National Grid PLC
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one NG stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 192.19 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 993.8 GBX, National Grid PLC is Undervalued by 17%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
National Grid PLC
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
National Grid PLC
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National Grid PLC is a prominent energy infrastructure company that plays a critical role in delivering electricity and gas across the United Kingdom and northeastern United States. Founded in 1990 through the privatization of the UK’s electricity sector, National Grid's core business revolves around owning and maintaining the energy transmission networks that ensure homes and businesses stay powered. The company operates extensive high-voltage transmission lines and gas pipelines, connecting consumers with essential energy resources. With its commitment to sustainability, National Grid is actively investing in renewable energy projects and reducing carbon emissions, positioning itself as a...
National Grid PLC is a prominent energy infrastructure company that plays a critical role in delivering electricity and gas across the United Kingdom and northeastern United States. Founded in 1990 through the privatization of the UK’s electricity sector, National Grid's core business revolves around owning and maintaining the energy transmission networks that ensure homes and businesses stay powered. The company operates extensive high-voltage transmission lines and gas pipelines, connecting consumers with essential energy resources. With its commitment to sustainability, National Grid is actively investing in renewable energy projects and reducing carbon emissions, positioning itself as a pivotal player in the transition toward a cleaner energy future.
For investors, National Grid represents a blend of stability and growth potential. With its regulated assets and long-standing government contracts, the company boasts a reliable revenue stream and consistent dividend payments, appealing to those seeking income generation amidst market volatility. Furthermore, as the global shift towards renewable energy accelerates, National Grid's strategic investments in cleaner technologies and infrastructure upgrades enhance its long-term growth prospects. By focusing on innovation and sustainability while maintaining operational excellence, National Grid is well-equipped to navigate the evolving energy landscape, making it an attractive prospect for investors looking to capitalize on the future of energy transformation.
National Grid PLC is a multinational electricity and gas utility company that operates in the United Kingdom and the United States. Its core business segments can be described as follows:
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Electricity Transmission: This segment is responsible for the high-voltage electricity transmission network in Great Britain. National Grid operates and maintains the infrastructure that transports electricity from power generation facilities to distribution points. The company is also involved in balancing the supply and demand of electricity to ensure reliability and efficiency within the network.
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Gas Transmission: This segment involves the transportation of natural gas through a high-pressure pipeline network across the UK. National Grid operates the National Gas Transmission System, providing the critical infrastructure that delivers gas from entry points (such as production facilities and imports) to demand centers, including power plants, industrial users, and residential customers.
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Electricity Distribution: In the U.S., particularly in areas such as New York and Massachusetts, National Grid also operates electricity distribution networks that deliver electricity to residential and commercial customers. This includes maintaining the power lines and infrastructure necessary to provide reliable electricity service.
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Gas Distribution: Similarly, in the U.S. markets, this segment manages the distribution of natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. This includes the infrastructure for local gas pipelines and customer connections.
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Renewable Energy and Innovation: National Grid has increasingly focused on integrating renewable energy sources into its operations and developing innovative solutions for energy storage and demand-side management. This segment involves investments in technology and partnerships aimed at promoting sustainability and supporting the transition to a low-carbon energy system.
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Energy Services: The company provides various services to customers, including energy efficiency programs, consultancy, and support for smart meter installations. This part of the business focuses on helping customers manage their energy consumption and supporting broader decarbonization efforts.
These segments enable National Grid to manage and operate critical infrastructure for electricity and gas supply and are essential in the context of the ongoing transition towards sustainable energy systems.
National Grid PLC, as a major utility company primarily in the UK and northeastern US, has several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals. Here are some key factors:
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Regulatory Monopoly: In many areas, National Grid operates as a regulated monopoly. This status ensures a stable revenue stream and allows the company to invest in infrastructure without facing competitive pressures that can squeeze margins.
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Extensive Infrastructure: National Grid has a vast and mature network of electricity and gas transmission infrastructure. This extensive system is costly to replicate, giving them a significant advantage over new entrants and smaller competitors.
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Economies of Scale: Being one of the largest utility companies, National Grid benefits from economies of scale. This allows the company to spread fixed costs over a larger number of customers, improving margins and competitive pricing.
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Operational Efficiency: Years of experience in managing and operating transmission systems have led National Grid to develop operational efficiencies and effective risk management practices. This capability enhances reliability and reduces costs.
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Investment in Renewable Energy: National Grid has positioned itself as a leader in integrating renewable energy into the grid. Their initiatives to adapt to changing energy landscapes and pursue sustainability not only comply with regulatory trends but also appeal to investors and customers focused on corporate responsibility.
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Strong Financial Position: National Grid has a solid balance sheet and access to capital markets. This financial strength allows for continued investment in infrastructure and technology, positioning them well in the long term against more financially constrained competitors.
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Technological Innovations: The company invests in smart grid technologies and other digital innovations that enhance grid management and efficiency. These advancements improve service reliability and operational performance, providing a competitive edge.
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Strategic Partnerships: National Grid engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations, facilitating knowledge sharing and technological advancements that can drive efficiencies and reduce costs.
