Lotus Bakeries NV
XBRU:LOTB
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one LOTB stock under the Base Case scenario is 3 793.64 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 11 680 EUR, Lotus Bakeries NV is Overvalued by 68%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Lotus Bakeries NV
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Fundamental Analysis
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Lotus Bakeries NV is a renowned Belgian company best known for its iconic speculoos cookies, which have charmed consumers around the globe with their unique caramelized flavor and crunchy texture. Founded in 1932 in the town of Lembeke, Lotus Bakeries has transformed from a local bakery into an international player in the snack industry, driven by a commitment to quality and authenticity. Over the years, the company has diversified its product offerings, expanding beyond the beloved speculoos cookies to include a range of snacks, such as cookie spreads and gluten-free options. With a focus on innovation and sustainability, Lotus Bakeries has positioned itself as a leader in the premium snack...
Lotus Bakeries NV is a renowned Belgian company best known for its iconic speculoos cookies, which have charmed consumers around the globe with their unique caramelized flavor and crunchy texture. Founded in 1932 in the town of Lembeke, Lotus Bakeries has transformed from a local bakery into an international player in the snack industry, driven by a commitment to quality and authenticity. Over the years, the company has diversified its product offerings, expanding beyond the beloved speculoos cookies to include a range of snacks, such as cookie spreads and gluten-free options. With a focus on innovation and sustainability, Lotus Bakeries has positioned itself as a leader in the premium snack segment, appealing to health-conscious consumers while maintaining its artisanal roots.
As an investor, one of the most compelling aspects of Lotus Bakeries is its robust growth trajectory and proven business model. The company's strong brand equity and loyal customer base are backed by a strategic vision that emphasizes operational efficiency and expanding its global footprint. With a presence in over 50 countries and plans to further penetrate the North American and Asian markets, Lotus Bakeries is primed for continued expansion. Financially, the company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, attractive margins, and a solid balance sheet, all of which underscore its resilience in a competitive market. For investors looking to capitalize on the rising demand for quality snacks and the allure of established brands, Lotus Bakeries presents a tantalizing opportunity.
Lotus Bakeries NV is a Belgian company known for its specialized baked goods, particularly its iconic Lotus Biscoff cookies. The core business segments of Lotus Bakeries can be categorized as follows:
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Biscuits and Cookies:
- Lotus Biscoff Cookies: The flagship product, known for its caramelized flavor, enjoyed both as a standalone snack and a complementary item with coffee and tea.
- Other Biscuit Varieties: Apart from Biscoff, Lotus Bakeries produces various other biscuits and cookies catering to different tastes.
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Powdered and Spreads:
- Lotus Biscoff Spread: A popular product that transforms the classic cookie flavor into a spread, appealing to consumers looking for sweet toppings and ingredients.
- Other Spreads: The company may also offer other flavor-based spreads and variants derived from its core cookie products.
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Cakes and Other Bakery Products:
- Specialty Cakes: This segment includes various cake products that may be marketed under the Lotus brand or as part of their product line.
- Traditional Bakery Items: Opportunities may also exist in other baked goods, depending on market trends and consumer preferences.
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International Expansion:
- Lotus Bakeries has been proactive in expanding its product reach globally, focusing on North America, Asia, and other international markets. This presents a strategic segment focused on international branding and distribution.
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Private Label and Partnerships:
- Collaborating with other brands for co-branded products or private label options to broaden market presence and tap into new customer bases.
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Health-Conscious and Innovative Products:
- Responding to consumer trends, this segment focuses on developing healthier options or innovative snack products that cater to a more health-conscious demographic.
Lotus Bakeries continues to innovate within these segments while maintaining its brand's integrity and focusing on quality, leveraging its strong heritage in baking.
Lotus Bakeries NV possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the global snack food market:
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Strong Brand Identity: Lotus Bakeries has a well-established brand, particularly known for its speculoos cookies. The brand’s image is tied to tradition and quality, which appeals to a broad customer base.
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Niche Product Offering: Specializing in unique products like speculoos and various innovative snacks, the company targets a niche market. This focus helps in creating a loyal customer base that seeks out these specific products.
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Innovation and Product Development: Lotus Bakeries invests significantly in research and development to innovate new products and flavors. This commitment to innovation enables them to stay ahead of trends and adapt to consumer preferences quickly.
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Global Distribution Network: The company has established a robust global distribution network, allowing it to reach various international markets effectively. This extensive reach provides the company with a competitive edge in terms of market presence.
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Strong Financial Performance: Lotus Bakeries has maintained a solid financial position, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and marketing. This financial strength enhances its ability to compete against larger rivals.
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Sustainability Focus: The company places a strong emphasis on sustainability practices, aligning with consumer trends towards environmentally friendly products. This focus can enhance brand loyalty and attract environmentally conscious consumers.
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High Quality Standards: Lotus Bakeries emphasizes high quality and premium ingredients in its production processes. This commitment helps maintain product integrity and consumer trust, giving it an edge in quality-centric markets.
