Lynas Rare Earths Ltd
ASX:LYC

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Lynas Rare Earths Ltd Logo
Lynas Rare Earths Ltd
ASX:LYC
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Price: 6.8 AUD -1.02% Market Closed
Market Cap: 6.4B AUD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one LYC stock under the Base Case scenario is 7.12 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 6.8 AUD, Lynas Rare Earths Ltd is Undervalued by 4%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

LYC Intrinsic Value
7.12 AUD
Undervaluation 4%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Lynas Rare Earths Ltd

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Months
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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Lynas Rare Earths Ltd

Current Assets 707.3m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 523.8m
Receivables 56.7m
Other Current Assets 126.8m
Non-Current Assets 2.1B
PP&E 2B
Intangibles 1.3m
Other Non-Current Assets 102.2m
Current Liabilities 169.3m
Accounts Payable 39.3m
Accrued Liabilities 46.9m
Other Current Liabilities 83.2m
Non-Current Liabilities 392.8m
Long-Term Debt 150.5m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 242.3m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Lynas Rare Earths Ltd

Revenue
463.3m AUD
Cost of Revenue
-330.6m AUD
Gross Profit
132.7m AUD
Operating Expenses
-62.5m AUD
Operating Income
70.2m AUD
Other Expenses
14.3m AUD
Net Income
84.5m AUD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Lynas Rare Earths Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In the latest quarter, Lynas Rare Earths produced approximately 1,700 tonnes of NdPr, maintaining a steady production strategy amidst modest price recoveries, currently stabilizing around $50 per kilogram. Improved efficiencies at their Malaysia facilities are expected to boost capacity to 10,500 tonnes by year-end. Recent operational upgrades, including a dewatering circuit at Mt Weld, have alleviated production bottlenecks. As demand across various sectors rises, including automotive and electronics, Lynas remains confident in long-term growth and strategic customer relationships, focusing on margins over sheer volume.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

LYC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
Positive Net Income
Positive Operating Income
Positive Gross Profit
54/100
Profitability
Score

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

LYC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd's solvency score is 86/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Low D/E
86/100
Solvency
Score

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd's solvency score is 86/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

LYC Price Targets Summary
Lynas Rare Earths Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast LYC stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LYC is 7.87 AUD with a low forecast of 5.5 AUD and a high forecast of 9.98 AUD.

Lowest
Price Target
5.5 AUD
19% Downside
Average
Price Target
7.87 AUD
16% Upside
Highest
Price Target
9.98 AUD
47% Upside
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Dividends

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for LYC is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
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Ownership

LYC Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
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Profile

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd Logo
Lynas Rare Earths Ltd

Country

Malaysia

Industry

Metals & Mining

Market Cap

6.4B AUD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd. engages in the production of rare earth minerals. The company is headquartered in Kuantan, Pahang. The Company’s assets include Mt Weld, Lynas Malaysia, Kalgoorlie and Lynas USA. Mt Weld is a rare earth mine, located approximately 35-kilometer (km) south of Laverton in Western Australia. Lynas Malaysia is an integrated manufacturing facility, separating and processing rare earths materials, located in the Gebeng Industrial Estate near the Port of Kuantan in Malaysia. Kalgoorlie is a rare earth processing facility, which is located in the Western Australia. Its subsidiaries include Lynas Malaysia Sdn Bhd, Lynas Services Pty Ltd, Mount Weld Holdings Pty Ltd, Mount Weld Mining Pty Ltd, and Lynas Kalgoorlie Pty Ltd.

Contact

PAHANG
Kuantan
PT17212 Jalan Gebeng 3, Kawasan Perindustrian Gebeng, Pahang Darul Makmur
+6095825200.0
lynasrareearths.com

IPO

1986-09-11

Employees

-

Officers

MD, CEO & Director
Ms. Amanda M. Lacaze ATCL, B.A., M.A.I.C.D.
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Gaudenz Sturzenegger
Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Pol Le Roux
General Counsel & Company Secretary
Ms. Sarah Leonard
Vice President of Malaysia
Mr. Mashal Ahmad Bsc
Vice President of Major Projects
Mr. Chris Jenney
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Vice President of Strategy & Investor Relations
Mr. Daniel Havas
Vice President of People & Culture
Ms. Mimi Afzan Afza
Consultant
Mr. Ivo John Polovineo P.N.A., N.I.A., FIPA
Vice President of Corporate Affairs
Ms. Jennifer Parker
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one LYC stock?

The intrinsic value of one LYC stock under the Base Case scenario is 7.12 AUD.

Is LYC stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 6.8 AUD, Lynas Rare Earths Ltd is Undervalued by 4%.

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