DoorDash Inc
F:DD2
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one DD2 stock under the Base Case scenario is 45.76 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 111.36 EUR, DoorDash Inc is Overvalued by 59%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
DoorDash Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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DoorDash Inc. is a leading on-demand food delivery service that has revolutionized the way consumers order meals from their favorite restaurants. Founded in 2013, the company quickly gained traction and carved out a significant share of the U.S. market by employing a sophisticated logistics network and a user-friendly mobile platform. With a mission to empower local economies by connecting consumers with nearby businesses, DoorDash operates in over 4,000 cities across the United States, Canada, and Australia. The company’s growth trajectory gained notable momentum during the COVID-19 pandemic, which accelerated the shift towards online food delivery, as consumers sought convenience while adh...
DoorDash Inc. is a leading on-demand food delivery service that has revolutionized the way consumers order meals from their favorite restaurants. Founded in 2013, the company quickly gained traction and carved out a significant share of the U.S. market by employing a sophisticated logistics network and a user-friendly mobile platform. With a mission to empower local economies by connecting consumers with nearby businesses, DoorDash operates in over 4,000 cities across the United States, Canada, and Australia. The company’s growth trajectory gained notable momentum during the COVID-19 pandemic, which accelerated the shift towards online food delivery, as consumers sought convenience while adhering to social distancing measures. DoorDash has diversified its offerings beyond just food delivery, partnering with grocery stores and convenience retailers to provide a wider range of products, positioning itself as a comprehensive delivery solution.
For investors, DoorDash presents a compelling business model, characterized by strong revenue growth and a commitment to innovation. The company generates income through delivery fees, subscription services like DashPass, and partnerships with restaurants and retailers, providing multiple revenue streams. Operating within an increasingly competitive landscape, DoorDash has demonstrated resilience and adaptability, continually enhancing its technological capabilities and expanding its logistics network. However, it faces challenges such as regulatory scrutiny, rising operational costs, and the necessity of maintaining customer loyalty amidst fierce competition. As it looks to the future, DoorDash is focused on sustainable growth, exploring opportunities in international markets and investing in technology and infrastructure to strengthen its position as a leader in the e-commerce delivery space, making it an intriguing prospect for investors looking for exposure to the evolving digital economy.
DoorDash, Inc. primarily operates in the food delivery industry but has expanded its services significantly. Here are the core business segments:
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Food Delivery:
- This is the predominant segment. DoorDash connects consumers to local restaurants through its app or website, allowing users to order meals for delivery. The platform facilitates a three-way marketplace involving consumers, restaurants, and delivery drivers (Dashers).
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Grocery and Convenience Delivery:
- In addition to restaurant meals, DoorDash has expanded into grocery and convenience store deliveries. This segment allows users to order groceries, household essentials, and other items from retail partners, enhancing customer convenience.
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DashPass Subscription Service:
- DoorDash offers a subscription service called DashPass, which provides members with benefits such as reduced delivery fees and exclusive promotions. This segment aims to cultivate customer loyalty and provide a steady revenue stream.
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Dasher Services:
- DoorDash employs a network of delivery drivers (Dashers), and this segment focuses on the recruitment, retention, and support of these individuals. The company provides them with tools and resources to facilitate efficient deliveries.
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Corporate Solutions:
- This segment targets businesses by providing food delivery solutions for corporate events, meetings, and employee benefits programs. DoorDash offers tailored services for companies looking to provide meals for their employees.
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Partnerships and Promotions:
- DoorDash collaborates with various brands and restaurants for co-marketing initiatives and special promotions, enhancing visibility and driving traffic for its partners while generating additional revenue.
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DoorDash Drive:
- A logistics service allowing businesses to utilize DoorDash's delivery network. This service can be integrated into a business's existing ordering system, providing flexibility and scalability for companies looking for third-party delivery solutions.
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International Expansion:
- DoorDash has also focused on expanding its presence outside the U.S., exploring opportunities in international markets. This segment includes venture initiatives to establish operations in foreign countries.
These segments enable DoorDash to diversify its revenue streams and enhance its overall market presence in the competitive food delivery landscape.
DoorDash Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the food delivery and logistics market. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Market Leadership: As one of the largest food delivery services in the U.S., DoorDash has established a strong brand presence and recognition, which can help attract both customers and restaurant partners.
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Wide Selection of Restaurants: DoorDash offers a broad range of restaurant options, including local favorites, national chains, and exclusive partnerships. This extensive variety caters to diverse consumer preferences and enhances user retention.
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DashPass Subscription Service: The DashPass service provides subscribers with benefits like reduced delivery fees and exclusive promotions, encouraging customer loyalty and increasing the average order value while creating a steady revenue stream.
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Innovative Technology and Logistics: DoorDash invests in advanced technology to optimize delivery logistics, including predictive analytics to estimate delivery times and improve route efficiency. This enhances customer satisfaction and reduces operational costs.
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Robust Delivery Network: The company has built a vast network of Dashers (delivery drivers) across many regions, allowing for quick delivery times and a flexible workforce that can adjust to demand fluctuations.
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Expansion into New Verticals: DoorDash has diversified its service offerings beyond food delivery, venturing into grocery and convenience store deliveries, and even enabling local businesses to reach customers online, which broadens their market reach.
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Partnerships with Major Brands: Collaborations with well-known brands expand their customer base and improve credibility. These partnerships can include exclusive promotions or menu items that attract consumers.
