BAE Systems PLC
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one BA stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 664.71 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 1 333.5 GBX, BAE Systems PLC is Undervalued by 20%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
BAE Systems PLC
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Fundamental Analysis
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BAE Systems PLC is a global defense, aerospace, and security company headquartered in London, UK, known for its robust portfolio of advanced technology solutions. With a history that stretches back over a century, BAE plays a critical role in the defense of nations and the safety of their citizens, serving customers in over 40 countries, including the UK and the US, which are two of its largest markets. The company’s diverse range of products includes everything from military aircraft and naval ships to cyber defense systems, highlighting its commitment to innovation and technological advancement. BAE's reputation for high-quality engineering and reliable performance has positioned it as a t...
BAE Systems PLC is a global defense, aerospace, and security company headquartered in London, UK, known for its robust portfolio of advanced technology solutions. With a history that stretches back over a century, BAE plays a critical role in the defense of nations and the safety of their citizens, serving customers in over 40 countries, including the UK and the US, which are two of its largest markets. The company’s diverse range of products includes everything from military aircraft and naval ships to cyber defense systems, highlighting its commitment to innovation and technological advancement. BAE's reputation for high-quality engineering and reliable performance has positioned it as a trusted partner for national governments, driving consistent demand for its services amidst a backdrop of rising global security concerns.
For investors, BAE Systems represents a compelling opportunity in the defense sector, particularly as geopolitical tensions continue to escalate worldwide, driving increased military spending. The company's strong financial performance, bolstered by significant contracts and a growing order book, provides a solid foundation for future growth. Furthermore, BAE’s strategic focus on digital transformation and sustainable defense technologies ensures that it remains relevant in an ever-evolving landscape. With a commitment to returning value to shareholders through dividends, combined with ongoing investments in research and development, BAE Systems is well-positioned not only to capitalize on current market conditions but also to shape the future of defense and security solutions. This makes it an intriguing prospect for investors seeking exposure to a critical and resilient industry.
BAE Systems PLC is a leading global defense, aerospace, and security company, headquartered in London, UK. The company operates through several core business segments, each focusing on different aspects of defense and security. The primary business segments include:
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Electronic Systems: This segment focuses on advanced electronic technologies and solutions, including sensors, avionics, and electronic warfare systems. It serves both defense and commercial customers, providing critical components for military aircraft, naval vessels, and ground vehicles.
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Land: The Land segment is involved in the design, development, and production of armored military vehicles, artillery systems, and other ground defense equipment. It also encompasses upgrades and maintenance services for existing systems, catering to various international markets.
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Air: This segment includes the development and manufacture of military aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), and related support services. BAE Systems is involved in notable programs such as the Eurofighter Typhoon and F-35 Lightning II, addressing needs for air defense and reconnaissance.
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Naval: BAE Systems' Naval segment focuses on shipbuilding and maritime systems, offering platforms like submarines and surface ships. The company provides integrated solutions for naval forces and partners with governments to enhance naval capabilities and readiness.
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Cyber & Intelligence: This area covers cybersecurity solutions, intelligence services, and advanced analytics. BAE Systems offers products and services designed to protect critical infrastructure, manage risks, and enhance situational awareness for military and commercial clients.
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Sustainability & Resilience: An emerging focus on sustainability and resilience speaks to BAE's commitment to adapting to global challenges, including climate change and technological disruption. This segment emphasizes innovation in defense technologies that contribute to sustainability and operational effectiveness.
These core segments reflect BAE Systems’ strategy to provide a comprehensive range of defense and security solutions, leveraging advanced technology and innovation to meet the evolving needs of its customers worldwide.
BAE Systems PLC, as a leading global defense, security, and aerospace company, enjoys several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. Here are some of the key factors:
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Diversified Portfolio: BAE Systems has a broad portfolio that spans aerospace, land, naval forces, cybersecurity, and intelligence. This diversification allows the company to mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations in any single segment.
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Strong Government Relationships: BAE has long-standing relationships with governments, particularly in the UK and the US. These connections facilitate access to contracts and can lead to preferential treatment in bidding processes.
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Technological Expertise: The company invests heavily in research and development. This commitment to innovation enables BAE Systems to maintain a strong technological edge in defense systems and solutions.
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Global Presence: BAE operates in various international markets, which allows it to leverage opportunities across different regions. Its ability to adapt to local markets and comply with international regulations enhances its competitiveness.
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Complex Systems Integration: BAE is adept at integrating complex defense systems. Its expertise in creating interoperable systems that can work seamlessly together provides significant value to military clients.
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Strong Track Record in Large Contracts: BAE has successfully secured a number of significant long-term contracts, providing a steady and reliable revenue stream. This helps in financial planning and resource allocation.
