Ayala Corp
XPHS:AC
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AC stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 433.1 PHP. Compared to the current market price of 658 PHP, Ayala Corp is Undervalued by 54%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Ayala Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Ayala Corporation, one of the Philippines' oldest and largest conglomerates, is a tapestry of diverse businesses woven together by a legacy of innovation and resilience. Founded in 1834, the company has grown from its roots in trading to encompass a wide array of industries, including real estate, banking, telecommunications, water, energy, and infrastructure. With a steadfast commitment to sustainable development and social impact, Ayala Corp. embodies a forward-looking vision while capitalizing on the burgeoning growth opportunities in Southeast Asia. Investors are often drawn to its well-established brands, such as Ayala Land, Bank of the Philippine Islands, and Globe Telecom, which serve...
Ayala Corporation, one of the Philippines' oldest and largest conglomerates, is a tapestry of diverse businesses woven together by a legacy of innovation and resilience. Founded in 1834, the company has grown from its roots in trading to encompass a wide array of industries, including real estate, banking, telecommunications, water, energy, and infrastructure. With a steadfast commitment to sustainable development and social impact, Ayala Corp. embodies a forward-looking vision while capitalizing on the burgeoning growth opportunities in Southeast Asia. Investors are often drawn to its well-established brands, such as Ayala Land, Bank of the Philippine Islands, and Globe Telecom, which serve as robust pillars of profitability in a rapidly evolving market landscape.
As an investment, Ayala Corp. stands out for its strategic focus on integrating technology and sustainability into its operations, aiming to align with global trends in decarbonization and digital transformation. The company is not only well-positioned to benefit from the Philippine economy's expansion but also actively seeks to mitigate risks through diversification. Its solid financial position, exemplified by progressive revenue growth and prudent capital management, enhances its appeal to investors seeking stability and long-term gains. By embracing a holistic view of business that prioritizes environmental and social governance (ESG), Ayala Corporation offers a unique investment opportunity for both local and international investors looking to be part of a transformative journey in a vibrant market.
Ayala Corporation, one of the largest and oldest conglomerates in the Philippines, operates through several core business segments, which include:
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Real Estate and Development:
- Ayala Land, Inc.: This is the real estate arm of Ayala Corporation, involved in residential, commercial, and mixed-use developments. Ayala Land also engages in property management and leasing.
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Financial Services:
- Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI): Ayala Corporation holds a significant stake in BPI, which offers a full range of financial services including retail banking, corporate banking, investment banking, and asset management.
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Telecommunications:
- Globe Telecom: Ayala has a substantial share in Globe Telecom, one of the leading telecommunications providers in the Philippines, offering mobile, broadband, and enterprise solutions.
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Utilities and Renewable Energy:
- Ayala Corporation’s Energy Segment: This includes investments in power generation, transmission, and distribution, focusing on both conventional and renewable energy sources.
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Manufacturing and Industrial Technologies:
- Ayala is involved in various manufacturing sectors, including automotive, water, and electronics, providing diverse industrial solutions.
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Healthcare:
- Through its subsidiaries, Ayala is involved in healthcare-related services, including the management and operation of hospitals and medical services.
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Education:
- Ayala has a significant presence in the education sector, investing in academic institutions and educational technologies aimed at enhancing learning and accessibility.
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Infrastructure:
- Ayala participates in various infrastructure projects, including transportation, water supply, and public-private partnerships, to support the country’s growth.
These segments reflect Ayala Corporation’s diversified approach, focusing on sustainable growth and long-term investments in sectors critical to the Philippine economy. The company's strategic investments aim to create value not only for shareholders but also for the communities it serves.
Ayala Corporation, one of the oldest and largest conglomerates in the Philippines, possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals:
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Diverse Portfolio: Ayala Corp operates across various sectors, including real estate (Ayala Land), telecommunications (Globe Telecom), water infrastructure (Manila Water), and energy (AC Energy). This diversification allows the corporation to balance risks across different industries and capitalize on synergistic opportunities.
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Strong Brand Equity: With a history that spans over 185 years, Ayala Corporation has built significant brand recognition and trust in the Philippines. This reputation attracts customers, partners, and investors, giving it an edge in competitive markets.
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Strategic Partnerships and Alliances: Ayala Corp has established key partnerships with international firms, enhancing its capabilities, innovation, and market reach. For example, partnerships with companies like Singtel in telecommunications bolster Globe Telecom's offerings.
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Innovative Approach: The corporation emphasizes innovation and sustainability in its projects. For instance, Ayala's focus on renewable energy solutions through AC Energy exemplifies a commitment to forward-thinking strategies that align with global trends toward sustainability.
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Robust Financial Foundation: Ayala Corporation’s long-standing financial stability allows it to fund extensive capital projects, undertake strategic acquisitions, and explore new markets. Access to capital markets and a strong balance sheet provide a competitive edge over less financially secure rivals.
