Cytokinetics Inc
NASDAQ:CYTK

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Cytokinetics Inc
NASDAQ:CYTK
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Price: 49.1 USD 3% Market Closed
Market Cap: 5.8B USD
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Intrinsic Value

CYTK's intrinsic value estimate is unreliable because it is based only on its multiples and doesn't use a DCF valuation.

The intrinsic value of one CYTK stock under the Base Case scenario is 27.39 USD. Compared to the current market price of 49.1 USD, Cytokinetics Inc is Overvalued by 44%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CYTK Intrinsic Value
27.39 USD
Overvaluation 44%
Intrinsic Value
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Cytokinetics Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Cytokinetics Inc

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Business Breakdown

Cytokinetics Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, is at the forefront of developing impactful treatments for muscle diseases, leveraging its pioneering expertise in muscle biology and discovery. Founded in 1999 and headquartered in South San Francisco, California, Cytokinetics focuses on harnessing the power of muscle function through its innovative therapies. The company’s lead product candidates, including omecamtiv mecarbil and reldesemtiv, are specifically designed to improve muscle performance in patients suffering from serious conditions like heart failure and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). As the demand for effective treatments grows, Cytokinetics is leading the cha...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Cytokinetics Inc

Current Assets 1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1B
Other Current Assets 6.9m
Non-Current Assets 417.5m
Long-Term Investments 269.2m
PP&E 140.6m
Other Non-Current Assets 7.7m
Current Liabilities 109.8m
Accounts Payable 61.4m
Accrued Liabilities 18.9m
Other Current Liabilities 29.5m
Non-Current Liabilities 1.3B
Long-Term Debt 644.5m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 695.7m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Cytokinetics Inc

Revenue
3.2m USD
Operating Expenses
-527.8m USD
Operating Income
-524.6m USD
Other Expenses
-51.8m USD
Net Income
-576.4m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Cytokinetics Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q3 2024, Cytokinetics made significant strides, notably submitting a new drug application for aficamten, aiming for a U.S. launch in 2025. The company anticipates a potential PDUFA date announcement soon following a request for priority review. Ongoing trials, including MAPLE-HCM, are set to complete in the first half of 2025, possibly positioning aficamten as a first-line treatment. Financially, Cytokinetics reported a net loss of $160.5 million, consistent with previous quarters, but maintains a strong cash position of $1.3 billion to support upcoming launches and development. The firm remains focused on expanding its specialty cardiology portfolio.

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Fundamental Scores

CYTK Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Cytokinetics Inc's profitability score is 36/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
Exceptional ROE
ROE is Increasing
36/100
Profitability
Score

Cytokinetics Inc's profitability score is 36/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CYTK Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Cytokinetics Inc's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Low D/E
Negative Net Debt
Long-Term Solvency
45/100
Solvency
Score

Cytokinetics Inc's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CYTK Price Targets Summary
Cytokinetics Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast CYTK stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CYTK is 85.14 USD with a low forecast of 60.6 USD and a high forecast of 126 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
60.6 USD
23% Upside
Average
Price Target
85.14 USD
73% Upside
Highest
Price Target
126 USD
157% Upside
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Dividends

Cytokinetics Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CYTK is .

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Ownership

CYTK Insider Trading
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Profile

Cytokinetics Inc Logo
Cytokinetics Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Biotechnology

Market Cap

5.8B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Cytokinetics, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The company is headquartered in South San Francisco, California and currently employs 253 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2004-04-29. The company is focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing muscle activators and muscle inhibitors as potential treatments for debilitating diseases. The company is developing small molecule drug candidates specifically engineered to impact muscle function and contractility. Its clinical-stage drug candidates are: omecamtiv mecarbil, a cardiac myosin activator for the treatment of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF); CK-136, a cardiac troponin activator for the treatment of heart failure and other diseases; reldesemtiv (CK-2127107), a fast skeletal muscle troponin activator (FSTA) for the treatment of people living with debilitating diseases and conditions associated with muscular weakness; aficamten (CK-274), a cardiac myosin inhibitor designed to reduce the hypercontractility that is associated with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM); and CK-3772271 (CK-271), a second novel cardiac myosin inhibitor.

Contact

CALIFORNIA
South San Francisco
350 Oyster Point Boulevard, .
+16506243000.0
cytokinetics.com

IPO

2004-04-29

Employees

253

Officers

CEO, President & Director
Mr. Robert I. Blum
VP & Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Robert C. Wong
Executive Vice President of Research & Development
Dr. Fady Ibraham Malik FACC, M.D., Ph.D.
Executive VP & Chief Commercial Officer
Mr. Andrew M. Callos
Co-Founder & Member of Scientific Advisory Board
Dr. James A. Spudich Ph.D.
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. Sung H. Lee
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Vice President of Sales & Operations
Mr. Jeff Lotz
Vice President of Corporate Finance and Financial Planning & Analysis
Mr. Matt Yang
Senior Vice President of Global Supply Chain Operations & Technical Operations
Mr. Steven M. Cook
VP & Chief Compliance Officer
Ms. Kari K. Loeser J.D.
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What is the Intrinsic Value of one CYTK stock?

The intrinsic value of one CYTK stock under the Base Case scenario is 27.39 USD.

Is CYTK stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 49.1 USD, Cytokinetics Inc is Overvalued by 44%.

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