SMA Solar Technology AG
XETRA:S92

Watchlist Manager
SMA Solar Technology AG Logo
SMA Solar Technology AG
XETRA:S92
Watchlist
Price: 14.11 EUR 6.65% Market Closed
Market Cap: 489.6m EUR
Have any thoughts about
SMA Solar Technology AG?
Write Note

Earnings Call Analysis

Q2-2023 Analysis
SMA Solar Technology AG

SMA Group Reports Robust H1 2023 Growth

In H1 2023, the SMA Group experienced a notable surge in growth with a 65% increase in group sales, reaching €779 million due to strong contributions across all segments, substantial advances in EMEA, and backed by an order backlog of €2.5 billion. Profitability soared, with EBITDA rocketing from €16 million to €125 million, and EBITDA margin expanding to 16%. The company achieved a gross margin of 30% with a free cash flow of €81 million, signaling solid financial health. Shareholders' equity stood at €566 million, supported by the positive first-half results. Management also secured a new €380 million credit facility, reinforcing the SMA Group's potential for profitable growth.

Strong Start to 2023 with Growth Momentum

Opening the first half of 2023, the company greeted investors and analysts with robust figures, revealing a remarkable 65% increase in sales to €779 million, landing at the higher end of their previously announced expectations. Such an upswing set the stage for EBITDA to soar from €6 million to €125 million, a notable reflection of the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. The free cash flow was impressive as well, reaching €81 million, alongside a substantial order backlog of about €2.5 billion.

Geographic Expansion and Segment Performance

The company's growth narrative extended geographically, with a particularly strong performance in the EMEA region which grew from 57% to 75% of sales, compensating for a relative decrease in the Americas and APAC regions. All three business segments – Home, Commercial & Industrial (C&I), and Large Scale – contributed significantly to the revenue increase, with the Home segment showing extraordinary growth driven by better component availability and high demand.

Surge in Profitability and Margins

Profitability improved substantially, where EBITDA surged to €125 million from last year's €16 million, pushed by the revenue uptick and an improved product mix. The EBITDA margin expanded to 16% from 3%, with all segments contributing to this positive trend. The Home segment became notably profitable with EBIT up to €93 million from €17 million and an EBIT margin increase from 13% to 28%.

Return to Profitability for C&I and Large Scale

C&I reversed its fortunes with EBIT turning positive to €7 million from the prior year's loss. This swing reflects a margin recovery from -9% to 3%. The Large Scale segment joined this turnaround with EBIT climbing to €9 million from a loss of €6 million in the previous period, emphasizing the sales growth and pricing recovery experienced by the company.

Financial Health and Working Capital Management

The company maintained diligent control over its financial health with net working capital hitting €251 million, slightly above the year-end figure but still within management's target corridor. The stockpiling of inventories at €469 million underscored the response to customer demand and strategic buildup to support sales growth, balanced out by increases in both trade receivables and payables.

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Excellence

Investments into the company's future reflected in a growth in non-current assets to €415 million, mirroring efforts into product pipeline development and R&D. Shareholder's equity increased as a result of a strong financial performance to €566 million. Gross cash flow swelled to €143 million driven by operational results, and free cash flow for H1 2023 stood at a strong €81 million.

Resilience and Strategy for the Future

Looking forward, the company's order backlog remained at a high of €2.5 billion, indicating continued strong demand. Moreover, the 2023 guidance was adjusted upwards to sales of €1.7 billion to €1.85 billion and an EBITDA of €230 million to €270 million. The company emphasized its resilience in a volatile market, its well-known brand, solid market positioning, and the strategic move to double manufacturing capacities by 2025. These factors, along with the company's sustainable practices demonstrated by excellent ESG ratings, position it for ongoing prosperity.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q2

from 0
B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Welcome, everyone. We very much appreciate that you are taking the time for this investor and analyst call on our H1 2023 results. You can find today’s presentation in our Investor Relations website. Also keep me informed that the analyst consensus is available on our Investor Relations website under share consensus as well. This conference call is schedule for 60 minutes and will be recorded. A replay will be available for 7 working days. After the presentation, I will be happy to answer your questions.

Our agenda for today. First, I will start with an overview of some key financial highlights. After that, I will walk you through the figures for H1 2023, as well as for the outlook. I expect my presentation to last about 45 minutes. After the presentation, I’m happy to answer your questions.

I refer to our disclaimer on Page 2. So let’s move to Page 4, financial highlights for H1 2023. After a strong Q1, we successfully continued our growth course in Q2 2023. Group sales in H1 2023 increased by 65% to €779 million, and results at the upper end of the sales range published on June 23.

All three segments contributed to this very positive development. I’ll come back to the individual segments later. EBITDA also increased significantly from €6 million in the first half to €125 million this year. Free cash flow was also very strong again with €81 million after and order backlog is still on a very high level of about €2.5 billion.

