Telstra Group Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one 5KB stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.59 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 11 EUR, Telstra Group Ltd is Undervalued by 29%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Telstra Group Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Telstra Group Ltd. stands as Australia’s leading telecommunications and technology company, boasting a rich history that dates back to 1901. As the backbone of the nation’s connectivity, Telstra provides a wide array of services, including mobile and fixed-line telecommunications, internet services, and media content. Its expansive network infrastructure, the largest in Australia, enables millions of customers—ranging from individuals to large enterprises—to stay connected in a rapidly evolving digital landscape. With significant investments in 5G technology and cloud-based solutions, Telstra is not just maintaining its market position but is actively shaping the future of Australian telecom...
Telstra Group Ltd. stands as Australia’s leading telecommunications and technology company, boasting a rich history that dates back to 1901. As the backbone of the nation’s connectivity, Telstra provides a wide array of services, including mobile and fixed-line telecommunications, internet services, and media content. Its expansive network infrastructure, the largest in Australia, enables millions of customers—ranging from individuals to large enterprises—to stay connected in a rapidly evolving digital landscape. With significant investments in 5G technology and cloud-based solutions, Telstra is not just maintaining its market position but is actively shaping the future of Australian telecommunications and beyond.
For investors, Telstra represents a compelling opportunity amidst a transformative technological environment. The company is undergoing a strategic overhaul, focusing on simplifying its operations, enhancing customer experience, and optimizing its capital structure. This restructuring is aimed at improving profitability and increasing shareholder returns. Furthermore, Telstra has committed to sustainable practices, targeting net-zero emissions by 2022, which aligns with the growing global emphasis on environmental responsibility. As Australia’s telecommunications market navigates an era of intense competition and innovation, Telstra’s established presence, robust infrastructure, and strategic vision position it as a potentially lucrative investment for those seeking exposure to a critical sector of the economy.
Telstra Group Ltd., one of Australia's leading telecommunications and technology companies, operates in several core business segments. Here’s a high-level overview of those segments:
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Mobile Services: This segment encompasses mobile voice and data services, including various plans and prepaid offerings. Telstra offers a wide range of mobile products, including smartphones, accessories, and mobile broadband services.
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Fixed-line Services: Telstra provides traditional fixed-line voice services as well as broadband internet services through DSL and optical fiber networks. This segment includes both residential and business solutions, integrating technologies such as NBN (National Broadband Network) for high-speed internet access.
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Network and Infrastructure Services: In this segment, Telstra operates critical telecommunications infrastructure, providing wholesale services to other telecommunications companies. This includes leasing access to Telstra's extensive fiber optic network, data centers, and other facilities.
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Enterprise Services: Targeting corporate and government clients, this segment offers customized communication solutions, including managed services, cloud services, cybersecurity, and IoT (Internet of Things) applications tailored to business needs.
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Media and Content: Telstra has interests in media and entertainment, including partnerships with content providers for streaming services, digital content distribution, and advertising.
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International Services: This segment involves Telstra’s operations outside of Australia, including voice and data services to expatriates and businesses needing global connectivity, as well as partnerships to enhance international coverage.
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Retail Operations: Telstra operates a network of retail stores and digital sales platforms, providing customers access to its products and services while enhancing customer experience through direct interaction.
Each of these segments plays a significant role in Telstra’s strategy to maintain its position as a market leader in telecommunications and technology solutions in Australia and beyond. The company continuously invests in innovation, network expansion, and customer service enhancement to adapt to changing market dynamics.
Telstra Group Ltd, as one of Australia's leading telecommunications and media companies, has several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals:
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Extensive Infrastructure: Telstra boasts one of the most expansive telecommunications networks in Australia, including a unique combination of fixed-line, mobile, and broadband infrastructure. This extensive reach allows Telstra to deliver reliable services, even in remote areas where competitors may struggle.
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Strong Brand Recognition: Telstra has significant brand equity and recognition in the Australian market. Its long-standing presence and reputation have fostered customer loyalty, making it a preferred choice for many consumers and businesses.
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Innovative Technology and Investment: Telstra has made significant investments in technology, including 5G deployment and fiber optics. Its commitment to innovation allows it to offer advanced services and stay ahead of market trends, providing a better user experience.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: The company provides a wide range of services beyond traditional telecommunications, including cloud services, cybersecurity solutions, and IoT. This diversification allows Telstra to cater to different customer needs and capture new revenue streams.
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Government Partnerships and Contracts: Telstra often engages in partnerships with government entities for infrastructure projects and services, giving it a stable source of revenue and enhancing its credibility and influence in the industry.
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Customer Service and Support: Telstra places emphasis on customer service, offering various support channels and service levels. Its commitment to improving customer experience helps reduce churn and retain subscribers.
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Economies of Scale: As one of the largest operators in Australia, Telstra can leverage economies of scale, resulting in cost advantages that allow it to operate more efficiently and competitively price its services.
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Younger Audience Engagement: With effective marketing strategies and a strong digital presence, Telstra engages well with younger audiences through tailored offerings, thus attracting new customer segments.
