Zalando SE
XETRA:ZAL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ZAL stock under the Base Case scenario is 34.44 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 27.67 EUR, Zalando SE is Undervalued by 20%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Zalando SE
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Fundamental Analysis
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Zalando SE, launched in 2008, has swiftly emerged as a leading online fashion and lifestyle retailer in Europe, capturing the hearts of millions of customers with its extensive range of products and user-friendly shopping experience. With a keen focus on delivering value and convenience, Zalando offers a vast selection of clothing, shoes, accessories, and beauty products from both renowned and emerging brands. The company operates in 25 markets across Europe, leveraging sophisticated logistics and advanced technology to create a seamless shopping journey that resonates with the modern consumer. Their commitment to sustainability and digital innovation positions Zalando not only as a retail p...
Zalando SE, launched in 2008, has swiftly emerged as a leading online fashion and lifestyle retailer in Europe, capturing the hearts of millions of customers with its extensive range of products and user-friendly shopping experience. With a keen focus on delivering value and convenience, Zalando offers a vast selection of clothing, shoes, accessories, and beauty products from both renowned and emerging brands. The company operates in 25 markets across Europe, leveraging sophisticated logistics and advanced technology to create a seamless shopping journey that resonates with the modern consumer. Their commitment to sustainability and digital innovation positions Zalando not only as a retail powerhouse but also as a progressive player in the global fashion industry.
Investors looking at Zalando will find a company that not only thrives on robust revenue growth but also emphasizes strategic investments to enhance its market positioning. The company has focused on expanding its private label offerings and has implemented initiatives to encourage customer loyalty through personalized shopping experiences. As consumer behavior continues to shift towards online shopping, Zalando’s ability to adapt to trends and invest in sustainable practices offers a compelling narrative for growth. With a strong financial foundation, an adaptive business model, and a vision that embraces both fashion and responsibility, Zalando SE represents a unique opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the evolving retail landscape.
Zalando SE, a leading European online fashion platform, primarily operates in several core business segments:
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Marketplace: This segment is aimed at providing a platform for third-party sellers to offer their products alongside Zalando's own inventory. It allows Zalando to expand its product range without holding the inventory, thereby reducing risk and capital expenses. This model also facilitates the growth of its assortment by including various brands and categories.
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Retail: Zalando's retail segment consists of its own inventory, where it operates as a traditional retailer. This includes buying products directly from brands and manufacturers to sell them on its platform. This segment allows Zalando to have more control over pricing, inventory, and customer experience.
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Own Brands: Zalando has developed and launched its own private label brands. These brands allow for better margin control and differentiation in the competitive fashion market. Own brands often target specific consumer segments, catering to diverse tastes and preferences.
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Technology and Logistics: Zalando invests significantly in advancing its technology and logistics capabilities. This includes data analytics, customer experience optimization, and efficient supply chain management. Improved logistics enhances delivery times and customer satisfaction, which are critical in the e-commerce fashion space.
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Zalando Lounge: This is a members-only shopping club that offers exclusive discounts on fashion and lifestyle products. It aims to drive customer loyalty and provide a venue for off-season or surplus stock sales.
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Digital Marketing and Customer Engagement: Zalando places strong emphasis on digital marketing strategies and customer engagement through personalized recommendations, targeted advertising, and strong social media presence, which are vital for driving traffic and increasing conversion rates on their platform.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Zalando is actively involved in promoting sustainable fashion. This includes initiatives to improve environmental impact, such as offering pre-owned clothing through Zalando’s seconde-hand section and promoting eco-friendly brands.
Each of these segments plays a crucial role in Zalando's overall strategy, contributing to its growth, market presence, and ability to adapt to the evolving fashion retail landscape.
Zalando SE, a leading online fashion retailer in Europe, possesses several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals:
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Strong Brand Recognition: Zalando has established itself as a trusted brand across multiple European markets. This strong brand recognition can lead to higher customer loyalty and repeat purchases.
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Extensive Product Range: Zalando offers a vast selection of fashion products, including clothing, shoes, and accessories from a wide array of brands—both established labels and emerging designers. This extensive assortment attracts a diverse customer base.
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Robust Logistics and Fulfillment Network: Zalando invests heavily in its logistics and fulfillment capabilities, allowing for quick delivery times and efficient returns management. Their warehouses and distribution centers are strategically located, enhancing their operational efficiency.
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Customer-Centric Approach: With a strong emphasis on customer experience, Zalando leverages data analytics to tailor its offerings, marketing, and engagement strategies. This personalized approach fosters customer loyalty and enhances the shopping experience.
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Technology and Innovation: Zalando utilizes advanced technology, including artificial intelligence and machine learning, to improve inventory management, personalize shopping experiences, and enhance supply chain efficiency.
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Return Policy: Zalando's generous return policy, which often includes free returns, lowers purchase risk for customers and encourages them to shop more, thereby driving higher sales volumes.