Now let’s go to Page 5, sales by region and by segment. On the left hand side, you can see that EMEA, our biggest region, again, increased from 57% to 75% end of H1 2023. Revenue share in Americas decreased from 27% to 20% due to the much stronger growth in the EMEA region, but revenues in Americas grew by 22%. In our APAC region, we continue to face challenging Asian competition and postponement of large scale projects to next quarters. As such, the share of this region decreased from 16% to 5%.

Now let me walk you through the sales per segment on the right side of the slide. As already said, all three segments contributed to this very positive revenue development. In our Home segment, revenues grew exceptionally from €136 million last year to €327 million in the first six months 2023, with EMEA is the strongest region again. Reasons for this extraordinary revenue growth were better availability of components, helping us to process the order backlog more quickly than expected, and ongoing very high demand in EMEA. C&I achieved €194 million compared to €118 million last year, a plus of 64% after a very strong Q2, where the supply situation significantly improved. EMEA was the strongest region for the segment as well. Large scale revenues increased by about 18% from €218 million to €257 million in H1 2023 with Americas, again, the strongest region.

Now let me provide you with some more information on H1 2023 profitability. Profitability for the group has grown substantially in the first six months from €16 million last year to €125 million in the first half of 2023. The positive development was driven by both the increase in revenues as a result of improved material supply and the associated fixed cost degression in production, as well as the continued high margin product mix. Thus, EBITDA margin came in at 16% compared to 3% in the first half last year. All segments posted outstanding earning development and significantly improved their profitability in the period under review. Similar to H1 2022, we received approximately €5 million of other income from customers cancellation fees as one-offs. With €90 million, depreciation was on last year’s level.

Now let’s have a look at the segments in detail. Home Solutions. Our Home Solutions segment, which has been, again, the most profitable segment, substantially grew its EBIT to €93 million were €17 million in H1 2022. This was mainly driven by sales growth, higher productivity and fixed cost degression. This led to an EBIT margin of 28% compared to 13% last year. We are very happy about the earlier than planned EBIT improvement for C&I and large scale. Both segments are back in black and on call to deliver solid positive results for this year.

C&I increased its EBIT from minus €11 million last year to positive €7 million this year, which is a positive earnings swing of €18 million. Main drivers were higher revenues and increased production utilization. EBIT margin, therefore, came in at about 3% compared to minus 9% last year. EBIT and the Large Scale segment also improved significantly to positive €9 million after minus €6 million in the first half 2022, an improvement of €15 million. The increase in sales as well as slight recoveries of price levels compared to last year contributed to this. Thus, EBIT margin amounted to 3% compared to minus 3% in the first half of 2022.

Now I will move on to the balance sheet and the net working capital development on the next slide. Net working capital, which is shown on the top of the left page reached €251 million and slightly above the year end figure of €239 million. This resulted in a ratio of 18%, which is slightly below the management target corridor of 20% to 22%.

Let me explain the net working capital development in detail. Inventories of H1 2023 were at €469 million and increased compared to end of 2022 with €309 million, because of the high customer demand and the buildup of inventories to support our strong sales growth.

Trade receivables, which increased due to the high sales in the first half were offset by an increase in trade payables and an increase in advanced payments received from our customers, driven by our strong large scale project pipeline. Net cash position increased again by 39% from €220 million at the end to €309 million driven by significantly improved profitability compared to last year. In addition, we successfully concluded a new revolving credit facility line of €380 million, which – with an extended group of banks in June. This expansion of the revolving credit facility line clearly shows the confidence of our banks in SMA’s business model and in our future prospects.

With this credit line, we support the cost for further profitable growth. The credit line has a term of five years with an extension option and replaces the previous syndicated credit line of €100 million. Currently, there is no need to draw this new credit facility, but it will give us the support for further profitable growth when needed.

Now let’s have a look on the group balance sheet on the right side of the page. Our non-current assets increased to €415 million, mainly reflecting investments into our product pipeline in the form of capitalized R&D project costs, as well as an increase of our deferred tax assets. Shareholder’s equity increased to €566 million, supported by the positive result of the first six months. Provisions increased to €171 million, mainly as a result of increased warranty provisions, in line with the higher level of sales. Other liabilities grew to €467 million, mainly from the strong uptake of advanced customer payments, which are considered in the net working capital. That concludes my explanations of the balance sheet.

Let us now have a look at our summary of cash flow on the next slide. In H1 2023, SMA generated a gross cash flow of €143 million, compared to minus €3 million the year before, driven by strong positive results in the first six months. Given our positive gross cash flow and a solid net working capital, cash flow from operating activities were also positive compared to last year reaching €113 million end of June 2023. The group invested €32 million in net CapEx in H1, which mainly composed of investment in our product portfolio, including capitalized R&D project costs and investments in fixed assets. Considering all these, our free cash flow for the first six months 2023, significantly increased from minus €42 million last year to plus €81 million in the first half of this year.