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Focus on National Security: As global defense budgets increase due to heightened security concerns, BAE Systems is well-positioned to benefit from this trend. Its products address critical national security needs, making it a key player in the defense industry.
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Sustainability Commitment: With increasing global emphasis on sustainable practices, BAE Systems is actively working on reducing its environmental footprint and developing greener technologies, which can provide a competitive edge as defense markets evolve.
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Human Capital: With a wealth of experienced professionals in engineering, project management, and technology, BAE's skilled workforce is a major asset that enhances its operational capabilities and innovation potential.
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Acquisition Strategy: BAE has a history of strategic acquisitions that have expanded its capabilities and market reach. This allows the company to quickly enhance its technology and services portfolio.
These advantages create a robust framework for BAE Systems to maintain its position as a leader in the defense and aerospace sectors while effectively competing against both established players and new entrants.
BAE Systems PLC, as a major defense, security, and aerospace company, faces several risks and challenges, particularly in the near future. These include:
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Geopolitical Tensions: Increased global tensions and conflicts may lead to fluctuating defense budgets. Changes in government policies or alliances could impact contracts and revenue streams.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The defense sector relies on complex global supply chains. Disruptions caused by geopolitical conflicts, trade tensions, or pandemics can impact production and delivery timelines.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in defense procurement regulations or export controls can affect BAE’s ability to operate in certain markets or may increase compliance costs.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid technological changes require constant innovation. BAE must invest heavily in research and development to remain competitive, particularly in areas like cybersecurity and unmanned systems.
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Competition: The defense industry is competitive, with both established players and new entrants. BAE must continuously assess its market position and find ways to maintain or gain market share.
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Financial Risks: Fluctuations in currency exchange rates can impact profitability, especially given the global nature of contracts. Additionally, rising interest rates could increase financing costs.
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Contracting Risks: BAE is heavily reliant on government contracts. Delays, cancellations, or changes in the terms of these contracts can significantly impact revenue.
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Environmental Regulations and Sustainability: There is a growing focus on sustainability and environmental impact. Non-compliance with emerging regulations could lead to financial penalties or affect the company’s reputation.
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Labor Relations: Potential strikes or labor disputes could disrupt operational capabilities and affect project timelines.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a defense contractor, BAE is a target for cyberattacks. Ensuring the integrity of sensitive information and systems is critical to maintaining trust and compliance with regulations.
BAE Systems must navigate these risks strategically to maintain its status as a prominent defense contractor while ensuring sustained growth and shareholder value.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
BAE Systems PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
BAE Systems PLC
Current Assets | 11.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 3.8B |
Receivables | 5.4B |
Other Current Assets | 2.6B |
Non-Current Assets | 20.3B |
Long-Term Investments | 973m |
PP&E | 4.9B |
Intangibles | 12.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.3B |
Current Liabilities | 10.9B |
Accounts Payable | 7.8B |
Accrued Liabilities | 2.7B |
Other Current Liabilities | 434m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 10.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 5.7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 4.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
BAE Systems PLC
Revenue
|
24.6B
GBP
|
Operating Expenses
|
-22.1B
GBP
|
Operating Income
|
2.4B
GBP
|
Other Expenses
|
-570m
GBP
|
Net Income
|
1.8B
GBP
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
BAE Systems PLC
GBP | |
Free Cash Flow | GBP |
BA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
BAE Systems PLC's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
BAE Systems PLC's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
BA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
BAE Systems PLC's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
BAE Systems PLC's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
BA Price Targets Summary
BAE Systems PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BA is 1 487.64 GBX with a low forecast of 1 191.8 GBX and a high forecast of 1 785 GBX.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for BA is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
BAE Systems Plc engages in the provision of a full range of products and services for air, land, and naval forces; advanced electronics; security, information technology solutions; and support services. The firm operates through five segments. The Electronic Systems segment consists of the Company's United States and United Kingdom-based electronics activities. The Cyber & Intelligence segment consists of its United States-based Intelligence & Security business and United Kingdom-based Applied Intelligence business, and covers the Company's cyber, secure government, and commercial and financial security activities. The Platforms & Services (US) segment, with operations in the United States, United Kingdom and Sweden, produces combat vehicles, weapons and munitions. Air segment comprises the Company’s United Kingdom-based air activities for European and international markets, and United States programmes, and its businesses in Saudi Arabia and Australia, together with its interest in the MBDA Holdings SAS (MBDA) joint venture. Maritime segment comprises the Company’s United Kingdom-based maritime and land activities.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one BA stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 664.71 GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 1 333.5 GBX, BAE Systems PLC is Undervalued by 20%.