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Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations: The company often seeks strategic partnerships to broaden its market reach and enhance product offerings. Collaborations with retailers or other brands can boost its visibility and sales.
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Cultural Relevance: By tying its products to specific cultural experiences (like the traditional consumption of speculoos with coffee), Lotus Bakeries taps into consumer nostalgia and cultural value, which can be a powerful differentiator.
These competitive advantages, when leveraged effectively, enable Lotus Bakeries NV to maintain its position in a highly competitive market.
Lotus Bakeries NV, known for its iconic speculoos biscuits and a range of snack products, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and growth in the near future:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain disruptions, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions, may affect the availability and cost of raw materials. Shortages or price increases of ingredients like sugar, flour, and spices can impact profit margins.
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Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation rates can lead to increased operational costs, including wages and transportation. If Lotus Bakeries cannot pass these costs onto consumers, it may suffer from diminished profitability.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: As health and wellness trends continue to evolve, consumers are increasingly seeking healthier snack options. If Lotus Bakeries fails to innovate or adapt its product offerings to meet these changing preferences, it may lose market share to competitors.
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Competition: The snack and food industry is highly competitive, with many players vying for market share. Established brands and new entrants offering similar or innovative products could challenge Lotus Bakeries’ market position.
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Regulatory Risks: Compliance with food safety and labeling regulations is critical. Any changes in regulations, particularly related to health claims or imports and exports, could impact operations and marketing strategies.
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Economic Downturn: A recession or economic slowdown may lead consumers to cut back on discretionary spending, including premium snacks. This could impact sales volumes and revenue.
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Environmental Sustainability: Increasing awareness and regulations regarding sustainability could pose challenges for production processes and packaging. Lotus Bakeries may need to invest in more sustainable practices to meet regulatory and consumer demands, which could increase costs.
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Brand Dependency: The company is heavily reliant on its signature products, particularly the speculoos biscuits. A decline in consumer interest or a negative event affecting this core product could significantly impact overall sales.
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Expansion Challenges: As Lotus Bakeries seeks to expand its market presence internationally, it may face challenges, including cultural differences, local competition, and the logistics of entering new markets.
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Digital Transformation: The rise in e-commerce and online food purchasing puts pressure on traditional distribution models. Adapting to digital marketing and online sales channels may require substantial investment and strategic shifts.
To navigate these challenges, Lotus Bakeries will need to maintain a flexible strategy, focus on innovation, and enhance its supply chain resilience while staying attuned to consumer trends and market conditions.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Lotus Bakeries NV
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Lotus Bakeries NV
Current Assets | 374.2m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 95.7m |
Receivables | 183.6m |
Other Current Assets | 94.9m |
Non-Current Assets | 914.4m |
Long-Term Investments | 27.8m |
PP&E | 506.7m |
Intangibles | 376.9m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.9m |
Current Liabilities | 241.9m |
Accounts Payable | 216.8m |
Accrued Liabilities | 4.2m |
Other Current Liabilities | 20.9m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 352.2m |
Long-Term Debt | 276.2m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 76m |
Earnings Waterfall
Lotus Bakeries NV
Revenue
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1.2B
EUR
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Cost of Revenue
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-704.5m
EUR
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Gross Profit
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456.6m
EUR
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Operating Expenses
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-264.6m
EUR
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Operating Income
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192m
EUR
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Other Expenses
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-49.8m
EUR
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Net Income
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142.2m
EUR
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Lotus Bakeries NV
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
LOTB Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Lotus Bakeries NV's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Lotus Bakeries NV's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
LOTB Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Lotus Bakeries NV's solvency score is 78/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Lotus Bakeries NV's solvency score is 78/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
LOTB Price Targets Summary
Lotus Bakeries NV
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LOTB is 10 906.71 EUR with a low forecast of 9 090 EUR and a high forecast of 12 810 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for LOTB is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
LOTB Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Lotus Bakeries NV engages in the production and sale of bread, biscuits, cake and waffles. The company is headquartered in Lembeke, Oost-Vlaanderen and currently employs 2,398 full-time employees. Its product portfolio is divided into six product lines. The Caramelized Biscuits line includes caramelized biscuits, caramelized biscuit spread and caramelized biscuit ice cream sold under the Lotus brand. The Waffles and Galettes line consists of Liege, soft, filled, galettes and vanilla waffles also sold under the Lotus brand. The Cake Specialties line comprises frangipane, madeleine, carre confiture and Zebra in Belgium, Glaces and Enkhuizer cookies in the Netherlands, as well as Breton butter. The Gingerbread line includes the sale of gingerbread products under the Peijnenburg and Snelle Jelle brands. The Pepparkakor Biscuits line encompasses a range of traditional Swedish biscuits sold under the Annas Pepparkakor brand in Sweden, Finland, the United States, Canada as well as other countries. The Dinosaurs Biscuits line includes the sale of children’s biscuit through the Dinosaurs brand.
Contact
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one LOTB stock under the Base Case scenario is 3 793.64 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 11 680 EUR, Lotus Bakeries NV is Overvalued by 68%.