SM Prime Holdings Inc
XPHS:SMPH
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one SMPH stock under the Base Case scenario is 46.02 PHP. Compared to the current market price of 27.5 PHP, SM Prime Holdings Inc is Undervalued by 40%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
SM Prime Holdings Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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SM Prime Holdings Inc., the largest integrated property developer in the Philippines, has positioned itself as a cornerstone of the nation’s real estate landscape. Founded in 1985 as a mall operator, SM Prime has since expanded its portfolio to encompass residential, commercial, and leisure properties, making it a dynamic player in the Philippines’ fast-growing economy. With over 77 malls across the country and a significant presence in China, the company boasts a robust revenue stream driven by retail, cinema, and leisure activities. As the urban population continues to rise in the Philippines, SM Prime is poised for growth, capitalizing on the increasing demand for integrated lifestyle dev...
SM Prime Holdings Inc., the largest integrated property developer in the Philippines, has positioned itself as a cornerstone of the nation’s real estate landscape. Founded in 1985 as a mall operator, SM Prime has since expanded its portfolio to encompass residential, commercial, and leisure properties, making it a dynamic player in the Philippines’ fast-growing economy. With over 77 malls across the country and a significant presence in China, the company boasts a robust revenue stream driven by retail, cinema, and leisure activities. As the urban population continues to rise in the Philippines, SM Prime is poised for growth, capitalizing on the increasing demand for integrated lifestyle developments that combine living, working, and recreation spaces.
Investors looking at SM Prime Holdings will find a company grounded in resilience and strategic expansion. In recent years, the firm has diversified into residential developments through its subsidiary, SM Development Corporation, launching several successful projects that cater to varying market segments. With a strong commitment to sustainability and innovation, SM Prime has also integrated green building practices into its developments, ensuring long-term value creation. As the economy rebounds post-pandemic, the company's strategic focus on housing, commercial spaces, and revitalizing tourism offers a promising outlook for sustained growth and profitability. With its established brand and increasing market share, SM Prime Holdings Inc. presents an attractive investment opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the Philippines' economic potential.
SM Prime Holdings Inc. is one of the largest integrated property developers in the Philippines, and its core business segments can be categorized as follows:
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Shopping Malls: This segment is one of SM Prime's major revenue drivers. The company operates a chain of shopping malls across the Philippines and in China, offering a wide range of retail, dining, and entertainment options. These malls serve as community hubs and generate significant foot traffic, which attracts numerous retailers.
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Residential Development: SM Prime is actively involved in developing residential properties under various brands, catering to different market segments, including affordable housing, mid-range, and upscale developments. They offer condominiums, subdivisions, and mixed-use developments, contributing to the growing demand for housing in urban areas.
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Commercial Properties: This segment includes the development and leasing of office buildings and commercial spaces. SM Prime aims to establish business districts that accommodate a variety of businesses, enhancing urban development and providing tenants with accessible and strategically located office environments.
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Hotels and Convention Centers: SM Prime also invests in the hospitality sector, operating hotels, resorts, and convention centers. This segment is designed to cater to both leisure and business travelers, capitalizing on the growing tourism sector in the Philippines.
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Entertainment and Leisure: Beyond traditional property segments, SM Prime engages in developing entertainment facilities, such as cinemas, amusement parks, and recreational areas. These venues enhance the overall experience of their shopping malls and residential developments.
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Land Development: SM Prime focuses on developing large-scale land areas for various purposes, including residential, commercial, and mixed-use projects. This strategic development approach maximizes land use and represents a sustainable growth strategy.
These core segments work synergistically to create a comprehensive real estate portfolio, contributing to SM Prime's overall growth and reinforcing its position as a leading player in the Philippine property market.
SM Prime Holdings Inc, a leading property developer in the Philippines, possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals:
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Brand Equity and Recognition: Leveraging the well-established SM brand, it enjoys significant trust and loyalty among consumers. This brand strength translates into higher foot traffic in its malls and residential developments.
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Diverse Portfolio: SM Prime has a diversified business model that includes shopping malls, residential developments, commercial properties, and hotels. This diversification reduces risk and enhances revenue streams, ensuring stability even if one segment underperforms.
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Integrated Development Approach: SM Prime focuses on integrated developments, combining residential, commercial, and leisure components in one area. This not only provides convenience to customers but also creates value through synergy and increased footfall.
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Strong Financial Backing: Being part of the SM Group, which has extensive resources and access to capital, allows SM Prime to undertake large projects and withstand economic downturns better than some competitors.
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Strategic Locations: SM Prime has a robust pipeline of strategically located malls and residential projects, often in high-traffic and developing areas. This positioning helps capture demand and foster growth in up-and-coming markets.
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Vertical Integration: Having control over various stages of development—from land acquisition to construction and leasing—enables SM Prime to maintain quality, manage costs efficiently, and adapt quickly to market changes.
