Manila Electric Co
XPHS:MER
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one MER stock under the Base Case scenario is 488.51 PHP. Compared to the current market price of 450 PHP, Manila Electric Co is Undervalued by 8%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Manila Electric Co
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Fundamental Analysis
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Manila Electric Company, commonly known as Meralco, stands as the largest electric distribution utility in the Philippines, serving around 7 million customers across Metro Manila and nearby provinces. Founded in 1903, Meralco has grown from its humble beginnings into a key player in the nation's infrastructure landscape, facilitating economic development through reliable electricity supply. The company operates within a regulated environment, which not only ensures stable returns for investors but also mandates adherence to stringent service standards, positioning Meralco as a cornerstone of the Philippine energy market. As the country transitions towards more sustainable energy sources, Me...
Manila Electric Company, commonly known as Meralco, stands as the largest electric distribution utility in the Philippines, serving around 7 million customers across Metro Manila and nearby provinces. Founded in 1903, Meralco has grown from its humble beginnings into a key player in the nation's infrastructure landscape, facilitating economic development through reliable electricity supply. The company operates within a regulated environment, which not only ensures stable returns for investors but also mandates adherence to stringent service standards, positioning Meralco as a cornerstone of the Philippine energy market.
As the country transitions towards more sustainable energy sources, Meralco is keenly focused on diversifying its energy mix and investing in renewable energy projects, aligning itself with global trends towards sustainability and energy efficiency. The company is also integrating smart technologies to enhance service delivery and operational efficiency, reflecting its commitment to innovation in an increasingly competitive environment. For investors, Meralco presents an attractive opportunity with its longstanding market presence, strong financial performance, and clear strategic direction towards technological advancement and sustainability, embodying the principles of steady growth and resilience that resonate with value investing philosophies.
Manila Electric Company (Meralco) is the largest electric distribution utility in the Philippines. It primarily operates in the following core business segments:
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Electricity Distribution: This is the main segment of Meralco’s business, where it generates revenue through the distribution of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Metro Manila and surrounding areas. Meralco is responsible for the maintenance of the power lines and infrastructure necessary for delivering electricity.
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Retail Electricity Supply: Under the Retail Competition and Open Access (RCOA) framework, Meralco also participates in the retail electricity supply market, offering electricity to large consumers who can choose their power supplier. This segment has become increasingly competitive as more suppliers enter the market.
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Generation: Meralco has ventured into electricity generation to diversify its revenue streams. Through subsidiaries and joint ventures, it invests in power generation assets, contributing to the supply of electricity it distributes. This segment allows Meralco to manage supply costs and ensure a reliable source of electricity for its customers.
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Customer Services: Providing excellent customer service is crucial for Meralco, encompassing billing, collections, customer support, and digital innovations. This segment focuses on enhancing customer experience and engagement through various channels, including online services and mobile applications.
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Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Solutions: Meralco is increasingly focusing on energy efficiency programs and renewable energy solutions to promote sustainability and meet the rising demand for green energy options. This includes initiatives to help customers reduce their energy consumption and invest in renewable energy technologies.
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Infrastructure Development and Upgrades: Continued investments in infrastructure development and upgrades are essential for improving the distribution network's reliability and efficiency. This segment focuses on projects that enhance the capability of the distribution system to meet growing demand and maintain service quality.
By operating across these core business segments, Meralco aims to provide reliable and affordable electricity while adapting to the evolving energy landscape in the Philippines.
Manila Electric Company (Meralco) holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the Philippine electricity distribution market. Here are some key factors:
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Market Dominance: Meralco is the largest electric distribution utility in the Philippines, serving around 7 million customers in Metro Manila and surrounding provinces. Its extensive customer base provides significant economies of scale, enabling it to operate more efficiently than smaller competitors.
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Infrastructure and Network: With a well-established and extensive distribution network, Meralco benefits from a robust infrastructure that has been developed and maintained over many decades. This comprehensive infrastructure allows for reliable service delivery and a lower outage frequency compared to competitors.
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Brand Recognition and Customer Loyalty: As one of the oldest companies in the Philippines, Meralco has built a strong brand reputation over the years. Customer loyalty can lead to stable revenues and reduce the cost of customer acquisition compared to newer entrants in the market.
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Regulatory Relationships: Meralco has a long-standing relationship with regulatory bodies such as the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC). This entrenched position can provide favorable regulatory treatment and quicker approvals for projects, leading to a competitive edge.
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Diverse Energy Sources: Meralco has invested in various energy sources, including renewable energy, which allows it to provide a more reliable energy supply and align with environmental policies. This diversification can protect against market volatility in fossil fuel prices.
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Innovative Solutions and Smart Technologies: The company is investing in smart grid technologies and other innovations, leading to improved customer service and operational efficiency. These advancements can enhance customer satisfaction and engagement.
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Strong Financial Performance: Meralco's size and operational efficiency result in strong financial health, which allows for greater flexibility in investments, expansions, and coping with market fluctuations.