Let me summarize the first six months of 2023. SMA Group sales increased significantly by 65% to €779 million with all segments achieving strong growth. Gross margin for H1 for the group achieved 30% after 20% in H1 2022. The improvement was primarily driven by the higher sales growth in all segments and the improved utilization of our production capacities.

C&I and large scale managed double-digit sales growth and returned to profitability faster than planned. This once again underlines the market potential of both segments. EBITDA increased significantly to €125 million from €16 million in H1 2022, due to high demand, better utilization and productivity as well as improvements in our supply chain. As a consequence, net income increased also very positively to €104 million after minus €11 million last year as a result of the very good operating performance. The high level of profitability also contributed to a very positive free cash flow of €81 million for H1 2023. As you can see in our quarterly overview on the right side of the page, we continued on a growth path on both top and bottom line as expected. C&I and large scale also managed double-digit sales growth, which underlines the market potential of both segments.

That wraps up my summary of H1 key financials. Now let’s take a look into the outlook and the guidance for 2023. Looking at the right side of the slide, you can see that our order backlog still remains on an extraordinary high level of up to €2.5 billion at the end of June. Product and order backlog is also stable on a high level of €2.1 billion at the end of H1. When you have a look at the left side of the page, you can see that our large scale product order backlog is very strong with more than €1 billion, followed by C&I with €531 million, and Home Solutions with €500 million. In home and C&I, our ability to deliver has caught up the strong demand. As such, we start to see a normalization of product order backlog, as expected, since the supply chain is getting closer to the market demand.

With this, let’s turn to our last page, our guidance for 2023. As communicated on June 23, we once again raised our 2023 full year guidance for sales and EBITDA. This is based on our strong Q1 performance and a significant increase in delivery capabilities due to faster improvement in the supply situation and an improved earnings contribution from all three segments. Against this backdrop, we published an adjusted 2023 guidance with sales of €1.7 billion to €1.85 billion, and EBITDA of €230 million to €270 million, which we can confirm today.

For the second half of the year, further sales growth will offset for higher costs related to build up of our organization for future growth and for changes in the product mix. As such, we are convinced to deliver on the high profitability margin in our guidance. SMA is truly sustainable and a solid finance company. Resilience in a volatile market is the key. And we believe in our resilience. Why? First of all, financially, SMA is equipped with both a healthy capital structure and a credit facility of €380 million, which we have access to, if needed.

Second, the brand of SMA is well known in all relevant markets. We have a solid positioning in the largest global developed markets like U.S. and Europe. We have a strong presence in all three key segments. This brings us to third, this broader solution portfolio in all segments is an advantage compared to those with significantly narrow portfolio offerings, as it has become evident to the market recently. Our product stands for high quality, durability and reliability with our strategy of doubling our manufacturing capacities by 2025, we enhance our flexibility and expand our offering in the coming years. In incision, we are able to cover all business dynamics given to our strong global customer base in both the distribution business and with EPCs.

And with a view to all SMA segments now contributing positive bottom line, this will play out strongly for SMA. The drivers for demand have evolved and the biggest push now comes mainly from the society, and it’s more independent from political agenda than it was in the past. And at last, but not at least, SMA is truly sustainable company, which is reflected in our outstanding ESG ratings. Sustainability has been incurred in our corporate mission since SMA has been founded. Our state-of-the-art production in Germany is already CO2 neutral, and we are a major contributor in the energy transformation. All this together is more important than ever to defend our value proposition, particularly in uncertain economic times as it is currently the case. This is why we believe in SMA’s resilience.

With this, I conclude my presentation, and I’m happy to take your questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Guido Hoymann with Metzler. Please go ahead.

G
Guido Hoymann
Metzler

Good morning. Yes. Two questions then from my side. The first one would be on the order intake. Obviously, it has been down when comparing it with the previous three or four quarters. So how do you see this development? Is it a new trend? Do you see a slowdown in demand? So any explanation on that would be welcome. And the second question is on the U.S. market. So where are your thoughts on the U.S. market and the IRA requirements, local content? Are there any conclusions you would like to share with us on that market?

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you very much, Guido Hoymann for this very important question. Yes, why is Q2 versus Q1 order intake weaker or lower. Order intake has corrected itself since Q2 and will normalize over the coming months, which was fully expected by us, because we ask our customers to place orders, especially in Home and C&I business for 2023 until end of March. So that we can look into the supplies and that we can steer our production capacities accordingly.

