InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
LSE:IHG
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one IHG stock under the Base Case scenario is 5 925.97 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 9 350 GBX, InterContinental Hotels Group PLC is Overvalued by 37%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
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Fundamental Analysis
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InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) is a global leader in the hospitality sector, with a rich portfolio of brands that cater to diverse customer needs and preferences. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in Denham, United Kingdom, IHG operates over 6,000 hotels in more than 100 countries, offering a range of accommodations from luxury to budget-friendly options. The company's flagship brands include InterContinental, Holiday Inn, and Crowne Plaza, which are strategically positioned to attract both business and leisure travelers. IHG's commitment to enhancing guest experience is evident through its innovative loyalty program and focus on sustainability initiatives, aligning with evolving co...
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) is a global leader in the hospitality sector, with a rich portfolio of brands that cater to diverse customer needs and preferences. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in Denham, United Kingdom, IHG operates over 6,000 hotels in more than 100 countries, offering a range of accommodations from luxury to budget-friendly options. The company's flagship brands include InterContinental, Holiday Inn, and Crowne Plaza, which are strategically positioned to attract both business and leisure travelers. IHG's commitment to enhancing guest experience is evident through its innovative loyalty program and focus on sustainability initiatives, aligning with evolving consumer trends and preferences.
For investors, IHG presents a compelling opportunity, given its strong market presence and robust business model. The hotel industry has been rebounding from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, with increased travel demand leading to improved occupancy rates and revenue per available room (RevPAR). IHG's strategy focuses on expanding its brand portfolio, enhancing digital capabilities, and boosting operational efficiencies, all of which position the company for long-term growth. With a consistent track record of dividend payments and a commitment to shareholder value, IHG stands out as a solid investment in the travel sector, capable of navigating market challenges while capitalizing on emerging opportunities.
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) operates a diverse range of hotel brands across various market segments. As a major player in the global hospitality industry, its core business segments can be categorized as follows:
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Luxury & Lifestyle:
- This segment includes high-end brands that focus on offering premium services and unique experiences. Notable brands include InterContinental Hotels & Resorts, Kimpton Hotels & Restaurants, and Regent Hotels & Resorts.
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Premium:
- This category encompasses brands that provide upscale accommodations and amenities, catering to business and leisure travelers. Brands in this segment include Crowne Plaza Hotels & Resorts and Hotel Indigo.
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Essentials:
- Targeted towards value-conscious travelers, this segment includes more standardized offerings that emphasize comfort and convenience. Key brands are Holiday Inn Hotels & Resorts and Holiday Inn Express.
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Economy:
- This segment focuses on budget-friendly hotel options catering to travelers seeking essential services without frills. Brands like Staybridge Suites and Candlewood Suites fall under this category.
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Managed and Franchised Hotels:
- IHG earns revenue through both managing hotel operations and franchising its brands to third-party developers. This model allows IHG to expand its market presence while minimizing capital investment.
Overall, IHG’s strategy is geared towards diversification to capture varying market segments and consumer preferences, allowing the company to maintain a strong position in the competitive hospitality industry.
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) has several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the hospitality industry:
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Diverse Brand Portfolio: IHG operates a wide range of brands catering to different segments of the market, from luxury (e.g., InterContinental) to midscale (e.g., Holiday Inn) and economy (e.g., Holiday Inn Express). This diversity allows IHG to capture a broader customer base and adapt to varying market demands.
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Global Presence: IHG has a strong international footprint with hotels in over 100 countries. This extensive network enables the company to attract global travelers and benefit from economies of scale.
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Strong Loyalty Program: The IHG Rewards program enhances customer retention and loyalty by offering attractive incentives such as points for stays, personalized offers, and exclusive member benefits. A strong loyalty program helps drive repeat business and customer engagement.
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Operational Efficiency: IHG has invested in advanced technology and operational processes that streamline management and improve the guest experience. This includes digital check-in, mobile booking apps, and enhanced guest services, providing a competitive edge in convenience and service delivery.
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Sustainability Commitment: IHG’s focus on sustainability and corporate social responsibility resonates well with today’s environmentally conscious travelers. Their initiatives include reducing carbon footprints, minimizing waste, and supporting local communities, which can enhance brand perception and customer loyalty.
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Strong Franchise Model: IHG primarily operates through a franchise model, which enables rapid expansion with lower capital expenditure compared to direct ownership. This model allows the company to expand its footprint quickly while leveraging local market expertise from franchise partners.
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Market Leadership in Key Segments: IHG is a leader in several key hospitality segments, such as the upscale and midscale markets. This market leadership positions them well against competitors and establishes strong brand recognition.
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Innovation and Adaptability: IHG has demonstrated a commitment to innovation by adapting to changing consumer preferences, such as increasing digital engagement and enhancing the guest experience through personalized services.
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Strong Management Team and Governance: A seasoned management team with extensive industry experience and solid governance practices contributes to IHG's strategic direction and resilience in navigating market challenges.
These competitive advantages position IHG effectively in the competitive landscape of the hospitality industry, allowing it to maintain a strong market presence and adapt to changing consumer preferences.
