NEXTDC Ltd
ASX:NXT
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one NXT stock under the Base Case scenario is 2.39 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 15.77 AUD, NEXTDC Ltd is Overvalued by 85%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
NEXTDC Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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NEXTDC Ltd. is a leading Australian data center operator that has become a pivotal player in the burgeoning cloud computing and data services market. Founded in 2010, the company has rapidly established a robust infrastructure that underpins the digital transformation of businesses across Australia and beyond. With a strong commitment to innovation and sustainability, NEXTDC designs and operates state-of-the-art facilities that meet the growing demand for reliable, scalable, and energy-efficient data storage solutions. This dedication to excellence positions NEXTDC not just as a service provider, but as a strategic partner for enterprises looking to leverage cutting-edge technology for their...
NEXTDC Ltd. is a leading Australian data center operator that has become a pivotal player in the burgeoning cloud computing and data services market. Founded in 2010, the company has rapidly established a robust infrastructure that underpins the digital transformation of businesses across Australia and beyond. With a strong commitment to innovation and sustainability, NEXTDC designs and operates state-of-the-art facilities that meet the growing demand for reliable, scalable, and energy-efficient data storage solutions. This dedication to excellence positions NEXTDC not just as a service provider, but as a strategic partner for enterprises looking to leverage cutting-edge technology for their operational needs.
As companies increasingly move their operations to the cloud, NEXTDC stands to benefit from the surge in demand for data centers that accommodate these transformations. The company boasts an impressive portfolio of strategically located data centers in key urban hubs, enabling it to cater to a diverse range of clients, from multinational corporations to emerging startups. NEXTDC's growth strategy focuses on expanding its footprint and enhancing its services, such as managed services and interconnectivity, to drive recurring revenue streams. With a track record of strong financial performance and an outlook that reflects ongoing industry demand, NEXTDC offers a compelling investment opportunity in the technology sector, appealing to both cautious and growth-oriented investors.
NEXTDC Ltd is an Australian data center operator that provides critical infrastructure for cloud computing, colocation services, and data management. The company operates in several core business segments:
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Colocation Services: This is a primary segment where NEXTDC provides space, power, and cooling to customers for their IT infrastructure. Businesses can host their servers and storage in NEXTDC's data centers, benefiting from high levels of security, redundancy, and connectivity.
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Cloud Services: NEXTDC collaborates with various cloud service providers, allowing customers to interconnect to multiple clouds within its data centers. This segment also includes managed services supporting various cloud solutions to enhance customer digital transformation.
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Data Center Infrastructure: This segment involves the design, construction, and operation of data centers. NEXTDC focuses on building highly efficient, scalable, and environmentally friendly facilities with advanced technology to support growing digital demands.
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Network Services: NEXTDC offers connectivity services, allowing clients to connect to different networks and internet service providers, improving their operational flexibility and efficiency. This includes high-speed fiber connectivity and peering services.
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Value-Added Services: This includes various ancillary services such as monitoring, management, and cybersecurity solutions that add value to customers' colocation and cloud services.
NEXTDC’s strategy emphasizes scalability, sustainability, and innovation, addressing the increasing demand for secure and efficient data storage and management solutions in the digital age.
NEXTDC Ltd, an Australian data center operator, enjoys several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the industry. Here are some key advantages:
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Strategic Location: NEXTDC operates in prime locations across Australia, ensuring low-latency connections and optimal accessibility for clients. Their facilities are positioned in major metro areas, which attracts a diverse range of customers.
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High-Quality Infrastructure: NEXTDC is known for its state-of-the-art data centers, equipped with cutting-edge technology and robust physical security measures. This high standard of facility not only enhances operational efficiency but also appeals to enterprises looking for reliability.
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Sustainability Commitment: The company emphasizes sustainability by using renewable energy sources and implementing energy-efficient systems. Their commitment to reducing carbon footprints resonates with environmentally conscious companies.
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Interconnection Ecosystem: NEXTDC provides a rich interconnection environment, allowing customers easy access to multiple networks, cloud services, and Internet exchanges. This ecosystem is vital for businesses that require flexible and scalable connectivity.
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Strong Brand Reputation: The company has built a solid reputation in the market for reliability and customer service, leading to high levels of trust among its clients. This reputation can be a significant differentiator in a competitive market.
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Industry Partnerships: NEXTDC has established strategic partnerships with major cloud service providers and telecommunications companies. These collaborations enhance their service offerings and expand their market reach.
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Scale and Capacity: As one of the largest data center operators in Australia, NEXTDC benefits from economies of scale that can lower operational costs and improve margins, enabling them to compete effectively on pricing.
