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Airbus SE
XETRA:AIR
![Airbus SE Logo](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/stock/xetra/air.png)
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one
AIR
stock under the Base Case scenario is
182.79
EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 128.34 EUR,
Airbus SE
is
Undervalued by 30%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
![](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/stock/xetra/air.png?tr=w-200)
Valuation Backtest
Airbus SE
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
AIR
based on its intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
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Airbus SE stands as a titan in the aerospace industry, heralded for its innovation and commitment to reshaping air travel through advanced engineering and sustainability initiatives. Founded in 1970, the company has grown to become a leading manufacturer of commercial aircraft, bolstered by a diverse portfolio that includes military aircraft, helicopters, and space technology. With its headquarters in Toulouse, France, Airbus is not just a European powerhouse; it operates on a global stage, competing fiercely with its American rival, Boeing. As the aviation sector rebounds post-pandemic, Airbus finds itself uniquely positioned to capitalize on the anticipated surge in air travel demand, driv...
Airbus SE stands as a titan in the aerospace industry, heralded for its innovation and commitment to reshaping air travel through advanced engineering and sustainability initiatives. Founded in 1970, the company has grown to become a leading manufacturer of commercial aircraft, bolstered by a diverse portfolio that includes military aircraft, helicopters, and space technology. With its headquarters in Toulouse, France, Airbus is not just a European powerhouse; it operates on a global stage, competing fiercely with its American rival, Boeing. As the aviation sector rebounds post-pandemic, Airbus finds itself uniquely positioned to capitalize on the anticipated surge in air travel demand, driven by a resurgence in tourism and the growth of low-cost carriers.
Investors looking at Airbus will find a company that is navigating the complexities of the modern aerospace market with strategic foresight. The firm is heavily invested in sustainable aviation, embracing the challenge of reducing carbon emissions through innovative technologies such as the development of hydrogen-powered aircraft. With a strong order book and a focus on operational efficiency, Airbus is poised for growth, promising long-term value to its shareholders. The company’s robust financial performance, consistent dividend payouts, and a clear vision for the future make it an attractive consideration for investors seeking exposure to the evolving landscape of air travel and defense. As world economies recover and adapt, Airbus's dedication to redefining the skies could present significant investment opportunities in the years ahead.
Airbus SE operates through several core business segments, which are essential to its overall strategy and performance. As of my last available data in October 2023, the primary business segments of Airbus SE are:
-
Commercial Aircraft:
- This is one of the largest segments for Airbus, focusing on the design, manufacturing, and sale of commercial jetliners. The fleet includes various aircraft models such as the A220, A320 family (including the A321neo), A330, A350, and the A380, which cater to the needs of airlines globally. The segment is heavily influenced by factors such as air travel demand, airline profitability, and regulatory requirements.
-
Defence and Space:
- Airbus Defence and Space is responsible for military aircraft, space systems, and satellite technologies. This segment produces military transport aircraft (e.g., A400M), surveillance and reconnaissance systems, and satellite technology for various applications. It also involves partnerships with governments and military organizations worldwide.
-
Helicopters:
- This segment offers a wide range of civil and military helicopters suited for various missions. Airbus Helicopters is a key player in this market, providing models like the H125, H145, and military variants like the H225M. The segment is focused on meeting the needs of emergency services, law enforcement, and offshore oil and gas operations.
-
Services:
- Airbus also focuses on delivering a range of services across its core segments, including maintenance, repair, overhaul, and upgrade solutions. This segment contributes to customer lifecycle support and aims to enhance aircraft operational efficiency through digital services, training, and spare parts.
These segments work in synergy, allowing Airbus to leverage its technological strengths and diversify its revenue streams while focusing on innovation and sustainability in the aerospace sector. Each segment faces unique market dynamics and competitive pressures, requiring Airbus to employ strategic positioning and adaptability to maintain leadership in the industry.
Airbus SE, one of the leading aircraft manufacturers in the world, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals, such as Boeing and other players in the aerospace industry. Here are some key advantages:
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Diverse Product Portfolio: Airbus offers a wide range of aircraft, including the A320 series for short to medium-haul flights, the A350 for long-haul routes, and the A380 for superjumbo travel. This diversity allows Airbus to cater to various market segments and customer needs.
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Strong Technological Capabilities: Airbus has a strong emphasis on innovation and technology, investing significantly in research and development. This focus has led to advancements in fuel efficiency, aerodynamics, and materials technology, giving Airbus an edge in delivering more efficient and sustainable aircraft.
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Global Supply Chain and Manufacturing: Airbus has established a robust global supply chain with production facilities spread across multiple countries. This not only diversifies risk but also enhances operational efficiency and allows Airbus to leverage local expertise and resources.
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Strategic Partnerships: Airbus has formed strategic partnerships and alliances with various stakeholders, including suppliers, airlines, and governments. These partnerships can lead to collaborative innovation, enhanced market penetration, and shared risk in product development.
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Financial Stability and Backlog: With a strong backlog of aircraft orders, Airbus enjoys a degree of financial stability that allows it to plan long-term strategies effectively. This backlog also reflects confidence from airlines in the company's products.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Airbus is a leader in sustainability efforts within the aerospace sector, investing in green technologies and exploring hydrogen-powered aircraft. This commitment to sustainability can provide a competitive advantage as the industry increasingly prioritizes environmental concerns.
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Customizable Solutions: Airbus offers customizable aircraft configurations tailored to specific airline needs, from cabin layouts to high-tech onboard systems. This flexibility enhances customer satisfaction and loyalty.