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Local Market Adaptation: DoorDash adapts its offerings to fit local markets, ensuring that its service resonates with regional tastes and preferences. This localized approach can create a more personal customer experience.
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User-Friendly Platform: The app and website provide a seamless user experience, making it easy for customers to browse, order, and track their deliveries. User experience is crucial in customer retention and satisfaction.
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Data-Driven Insights: DoorDash leverages data analytics to understand consumer behavior better, optimize restaurant offerings, and personalize marketing efforts, resulting in improved operational efficiency and customer engagement.
By capitalizing on these advantages, DoorDash can maintain a competitive edge in a rapidly evolving industry. Additionally, continuous innovation and adaptation to market trends will be essential to sustain its leadership position.
DoorDash Inc., as a prominent player in the food delivery industry, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Intense Competition: The food delivery market is highly competitive, with players like Uber Eats, Grubhub, and other regional services vying for market share. This competition may lead to increased marketing expenses and lower margins.
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Regulatory Challenges: Changes in regulations regarding gig economy workers, including minimum wage laws and employee classification, could significantly impact DoorDash’s operational costs and business model.
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Rising Costs: Increasing costs for labor, fuel, and food could eat into DoorDash’s profitability. Especially in inflationary environments, these factors could lead to higher delivery fees, potentially driving customers to competitors.
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Customer Loyalty and Retention: Building a loyal customer base in a market with low switching costs is challenging. DoorDash needs to continuously improve its service and offerings to retain customers against competitors providing similar services.
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Supply Chain Issues: The company dependently relies on restaurants and delivery personnel. Disruptions in the supply chain, such as food shortages or driver availability, can deteriorate service quality and customer satisfaction.
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Technological Risks: As a tech-driven business, DoorDash relies on its platform and software for its operations. Cybersecurity threats or system failures could impact trust and operational efficiency.
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Market Saturation: In urban areas, DoorDash may face saturation as most potential customers are already using delivery services, making it harder to attract new users and grow revenues.
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Profitability Pressure: While DoorDash has seen growth, achieving sustainable profitability remains a challenge. The company is under pressure to balance growth expenditures with delivering a profit, especially as investor expectations evolve.
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Consumer Behavior Shifts: Changes in consumer preferences post-pandemic, such as a potential decrease in demand for delivery services as dining out resumes, could affect sales.
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Environmental Concerns: Increasing scrutiny over the environmental impact of delivery services, particularly related to packaging waste and vehicle emissions, may force DoorDash to adapt its practices, potentially increasing costs.
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Global Expansion Risks: If DoorDash continues to expand into international markets, it will face challenges related to localization, cultural differences, and varying regulatory environments, which can be complex and resource-intensive.
Addressing these risks will require strategic planning and adaptability as DoorDash navigates a rapidly changing market landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
DoorDash Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
DoorDash Inc
Current Assets | 6.6B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 4.9B |
Receivables | 585m |
Other Current Assets | 1.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 5.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 669m |
PP&E | 1.1B |
Intangibles | 3B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 512m |
Current Liabilities | 4B |
Accounts Payable | 163m |
Accrued Liabilities | 3.2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 685m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 647m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 647m |
Earnings Waterfall
DoorDash Inc
Revenue
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9.6B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-5.1B
USD
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Gross Profit
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4.5B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-5B
USD
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Operating Income
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-459m
USD
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Other Expenses
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52m
USD
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Net Income
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-407m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
DoorDash Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
DoorDash reported strong demand and robust growth in Q2 2024, driven by leading retention rates and order frequency, both in the U.S. and international markets. The growth is consistent across core restaurant business and newer business verticals. Improved efficiency and reduced consumer fees have helped maintain growth. The company achieved an all-time high in DashPass subscribers and expects to continue driving revenue through its ad business. DoorDash executives highlighted significant potential for further international expansion and innovative investments to enhance product offerings and operational efficiency.
What is Earnings Call?
DD2 Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
DoorDash Inc's profitability score is 41/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
DoorDash Inc's profitability score is 41/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
DD2 Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
DoorDash Inc's solvency score is 72/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
DoorDash Inc's solvency score is 72/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
DD2 Price Targets Summary
DoorDash Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DD2 is 130.32 EUR with a low forecast of 107.02 EUR and a high forecast of 161.75 EUR.
Shareholder Yield
Current shareholder yield for DD2 is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
DD2 Price
DoorDash Inc
Average Annual Return | -31.04% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns |
N/A
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Max Drawdown | -44% |
Market Capitalization | 46B EUR |
Shares Outstanding | 408 910 000 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
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Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
DoorDash, Inc. engages in the design, development, and operation of a food delivery and logistics platform. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California and currently employs 8,600 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2020-12-09. The local logistics platform connects merchants, consumers, and dashers. The Company’s business consists of Marketplace and Platform services. The firm operates the DoorDash Marketplace, which enables merchants to establish an online presence and expand their reach by connecting them with consumers (the Marketplace). The company also offers Pickup, which allows consumers to place advance orders, skip lines, and pick up their orders conveniently with no consumer fees, as well as DoorDash for work, which provides merchants on the Company’s platform with large group orders and catering orders for businesses and events. Marketplace also includes DashPass, the Company’s membership product, which provides consumers with unlimited access to eligible merchants with zero delivery fees and reduced service fees. The firm offers Platform services, which includes DoorDash, which is a white-label logistics service and DoorDash Storefront.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one DD2 stock under the Base Case scenario is 45.76 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 111.36 EUR, DoorDash Inc is Overvalued by 59%.