Verbund AG
VSE:VER
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one VER stock under the Base Case scenario is 65.43 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 75.75 EUR, Verbund AG is Overvalued by 14%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Verbund AG
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Fundamental Analysis
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Verbund AG, Austria's leading utility company, is the heart of the nation's renewable energy landscape, deeply committed to sustainability and innovation. Founded in 1947, the company has evolved through decades of expertise in hydropower generation, now boasting a substantial share of Austria’s renewable energy output. With approximately 80% of its electricity coming from hydropower, Verbund operates across a diversified portfolio that includes wind, solar, and thermal energy. This strategic focus not only positions Verbund as a key player in the transition to a low-carbon economy but also aligns with the growing global demand for clean energy solutions—a move increasingly favored by invest...
Verbund AG, Austria's leading utility company, is the heart of the nation's renewable energy landscape, deeply committed to sustainability and innovation. Founded in 1947, the company has evolved through decades of expertise in hydropower generation, now boasting a substantial share of Austria’s renewable energy output. With approximately 80% of its electricity coming from hydropower, Verbund operates across a diversified portfolio that includes wind, solar, and thermal energy. This strategic focus not only positions Verbund as a key player in the transition to a low-carbon economy but also aligns with the growing global demand for clean energy solutions—a move increasingly favored by investors keen on environmentally responsible companies.
For investors, Verbund AG represents a robust opportunity, showcasing stable revenue streams driven by fixed long-term contracts and a growing emphasis on green energy investments. The company’s impressive financial performance underscores its operational efficiency and strategic initiatives, such as investments in digitalization and customer solutions, enhancing its competitive edge in an evolving market. Moreover, Verbund's strong credit ratings and consistent dividend payouts offered to shareholders reflect its commitment to delivering value while expanding its renewables footprint. This makes Verbund not merely a utility provider but a vital contributor to environmental progress, capturing the interest of investors focused on both financial growth and sustainable practices.
Verbund AG is an Austrian company primarily involved in the energy sector. Its core business segments include:
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Hydropower Generation: As one of Europe’s largest producers of hydropower, Verbund operates numerous hydroelectric plants. This segment is critical for the company, as it leverages Austria's abundant water resources to produce renewable energy.
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Electricity Generation: Beyond hydropower, Verbund also generates electricity from other renewable sources, such as wind and solar power, as well as conventional power plants. This diversification helps in maintaining energy production stability and meets growing demand for green energy.
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Grid and Infrastructure: Verbund operates high-voltage transmission networks, ensuring the stable distribution of electricity throughout Austria and into neighboring countries. This infrastructure segment is vital for integrating renewable energy sources and enhancing grid stability.
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Energy Trading and Supply: The company is actively involved in the trading of electricity and other energy commodities. This segment includes the retailing of electricity to customers, including residential and business clients, and is essential for revenue generation.
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Environmental Solutions and Services: Verbund is committed to sustainability and offers solutions for energy efficiency and environmental services, aligning with global trends toward sustainability and renewable energy adoption.
These core segments reflect Verbund AG's focus on renewable energy, sustainable practices, and a commitment to innovation in the energy sector, positioning the company as a leader in the European energy market.
Verbund AG, Austria's largest utility company and one of the leading producers of hydropower in Europe, holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Strong Hydropower Assets: Verbund operates a substantial portfolio of hydroelectric plants, which provides it with a significant and reliable source of renewable energy. Hydropower not only allows for lower operational costs but also positions the company favorably in an energy market increasingly focused on sustainability.
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Regulatory Favorability: As a utility company in Austria and the EU, Verbund benefits from supportive renewable energy policies and regulations that encourage clean energy production and investment in infrastructure. These regulations can create a barrier for new entrants and allow Verbund to leverage its established position.
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Vertical Integration: Verbund is vertically integrated, managing everything from generation to distribution. This integration helps control costs, improves operational efficiencies, and allows for better risk management across the value chain.
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Innovative Technology and Smart Grids: The company invests in innovation, particularly in smart grid technologies and digitalization, enhancing operational efficiency and customer engagement. This focus on technology can improve service delivery and operational reliability.
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Market Leadership and Brand Trust: Verbund has established itself as a trusted brand in the energy sector with a long-standing reputation in Austria. Consumer loyalty and brand recognition provide a competitive edge over rivals.
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Diversification in Energy Sources: While its primary focus is on hydropower, Verbund has diversified its energy mix to include wind and solar energy in recent years. This diversification mitigates risk and aligns with global trends toward sustainability and renewable energy.
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Sustainability Commitment: Verbund's strong commitment to sustainability and environmental stewardship enhances its brand image and appeals to a growing segment of eco-conscious customers and investors.
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Strategic Partnerships and Investments: Verbund engages in various strategic partnerships and joint ventures, enabling it to leverage external technologies and resources, thus enhancing its competitive position in the market.