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Research and Development: Continuous investment in research is a cornerstone for Telstra, ensuring it remains at the forefront of technological advancements and can implement innovative solutions faster than competitors.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Telstra has committed to sustainable practices and initiatives, aligning with global trends and consumer preferences, which can enhance brand loyalty and attract environmentally-conscious customers.
These competitive advantages allow Telstra to maintain a strong position in the telecommunications market while navigating challenges posed by rivals and changing market dynamics.
As a leading telecommunications and technology company in Australia, Telstra Group Ltd faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are the key areas to consider:
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Market Competition:
- Intense Competition: The Australian telecommunications market is highly competitive, with major players such as Optus and Vodafone competing for market share. This can lead to pricing pressures and reduced margins.
- Emerging Competitors: New entrants, particularly in niche areas like satellite and broadband providers, could disrupt the market and challenge Telstra’s customer base.
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Technological Change:
- Rapid Technological Advancements: The fast-paced evolution of technology, especially in 5G, IoT (Internet of Things), and cloud computing, requires continuous investment in innovation. Failure to keep pace may result in losing market relevance.
- Cybersecurity Threats: As Telstra becomes more integrated with digital services, it faces increasing cybersecurity threats that could impact customer trust and regulatory compliance.
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Regulatory Environment:
- Regulatory Changes: Telstra operates in a heavily regulated industry. Changes in regulations, such as data privacy laws and telecommunications regulations, could impose additional compliance costs or operational restrictions.
- Government Policies: Initiatives like the National Broadband Network (NBN) and any changes in government infrastructure policy can affect competitive dynamics and profitability.
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Economic Factors:
- Economic Downturn: Overall economic conditions can impact customer spending and business investment, resulting in reduced demand for telecommunications services.
- Inflation and Cost Pressures: Rising inflation can increase operational costs, from labor to equipment, which may not be fully passed on to customers.
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Customer Expectations:
- Changing Consumer Behavior: The shift towards mobile and on-demand services requires Telstra to continually improve its offerings to meet customer expectations for speed, reliability, and service quality.
- Customer Retention: With easy switching options available for consumers, retaining customers can become a significant challenge, necessitating enhanced customer service and loyalty programs.
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Financial Performance:
- Debt Levels: If Telstra maintains high levels of debt, fluctuating interest rates could impact profitability. This is crucial amid ongoing investments in infrastructure and technology upgrades.
- Shareholder Expectations: With a focus on delivering shareholder value, Telstra must balance investments in growth with maintaining dividends, especially in a volatile market.
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Environmental and Social Considerations:
- Sustainability Initiatives: Increasing pressure from stakeholders to adopt sustainable business practices could require substantial investment, impacting short-term profitability.
- Workforce Management: As with many companies, ensuring a skilled workforce capable of handling new technologies and processes is a growing challenge.
Addressing these challenges requires strategic agility, investment in technology and customer service, and proactive stakeholder engagement by Telstra Group Ltd. Balancing these risks with opportunities for growth will be critical for maintaining its competitive edge in a dynamic industry.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Telstra Group Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Telstra Group Ltd
Current Assets | 6.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1B |
Receivables | 3.9B |
Other Current Assets | 1.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 39.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 808m |
PP&E | 23.5B |
Intangibles | 12.4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.7B |
Current Liabilities | 11.5B |
Accounts Payable | 1.5B |
Accrued Liabilities | 3.3B |
Short-Term Debt | 1.6B |
Other Current Liabilities | 5.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 19.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 12.7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 6.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Telstra Group Ltd
Revenue
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22.9B
AUD
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Cost of Revenue
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-8.4B
AUD
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Gross Profit
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14.5B
AUD
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Operating Expenses
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-11B
AUD
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Operating Income
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3.5B
AUD
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Other Expenses
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-1.8B
AUD
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Net Income
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1.6B
AUD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Telstra Group Ltd
AUD | |
Free Cash Flow | AUD |
5KB Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Telstra Group Ltd's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Telstra Group Ltd's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
5KB Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Telstra Group Ltd's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Telstra Group Ltd's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
5KB Price Targets Summary
Telstra Group Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for 5KB is 13.07 EUR with a low forecast of 9.88 EUR and a high forecast of 14.77 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for 5KB is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Telstra Group Ltd. engages in the provision of telecommunications and technology services. The company is headquartered in Melbourne, Victoria and currently employs 31,761 full-time employees. The firm offers a full range of communications services. The firm provides approximately 18.8 million retail mobile services, 3.8 million retail fixed bundles and standalone data services, and 960,000 retail fixed standalone voice services in Australia. The firm operates through four segments: Telstra Consumer and Small Business (TC&SB), Telstra Enterprise (TE), Networks and IT (N&IT), and Telstra InfraCo. TC&SB segment provides telecommunication, media and technology products and services to consumer and small business customers in Australia using mobile and fixed network technologies. TE segment provides telecommunication services, advanced technology solutions, network capacity and management, unified communications, cloud, security, industry solutions, integrated and monitoring services to government and large enterprise and business customers in Australia and globally.
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one 5KB stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.59 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 11 EUR, Telstra Group Ltd is Undervalued by 29%.