliance: A significant portion of revenue may come from a limited number of large customers. Losing any key accounts could have a material adverse effect on revenues.
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Cybersecurity Risks: As a cloud-based service provider, SPS Commerce manages sensitive data for its clients. Cybersecurity threats and data breaches could compromise customer trust and lead to legal liabilities or regulatory penalties.
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Regulatory Compliance: Changes in laws and regulations related to data privacy, international trade, and e-commerce could impose additional compliance costs and operational challenges.
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Global Supply Chain Disruptions: Events such as geopolitical tensions, pandemics, or natural disasters can disrupt global supply chains. This could affect SPS Commerce's operations and the performance of its clients, which might, in turn, impact demand for its services.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: As a technology-driven company, attracting and retaining skilled talent is crucial. A competitive labor market could result in difficulties in hiring and increased HR costs.
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Integration Challenges: As SPS Commerce continues to expand through acquisitions or partnerships, effectively integrating new technologies and cultures can pose significant challenges.
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Customer Adaptation: Some potential clients may be resistant to adopting new technologies, preferring traditional methods. Overcoming this inertia and effectively demonstrating value will be key to expanding the customer base.
In navigating these challenges, SPS Commerce would benefit from a proactive approach, focusing on innovation, customer relations, and risk management strategies to mitigate potential impacts.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
SPS Commerce Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
SPS Commerce Inc
Current Assets | 344.6m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 205.8m |
Receivables | 55.6m |
Other Current Assets | 83.3m |
Non-Current Assets | 658.7m |
PP&E | 44.6m |
Intangibles | 591.6m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 22.5m |
Current Liabilities | 146.3m |
Accounts Payable | 8.1m |
Accrued Liabilities | 59.3m |
Other Current Liabilities | 78.9m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 27.6m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 27.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
SPS Commerce Inc
Revenue
|
611.8m
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-204.2m
USD
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Gross Profit
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407.7m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-320.6m
USD
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Operating Income
|
87m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-8.5m
USD
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Net Income
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78.5m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
SPS Commerce Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
SPSC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
SPS Commerce Inc's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
SPS Commerce Inc's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
SPSC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
SPS Commerce Inc's solvency score is 77/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
SPS Commerce Inc's solvency score is 77/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
SPSC Price Targets Summary
SPS Commerce Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SPSC is 229.73 USD with a low forecast of 187.86 USD and a high forecast of 257.25 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for SPSC is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
SPSC Insider Trading
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Profile
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Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
SPS Commerce, Inc. provides cloud-based supply chain management services. The company is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota and currently employs 1,901 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2010-04-22. The firm's SPS Commerce cloud-based Platform offers a range of services, including Fulfillment, Analytics, and Other Products. The Fulfillment product provides fulfillment automation and replaces or augments an organization’s existing staff and trading partner electronic communication infrastructure by enabling compliance with retailers’ rulebooks, automatic and digital exchange of information. The Analytics solution consists of data analytics applications that enable its customers to improve their visibility across their supply chains through analytics capabilities. The company also provides several complimentary products, such as its assortment product and its community product.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one SPSC stock under the Base Case scenario is 120.1 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 167.2 USD, SPS Commerce Inc is Overvalued by 28%.