Covestro AG
XETRA:1COV

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Covestro AG
XETRA:1COV
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Price: 57.1 EUR 0.11% Market Closed
Market Cap: 10.8B EUR
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Nov 23, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one 1COV stock is 34.28 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 57.1 EUR, the stock is Overvalued by 40%.

1COV DCF Value
Base Case
34.28 EUR
Overvaluation 40%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
34.28
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 34.28 EUR

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 1.5B EUR. The present value of the terminal value is 6.5B EUR. The total present value equals 8B EUR.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 8B EUR
+ Cash & Equivalents 539m EUR
+ Investments 617m EUR
Firm Value 9.2B EUR
- Debt 2.7B EUR
- Minority Interest 19m EUR
Equity Value 6.5B EUR
/ Shares Outstanding 188.7m
1COV DCF Value 34.28 EUR
Overvalued by 40%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
15.2B 17.4B
Operating Income
320.4m 1.2B
FCFF
25.6m 504.5m

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one 1COV stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one 1COV stock is 34.28 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 57.1 EUR, the stock is Overvalued by 40%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Covestro AG's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 8B EUR.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 34.28 EUR per share.

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