Ayala Land Inc
XPHS:ALI
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ALI stock under the Base Case scenario is 52.2 PHP. Compared to the current market price of 30 PHP, Ayala Land Inc is Undervalued by 43%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Ayala Land Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Ayala Land Inc
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Ayala Land Inc., a leading real estate and property development company in the Philippines, has a rich history that dates back to 1834. Originally part of the renowned Ayala Corporation, the company has grown to become a pivotal player in the country's economic landscape by creating integrated, sustainable communities that enhance the quality of urban living. Ayala Land's diverse portfolio spans residential, commercial, retail, and hospitality sectors, demonstrating a well-rounded approach to real estate development. With flagship projects like Bonifacio Global City and Nuvali, the company embodies a vision of progress, focusing on innovation and environmental stewardship, which are becoming...
Ayala Land Inc., a leading real estate and property development company in the Philippines, has a rich history that dates back to 1834. Originally part of the renowned Ayala Corporation, the company has grown to become a pivotal player in the country's economic landscape by creating integrated, sustainable communities that enhance the quality of urban living. Ayala Land's diverse portfolio spans residential, commercial, retail, and hospitality sectors, demonstrating a well-rounded approach to real estate development. With flagship projects like Bonifacio Global City and Nuvali, the company embodies a vision of progress, focusing on innovation and environmental stewardship, which are becoming increasingly important to consumers and investors alike.
For potential investors, Ayala Land Inc. stands out not only for its extensive market presence but also for its resilience and responsiveness to changing economic conditions. The company has consistently delivered strong financial performance, driven by a diversified revenue stream and strategic land banking practices that secure prime locations for future growth. As the Philippines continues to urbanize, driven by a young population and rising disposable incomes, Ayala Land is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends. By prioritizing sustainability and community development while maintaining a disciplined approach to capital allocation, Ayala Land Inc. offers investors a compelling opportunity to participate in the growth story of one of Southeast Asia's most dynamic economies.
Ayala Land Inc. (ALI), one of the leading real estate developers in the Philippines, operates through various core business segments that contribute to its overall growth and profitability. Here are the primary segments:
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Residential Development:
- This segment encompasses the development and sale of residential properties, including condominiums, apartments, and house-and-lot packages. ALI caters to different market segments, ranging from affordable housing to luxury developments.
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Commercial Property Development:
- ALI develops commercial properties, including office buildings, shopping centers, and mixed-use developments. These properties are typically situated in key urban areas and are designed to meet the demands of businesses and consumers.
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Shopping Centers:
- The company manages and develops shopping malls and retail spaces, providing a platform for various retailers and dining establishments. This segment is crucial for generating consistent rental income and capitalizing on consumer spending.
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Hotels and Leisure:
- This segment includes the development and management of hotels, resorts, and leisure facilities. ALI partners with international hotel brands to provide diverse accommodations and amenities, targeting both local and foreign tourists.
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Integrated Mixed-Use Developments:
- Ayala Land focuses on creating integrated communities that combine residential, commercial, and recreational spaces. These developments, such as Ayala Center and Bonifacio Global City, aim to provide a holistic living experience.
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Industrial and Infrastructure Development:
- ALI invests in and develops industrial parks and other infrastructure projects, promoting economic growth and industrialization. This segment supports businesses with land and facilities for manufacturing and logistics.
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Sustainability Initiatives:
- While not a distinct business segment, ALI emphasizes sustainability in its operations, incorporating green building practices and community development initiatives across its projects.
These segments highlight ALI's diversified portfolio, allowing the company to tap into various real estate markets and adapt to changing consumer demands. The balanced approach across residential, commercial, and mixed-use developments positions Ayala Land favorably in the competitive real estate landscape.
Ayala Land Inc., a leading property developer in the Philippines, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. These advantages can be categorized into various dimensions:
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Strong Brand Reputation: Ayala Land has a long-standing history and a strong reputation in the real estate industry, associated with quality, innovation, and sustainability. This brand recognition fosters customer loyalty and attracts investors.
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Diverse Portfolio: The company has a well-diversified portfolio that includes residential, commercial, institutional, and leisure developments. This diversification allows Ayala Land to manage risks effectively and capitalize on different market opportunities.
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Integrated Development Approach: Ayala Land employs a comprehensive approach to real estate development, focusing on 'mixed-use communities' that blend residential, commercial, and recreational spaces. This integration appeals to consumers seeking convenience and lifestyle experiences.
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Strong Financial Backing: As a part of the Ayala Corporation, Ayala Land benefits from robust financial support, enabling it to fund large-scale projects and expansions. This backing allows for more ambitious developments and quicker adaptation to market changes.
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Sustainability Practices: The company is committed to sustainable development, which enhances its appeal among environmentally-conscious consumers and investors. Ayala Land has garnered recognition for its efforts in green building and sustainable urban planning.
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Strategic Land Bank: The company boasts a substantial land bank in prime locations throughout the Philippines, allowing it to strategically plan future developments. This leverage on land assets ensures long-term growth potential.