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Strong Government Relations and Regulatory Knowledge: With decades of experience in operating within the Philippine regulatory landscape, Ayala Corp has developed strong relationships with government bodies, enabling favorable outcomes in public-private partnerships and major infrastructure bids.
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Focus on Customer-Centric Solutions: Ayala Corp prioritizes customer needs and satisfaction across its businesses. Understanding the local market dynamics helps it to tailor offerings that resonate well with the target demographic, further enhancing customer loyalty.
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Commitment to Sustainability and Social Responsibility: The corporation's initiatives in corporate social responsibility (CSR) and sustainability contribute to a positive public image. This commitment not only attracts socially conscious consumers but also aligns with global investment trends favoring sustainable enterprises.
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Experienced Management Team: Ayala Corp boasts a seasoned management team with deep industry knowledge and strategic vision. This experienced leadership helps navigate complex market conditions and drive growth effectively.
These competitive advantages enable Ayala Corporation to maintain its leading position in the Philippine market while being well-positioned for future growth and diversification.
Ayala Corporation, one of the largest and most diversified conglomerates in the Philippines, faces several risks and challenges in the near future, including:
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Economic Conditions: The Philippine economy's growth rate can be influenced by global economic conditions, inflation, and local economic policies. A slowdown in economic growth could impact consumer spending and reduce demand for Ayala's products and services.
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Regulatory Environment: Changes in government policies, regulations, and taxes can pose significant risks. Increased scrutiny or changes in regulation, particularly in sectors like real estate, utilities, and telecommunications, may affect operations and profitability.
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Competition: Ayala operates in highly competitive sectors, including real estate, banking, and telecommunications. Increased competition may result in pricing pressures and reduced market share.
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Infrastructure Challenges: As Ayala has significant investments in infrastructure projects, delays in government approvals, funding challenges, or public opposition could hinder project timelines and budgets.
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Environmental Risks: Natural disasters and climate change can pose operational risks to Ayala's diverse portfolio, particularly in construction and real estate. The company's commitment to sustainability is increasingly scrutinized amid growing environmental concerns.
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Global Supply Chain Issues: Disruptions in global supply chains, whether due to geopolitical tensions, pandemics, or trade disputes, can affect the availability and cost of materials for Ayala’s various projects.
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Technological Disruption: Rapid technological advancements can affect Ayala's various business sectors, especially in telecommunications and banking. The company must continually invest in new technologies to remain competitive.
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Geopolitical Risks: Political instability in the Philippines or the Asia-Pacific region could affect business operations and investor confidence.
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Debt Levels: Significant debt levels can increase financial risk, particularly in a rising interest rate environment. Managing leverage effectively will be crucial to maintain financial health.
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Labor Issues: Challenges related to labor relations, including strikes or wage increases, can impact the company's operations and profitability.
Monitoring and addressing these risks proactively is essential for Ayala Corp to sustain its competitive advantage and continue its growth trajectory.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Ayala Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ayala Corp
Current Assets | 591.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 84.7B |
Receivables | 203.8B |
Other Current Assets | 303.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 1.1T |
Long-Term Investments | 641.7B |
PP&E | 197.4B |
Intangibles | 40.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 207.2B |
Current Liabilities | 369.1B |
Accounts Payable | 142.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 25.5B |
Short-Term Debt | 59.8B |
Other Current Liabilities | 141.5B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 890.2B |
Long-Term Debt | 532B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 358.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
Ayala Corp
Revenue
|
308.1B
PHP
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Cost of Revenue
|
-228.8B
PHP
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Gross Profit
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79.3B
PHP
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Operating Expenses
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-48.1B
PHP
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Operating Income
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31.2B
PHP
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Other Expenses
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8.8B
PHP
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Net Income
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40B
PHP
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ayala Corp
PHP | |
Free Cash Flow | PHP |
AC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Ayala Corp's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Ayala Corp's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Ayala Corp's solvency score is 28/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Ayala Corp's solvency score is 28/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AC Price Targets Summary
Ayala Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AC is 912.39 PHP with a low forecast of 838.3 PHP and a high forecast of 1 102.5 PHP.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AC is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Ayala Corp. operates as a holding company, which is engaged in providing real estate, telecommunications, utilities, logistics, financial and insurance services. The firm segments are Parent Company, which includes financing entities; Real estate and hotels, which plans and develops residential and commercial communities; Financial services and insurance, which includes commercial banking operations and services, such as deposit taking and cash management; Telecommunications, which provides a range of communication services; Water distribution and wastewater services, which manages fixed and movable assets; Electronics, which is engaged in providing electronics manufacturing services; Information technology and BPO services, which offer venture capital for technology businesses and emerging markets; Automotive, which offers passenger cars and commercial vehicles, and Energy, which offers a portfolio of power generation assets using renewable and conventional technologies.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one AC stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 433.1 PHP.
Compared to the current market price of 658 PHP, Ayala Corp is Undervalued by 54%.