Anglo American PLC
LSE:AAL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AAL stock under the Base Case scenario is 7 505.7 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 2 359 GBX, Anglo American PLC is Undervalued by 69%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Anglo American PLC
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Fundamental Analysis
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Anglo American PLC, a global leader in the mining and natural resources sector, carries a rich legacy that traces back to its founding in 1917. Headquartered in London, the company has established itself as a powerhouse in the extraction and production of essential minerals, including diamonds, copper, platinum, iron ore, and nickel. With operations spanning across several continents, including Africa, Australia, and the Americas, Anglo American is committed to delivering sustainable value while navigating the complexities of the global economy. Investors are particularly drawn to the board's focus on responsible mining practices and innovative technologies, which not only enhance operationa...
Anglo American PLC, a global leader in the mining and natural resources sector, carries a rich legacy that traces back to its founding in 1917. Headquartered in London, the company has established itself as a powerhouse in the extraction and production of essential minerals, including diamonds, copper, platinum, iron ore, and nickel. With operations spanning across several continents, including Africa, Australia, and the Americas, Anglo American is committed to delivering sustainable value while navigating the complexities of the global economy. Investors are particularly drawn to the board's focus on responsible mining practices and innovative technologies, which not only enhance operational efficiency but also align with the rising demand for environmentally conscious practices across industries.
As an investment, Anglo American presents a compelling opportunity, driven by strong fundamentals and a diversified portfolio that mitigates risks associated with commodity price fluctuations. The company’s strategic initiatives, such as the emphasis on profitability and cash flow generation, are accompanied by thoughtful exploration investments aimed at future growth. Investors will benefit from its robust financial health, marked by generous dividends and a commitment to returning value to shareholders. With the global transition towards greener energy sources and the increasing importance of metals in emerging technologies, Anglo American is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends, making it a noteworthy consideration for those looking to invest in the materials sector.
Anglo American PLC is a global mining company that is involved in the extraction and production of various minerals and metals. The company has several core business segments, which are typically categorized as follows:
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De Beers Group: This segment focuses on the exploration, mining, and marketing of diamonds. De Beers is recognized for its strong brand and retail presence, including luxury diamond jewelry.
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Metals and Minerals: This segment encompasses the production of a variety of metals including:
- Copper: Extracted from mines in Chile and Peru, used primarily in electrical equipment manufacturing and construction.
- Nickel: Comes from various global sources and is essential for stainless steel production and battery technology.
- Iron Ore: Primarily mined in South Africa and Brazil, iron ore is a key ingredient for steel-making.
- Thermal and Metallurgical Coal: This segment produces coal used for electricity generation and in steel production.
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Platinum Group Metals (PGMs): Anglo American is one of the largest producers of Platinum Group Metals, which include platinum, palladium, and rhodium. These metals are primarily used in automotive catalytic converters, electronics, and jewelry.
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Industrial Minerals: This division focuses on the extraction of minerals used in various industrial applications, including:
- Manganese: Used in steel production and battery manufacturing.
- Gypsum: Used in construction and agricultural applications.
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Marketing: Anglo American has an in-house marketing division that sells its production directly to various global markets, maximizing value from their operations.
The company's diverse portfolio allows it to mitigate risks associated with fluctuations in commodity prices and demand, aligning with the investment philosophies of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, who emphasize strong fundamentals and diversified business models.
Anglo American PLC, a significant player in the global mining sector, possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals:
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Diverse Portfolio: Anglo American operates in various commodities, including diamonds (De Beers), copper, platinum group metals, and iron ore. This diversification reduces reliance on any single market and provides stability against price fluctuations in any one commodity.
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Strong Resource Base: The company has access to some of the world's largest and highest-quality mineral reserves. Its projects, such as those in South Africa and Chile, offer long-term growth potential and lower operational costs.
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Technological Innovation: Anglo American invests heavily in technological advancements to improve mining efficiency and safety. Initiatives like automated mining operations and digital technologies not only enhance productivity but also reduce environmental impact.
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Sustainable Practices: The company's commitment to sustainable mining practices gives it a competitive edge. By prioritizing environmental stewardship and social responsibility, Anglo American can appeal to environmentally conscious investors and clients, aligning with global trends toward sustainability.
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Strong Sales and Distribution Network: A well-established distribution network allows Anglo American to efficiently manage its supply chain and respond quickly to market demands, providing a logistical advantage over less integrated competitors.
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Financial Strength: With a solid balance sheet and good cash flow management, Anglo American is better positioned to weather market volatility and invest in growth opportunities compared to competitors with weaker financials.
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Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations and joint ventures with other companies and local governments can provide access to new markets and resources, enhancing its competitive edge.
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Experienced Management Team: The leadership team brings extensive industry experience and expertise, ensuring strategic decision-making that aligns with long-term objectives.
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Focus on Emerging Markets: Anglo American's operations in emerging markets provide access to significant growth opportunities, as demand for commodities in these regions is expected to rise due to urbanization and industrialization.
These competitive advantages help position Anglo American PLC as a leader in the mining industry, enabling it to navigate challenges effectively while capitalizing on growth opportunities.