Additionally, we see an increase of stocks on the distributors and installers side. But this has not been caused by a structural decline in demand, because it is absolutely normal development after continued supply constraints, combined with increasing demand, which resulted in customer overstocking. All this was fully in line with our expectations. Our order backlog still remains on a very high level of €2.5 billion. And therefore, it covers our sales guidance, which we have given for 2022 – 2023 and beyond.

Only to remind you and everybody on the line, in the times before the supply crisis came, Home and C&I had an average order backlog level, which covered around about 3 months. Currently, we are covering 6 to 8 months. And Large Scale business in the past had an order backlog covering 6 months. Now we are talking about more than 12-month sales, which is covered by our order backlog. And this all means that in general, the development in our order intake is still in line with our expectation and is still in line to reach our guidance for 2023 and also beyond. Does this answer your question concerning order intake?

G
Guido Hoymann
Metzler

Yes. Can you maybe also give an indication how July and August developed? Or is that something you share with the market at this moment of time?

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

So it’s currently too early to give a clear answer. But for our sales expectations, we are absolutely in line with our guidance. And therefore, also, we see that, especially in the second half of the year, end of the second half of the year in autumn time, the orders will also increase again when customers in C&I and Home business will start their orders placing for 2024. For large scale, we already see continuously order income also ready for this and also for next year. So in large scale, we nearly booked out already for next financial year.

G
Guido Hoymann
Metzler

Okay. Alright. Thank you. And on the ERA?

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Coming to your question concerning ERA. So first of all, it’s a complex topic, and we are still investigating what is best for us. The decision we will take into consideration such as contract manufacturing, collaboration with manufacturing partners or establishing an own dedicated manufacturing facility in the U.S. But there is no disclosure currently, so we are still investigating, and we take our time. We take our time until we have really a clear picture, and there isn’t a clear picture currently seen. So it’s nothing which we are postponing, it’s something which we are really investigating and calculating seriously.

G
Guido Hoymann
Metzler

Work in progress, so to say.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, works in progress. Correct.

G
Guido Hoymann
Metzler

Alright. Thank you very clear. Thanks a lot.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Constantin Hesse with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

C
Constantin Hesse
Jefferies

Thank you very much for taking my questions. I would like to just quickly follow-up on the order momentum. So as I understood it correctly, you expect order intake to pick up again in Home and C&I on the back of orders being placed towards, and so basically, in autumn time. So fair to assume that €31 million we saw in Home and the €49 million in C&I, you’re obviously expecting that to pick up again to higher levels. Then maybe a little bit of a word on large scale, if you could share here as well. It came down, but it’s still at very elevated levels at €300 million. So if we look at the momentum over the coming quarters that you’re seeing. So obviously, you’re seeing an improvement in Home and C&I, but how are you seeing large scale continues to develop at this point? So let’s put it this way. Do you expect the order backlog to have peaked at this point? Or do you expect the order backlog to continue going up?

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. Thank you, Constantin Hesse for this question. First of all, as you already repeated correctly for Home and C&I, it is clear that after asking our customers to book the order intake and also to confirm order intake until March, the season now of low order intakes, which we have already expected. But from August – from September, October onwards, they will start the new orders for next financial year, because they have also to calculate and also to steer their capacities for next year. So it’s clear that we are then will see increasing order intake from Home and C&I again.

For large scale, we have still a very positive development as also our Q2 order intake was more or less in line with our Q1 order intake in 2023, and we are currently sitting on an order backlog of €1 billion. So we are already booked – we have already booked very huge and very important project. But additionally, we are also discussing and also booking frame orders and frame projects, which are not reflected in our order intake, but which will also drive our sustainable growth part for the large scale business for the next year. So there is no downturn in demand. There are only maybe some postponements, but also order intake will increase in large scale. The average staying on a high level, and they will also increase at the end of the year, again, more steadily.

C
Constantin Hesse
Jefferies

So fair to say that this order backlog decline is a temporary hiccup and you don’t see orders peaking at this point. You do expect order backlog to tick up again.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. We absolutely see order backlog to come back again for Home and C&I, but we also see that there is a kind of normalization in the lead times, as I already said before crisis, order backlog covered 3 months of Home and C&I business, currently, it covers 6 to 8 months. So there will be no need to order so much time in advance in the future, if we are able to supply on a steadily on a very reliable level. So order backlog compared to sales will be more on a normalized level also for the future. It will be something between 6 and 3 months, but we expect that it will absolutely increase again for next financial year, because orders will flow in, in autumn time for this segment.