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Customer Base Diversity: Operating in different geographical areas, National Grid has a diversified customer base that can mitigate risks associated with economic downturns or regulatory changes in a specific region.
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Long-Term Industry Experience: National Grid's long history in the energy sector has cultivated substantial institutional knowledge and expertise, which can lead to better decision-making and strategic planning compared to less experienced competitors.
These competitive advantages enable National Grid to enhance its market leadership position and respond effectively to challenges in the rapidly evolving energy landscape.
National Grid PLC, as a major utility company, is facing several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Regulatory Changes: The energy sector is heavily regulated, and any changes in government policies or regulations—especially regarding renewable energy standards, carbon emissions, or pricing—can impact operations and profitability.
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Transition to Renewable Energy: As the world shifts towards a greener energy future, National Grid faces challenges in adapting its infrastructure and operations to incorporate more renewable energy sources. This transition may require significant investment and development of new technologies.
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Cybersecurity Threats: With the increasing reliance on digital technologies for energy distribution and management, National Grid faces risks associated with cyberattacks. A successful cyberattack could lead to significant operational disruptions and financial losses.
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Grid Modernization: Aging infrastructure requires continuous investment in modernization to ensure reliability and efficiency. Failing to upgrade systems could lead to service disruptions and increased maintenance costs.
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Market Competition: The energy market is becoming more competitive with the emergence of new entrants and alternative energy providers. This could pressure National Grid’s market share and pricing strategies.
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Financial Risks: Fluctuations in currency exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices can affect National Grid’s financial performance. Additionally, the pursuit of capital-intensive projects may strain its financial resources.
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Climate Change Impacts: National Grid must contend with the effects of climate change, including extreme weather events that can disrupt service delivery and require significant investment in resilience measures.
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Customer Expectations and Demand Management: As customers become more environmentally conscious and seek innovative solutions for energy consumption, National Grid needs to adapt its offerings and manage demand effectively while maintaining customer satisfaction.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, exacerbated by events such as the COVID-19 pandemic, can lead to delays and increased costs in procuring materials and equipment for essential projects.
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Public and Community Relations: As National Grid engages in large-scale projects, it must navigate community concerns and opposition, which can delay projects and affect public perception.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid technological changes in the energy sector, including the rise of energy storage, smart grids, and electric vehicles, require National Grid to stay ahead of the curve and invest in new technologies to remain competitive.
By addressing these risks proactively, National Grid can enhance its resilience and continue to deliver value to its stakeholders while navigating the evolving energy landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
National Grid PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
National Grid PLC
Current Assets | 10.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 4.3B |
Receivables | 3.4B |
Other Current Assets | 2.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 87.9B |
Long-Term Investments | 2.3B |
PP&E | 68.9B |
Intangibles | 13.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 3.6B |
Current Liabilities | 11.4B |
Accounts Payable | 4.1B |
Other Current Liabilities | 7.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 57.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 42.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 14.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
National Grid PLC
Revenue
|
19.9B
GBP
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-2.8B
GBP
|
Gross Profit
|
17B
GBP
|
Operating Expenses
|
-11.1B
GBP
|
Operating Income
|
6B
GBP
|
Other Expenses
|
-3.7B
GBP
|
Net Income
|
2.3B
GBP
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
National Grid PLC
GBP | |
Free Cash Flow | GBP |
Operating profit dropped 14% to GBP 1.8 billion, while underlying EPS met expectations at GBP 23.8, with full-year guidance unchanged. The company will increase its investment in decarbonization, raising capital expenditure targets to GBP 42 billion, and integrates electricity distribution, achieving GBP 100 million in synergies. An interim dividend of 19.4p per share, representing 35% of the prior full-year dividend, was announced. Performance reliability remains robust with plans to increase grid capacity by 10 gigawatts and complete key infrastructure projects by 2026. The company reconfirms its EPS guidance for FY'24.
What is Earnings Call?
NG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
National Grid PLC's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
National Grid PLC's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
NG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
National Grid PLC's solvency score is 31/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
National Grid PLC's solvency score is 31/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
NG Price Targets Summary
National Grid PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NG is 1 160.4 GBX with a low forecast of 1 050.4 GBX and a high forecast of 1 291.5 GBX.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for NG is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
National Grid Plc engages in the transmission and distribution of electricity and gas. The firm's businesses supply gas and electricity to various customers and communities. Its segments include UK Electricity Transmission, UK Electricity Distribution, UK Electricity System Operator (ESO), New England and New York. The UK Electricity Transmission segment includes the high-voltage electricity transmission networks in England and Wales. Its networks comprise approximately 7,200 kilometers (km) of overhead line, 1,500 km of underground cable and 342 substations. The UK Electricity Distribution segment includes the electricity distribution networks of Western Power Distribution in East Midlands, West Midlands, South Wales and the Southwest. The firm's business area also includes ESO, an independent electricity system operator. The company also has gas distribution networks, electricity distribution networks, and high-voltage electricity transmission networks in New England and New York.
Officers
The intrinsic value of one NG stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 192.19 GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 993.8 GBX, National Grid PLC is Undervalued by 17%.