Deutsche Boerse AG
XETRA:DB1
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one DB1 stock under the Base Case scenario is 221.51 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 213.9 EUR, Deutsche Boerse AG is Undervalued by 3%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Deutsche Boerse AG
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Fundamental Analysis
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Deutsche Börse AG is a leading global exchange organization based in Frankfurt, Germany, and serves as a pivotal player in the world of financial markets. Established in the 16th century, it has evolved into a powerhouse of financial services, offering an extensive range of transaction services, trading platforms, and market data solutions. At the heart of its operations is the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, one of the largest stock exchanges in the world, where it facilitates the trading of thousands of securities. Besides equity trading, Deutsche Börse is heavily involved in derivatives trading, clearing services, and extensive market data analytics, positioning itself as a one-stop-shop for in...
Deutsche Börse AG is a leading global exchange organization based in Frankfurt, Germany, and serves as a pivotal player in the world of financial markets. Established in the 16th century, it has evolved into a powerhouse of financial services, offering an extensive range of transaction services, trading platforms, and market data solutions. At the heart of its operations is the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, one of the largest stock exchanges in the world, where it facilitates the trading of thousands of securities. Besides equity trading, Deutsche Börse is heavily involved in derivatives trading, clearing services, and extensive market data analytics, positioning itself as a one-stop-shop for investors and financial institutions seeking transparency and efficiency.
For investors, Deutsche Börse AG represents a unique opportunity to engage with a company that thrives on innovation and adaptation in an ever-evolving financial ecosystem. A strategic focus on digital transformation, including advancements in blockchain technology and the integration of sustainable investment solutions, signals its commitment to future growth and market leadership. Moreover, with a robust financial profile characterized by steady revenue streams and a well-diversified business model, Deutsche Börse is not just an exchange but a comprehensive facilitator of global finance. By investing in Deutsche Börse, one gains exposure to the dynamism of global markets and the potential for significant returns as the company continues to expand its influence and offerings in the financial landscape.
Deutsche Börse AG is a leading global exchange organization that operates the Frankfurt Stock Exchange and offers a range of financial services and products. Its core business segments typically include the following:
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Xetra: This is the electronic trading platform of Deutsche Börse, which facilitates trading of equities, ETFs, and other financial instruments. Xetra is known for its high liquidity and is a preferred venue for institutional and retail investors in Europe.
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Clearstream: This segment provides post-trade services, including settlement and custody for securities transactions. Clearstream ensures the efficient handling of securities and funds and plays a critical role in the financial infrastructure of Europe.
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Market Data + Services: Deutsche Börse offers a comprehensive suite of market data services, including real-time and historical data, indices, and analytics tools. This segment caters to market participants who require accurate and timely information for trading and investment decisions.
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Equities and Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs): This segment involves the listing and trading of equity instruments, including shares and exchange-traded funds. Deutsche Börse is instrumental in providing a marketplace for companies to raise capital and for investors to trade these instruments.
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Derivatives: Through its Eurex platform, Deutsche Börse facilitates trading in a wide range of derivatives products, including options and futures. Eurex is one of the world's largest derivatives exchanges and serves institutional investors by offering risk management solutions.
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Investment Funds: This segment involves the administration and distribution of investment funds. Deutsche Börse provides services to asset managers and investment funds to enhance their efficiency and regulatory compliance.
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Digital Assets and Innovations: In response to the growing demand for digital finance solutions, Deutsche Börse has been active in the areas of blockchain technology and digital assets, including cryptocurrencies. This segment aims to expand its offerings and adapt to changing market dynamics.
By focusing on these core business segments, Deutsche Börse AG positions itself as a key player in the global financial marketplace, providing essential services to various market participants.
Deutsche Börse AG, as one of the largest and most influential exchange organizations in the world, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Diversified Product Offering: Deutsche Börse operates multiple segments, including cash markets (Xetra), derivatives (Eurex), and clearing services (Clearstream). This diversification allows it to attract a wide range of customers and manage risk across different sectors.
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Technological Leadership: The company invests heavily in technology, offering advanced trading platforms and services. Its proprietary trading systems are considered robust and efficient, making it attractive to traders and investors seeking reliability and speed.
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Strong Brand and Reputation: With a long history dating back to the 16th century, Deutsche Börse has built a strong brand that embodies trust and stability. This reputation helps attract international clients and partnerships.
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Strategic Location: Based in Frankfurt, Germany, Deutsche Börse benefits from the city’s status as a major financial hub in Europe. This location offers access to a vast pool of liquidity and facilitates cross-border trading.
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Regulatory Framework: As a major European exchange, Deutsche Börse operates within a well-structured regulatory framework, which provides a level of security and confidence for institutional investors.
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Post-Trade Services: Through its Clearstream subsidiary, Deutsche Börse provides comprehensive post-trade services, including settlement, custody, and asset servicing. This vertical integration enhances customer retention and creates additional revenue streams.
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Global Reach: Deutsche Börse does not confine itself to the European market; it has established a presence in Asia and the Americas, allowing it to capitalize on global market opportunities and diminishing reliance on any single market.
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Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: The company has pursued strategic alliances and acquisitions that have expanded its capabilities and reach, such as its merger with the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) (although ultimately unsuccessful) and partnerships enhancing its market data and analytics offerings.