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and profitability in the near future. Here are some key areas of concern:
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Economic Uncertainty: Global economic fluctuations, including inflation, recession fears, and changes in consumer spending habits, can directly affect travel demand. Economic downturns typically result in reduced business and leisure travel, which could impact occupancy rates and revenue.
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Geopolitical Events: Political instability, conflicts, and changes in government policies can disrupt travel patterns. Issues such as trade wars, sanctions, and other geopolitical tensions can negatively impact international travel, particularly in regions where IHG operates.
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Health Crises: The ongoing effects of COVID-19 or other potential health emergencies can lead to travel restrictions, reduced occupancy, and changes in consumer behavior regarding travel. The threat of new pandemics or variants could result in fluctuating demand for hotel accommodations.
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Competition: The hotel industry is highly competitive, with increasing competition from alternative accommodations like Airbnb, vacation rentals, and boutique hotels. The rise of digital platforms and changing consumer preferences toward unique travel experiences pose a challenge to traditional hotel brands.
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Operational Challenges: With hundreds of locations worldwide, IHG must manage various operational risks, including labor shortages, supply chain disruptions, and rising labor and material costs. These challenges can affect service quality and operational efficiency.
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Sustainability and Environmental Concerns: Increasing consumer awareness and demand for sustainable practices put pressure on hotel companies to adopt environmentally friendly policies. Failure to meet these expectations could harm the brand and result in reputational risks.
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Technological Changes: The rapid evolution of technology in the hospitality industry requires continuous investment in digital platforms and IT infrastructure. Staying relevant and competitive means adapting to trends such as contactless check-in, mobile apps, and data analytics for enhanced customer experiences.
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Regulatory Risks: Changes in regulations regarding labor laws, health and safety standards, and data privacy could impose additional costs and operational challenges for IHG. Compliance with these regulations is crucial for maintaining brand reputation and avoiding legal pitfalls.
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Currency Fluctuations: As a global company, IHG is exposed to foreign currency risk. Fluctuations in exchange rates can impact revenue, especially in regions with weaker currencies compared to the British Pound.
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Brand Management: Maintaining brand consistency across various hotel properties can be challenging, particularly in a franchise model where operational control may vary. Any significant brand mismanagement can affect customer loyalty and revenue.
In summary, IHG faces a combination of economic, operational, competitive, and regulatory challenges that could impact its strategy and performance. Effective risk management strategies and adaptability will be crucial for navigating these uncertainties successfully.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
Current Assets | 1.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 858m |
Receivables | 932m |
Other Current Assets | 9m |
Non-Current Assets | 2.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 244m |
PP&E | 430m |
Intangibles | 1.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1B |
Current Liabilities | 2.1B |
Accounts Payable | 625m |
Other Current Liabilities | 1.5B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
Revenue
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4.7B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-3.3B
USD
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Gross Profit
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1.4B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-392m
USD
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Operating Income
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992m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-354m
USD
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Net Income
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638m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
IHG has shown resilience with a 16% year-over-year increase in Americas region signings, contributing to strong brand development despite commercial real estate financing hurdles. Luxury and lifestyle brands formed 26% of the signings, reflecting strategic growth. Capital expenditures amounted to a $65 million outflow and key money doubled to $64 million, signaling a return to pre-COVID development levels. Adjusted free cash flow nearly doubled to $277 million, underscoring the highly cash-generative nature of the business. With a disciplined investment strategy, the company has committed to an interim dividend growth of 10% to $0.483 per share and a $750 million share buyback program aimed at maintaining a targeted leverage ratio of 2.3 times.
What is Earnings Call?
IHG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
IHG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
IHG Price Targets Summary
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IHG is 7 872.93 GBX with a low forecast of 6 363 GBX and a high forecast of 9 817.5 GBX.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for IHG is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
InterContinental Hotels Group Plc owns and operates hotels. The company is headquartered in Denham, Buckinghamshire and currently employs 11,161 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2012-10-09. The firm franchises its brands and manages its hotels on behalf of third-party hotel owners. Its segments include The Americas; Europe, Middle East Asia and Africa (EMEAA), and Greater China. The company operates a portfolio of hotel brands, including InterContinental, HUALUXE, Kimpton, Crowne Plaza, Hotel Indigo, EVEN Hotels, Holiday Inn, Holiday Inn Express, Staybridge Suites Hotels, Holiday Inn Resort, Regent Hotels & Resorts, Holiday Inn Club Vacations and Candlewood Suites Hotels. The firm operates over 5,964 hotels (886,036 rooms) worldwide and has over 1,815 pipeline hotels. The Americas segment has approximately 986 hotels in pipeline (102,757 rooms). The EMEAA Segment has approximately 389 hotels (76,120 rooms). The Greater China segment has approximately 440 hotels in pipeline (93,180 rooms).
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one IHG stock under the Base Case scenario is 5 925.97 GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 9 350 GBX, InterContinental Hotels Group PLC is Overvalued by 37%.