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Strong Partnerships and Collaborations: Ayala Land has established numerous partnerships with local and international firms, enhancing its operational abilities and market reach. Collaborations in joint ventures and strategic alliances bolster its competitive positioning.
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Experienced Management Team: The company’s leadership team has decades of industry experience and insights, contributing to sound strategic decisions that drive growth and adaptability in a competitive market.
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Innovation and Technology: Ayala Land invests in technology to enhance customer experience, streamline operations, and promote smart urban development. Their focus on innovation positions them ahead of traditional players in the market.
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Regulatory Know-how: With extensive experience in navigating the Philippine regulatory landscape, Ayala Land can efficiently manage permits, zoning laws, and compliance, reducing potential delays compared to less experienced competitors.
These competitive advantages collectively reinforce Ayala Land's market position, making it a formidable player in the Philippine real estate sector.
Ayala Land Inc., a prominent real estate developer in the Philippines, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its business in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Economic Fluctuations: The real estate market is highly sensitive to economic conditions. A slowdown in the Philippine economy, driven by factors such as inflation, rising interest rates, or global economic uncertainties, could reduce demand for residential, commercial, and retail properties.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in government policies, land use regulations, tax laws, and zoning requirements can impact Ayala Land's operations and profitability. Increased regulation in environmental standards and building codes may also pose challenges.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Construction projects are heavily reliant on stable supply chains. Global disruptions, such as those caused by pandemics or geopolitical tensions, can lead to delays and increased costs for construction materials.
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Competition: The real estate sector is highly competitive, with many developers vying for market share. Ayala Land must continually innovate and differentiate its offerings to maintain its competitive edge.
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Environmental Concerns: As focus on sustainability grows, Ayala Land must commit to environmentally-friendly practices. Failure to meet sustainability standards could impact its reputation and lead to regulatory challenges.
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Market Saturation: In some areas, there may be an oversupply of real estate units, particularly in residential segments. This saturation could lead to price reductions and lower profitability.
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Technological Disruption: The rise of proptech and advancements in construction technology could change consumer expectations and disrupt traditional business models. Ayala Land needs to adapt to these technological changes to remain competitive.
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Financing Risks: As a capital-intensive business, fluctuations in interest rates can affect Ayala Land's cost of borrowing. Increased financing costs may impact project viability and profitability.
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Geopolitical Risks: Political instability or changes in the geopolitical landscape in the region can affect investor confidence and economic stability, impacting the real estate sector.
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Pandemic Aftermath: The ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic may continue to influence demand for certain types of real estate, particularly in commercial and retail sectors. Hybrid work models may alter office space needs significantly.
To navigate these challenges successfully, Ayala Land Inc. will need to remain agile, strategic, and responsive to the evolving market landscape, much in the vein of principles taught by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger regarding adaptability and long-term value creation.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Ayala Land Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ayala Land Inc
Current Assets | 436.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 20.7B |
Receivables | 136.3B |
Other Current Assets | 279.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 445.5B |
Long-Term Investments | 275.2B |
PP&E | 53B |
Intangibles | 37.7m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 117.3B |
Current Liabilities | 260.9B |
Accounts Payable | 121.8B |
Accrued Liabilities | 10B |
Short-Term Debt | 24.8B |
Other Current Liabilities | 104.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 335.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 228.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 107.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
Ayala Land Inc
Revenue
|
163.4B
PHP
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Cost of Revenue
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-100.5B
PHP
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Gross Profit
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62.9B
PHP
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Operating Expenses
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-10.6B
PHP
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Operating Income
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52.3B
PHP
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Other Expenses
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-26.1B
PHP
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Net Income
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26.2B
PHP
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ayala Land Inc
PHP | |
Free Cash Flow | PHP |
ALI Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Ayala Land Inc's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Ayala Land Inc's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ALI Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Ayala Land Inc's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Ayala Land Inc's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ALI Price Targets Summary
Ayala Land Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ALI is 41.59 PHP with a low forecast of 36.16 PHP and a high forecast of 47.25 PHP.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ALI is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Ayala Land, Inc. engages in the development of real estate properties. The firm is focused on developing integrated and mixed-use real estates. The firm has developed properties in the Makati CBD, Ayala Alabartg, Cebu Park District, Bonifacio Global City, and others. The company has approximately 12,192 land, and 29 developed estates. The company holds a mix of residential developments, shopping centers, offices, hotels and resorts, and other businesses. The firm is focusing its business on strategic business lines, including property development, commercial leasing, hotels and resorts, and real estate-adjacent services. Its brands include AyalaLand Premier for high-end village lots and condominium units; Alveo Land Corp. for upscale village lots, condominium and office units; Avida Land Corp. for middle-income village lots, house and lot packages, condominium and office units; Amaia Land Corp. for economic house and lot packages; and BellaVita Land Corp. for the socialized house and lot packages.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ALI stock under the Base Case scenario is 52.2 PHP.
Compared to the current market price of 30 PHP, Ayala Land Inc is Undervalued by 43%.