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Focus on Innovation: Continuous investment in fintech innovations, including blockchain technology and digital assets, positions Deutsche Börse as a forward-thinking exchange that adapts to evolving market demands.
These advantages collectively position Deutsche Börse as a formidable player in the global exchange landscape, enabling it to compete effectively against rivals such as Euronext, Nasdaq, and the London Stock Exchange.
Deutsche Börse AG, as a major financial market infrastructure provider, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas of concern:
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Regulatory Compliance: Increased scrutiny and regulation in financial markets can lead to higher compliance costs. Any changes in regulations, especially in the EU, could significantly affect operations and profitability.
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Market Volatility: Economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, or changes in monetary policy can lead to market volatility, which in turn can impact trading volumes and revenues. High volatility can deter investors, affect transaction volume, and impact derivatives markets.
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Technological Disruption: As fintech continues to evolve, Deutsche Börse must remain competitive against emerging platforms and technologies such as blockchain and cryptocurrencies. Innovations in trading technologies or new financial instruments can disrupt traditional business models.
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Cybersecurity Threats: Given the sensitive nature of financial data, Deutsche Börse is vulnerable to cyberattacks that can compromise data integrity and disrupt services. The increasing sophistication of cyber threats poses a constant risk.
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Competition: The competitive landscape within financial services is intensifying, with not only traditional exchanges but also alternative trading systems and emerging technologies vying for market share. This affects pricing power and market position.
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Economic Slowdown: A potential economic downturn in Europe or globally can reduce trading activity, impacting Deutsche Börse's revenues from transaction fees and market services.
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Interest Rate Fluctuations: Changes in interest rates can affect the cost of capital and demand for financial products, impacting overall market activity and profitability for the exchange.
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Integration of Acquisitions: Deutsche Börse has pursued various acquisitions to enhance its capabilities. Successful integration of these acquisitions is crucial; failure to do so can lead to inefficiencies and reduced profitability.
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ESG Compliance and Reporting: As sustainability becomes a focal point for investors, Deutsche Börse must navigate the evolving landscape of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) requirements and expectations. This includes adapting to new reporting standards and ensuring compliance.
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Global Trade Dynamics: Changes in trade policies, economic sanctions, or other global trade-related tensions can affect the cross-border flow of capital and impact trading volume and exchange performance.
By addressing these risks and challenges through strategic planning, investment in technology, and continuous adaptation to market conditions, Deutsche Börse can position itself to navigate an increasingly complex financial landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Deutsche Boerse AG
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Deutsche Boerse AG
Current Assets | 230.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 23.4B |
Receivables | 2.2B |
Other Current Assets | 205.3B |
Non-Current Assets | 25.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.9B |
PP&E | 584.4m |
Intangibles | 12.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 10.2B |
Current Liabilities | 227.6B |
Accounts Payable | 1.6B |
Accrued Liabilities | 237.3m |
Short-Term Debt | 20B |
Other Current Liabilities | 205.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 18.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 7.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 11.3B |
Earnings Waterfall
Deutsche Boerse AG
Revenue
|
6.7B
EUR
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.2B
EUR
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Gross Profit
|
5.5B
EUR
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Operating Expenses
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-2.8B
EUR
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Operating Income
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2.7B
EUR
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Other Expenses
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-868.1m
EUR
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Net Income
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1.8B
EUR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Deutsche Boerse AG
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
Deutsche Börse AG is confidently pursuing its strategy, targeting a 10% CAGR by 2026, supported by a 7% organic growth outlook. Notably, net revenue growth, excluding treasury results, is expected to rise from 6% to 8% between 2024 and 2026. The company continues to benefit from high interest rates, although it anticipates a shift to cyclical headwinds in 2025. With new U.S. clients boosting Software Solutions at SimCorp, and strong performance in the Commodities business, total net revenue for 2024 is projected at €5.8 billion, with EBITDA between €3.3 billion and €3.4 billion—both aligning with market expectations.
What is Earnings Call?
DB1 Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Deutsche Boerse AG's profitability score is 65/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Deutsche Boerse AG's profitability score is 65/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
DB1 Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Deutsche Boerse AG's solvency score is 26/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Deutsche Boerse AG's solvency score is 26/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
DB1 Price Targets Summary
Deutsche Boerse AG
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DB1 is 225.57 EUR with a low forecast of 195.94 EUR and a high forecast of 253.05 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for DB1 is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
DB1 Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Deutsche Börse AG engages in the provision of information technology services and market data distribution. The company is headquartered in Eschborn, Hessen and currently employs 10,200 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2001-02-05. The firm offers listing and trading services and operates the trading platforms Xetra and Frankfurter Wertpapierboerse. The company also provides clearing services through Eurex Clearing, as well as post-trade banking, settlement and custody services for fixed-income securities, shares and investment funds. In addition to that, it offers market data and technology-based services, such as data feeds, market data, news services, reference data, reporting services, external information technology (IT) services and trading infrastructure. The firm also operates through DB1 Ventures, a corporate venture capital platform that offers capital, knowledge, guidance, and connectivity to its portfolio companies.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one DB1 stock under the Base Case scenario is 221.51 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 213.9 EUR, Deutsche Boerse AG is Undervalued by 3%.