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Aftermarket Services: Airbus provides comprehensive support and aftermarket services, including maintenance and training. These services generate additional revenue streams and help build long-term relationships with customers.
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Geographic Presence: Airbus has a substantial global footprint, with manufacturing and assembly facilities in various countries. This geographic diversity allows the company to tap into different markets and mitigate risks associated with regional economic shifts.
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Brand Reputation and Trust: Over the years, Airbus has built a strong brand reputation for safety, quality, and innovation. This trust plays a crucial role in client decision-making, particularly in the airline industry, where safety is paramount.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Airbus can better position itself in the global aerospace market, respond to industry trends, and navigate competitive challenges effectively.
Airbus SE, as a major player in the aerospace and defense industry, faces several risks and challenges in the near future that could impact its operations and growth prospects. Here are some of the key risks:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing global supply chain challenges, exacerbated by events like the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions, could impact the availability of critical components and materials needed for aircraft production.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns, fluctuations in oil prices, and changes in air travel demand due to economic conditions can affect aircraft orders and deliveries. Companies like Airbus are particularly sensitive to changes in the global economy.
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Geopolitical Risks: Political tensions, trade wars, and sanctions can pose risks to Airbus, especially given its international customer base and supply chain. The situation between the U.S. and the EU, particularly concerning tariffs and subsidies, remains a key concern.
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Competition: Airbus faces intense competition from Boeing and emerging manufacturers in various countries (e.g., COMAC in China). This competition could lead to price pressures and reduced market share.
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Technological Changes: The aerospace industry is rapidly evolving with advancements in technology, including sustainable aviation fuels and electric aircraft. Airbus must invest in research and development to keep up with these trends and meet future regulatory requirements.
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Regulatory Challenges: Compliance with stringent safety regulations and environmental standards is crucial. Any changes or updates to these regulations could require significant adjustments in Airbus’s operations.
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Environmental Concerns: Increasing scrutiny over the environmental impact of air travel may lead to higher costs associated with compliance and the need for investment in greener technologies.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a technologically advanced organization, Airbus is a potential target for cyberattacks. Protecting sensitive data and ensuring operational continuity in the face of cyber threats is critical.
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Pandemic Recovery Dynamics: The aviation industry is still recovering from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Variability in recovery rates across different regions and segments (e.g., business vs. leisure travel) poses ongoing uncertainty.
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Labor Issues: Given the complexity of aircraft manufacturing, labor shortages, strikes, or other workforce-related issues can impede production timelines and operational efficiency.
Addressing these risks effectively requires strategic planning, investment in innovation, and proactive engagement with stakeholders across the aerospace and defense landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Airbus SE
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Airbus SE
Current Assets | 66.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 14.6B |
Receivables | 10B |
Other Current Assets | 41.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 56.9B |
Long-Term Investments | 15.4B |
PP&E | 17.6B |
Intangibles | 17.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 6.8B |
Current Liabilities | 59B |
Accounts Payable | 14.4B |
Other Current Liabilities | 44.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 47.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 13.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 34B |
Earnings Waterfall
Airbus SE
Revenue
|
66.6B
EUR
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-56.9B
EUR
|
Gross Profit
|
9.7B
EUR
|
Operating Expenses
|
-5.8B
EUR
|
Operating Income
|
3.9B
EUR
|
Other Expenses
|
-818m
EUR
|
Net Income
|
3.1B
EUR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Airbus SE
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
In Q1 2024, Airbus saw its revenue grow by 9% to €12.8 billion, driven by a higher number of commercial aircraft deliveries. However, the EBIT adjusted decreased from €0.8 billion to €0.6 billion due to increased R&D expenses and a deteriorating hedge rate. Helicopter deliveries dropped by 21%, reducing revenues by 9%. Despite these challenges, Airbus maintains its guidance for 2024, expecting around 800 commercial aircraft deliveries, EBIT adjusted between €6.5 billion and €7 billion, and free cash flow before customer financing of around €4 billion.
What is Earnings Call?
AIR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Airbus SE's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
![](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/stock/xetra/air.png)
Score
Airbus SE's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AIR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Airbus SE's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
![](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/stock/xetra/air.png)
Score
Airbus SE's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AIR Price Targets Summary
Airbus SE
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
AIR
is 163.1 EUR
with a low forecast of 75.72 EUR and a high forecast of 209.91 EUR.
Shareholder Yield
Current shareholder yield for AIR is
.
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
AIR Price
Airbus SE
Average Annual Return | 0.91% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 24.67% |
Max Drawdown | -64% |
Market Capitalization | 101.6B EUR |
Shares Outstanding | 791 504 572 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Profile
![Airbus SE Logo](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/stock/xetra/air.png?tr=w-200)
![Airbus SE Logo](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/stock/xetra/air.png?tr=w-200)
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Airbus SE engages in the design, manufacture, delivery and provision of aerospace products, space and related services. The company is headquartered in Leiden, Zuid-Holland and currently employs 126,495 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2000-07-10. The firm operates through three segments: Airbus, Airbus Helicopters and Airbus Defence and Space. The Airbus segment focuses on the development, manufacturing, marketing and sale of commercial jet aircraft and aircraft components, as well as on aircraft conversion and related services. The Airbus Helicopters segment specializes in the development, manufacturing, marketing and sale of civil and military helicopters, as well as on the provision of helicopter related services. The Airbus Defence and Space segment produces military combat aircraft and training aircraft, provides defense electronics and global security market solutions, and manufacturers and markets missiles.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
AIR
stock under the Base Case scenario is
182.79
EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 128.34 EUR,
Airbus SE
is
Undervalued by 30%.