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Innovative Technology: NEXTDC invests in the latest technology to enhance service offerings. This includes advanced cooling systems, efficient energy management, and automation, which can lead to better service delivery and lower costs.
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Customer-Centric Approach: The company focuses on understanding and meeting the specific needs of its customers, facilitating tailored solutions that enhance customer loyalty and retention.
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Regulatory Compliance and Security: NEXTDC adheres to strict regulations and industry standards for data security and privacy, which is critical for clients in sectors such as finance and healthcare.
These competitive advantages collectively position NEXTDC Ltd favorably in the Australian data center market, enabling it to attract and retain clients while differentiating itself from competitors.
NEXTDC Ltd, an operator of data centers in Australia, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Market Competition: The Australian data center market is becoming increasingly competitive, with both local and international players entering the space. This may lead to pricing pressures and a need to differentiate services.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid technological changes in data storage and processing could render existing infrastructure less competitive. NEXTDC must continually invest in new technologies and upgrades to meet customer demands and industry standards.
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Energy Costs and Sustainability: As data centers consume significant amounts of energy, rising energy costs and the need to adopt more sustainable practices pose challenges. NEXTDC may face pressure from both consumers and regulators to improve energy efficiency and reduce carbon footprints.
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Regulatory Environment: Increased regulation surrounding data privacy, security, and environmental impact can pose compliance challenges. Changes in laws or regulations can lead to increased operational costs or the need for additional investments.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns or fluctuations can affect client budgets and spending, leading to potential decreases in demand for data center services. A downturn could also impact capital expenditure for expansions.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a provider of data storage and processing, NEXTDC faces the risk of cyberattacks and data breaches. The ongoing evolution of cyber threats necessitates constant vigilance and investment in security measures.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, particularly post-pandemic, can lead to delays in obtaining essential hardware and technology required for building and maintaining data centers.
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Customer Concentration Risk: If NEXTDC has a significant portion of its revenues from a limited number of clients, losing one or several key customers could adversely impact its financial stability.
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Capital Expenditure Obligations: The requirement for continuous investment in infrastructure can lead to high capital expenditures. Balancing these expenditures while maintaining profitability is a critical challenge.
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Skilled Labor Shortage: The tech industry faces a talent shortage, and NEXTDC may struggle to attract and retain skilled professionals required to operate and innovate within their facilities.
By addressing these risks effectively, NEXTDC Ltd can position itself for sustained growth in a dynamic industry.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
NEXTDC Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
NEXTDC Ltd
Current Assets | 1.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.2B |
Receivables | 70.4m |
Other Current Assets | 28.2m |
Non-Current Assets | 3.9B |
Long-Term Investments | 12.1m |
PP&E | 3.8B |
Intangibles | 55.8m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 32.5m |
Current Liabilities | 150.6m |
Accounts Payable | 131.7m |
Other Current Liabilities | 18.9m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 1.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 51m |
Earnings Waterfall
NEXTDC Ltd
Revenue
|
437m
AUD
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Cost of Revenue
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-125m
AUD
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Gross Profit
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312m
AUD
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Operating Expenses
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-249.7m
AUD
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Operating Income
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62.3m
AUD
|
Other Expenses
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-106.4m
AUD
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Net Income
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-44.1m
AUD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
NEXTDC Ltd
AUD | |
Free Cash Flow | AUD |
NXT Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
NEXTDC Ltd's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
NEXTDC Ltd's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
NXT Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
NEXTDC Ltd's solvency score is 60/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
NEXTDC Ltd's solvency score is 60/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
NXT Price Targets Summary
NEXTDC Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NXT is 19.7 AUD with a low forecast of 6.56 AUD and a high forecast of 26.99 AUD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for NXT is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
NXT Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
NextDC Ltd. engages in the operation and development of smart, secure and scalable datacenters. The company is headquartered in Brisbane, Queensland and currently employs 271 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2010-12-13. The firm is connected with digital infrastructure platform provides access to hyperscale cloud providers, private clouds providers, carrier networks and information communication technology (ICT) services organizations. Its data centers and custom colocation solutions enables flexibility, speed and agility through solutions that scale and prevent friction, which is supported by the network-dense and skilled ecosystem of cloud platforms and digital services. The firm also delivers Data Centre as-a-Service (DCaaS) solutions in industry engineering, energy efficiency, interconnectivity and security innovations that enables businesses to grow and scale.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one NXT stock under the Base Case scenario is 2.39 AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 15.77 AUD, NEXTDC Ltd is Overvalued by 85%.