C
Constantin Hesse
Jefferies

That’s great. Thank you. I just have two – and two more, if I may, really quick ones. One is the profitability levels you achieved in large scale and C&I. So 5% in Q2 in large scale, and 7% in C&I in Q2. Are these the levels that we should be thinking of going forward? Or do you still expect an improvement from this level? That’s the first question. The second question is, if you have an in-house view that you could share concerning the announcement that was made yesterday in Germany concerning the subsidy package. Thank you.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, concerning profitability. First of all, we are happy that both segments are back and black earlier than planned. I already announced that we are reaching this target end of the year, but now they are earlier back, this is a very good development. And this also shows that our decision and our strategy to stay in three different segments is still valuable, and it is still in line with our strategy. 5% to 7% is not the overall margin, which we are expecting for the whole next financial year. And for the whole group, we are still stick on our targets to show and to receive an EBIT margin two digit positive.

So also C&I and large scale have to contribute to this development, where they’ll be able to achieve this directly in next financial year. This is too early to pronounce or too early now to say. We are investigating now in our budget planning process, what is the possible target we are setting for them. But it’s for sure that our overall profitability for next financial year, EBIT-wise, is set and targeted with two-digit positive EBIT margin. And therefore, large scale and C&I has to give the positive contribution to that.

Coming to your question, concerning the announcement yesterday, it is currently not so easy for us to give a complete answer. Yesterday, the German cabinet approved the draft 2024 economic plan for the climate and transformation funds by circulation. So the largest item, €18.8 billion is the building subsidy followed by the financing of the EEG leveling in the amount of €12.6 million. So what is our takeaway? Currently, it’s very early to give a complete answer. We are still investigating what does it mean for us, but clear is that the electrification of the power to gas, heat and mobility sector is moving forward. So SMA solutions fit absolutely into the sector. And also our strategic development from a pure hardware production company from a pure inverter company not to a solution provider, also including these different aspects and different segments is absolutely on the right way. And the sector is happy about the long-term hedging of the EEG leveling to secure the solar expansion scenario until 2030. So these are our first takeaways, but we will absolutely investigate this more in detail in the next days and thanks.

C
Constantin Hesse
Jefferies

Thank you very much.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

You are welcome.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Lasse Stueben with Berenberg. Please go ahead.

L
Lasse Stueben
Berenberg

Hi. Good afternoon. I just wanted to come back to the improvement and profitability in large scale sort of sequentially in Q2 versus Q1. Can you just clarify again what drove that? Because your – in your revenues were up, I think, €10 million on the quarter. So it would be good to hear sort of what’s driving the big margin improvement? And then the second question would be on pricing. If you could give some color on how pricing is developing, because it seems like there seems to be ample supply in the market currently. So I’m just wondering if that has an implication for pricing. Thank you.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Mr. Stueben for your questions. First of all, concerning profitability in our large-scale business – fact is that in our large scale business, each and every project is calculated individually. So therefore, we currently see that we have positive impacts from price development and absolutely see that stability, sustainability and possibility to deliver are more important in this large scale business than the question of final and detailed pricing. Price is an issue everywhere for sure. But the availability and to be stable and to be reliable, it’s more important in the whole large scale business than in the other ones. So this is one aspect. Additionally, we continued our productivity gains and especially the utilization in our production capacity. So that means that our fixed cost degression also had a positive impact in addition to the improved project pricing. So I think these are the most important aspects concerning large scale. And we also are very convinced that the positive margin development is a positive – profitability development in the large scale business will also continue over the next months. As I said, delivery performance, reliability are the more important factors in driving this business also more important, in addition to volume and production utilization.

Coming to your second question concerning pricing, currently, price decrease is not a topic for us. Now, of course, we are aware of the high price pressure on modules. But based on our past experiences, this has not such a significant impact on the inverter prices. And here, you have to keep in mind that our solutions normally represent a small amount of the overall cost of the project for the end user. So in addition, the system approach also makes us more resilient against price changes. And this also means that with our development from a pure inverter producer to a solution provider, consisting of inverter storage, data management, EV charging, our strategy is absolutely on the right way. And additionally, we are present in three segments. We are diversed and diversed globally. So this development also gives us more resilience compared short-term price erosion, which can may be seen in other segments.

L
Lasse Stueben
Berenberg

Okay, thank you.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

You are welcome.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Jeff Osborne with TD Cowen. Please go ahead.

J
Jeff Osborne
TD Cowen

Yes. Thank you. Just maybe following-up on the pricing question. I was curious if the new bookings that you’re adding to the backlog during the quarter are consistent margin profile. And then I recognized Barbara, that you had referenced selling a solution, which certainly was on display at Intersolar. But I’m just curious your perspective on sort of what type of price premium you can capture versus some of the leading Asian vendors that are being a bit more aggressive in the past few months?

