UMG Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Universal Music Group NV - Alpha Spread
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Universal Music Group NV
VSE:UMG

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Universal Music Group NV
VSE:UMG
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Price: 23.4 EUR 2.41% Market Closed
Market Cap: 42.8B EUR
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one UMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.21 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 23.4 EUR, Universal Music Group NV is Overvalued by 1%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

UMG Intrinsic Value
23.21 EUR
Overvaluation 1%
Intrinsic Value
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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Universal Music Group NV (UMG) stands as a formidable player in the global music industry, renowned for its extensive roster of artists and vast catalog of music. With a legacy that traces back over a century, UMG has evolved from a traditional record label to a multifaceted entertainment powerhouse, leveraging digital platforms to adapt to changing consumer behaviors. The company operates through various segments, including recorded music, music publishing, and merchandising, enabling it to diversify its revenue streams and capture growth across multiple areas. Major artists from varied genres, such as Taylor Swift, The Weeknd, and Billie Eilish, are part of UMG's impressive lineup, solidif...

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Financials
Annual
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TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Universal Music Group NV

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Universal Music Group NV

Current Assets 4.2B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 457m
Receivables 2.4B
Other Current Assets 1.4B
Non-Current Assets 11B
Long-Term Investments 2.9B
PP&E 652m
Intangibles 6.8B
Other Non-Current Assets 576m
Current Liabilities 7.2B
Accounts Payable 5.6B
Short-Term Debt 24m
Other Current Liabilities 1.5B
Non-Current Liabilities 4.5B
Long-Term Debt 2.3B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 2.2B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Universal Music Group NV

Revenue
11.5B EUR
Cost of Revenue
-6.5B EUR
Gross Profit
5B EUR
Operating Expenses
-3.4B EUR
Operating Income
1.6B EUR
Other Expenses
-35m EUR
Net Income
1.5B EUR

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Universal Music Group NV

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Universal Music Group saw a 10% revenue increase and an 11% rise in adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2024, marking its 12th consecutive quarter of high single-digit revenue growth. Adjusted EBITDA margin also expanded to 22.1%. Despite a slowdown in streaming and subscription growth, merchandising revenue surged by 44% due to strong direct-to-consumer and touring sales. Net profit for H1 2024 jumped to EUR 914 million, up from EUR 625 million in H1 2023, with earnings per share rising to EUR 0.50 from EUR 0.34. UMG remains optimistic about future growth, focusing on product innovation and strategic partnerships to enhance long-term success.

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Fundamental Scores

UMG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Universal Music Group NV's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional ROE
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
67/100
Profitability
Score

Universal Music Group NV's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

UMG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Universal Music Group NV's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
50/100
Solvency
Score

Universal Music Group NV's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

UMG Price Targets Summary
Universal Music Group NV

There are no price targets for UMG.
Lowest
Price Target
Not Available
Average
Price Target
Not Available
Highest
Price Target
Not Available
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for UMG is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

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UMG Price
Universal Music Group NV

1M 1M
+4%
6M 6M
-13%
1Y 1Y
+1%
3Y 3Y
+1%
5Y 5Y
+1%
10Y 10Y
+1%
Annual Price Range
23.4
52w Low
20.82
52w High
29.41
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return -0.46%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 8.87%
Max Drawdown -38%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 42.8B EUR
Shares Outstanding 1 829 040 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted
N/A

Competitive Landscape

UMG News

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Profile

Universal Music Group NV

Country

Netherlands

Industry

Media

Market Cap

42.8B EUR

Dividend Yield

2.18%

Description

Universal Music Group NV engages in the music entertainment business. The company is headquartered in Hilversum, Noord-Holland. The company went IPO on 2021-09-21. The firm is focused on the discovery and development of artists and songwriters and the marketing, promotion, distribution, sales and licensing of audio and audio-visual content. Universal Music Group BV includes music publishing companies Universal Music Publishing Group. Its recorded music catalog consists more than three million recordings includes a wide array of performers such as ABBA, Louis Armstrong, The Beatles, The Beach Boys, The Bee Gees, Ariana Grande, Imagine Dragons, Lady Gaga, James Brown, Bon Jovi, Neil Diamond, Marvin Gaye, Drake, Billie Eilish, Eminem, Selena Gomez Guns N’ Roses, Elton John, Bob Marley, Paul McCartney, Nirvana, Luciano Pavarotti, Queen, The Rolling Stones, Frank Sinatra, U2, Amy Winehouse and Stevie Wonder among others.

Contact

NOORD-HOLLAND
Hilversum
S-Gravelandseweg 80
universalmusic.nl

IPO

2021-09-21

Employees

8 800

Officers

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one UMG stock?

The intrinsic value of one UMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.21 EUR.

Is UMG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 23.4 EUR, Universal Music Group NV is Overvalued by 1%.

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