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Sustainability Initiatives: With a growing number of consumers prioritizing sustainability, Zalando's commitment to eco-friendly practices and sustainable fashion resonates well with a conscientious segment of the market.
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Diverse Marketing Channels: Zalando employs a multi-channel marketing strategy across digital platforms, social media, and influencer partnerships, enhancing its outreach and engagement with different customer segments.
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Marketplace Model: By providing a platform for third-party sellers through its marketplace strategy, Zalando can expand its product offerings without incurring the same level of inventory risk as traditional retailers.
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Regional Expertise: Zalando's deep understanding of European fashion trends and consumer preferences enables it to tailor its offerings effectively for different markets, providing a localized shopping experience.
These competitive advantages collectively position Zalando favorably within the highly competitive online fashion retail landscape, enabling it to attract and retain customers while driving growth.
Zalando SE, as a leading online fashion retailer, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Market Competition: The online fashion retail space is highly competitive, with established players like ASOS, Boohoo, and others, as well as new entrants. Increased competition can lead to price wars and reduced market share.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns or recessions can affect consumer spending on non-essential goods like fashion. Inflation can also reduce disposable income, impacting sales.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing global supply chain issues, which can be caused by geopolitical tensions, pandemics, or logistics challenges, may lead to delays, increased costs, and stock shortages.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: Rapid shifts in consumer preferences, such as a move towards sustainable and ethical fashion or new trends, require agility and may challenge Zalando to pivot quickly.
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Technology and Cybersecurity Risks: As an e-commerce platform, Zalando relies heavily on technology. Cybersecurity threats, data breaches, and technical failures could undermine consumer trust and lead to financial losses.
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Regulatory and Compliance Challenges: Changes in regulations regarding e-commerce, data protection (like GDPR), and labor laws can impose additional operational costs and complexities.
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Sustainability Pressure: Increasing consumer and regulatory pressure for sustainable business practices means Zalando must find efficient ways to minimize its environmental impact while remaining profitable.
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Logistics and Delivery Challenges: E-commerce companies are expected to offer fast and reliable delivery. Failure to meet these expectations can lead to customer dissatisfaction and churn.
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International Expansion Risks: While expanding into new markets presents opportunities, it also comes with risks such as cultural differences, local competition, and regulatory environments.
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Rising Marketing Costs: Spending to acquire and retain customers through digital marketing can increase as the online space becomes saturated, affecting profitability.
Ultimately, Zalando needs to navigate these challenges with strategic foresight, operational excellence, and a keen understanding of market dynamics to sustain its competitive advantage.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Zalando SE
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Zalando SE
Current Assets | 5.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2.7B |
Receivables | 948.2m |
Other Current Assets | 1.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 2.5B |
Long-Term Investments | 86.1m |
PP&E | 2B |
Intangibles | 400.5m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 11.1m |
Current Liabilities | 3.6B |
Accounts Payable | 2.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 733.9m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 1.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 171.5m |
Earnings Waterfall
Zalando SE
Revenue
|
10.2B
EUR
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Cost of Revenue
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-6.2B
EUR
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Gross Profit
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4B
EUR
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Operating Expenses
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-3.7B
EUR
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Operating Income
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285.7m
EUR
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Other Expenses
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-134.1m
EUR
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Net Income
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151.6m
EUR
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Zalando SE
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
Zalando achieved a notable 5% revenue growth in Q3 2024, reaching EUR 2.4 billion, driven predominantly by the B2C segment. The company reported an adjusted EBIT of EUR 93 million, a substantial increase of EUR 70 million year-over-year. Notably, both adjusted EBIT margin and gross margin improved, with the latter up by 2.9 percentage points to 3.9%. For the entire year, Zalando expects GMV growth of 3% to 5% and revenue growth of 2% to 5%. Going forward, the firm aims for a midterm adjusted EBIT margin of 6% to 8% by 2028, while continuing investment in growth strategies.
What is Earnings Call?
ZAL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Zalando SE's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Zalando SE's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ZAL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Zalando SE's solvency score is 56/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Zalando SE's solvency score is 56/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ZAL Price Targets Summary
Zalando SE
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ZAL is 35.25 EUR with a low forecast of 19.19 EUR and a high forecast of 52.5 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ZAL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
ZAL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Zalando SE engages in the provision of online fashion and lifestyle platform. The company is headquartered in Berlin, Berlin and currently employs 17,043 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2014-10-01. The firm offers a portfolio of women, men and children clothing. Its assortment comprises a range of shoes, clothes, accessories, beauty products and sports goods from more than 4,500 brands, including fashion companies, designer work and products of zLabels, a private labels arm of the Company and also includes pre-owned clothing. Zalando SE also offers free shipping and 100 days long free return policy. Its offering can be purchased through desktops, tablets and smartphones in approximately 23 European countries. The firm is active in two geographical segments: DACH, comprising the sales in Germany, Austria and Switzerland; and Rest of Europe.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ZAL stock under the Base Case scenario is 34.44 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 27.67 EUR, Zalando SE is Undervalued by 20%.