Adyen NV
AEX:ADYEN
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ADYEN stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 223.92 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 1 213.8 EUR, Adyen NV is Undervalued by 1%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Adyen NV
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Fundamental Analysis
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Adyen NV is a leading global payment processor that has made a name for itself by simplifying the payment landscape for businesses around the world. Founded in 2006 in the Netherlands, Adyen offers a unified platform that allows companies to accept payments in various formats, whether online, in-store, or via mobile devices. What sets Adyen apart is its ability to provide a seamless experience for both merchants and consumers, integrating payment processing with data analytics to optimize transactions and enhance security. As more businesses seek to navigate the ever-evolving digital economy, Adyen stands out as a partner capable of supporting growth and innovation, managing everything from...
Adyen NV is a leading global payment processor that has made a name for itself by simplifying the payment landscape for businesses around the world. Founded in 2006 in the Netherlands, Adyen offers a unified platform that allows companies to accept payments in various formats, whether online, in-store, or via mobile devices. What sets Adyen apart is its ability to provide a seamless experience for both merchants and consumers, integrating payment processing with data analytics to optimize transactions and enhance security. As more businesses seek to navigate the ever-evolving digital economy, Adyen stands out as a partner capable of supporting growth and innovation, managing everything from currency conversions to fraud prevention, all under one roof.
Investors looking at Adyen are intrigued by its impressive growth trajectory and robust business model. The company has enjoyed a significant rise in revenue, driven by the increasing trend toward online shopping and digital payments. It has built a diverse client portfolio that includes well-known global brands like Spotify and Uber, demonstrating its capability to cater to companies of all sizes across numerous sectors. With a strong technological foundation and an unwavering focus on scalability, Adyen is positioned to continue thriving in a market that is expanding rapidly. As digital payments become increasingly essential in today’s economy, Adyen's forward-thinking approach could offer promising long-term value for investors who buy into its vision of a future where transactions are seamlessly integrated into everyday life.
Adyen NV is a leading global payment company that offers a comprehensive platform for businesses to accept, process, and disburse payments across various channels. The core business segments of Adyen can be broadly categorized as follows:
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Payment Processing: This segment encompasses the core functionality of Adyen’s platform, allowing merchants to process payments made via different methods (credit cards, debit cards, local payment methods, mobile wallets, etc.) across multiple regions. Adyen supports online, in-store, and mobile payments, providing seamless integration for businesses.
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Gateway Services: Adyen provides a payment gateway that facilitates the transfer of transaction data between a merchant's website and the payment processor. This service includes fraud detection tools and ensures secure transactions.
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Risk Management: Adyen offers solutions to manage and mitigate payment fraud risks. Through its machine learning algorithms and real-time risk checks, Adyen helps businesses approve legitimate transactions while reducing the likelihood of fraudulent charges.
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Payout Solutions: This segment includes services that allow merchants to disburse funds to their customers, vendors, or partners. This is particularly relevant for platforms and marketplaces that need to manage multiple parties within their payment ecosystems.
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Commerce Tools and Insights: Adyen provides tools that help businesses analyze transaction data and consumer behavior. This includes reporting features, dashboards, and insights that assist in optimizing the payment process and enhancing business decision-making.
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Global Reach and Local Payment Methods: Adyen's strength lies in its ability to support a wide range of payment methods tailored to local markets. This enables merchants to cater effectively to customers across different regions and enhance conversion rates.
Each of these segments works together to create a robust and integrated payment solution that addresses the diverse needs of merchants in the modern digital economy. Adyen's focus on technology, innovation, and a seamless user experience positions it well in the competitive payments landscape.
Adyen NV has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the payment processing industry:
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Unified Payment Platform: Adyen offers a single platform that integrates various payment methods, channels (online, in-store, and mobile), and currencies. This consolidation simplifies payment processes for merchants, reducing complexity and improving efficiency.
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Global Reach with Local Expertise: Adyen operates in numerous countries and supports various local payment methods. This global yet localized approach allows businesses to cater to diverse customer bases while optimizing conversions based on regional preferences.
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Direct Connections: Unlike many competitors that rely on multiple third-party processors, Adyen has direct connections with various payment methods and schemes. This minimizes transaction costs and provides faster transaction processing.
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Data-Driven Insights: Adyen’s platform collects and analyzes transaction data in real-time, offering merchants valuable insights into customer behavior, fraud detection, and sales optimization. This data utilization enhances decision-making processes for businesses.
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Scalability: The platform is designed to grow alongside merchants, accommodating the needs of startups to global enterprises effortlessly. This scalability makes it an attractive option for businesses at various growth stages.
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Strong Security Measures: Adyen prioritizes security with advanced fraud protection tools and compliance with international security standards. This emphasis on security can enhance trust and credibility with customers and partners.
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Flexible Integration: Adyen provides APIs and SDKs that make it easy for businesses to integrate its services into their existing systems. This flexibility aids in faster deployment and customization based on specific business needs.
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Innovative Technology: Continuous investment in technology and automation helps Adyen stay ahead of industry trends. Their commitment to innovation enables the introduction of new features and services that provide additional value to merchants.