Anglo American PLC, like many companies in the mining and natural resources sector, faces a variety of risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance in the near future. Here are some of the key risks and challenges:
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Commodity Price Volatility: Fluctuations in the prices of key commodities, including copper, diamonds, platinum, and iron ore, can significantly affect revenues. Price declines due to oversupply, lower demand, or macroeconomic factors can squeeze profit margins.
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Geopolitical Risks: Anglo American operates in various regions, including Africa, South America, and Australia. Political instability, changes in government policies, or regulatory environments in those regions can pose significant risks to operations and profitability.
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Environmental Regulations: The mining industry is under increasing scrutiny regarding environmental sustainability. Stricter environmental regulations and potential liabilities related to environmental damage could lead to higher compliance costs or even operational restrictions.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Continued disruptions, whether from health crises, natural disasters, or geopolitical tensions, can impact production and costs.
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Labour Relations: Strikes, labor disputes, or changes in labor laws can lead to disruptions in operations. Maintaining good relationships with labor unions and employees is crucial for minimizing these risks.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid advancements in technology could affect how mining operations are conducted. Companies that fail to adapt to new technologies may find themselves at a competitive disadvantage.
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Climate Change Risks: The mining sector is heavily scrutinized regarding its contributions to climate change. The impacts of climate change—such as extreme weather events and resource scarcity—can disrupt operations and affect future resource availability.
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Investment in Sustainable Practices: As investors increasingly favor sustainable and responsible investment, Anglo American may face pressure to invest significantly in sustainable practices and technologies, which can require substantial capital expenditure.
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Social License to Operate: Communities in which Anglo American operates may demand greater engagement and benefit-sharing, and any failure to earn or maintain this “social license” can lead to protests or opposition against operations.
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Resource Availability: As easily accessible mineral resources deplete, the quality and accessibility of remaining deposits may decline, leading to higher extraction costs and potential operational challenges.
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Technological Disruption in Alternative Materials: Innovation in alternative materials (e.g., substitutes for metals) can impact demand for certain commodities, especially as industries like automotive and construction seek greener alternatives.
By closely monitoring these risks and implementing prudent strategies to mitigate them, Anglo American can position itself for resilience in a changing market environment.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Anglo American PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Anglo American PLC
Current Assets | 18.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 8.6B |
Receivables | 3.9B |
Other Current Assets | 6.3B |
Non-Current Assets | 49.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.3B |
PP&E | 44.3B |
Intangibles | 1.4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.6B |
Current Liabilities | 9.5B |
Accounts Payable | 5.9B |
Short-Term Debt | 48m |
Other Current Liabilities | 3.6B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 34.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 17.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 17.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
Anglo American PLC
Revenue
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29.4B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-23B
USD
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Operating Income
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6.5B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-8.1B
USD
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Net Income
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-1.7B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Anglo American PLC
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Despite macroeconomic challenges weighing on performance, the company delivered a solid first half, with EBITDA reaching $5.1 billion and dividends per share at $0.55, maintaining a 40% payout and annualized yield of about 4%. Notably, the weaker macroenvironment affected financials, yet the company expects a significant upturn in the second half, particularly due to operational improvements and cost-saving measures, forecasting a 3% unit cost increase year-over-year. The company continues to exercise capital discipline while targeting strong balance sheet maintenance, even as net debt rose to $8.8 billion. Commitments to strong, sustainable performance are bolstered through key milestones, such as De Beers' diamond license extension to 2054 and positive progression at the Quellaveco copper project. Furthermore, a 25-year diamond mining license extension and a new sales agreement in Botswana have been secured. Long-term prospects remain favourable due to increasing global demands for commodities, imperative to both decarbonization and improving living standards.
What is Earnings Call?
AAL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Anglo American PLC's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Anglo American PLC's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AAL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Anglo American PLC's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Anglo American PLC's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AAL Price Targets Summary
Anglo American PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAL is 2 596.69 GBX with a low forecast of 2 029.09 GBX and a high forecast of 3 150 GBX.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AAL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Anglo American Plc is a mining company, which engages in the exploration and mining of precious base metals and ferrous metals. The firm has a portfolio of mining operations and undeveloped resources with a focus on diamonds, copper, platinum group metals (PGMs), iron ore, nickel and manganese. The firm's segments include De Beers, Platinum Group Metals, Copper, Iron Ore, Nickel and Manganese, Crop Nutrients and Corporate and other. De Beers segment is engaged in the diamond business, which offers rough and polished diamonds. Its Platinum Group Metals products include platinum, palladium, rhodium, iridium, ruthenium and osmium. PGMs projects are located in the Bushveld Complex in South Africa. The company holds interests in two copper mines: Los Bronces and Collahuasi in Chile and is developing the Quellaveco mine in Peru. Its iron ore operations provide customers with iron content ore through assets in Brazil and South Africa.
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The intrinsic value of one AAL stock under the Base Case scenario is 7 505.7 GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 2 359 GBX, Anglo American PLC is Undervalued by 69%.