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Innovation and Technology Adoption: The company continually invests in technology to improve operational efficiencies and enhance customer experiences, ensuring that it stays ahead of competitors in the fast-evolving real estate landscape.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Its commitment to environmentally sustainable practices and socially responsible developments not only meets growing consumer preference but also positions SM Prime favorably in ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) considerations, attracting socially conscious investors.
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Scale and Market Dominance: SM Prime has a commanding presence in the Philippines' property market, giving it significant influence over pricing and market trends. Its scale also allows for economies of scale in operations and purchasing.
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Customer-Centric Approach: With a focus on understanding and meeting customer needs, SM Prime has built extensive loyalty programs and customer engagement strategies, driving repeat business and enhancing overall satisfaction.
These competitive advantages create a robust foundation for SM Prime Holdings Inc to maintain its leadership position in the Philippine property market amid increasing competition.
SM Prime Holdings Inc., as one of the largest integrated property developers in the Philippines, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Economic Volatility: The company is sensitive to economic fluctuations, including changes in interest rates, inflation, and foreign exchange rates. A slowdown in the economy can lead to decreased consumer spending, which may affect occupancy rates in malls and residential properties.
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Regulatory Environment: Changes in government policies, zoning laws, and real estate regulations can impact SM Prime’s operations and project timelines. Compliance with environmental regulations and obtaining necessary permits can also pose challenges.
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Competition: The real estate and property development sector in the Philippines is highly competitive. New entrants as well as established players vying for market share can pressure prices and margins.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing disruptions in the supply chain, exacerbated by global events such as the pandemic and geopolitical tensions, can increase construction costs and delay project completions.
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Operational Risks: As SM Prime manages a diverse portfolio, including malls, residential, commercial, and leisure spaces, operational inefficiencies or failures in property management can negatively impact revenue.
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Market Saturation: With increasing urban development, there might be a risk of market saturation, especially in highly competitive areas, leading to a potential decrease in demand for residential and commercial spaces.
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Sustainability and Environmental Concerns: Growing awareness and regulatory emphasis on sustainability may require SM Prime to invest more in eco-friendly practices and technologies, which could increase initial costs.
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Consumer Trends and Behavior: Changes in consumer behavior, especially post-pandemic, could affect retail sales and physical mall footfall. Increased preference for online shopping could pose challenges to traditional retail spaces.
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Technological Advancements: The fast-paced nature of technological advancements requires constant adaptation. Failure to integrate new technologies into operations can impact competitiveness.
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Public Perception and Brand Management: Negative publicity or issues related to customer service, safety, or corporate governance can affect consumer confidence and impact revenue.
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Geopolitical Risks: Regional tensions or global crises can influence investor sentiment and economic conditions, affecting operations and investment returns.
To mitigate these risks, SM Prime Holdings Inc. needs to adopt strategic planning, robust financial management, and a proactive approach to market trends and regulatory changes.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
SM Prime Holdings Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
SM Prime Holdings Inc
Current Assets | 216.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 34.6B |
Receivables | 74.4B |
Other Current Assets | 107.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 760.9B |
Long-Term Investments | 622.4B |
PP&E | 1.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 136.9B |
Current Liabilities | 214.9B |
Accounts Payable | 50.8B |
Accrued Liabilities | 39.4B |
Short-Term Debt | 37.4B |
Other Current Liabilities | 87.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 354.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 271.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 82.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
SM Prime Holdings Inc
Revenue
|
132.9B
PHP
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-19.6B
PHP
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Gross Profit
|
113.3B
PHP
|
Operating Expenses
|
-49.9B
PHP
|
Operating Income
|
63.4B
PHP
|
Other Expenses
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-20.8B
PHP
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Net Income
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42.6B
PHP
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
SM Prime Holdings Inc
PHP | |
Free Cash Flow | PHP |
SMPH Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
SM Prime Holdings Inc's profitability score is 65/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
SM Prime Holdings Inc's profitability score is 65/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
SMPH Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
SM Prime Holdings Inc's solvency score is 37/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
SM Prime Holdings Inc's solvency score is 37/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
SMPH Price Targets Summary
SM Prime Holdings Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SMPH is 40.75 PHP with a low forecast of 31.31 PHP and a high forecast of 48.3 PHP.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for SMPH is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
SM Prime Holdings, Inc. develops, conducts, operates and maintains modern commercial shopping centers. The firm engages in the development of malls, residences, offices, hotels and convention centers. The company operates in four segments: mall, residential, commercial, and hotels and convention centers. The mall segment develops, conducts, operates and maintains the business of commercial shopping centers and businesses related thereto, such as the conduct, operation and maintenance of shopping center spaces for rent, amusement centers or cinema theaters within the compound of the shopping centers. The residential and commercial segments are involved in the development and transformation of residential, commercial, entertainment and tourism districts through capital investments in buildings and infrastructure. The hotels and convention centers segment engages in and carries the business of hotel and convention centers, and operates and maintains services and facilities incident thereto. Its properties include SM Megamall and SM City Sucat.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one SMPH stock under the Base Case scenario is 46.02 PHP.
Compared to the current market price of 27.5 PHP, SM Prime Holdings Inc is Undervalued by 40%.