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Affiliation with San Miguel Corporation: Meralco's affiliation with large conglomerates such as San Miguel Corporation provides additional resources, strategic partnerships, and potential cross-industry synergies, enhancing its competitive posture.
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Geographic Advantage: Being located in the highly populated and economically vital region of Metro Manila allows Meralco to tap into a growing urban populace and industrial segment, ensuring steady demand for electricity.
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Commitment to Sustainability: With an increasing global focus on sustainability, Meralco's commitment to renewable energy and reducing its carbon footprint can attract environmentally conscious consumers and investors.
These competitive advantages enable Meralco to maintain its leadership position in the electric utility sector within the Philippines and provide a buffer against competition from emerging players.
Manila Electric Company (Meralco) faces several risks and challenges in the near future, particularly in the context of the fast-evolving energy sector and the Philippine economy. Here are some of the key risks and challenges:
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Regulatory Changes: Meralco operates in a heavily regulated environment. Changes in government policies, energy tariffs, and regulations imposed by the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) could affect its pricing structure, profitability, and operational flexibility.
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Competitive Pressure: The liberalization of the Philippine electricity market could bring increased competition from other power distribution companies and alternative energy providers. This would pressure Meralco to innovate and offer better services at competitive prices.
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Renewable Energy Transition: The global shift towards renewable energy sources presents both challenges and opportunities. Meralco may need to invest significantly in infrastructure and technology to integrate renewable energy sources to meet regulatory requirements and customer demand.
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Infrastructure Challenges: The company’s distribution network requires continuous investment in maintenance and upgrades to improve efficiency and reliability. Aging infrastructure can lead to service disruptions and increased operational costs.
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Economic Conditions: Economic fluctuations in the Philippines, such as inflation and changes in consumer spending power, can impact electricity demand. Economic downturns could lead to increased loan defaults from customers, affecting cash flow.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As the industry becomes more digitized, Meralco faces growing threats related to cybersecurity. A breach could lead to service disruptions, loss of customer trust, and potential regulatory penalties.
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Natural Disasters: The Philippines is prone to natural disasters like typhoons and earthquakes. Such events can damage infrastructure, lead to supply chain disruptions, and increase operational costs related to recovery and repairs.
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Technological Advances: Keeping pace with technological innovations, such as smart grid technology and energy storage solutions, is essential for Meralco to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency. Failure to adopt new technologies can lead to a competitive disadvantage.
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Consumer Expectations: Increasing customer expectations for reliable, affordable, and sustainable power can put pressure on Meralco to enhance its service offerings and customer engagement, driving the need for investment in new technologies and processes.
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Environmental Sustainability: Growing pressure from stakeholders, including consumers and corporate partners, to adopt environmentally sustainable practices may require Meralco to invest heavily in sustainability initiatives, potentially affecting short-term profitability.
Addressing these risks will require a proactive strategy focused on innovation, operational efficiency, and customer satisfaction while maintaining compliance with regulatory requirements.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Manila Electric Co
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Manila Electric Co
Current Assets | 178B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 90B |
Receivables | 65.9B |
Other Current Assets | 22.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 453.3B |
Long-Term Investments | 54.3B |
PP&E | 285.6B |
Intangibles | 52.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 61.2B |
Current Liabilities | 253.5B |
Accounts Payable | 93.2B |
Accrued Liabilities | 6.1B |
Short-Term Debt | 27.2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 127B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 243.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 65.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 177.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
Manila Electric Co
Revenue
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456.3B
PHP
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Cost of Revenue
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-361.2B
PHP
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Gross Profit
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95.1B
PHP
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Operating Expenses
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-51.6B
PHP
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Operating Income
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43.5B
PHP
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Other Expenses
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-892m
PHP
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Net Income
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42.6B
PHP
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Manila Electric Co
PHP | |
Free Cash Flow | PHP |
MER Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Manila Electric Co's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Manila Electric Co's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
MER Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Manila Electric Co's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Manila Electric Co's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
MER Price Targets Summary
Manila Electric Co
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MER is 469.74 PHP with a low forecast of 383.8 PHP and a high forecast of 598.5 PHP.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for MER is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Manila Electric Co. engages in the generation and distribution of electricity. The firm constructs, operates and maintains the electric distribution system in the cities and municipalities of Bulacan, Cavite, Metro Manila and Rizal and certain cities, municipalities and barangays in the provinces of Batangas, Laguna, Pampanga and Quezon. The firm operates through two segments: power and other services. The Power segment consists of electricity distribution, power generation and retail electricity suppliers (RES). The other services segment is involved principally in electricity-related services, such as electro-mechanical engineering, construction, consulting and related manpower services, e-transaction and bills collection, telecommunications services, rail-related operations and maintenance services, insurance and re-insurance, e-business development, power distribution management and energy systems management.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one MER stock under the Base Case scenario is 488.51 PHP.
Compared to the current market price of 450 PHP, Manila Electric Co is Undervalued by 8%.