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Transparent Pricing: Adyen employs a transparent pricing model without hidden fees, which appeals to many businesses that prefer predictable cost structures, enhancing customer trust.
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Strong Clientele and Partnerships: Adyen has established relationships with a wide range of global brands (like Spotify, Uber, and eBay), showcasing its capability and reliability as a payment service provider. This reputation can help attract new customers based on the success of existing clients.
These factors combined give Adyen a unique position in the competitive landscape of payment processing, allowing it to effectively address the diverse needs of its clients.
Adyen NV, as a leading payment service provider, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its business in the near future. Here are some of the key considerations:
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Regulatory Compliance:
- Evolving Regulations: Payment services are subject to changing regulations in different regions, including GDPR in Europe, PSD2, and various anti-money laundering (AML) laws. Compliance can require significant investment and resources.
- Data Privacy Concerns: With increasing scrutiny on data privacy, any breach or non-compliance could result in fines and damage to reputation.
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Intense Competition:
- Competitive Landscape: The payment processing industry is highly competitive, with both established players (like PayPal, Stripe) and new entrants vying for market share. Maintaining a competitive edge in terms of pricing, features, and technology is crucial.
- Technological Advancements: Competitors may adopt new technologies faster, making it essential for Adyen to continuously innovate.
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Economic Factors:
- Recession Risks: Economic downturns could potentially reduce consumer spending, which would impact transaction volumes and revenue for payment processors.
- Currency Fluctuations: As a global player, Adyen's revenues are affected by currency exchange rates, which could impact profit margins.
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Cybersecurity Threats:
- Data Breaches: As a payment processor, Adyen is a prime target for cyberattacks. Any security breach could lead to financial losses and customer attrition.
- Fraudulent Transactions: Increasing sophistication of fraud tactics could impact transaction security and customer trust.
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Technology Integration and Reliability:
- System Downtime: Technical failures or outages could disrupt services, leading to loss of revenue and trust from merchants and customers.
- Integration Challenges: Adyen must ensure seamless integration with various platforms and systems, which can be complex and resource-intensive.
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Customer Dependency:
- Concentration Risk: A significant portion of revenue may come from a few large customers. The loss of any major client could have a disproportionate impact on financial results.
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Market Demand Dynamics:
- Changing Consumer Behavior: Shifts in consumer preferences toward digital payment methods and e-commerce solutions may require the company to adapt its offerings.
- Global Market Penetration: Expanding into new markets carries risks including cultural differences, local competition, and regulatory hurdles.
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Reputation Management:
- Public Perception: Any negative publicity related to fraud, compliance issues, or customer service problems can erode trust and affect business growth.
- Sustainability Practices: As environmental and social governance (ESG) becomes increasingly important to consumers, failing to meet these expectations can impact reputation and customer loyalty.
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Geopolitical Risks:
- Global Instability: Political instability or trade tensions in key markets could disrupt operations and affect cross-border transactions.
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Innovation Pressure:
- Need for Constant Improvement: The fast-paced nature of technology means that Adyen must continually evolve its services to meet customer and market demands, posing risks related to development timelines and resource allocation.
To navigate these challenges, Adyen will need to leverage its strengths, maintain a proactive approach to risk management, and continuously innovate its offerings.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Adyen NV
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Adyen NV
Current Assets | 9.6B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 8.6B |
Receivables | 708.5m |
Other Current Assets | 193.5m |
Non-Current Assets | 529.4m |
Long-Term Investments | 15.3m |
PP&E | 387m |
Intangibles | 8.7m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 118.5m |
Current Liabilities | 6.3B |
Accounts Payable | 186.6m |
Other Current Liabilities | 6.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 185.4m |
Long-Term Debt | 179.8m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 5.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
Adyen NV
Revenue
|
2B
EUR
|
Cost of Revenue
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-241.1m
EUR
|
Gross Profit
|
1.8B
EUR
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1B
EUR
|
Operating Income
|
749.8m
EUR
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Other Expenses
|
75.9m
EUR
|
Net Income
|
825.8m
EUR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Adyen NV
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
ADYEN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Adyen NV's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Adyen NV's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ADYEN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Adyen NV's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Adyen NV's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ADYEN Price Targets Summary
Adyen NV
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ADYEN is 1 653.18 EUR with a low forecast of 1 075.65 EUR and a high forecast of 2 047.5 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ADYEN is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Adyen NV engages in the provision of payments platform business. The company is headquartered in Amsterdam, Noord-Holland and currently employs 2,180 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2018-06-13. The company operates an online platform enabling merchants to accept payments internationally and from all sales channels, such as online shops, mobile payments from applications and Websites, and POS, such as countertops, mobile terminals, tablets and cash registers, among others. The platform covers the entire payment chain, including technical, contractual, reconciliation and settlement processes. The platform is available in the form of ready-to-use payment pages (HPP), application programming interface (API), and client-side encryption solution (EE). The Company’s customers include Mango, KLM, Netflix, Superdry, Uber, Groupon and Crocs, among others. The company has offices in the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Belgium, Brazil, China, Australia, Mexico, Singapore, Spain, Sweden and the United States.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ADYEN stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 223.92 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 1 213.8 EUR, Adyen NV is Undervalued by 1%.