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Jeff, for this question. We have also discussed this very intensively with ourselves and segment responsible in the last days and weeks. And I can only repeat currently price decrease is not a topic. We do not see the price decrease currently. But we will start the new negotiations for next financial year. Yes, there will be maybe some impact, but we are still very confident that we are more resilient. We have a lot of positive aspects in our brand, in our quality, in our possibility to deliver a solution, which gives us more resilience to a pure price pressure coming from modules, coming from the pure inverter market.

This is absolutely what is in line with our strategy. We are – with our brand at a high price end, and customers still are buying us and buying our products because of quality, reliability, and also because of the possibility to combine this with all these other aspects like storage and data management. And this is also what we see currently when it comes to the discussions, are we more resilient in the past, and we’re absolutely convinced that we are more resilient. So for the time being, so currently, the price decrease is not a topic for us.

J
Jeff Osborne
TD Cowen

Got it. That’s helpful. And then maybe just two other quick ones on the distributor side, some of your leading customers in Europe. What are you seeing in terms of distress given the high cost inventory that they are holding up modules, given the prices come down? Is that an issue as they try to work down inventory and minimize the number of suppliers that they are dealing with?

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

So, what we see and what we expect is, when prices come down on module, the whole project gets cheaper. And as we are only delivering a smaller part of the whole project, be it at a C&I, at home or a large scale business, as prices also decreased significantly on the modules, we had the positive impact that our prices are stable, because our smaller amount of costs to the total project does not make sense, and also then the whole project are getting cheaper. So therefore, for distributors and customers, we do not see that decreasing module prices will decrease demand. We will see that the whole package will be cheaper for the customer, and therefore, there could be positive impact. And yes, we are getting orders still currently on the current price level. And when we see currently the distributors or customers are sitting on high stocks and want to postpone maybe something to the next year, we are also still able to save the current price level. So, prices are then currently in our view, still stable for our products and solutions.

J
Jeff Osborne
TD Cowen

That’s great to hear. And just a housekeeping question, I was wondering if you could share with us what the towing and storage revenue was for the quarter? And then any preliminary outlook on CapEx needs for next year, given the credit agreement that you put in place, I would imagine that you want to prepare for future growth and maybe give us some insights on how much that might cost you.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

I think I did not get the question correctly. Can you repeat it again, please?

J
Jeff Osborne
TD Cowen

Sure. I was on the towing and storage percent of revenue for the second quarter would be helpful to have. And then given the credit agreement that you have put in place this quarter with the expansion, I am curious what your CapEx needs might be for doubling that capacity there in Germany and potentially in the U.S., like what kind of CapEx figure we should be modeling for cash needs for that for next year?

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, currently and also for the next years all our CapEx will be financed out of our internal gains free cash flow. So, this new line is only to financing, net working capital collation [ph] is necessary. So, in our CapEx estimation, we estimated for this financial roundabout €85 million to €90 million, where we have spent already the half of its roundabout in the first half of the year. And for next, it will be also near – more or less in this level, so €80 million, €90 million maximum €100 million CapEx including also R&D. And this is currently all financed out of our own free cash flow. So, no additional loans or no additional funding is necessary for this. This new revolving credit line is only to finance net working capital volatility when needed. So currently, we also do not have the need to take something out of this as our cash position is still stable and decreased again end of second half – first half of the year. So therefore, there is no need currently to use the net working capital credit facility and for the next year and also by financing the facility improvement at investments here in cash flow, it’s all financed out of our cash flow. What would we need – needed if we then also starting or investigating to invest in the U.S. market, this is still under evaluation. So, I cannot give you figures, but clear is that the market, the banks and the one who gives us external loans are absolutely convinced about our strategy. So, to get money out of the financing market, we currently see only positive six months from the market. So, when we are at the right point to say what we need for investing in the U.S., then we will start negotiating on external loans. And we are absolutely convinced, as it was a very good and positive success to negotiate the net working capital line, we are absolutely convinced that also getting long-term loans and long-term financing for additional investment abroad would be possible for us on very good and positive conditions and results.

J
Jeff Osborne
TD Cowen

And do you happen to have that towing and storage revenue by chance for the second quarter? That was my last question.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

I am not sure if we have this – I do not have it under my eyes, sorry. Maybe we can give it to you later.

J
Jeff Osborne
TD Cowen

No problem. Great. Thank you.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

You’re welcome, Jeff.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Sebastian Growe with BNP Paribas Exane. Please go ahead.

S
Sebastian Growe
BNP Paribas Exane

Good afternoon everybody. Thanks everyone. And the first one is, I am sorry for coming back to the order point, but just more on a sort of general I mean high level. I would be interested in you commenting on the sales growth and volume and price discussions with your distribution partners. So, this is mostly related to Home Solutions and C&I. And I guess the question is really, if you can frame how these discussions typically unfolds. So to what extent is the pricing then fixed? Are the index gross included that we just get a better understanding of your sort of visibility on the pricing side looking into ‘24? That would be the first one.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. So currently, our order backlog is covering our sales guidance, as already said, under the pricing level, which we had booked in end of Q1, the financial year and also for large scale project-by-project. So, the order backlog is all covered on the current price level. I didn’t catch the second part of your questions.