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Robust Financial Position: With solid cash flows from its renewable energy assets and prudent financial management, Verbund is well-positioned to invest in growth opportunities, technology, and infrastructure development.
These competitive advantages position Verbund AG as a formidable player in the European energy market, enabling it to navigate challenges while capturing growth opportunities in the transition to renewable energy.
Verbund AG, as one of Austria's leading electricity companies, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are key considerations:
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Regulatory Changes: The energy sector is heavily regulated, and any changes in regulations related to emissions, renewable energy mandates, or tariffs can significantly impact operations and profitability.
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Market Volatility: The energy market is subject to fluctuations due to changes in supply and demand, as well as geopolitical events that can affect energy prices. Volatility can lead to uncertainty in revenue forecasting and operational planning.
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Transition to Renewables: As Verbund AG continues its transition to renewable energy sources, the company must navigate the challenges of investment costs, technology integration, and the need for a stable infrastructure to support such transitions.
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Competition: Increased competition from both traditional energy companies and new renewable energy firms can impact market share and pricing strategies.
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Technological Disruption: Rapid advancements in technology, particularly in renewable energy and smart grid technologies, require Verbund AG to continuously adapt. Failure to innovate could lead to losing competitive advantages.
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Environmental and Social Governance (ESG) Pressures: Growing emphasis on sustainability and corporate governance may bring additional scrutiny and expectations from stakeholders. Meeting these expectations requires investment and proactive management.
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Economic Conditions: Macroeconomic factors such as inflation, recession, or changes in consumer behavior can affect energy consumption patterns, influencing demand and pricing.
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Infrastructure Investments: Large capital expenditures are often required to maintain and upgrade infrastructure, which can strain financial resources and impact cash flow if not managed effectively.
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Supply Chain Issues: Disruptions in the supply chain for materials and technology needed for energy production and renewable technology implementations can hamper operations and project timelines.
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Climate Change: Adverse weather conditions and climate-related events can disrupt energy generation (especially hydropower) and impact operations.
Addressing these challenges and risks effectively would require Verbund AG to adopt strategic planning, robust risk management frameworks, and continuous adaptation to the evolving market landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Verbund AG
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Verbund AG
Current Assets | 2.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 473.5m |
Receivables | 1.4B |
Other Current Assets | 929.2m |
Non-Current Assets | 15.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.1B |
PP&E | 12.9B |
Intangibles | 1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 866.4m |
Current Liabilities | 2.6B |
Accounts Payable | 907.2m |
Other Current Liabilities | 1.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 6.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 2.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 4.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Verbund AG
Revenue
|
7.7B
EUR
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-3.7B
EUR
|
Gross Profit
|
4B
EUR
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1.7B
EUR
|
Operating Income
|
2.3B
EUR
|
Other Expenses
|
-386.8m
EUR
|
Net Income
|
1.9B
EUR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Verbund AG
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
Verbund started 2024 strongly despite a challenging energy market. Q1 saw an EBITDA drop of 8.7% to EUR 883 million and a group result decline of 4.3% to EUR 506 million due to lower electricity prices following a mild winter and high gas storage levels. Hydropower production increased by 29.6%, but lower pricing affected earnings. Wind and PV generation rose thanks to new capacity in Spain. Verbund's EBITDA for 2024 is projected between EUR 2.8 billion and EUR 3.3 billion, with a group result of EUR 1.45 billion to EUR 1.75 billion.
What is Earnings Call?
VER Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Verbund AG's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Verbund AG's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
VER Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Verbund AG's solvency score is 64/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Verbund AG's solvency score is 64/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
VER Price Targets Summary
Verbund AG
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VER is 70.77 EUR with a low forecast of 62.62 EUR and a high forecast of 91.56 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for VER is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
VERBUND AG engages in the production and distribution of electricity. The company is headquartered in Wien, Wien and currently employs 3,497 full-time employees. The firm is engaged in the generation and transmission of electricity in Austria. The company is also active in the energy trading markets. Through its trading platform, VERBUND Energy4Business GmbH, which trades power and energy derivatives over-the-counter and at the major power exchanges across Europe. VERBUND generates electricity via its large network of hydroelectric power plants, which accounts for approximately 90% of the power generated, supplemented by wind, solar and thermal power plants, powered by fossil fuels. The firm's transmission business is run by VERBUND-Austrian Power Grid AG, which operates, maintains and extends Austria's high-voltage and extra-high-voltage power grids. Verbund has further subsidiary operations in Germany, Italy, Poland, Hungary and Slovenia. Furthermore, the Company acquired Gas Connect Austria GmbH to operate its infrastructure.
Officers
The intrinsic value of one VER stock under the Base Case scenario is 65.43 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 75.75 EUR, Verbund AG is Overvalued by 14%.