S
Sebastian Growe
BNP Paribas Exane

My understanding is simply that we have obviously, at least from the marketplace perspective, I heard your comments around that you can still sign contracts at similar prices as you have established those thus far, which I think was more common related to the LSPS segment. And I do get the points around the more positive project margins if and when module pricing is coming down. But I think what is the more sort of trading-oriented business, if I may put it this way, the Home Solutions and then also the commercial and industrial business, which is indeed to distribute the wholesaler business, there I would assume the pricing is, generally speaking, more volatile. So, if – what Constantin asked before, your pricing discussions are starting in autumn, and we have a market price, which is down like 20%, 30% year-to-date. I am not talking your price, not the SMA price so far. But there must be some reference I believe to the market price. And my question is simply, how different these price negotiations for what then will be ‘24 might look like compared to what has been established during ‘23.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. Okay. First of all, we are currently signing our contract at similar prices. And to be more precise, also in large scale, we were able to get on a better price level, because we changed a little bit our pricing strategy. So, this means that especially in the large scale market, which is driving our profitability and also our growth strategy. Pricing is currently not an issue. It’s more about sustainability and the performance to deliver. On the module price development to drive down a total project price for our customers, so that means that currently, if model prices are decreasing and the inverter is only 10% or 20% of the whole project price, then the prices for the whole project are decreasing, and this gives the possibility for us to stay our prices on a stable base. So, this should make projects financially more efficient and supporting also our volume growth. So, this is exactly what we see currently in the large scale business. Where module prices are decreasing, the projects in total, getting cheaper and driving them more our – and driving then our growth strategy. There will be some pressure towards price end of the year, this is for sure. But large scale, it’s not even next year, we are absolutely booked out, and due to the solution, of course we will keep any reduction as low as possible, and we are not commodity. So, as I have said already before by our strategy to changing from a pure inverter to a solution provider, this gives us more resilience also in the price development, and we are not serving the commodity market as ours do.

S
Sebastian Growe
BNP Paribas Exane

Where are you – but, obviously, there is some reasons why there are so many questions asked around pricing. So, the situation in ‘23 is as such that Home Solutions is spurring a phenomenal margin of 25%, 30% EBITDA. It’s contributing about three quarters to group EBITDA, three quarters. So, now there is a very high likelihood I believe that in ‘24, there will be a material mix shift, a much higher contribution from LSPS and a few other points that you raised around LSPS improvement potential also for the margin. But still that’s the reason why so many questions are asked around the pricing, especially for the Home Solutions. Home Solutions is a key earnings driver this year. So, if there was a material decline in pricing, and then that would have also a material impact on the group profitability going forward, so that’s I think the reason. And for that reason, I was just asking if you could help us better understand to what extent you can sort of be protected to these price discussions when it comes to especially the Home Solutions and C&I, not to leave LSPS aside.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. I understand your question. What you have always said is that for the first quarter and the first half of the year, we had a special situation where Home Solutions was able to deliver earlier than the other segments. So now, C&I and also large scale are increasing significantly vessel volume. And then they are also contributing positively EBIT due to the current sales growth. That does mean that on the other hand, our sales – home sales – Home Solution business is still profitable for this year now and not only since then ‘22 and ‘23. So, this will also be positive contribute for the next years, but the shift in the mix will also mean that by increasing C&I and large scale business, they will also contribute positively. By our investment in our additional capacities here at Kassel, we are increasing our capacity from 20 gigawatts to 40 gigawatts. This is mainly driven to the fact that for the large scale business, we see the growth market and growth strategy in – mainly in North America, where we currently see that our projects are running with a very well profitability and with a very well situation, also compared to others and also compared to our segment. So, we are still fine with our decision, and we are absolutely clear that with our three segments, we are more resilient. There will be a mix shift in the next year that the dominant character of home in the sales revenues will be lower. But as we are increasing volumes, cost – fixed cost degression will also be seen due to capacity utilization in large scale and C&I. The new mix segment and the new mix revenue will then also be very profitable compared to this financial year.

S
Sebastian Growe
BNP Paribas Exane

Okay. That is truly helpful. Thank you for all the color. And then two very, very quick questions. The first one is a simple, you had a two-digit margin in ‘24 versus EBITDA versus EBIT.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. I have already said and I think in May that our target for next financial year 2024, two-digit positive is EBITDA, and we are also targeting two-digit positive for EBIT for the whole group. But it is for the whole group, and then we will have a mixture in between. As I have said already, Home Solution is already in this train, but C&I and also large scale are getting more and more profitable and are on the right track also to contribute. So, two-digit positive is meant for EBIT for next financial year for the group in total.

S
Sebastian Growe
BNP Paribas Exane

Okay. That’s good. And the very last one, and it goes on one of the slides, it’s in special income of €5 million from cancellations. So, I would be interested in hearing what segment that refers to? And on a more general note, can you also give us a sense how these fees are calculated? Is this sort of the lost profit contribution from a given contract, or how should we think about this?

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

It was from large scale, where we had a cancellation. And we have very different contract freight from each to other projects. So, we have normally conditions that if project canceled at a large point, there is a percentage based on the total project volume to be paid. So therefore, this was out of the cancellation in the large scale business.

S
Sebastian Growe
BNP Paribas Exane

Okay. Perfect. Thank you very much for this.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

You’re welcome.

Operator

We have a follow-up question coming from the line of Mr. Hesse with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

C
Constantin Hesse
Jefferies

Hi. Sorry, I was muted, sorry. I know we are already over the 60 minutes. I just have very quickly two questions. One, you referenced, so you were talking about the potential targets for the C&I and large scale that you are currently reviewing. Do you believe today, is there any chance that both of these businesses could actually become two-digit EBIT margin businesses? Is that realistic? So, that’s the first question. And the second question, is there any hold back still from the lack of electronic components in the second half, or should we continue seeing utilization running up in the second half? Thanks.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

First of all, it’s not only a question about what is realistic. It’s a question about what is our target. And if we take into consideration that each of our business also covers – capital employed covers net working capital, we have to set our target ambitiously. And the ambition is that for the future, every of our three segments have to gain two-digit positive EBIT margin. Otherwise, they are not contributed positively to the added value of the group. Can they achieve this all already in 2024, no. But we are on the right track. We set the overall global target for the whole group. Home is already there. We see that large scale and C&I will follow, but not immediately directly in next financial year, but the target for each of the three segments is to gain a positive – two-digit positive EBIT margin for the future. Okay, and your second question was concerning the – there are still some hold backs. And therefore, we consider a realistic base on a high sales volume, but we are getting continuously less hold backs.

C
Constantin Hesse
Jefferies

Thank you very much.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

You’re welcome.

Operator

The last question is a follow-up from Mr. Growe, BNP Paribas Exane. Please go ahead.

S
Sebastian Growe
BNP Paribas Exane

I am sorry for this. There is obviously room for another question and for doing this. And then to circle back to the visibility going into ‘24, so when it comes to the distributor and wholesaler level, is there sort of any kind of general framework base volume agreements? And then it’s depending on how much of this is going to be sort of called off, or what is simply the visibility argument or visibility as such going into ‘24? Could there be a situation that’s kind of the best of our works in ‘23? And do you really see also a decline in volumes in this particular part of the business. I see all the visibility arguments around LSPS, but since I am more nervous about the Home Solutions and C&I. Thank you.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

So, if we talk about frame agreements, we mainly talk about large scale business. There we have projects, there we have very, very huge customers. And in the large frame agreement, they also include penalties if the agreed volumes are not called up. The percentage of penalties and the amount of penalties normally depends on at what stage of the frame contracts, the volumes are caught up. And therefore, this is very different from the different point where cancellation and cash flow gain, and it is also very different from the different negotiation product, project frame. Our customers also need to deliver on their projects as such as it’s normally not in their interest to pull out of these agreements. So, because this is also in line also with their whole value chain and therefore, it’s only an exception, and it’s not normal business way that we are faced to this.

S
Sebastian Growe
BNP Paribas Exane

Okay. And if I may phrase it a bit differently, so you would be comfortable to the extent you want to comment on this one, comfortable with having at least the flat volume into ‘24 when it comes to these Home Solutions and C&I activities.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

I am comfortable with our target to increase our overall sales by 20%. This is what I also said a few weeks or a few months before. So, our growth expectation and our target is to increase our overall sales volume by 20% for next financial year. And we are still investigating in our – on our budget process. What does it mean for the different segments, what does it mean for the different projects and products, but in general, as we are increasing our portfolio also by batteries, also more and more hybrid inverter, large scale businesses increasing significantly, so therefore in the mixed picture, I can confirm that our growth strategy and growth target for next financial year is to grow by 20% sales-wise.

S
Sebastian Growe
BNP Paribas Exane

Okay. Perfect. Thank you very, very much.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

You’re welcome.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will hand back to Barbara Gregor for closing comments.

B
Barbara Gregor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. Thank you very much for all participants and also for your interest, and please do not hesitate to contact us in case of any further questions. Thank you.

All Transcripts

2024
2023
2022
2021
2019
2018
Back to Top