Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd
TWSE:2330
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 055.87 TWD. Compared to the current market price of 1 010 TWD, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is Undervalued by 4%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSMC) stands as a global leader in the semiconductor industry, fundamentally shaping the technology landscape through its cutting-edge manufacturing capabilities. Established in 1987, TSMC pioneered the foundry model, enabling other companies to focus on design while leveraging TSMC’s advanced manufacturing processes. With clients including tech giants like Apple, NVIDIA, and Qualcomm, the company plays a crucial role in producing the chips that power everything from smartphones to supercomputers. As the world increasingly relies on digital technology, TSMC's expertise in producing high-performance semiconductors positions it at the forefront of t...
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSMC) stands as a global leader in the semiconductor industry, fundamentally shaping the technology landscape through its cutting-edge manufacturing capabilities. Established in 1987, TSMC pioneered the foundry model, enabling other companies to focus on design while leveraging TSMC’s advanced manufacturing processes. With clients including tech giants like Apple, NVIDIA, and Qualcomm, the company plays a crucial role in producing the chips that power everything from smartphones to supercomputers. As the world increasingly relies on digital technology, TSMC's expertise in producing high-performance semiconductors positions it at the forefront of the industry's growth, with an unwavering commitment to innovation and efficiency.
In recent years, TSMC has expanded its operations to meet surging demand, investing heavily in research and development to maintain its technological edge. The company has made significant strides in advanced manufacturing nodes, including the groundbreaking 5-nanometer process, which offers enhanced performance and energy efficiency. This strategic focus not only solidifies TSMC's competitive moat but also aligns with global shifts towards artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things, and electric vehicles. As an investor, understanding TSMC's vital role in the semiconductor supply chain, coupled with its robust financial performance, makes it a compelling opportunity in an ever-evolving technological landscape. By choosing TSMC, investors are not just betting on a company; they are investing in the backbone of the future digital economy.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is one of the largest and most advanced semiconductor foundries in the world. Its core business segments can be categorized based on the technology, customer type, and application areas. Here are the key segments:
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Foundry Services: TSMC primarily operates as a pure-play foundry, meaning it manufactures semiconductor chips for other companies without designing its own chips. This segment encompasses several aspects:
- Wafer Fabrication: TSMC manufactures silicon wafers based on designs provided by its customers.
- Technology Platforms: The company offers multiple technology nodes, including advanced process technologies (like 5nm and 7nm) and mature process technologies (like 28nm and above).
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Advanced Technology: TSMC invests heavily in research and development to maintain its leadership in advanced semiconductor technology. Key focus areas include:
- Nanosheet Transistors: Innovations in transistor architecture to enhance chip performance.
- 3D IC and Chiplet Technologies: Advanced packaging solutions to improve integration and performance.
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Customer Segments:
- High-Performance Computing (HPC): This segment includes semiconductors for supercomputers, data centers, and AI applications. High demand in this area is driven by cloud computing and artificial intelligence.
- Mobile Devices: TSMC serves major smartphone manufacturers, providing chips that power mobile devices. This segment remains a significant revenue source.
- Automotive: With the increasing demand for smart and electric vehicles, TSMC has been expanding its offerings in automotive semiconductor solutions, focusing on reliability and performance.
- Internet of Things (IoT): This includes semiconductors for connected devices, smart home applications, and wearables.
- Consumer Electronics: TSMC produces chips for various consumer electronics, including TVs, gaming consoles, and home appliances.
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Mature Technology: In addition to advanced processes, TSMC also offers mature technology nodes that cater to a variety of applications, including:
- Analog and RF Devices: For communications and signal processing applications.
- Power Management ICs: Used in various electronic devices for efficient power control.
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Collaboration and Partnerships: TSMC collaborates with a variety of technology companies and ecosystems, which helps to drive innovation and expand its market presence.
Overall, TSMC's diverse business segments position it as a leader in the semiconductor industry, enabling it to cater to a wide range of applications and customer needs.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the semiconductor industry:
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Leading Technology and Process Nodes: TSMC consistently leads the industry in developing advanced process technologies. It was among the first to commercialize 7nm and 5nm processes, allowing it to attract high-profile clients like Apple and Nvidia who require cutting-edge technology.
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Economies of Scale: As the largest pure-play foundry in the world, TSMC benefits from significant economies of scale. Its large-scale production capabilities enable it to operate with lower costs per unit than smaller competitors, giving it pricing advantages.
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Robust R&D Investment: TSMC invests heavily in research and development, ensuring it remains at the forefront of technological innovations. This commitment is crucial for maintaining its competitive edge in a rapidly evolving industry.
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Diverse Client Base: TSMC serves a wide range of customers across various sectors, from consumer electronics to automotive and high-performance computing. This diversification reduces dependence on any single client and mitigates risks associated with demand fluctuations.
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Strong Supply Chain Relationships: TSMC has established strong partnerships and collaborative relationships with equipment and materials suppliers. This allows for better integration and optimization of supply chain operations, ensuring timely production and delivery.
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Geographic Advantage: Taiwan's location in East Asia provides strategic advantages in terms of logistics and supply chain management. Additionally, Taiwan has a strong technological ecosystem, including a skilled workforce and well-developed infrastructure.
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Customer-Centric Approach: TSMC’s focus on customer service and collaboration helps it to build strong relationships with major technology companies. The company often engages in co-development with customers to tailor solutions that meet specific needs.
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Financial Strength: TSMC’s robust financial position allows it to fund massive capital expenditures needed for building new fabs and upgrading existing ones. This financial flexibility is vital for maintaining its technological leadership.
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Intellectual Property (IP) Portfolio: TSMC has a substantial portfolio of patents and intellectual property that protect its innovations and processes, providing a defensive edge against competitors.
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Stable Governance and Management: The company is known for having strong corporate governance and a visionary management team that drives strategic decision-making and fosters a culture of innovation.
These competitive advantages make TSMC not only a leader in semiconductor manufacturing but also a critical player in the global technology supply chain.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is a leading player in the semiconductor manufacturing industry, and it faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing tensions between Taiwan and China pose a significant risk to TSMC’s operations. Any escalation in conflict could disrupt manufacturing and supply chains, impacting global semiconductor supplies.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The semiconductor industry is already grappling with supply chain issues exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. TSMC relies on a vast network of suppliers for raw materials and equipment. Any disruptions in this supply chain could hinder production.
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Competition: TSMC faces stiff competition from rivals like Samsung and GlobalFoundries. Continued investment in capacity and technology is required to maintain its competitive edge, which can be capital-intensive.
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Technological Evolution: Keeping up with rapid technological advancements in semiconductor manufacturing is crucial. The need for significant R&D investment to innovate, especially with the transition towards smaller nodes (3nm and below), is a challenge.
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Regulatory Scrutiny: As a key player in a critical industry, TSMC may face increased regulatory scrutiny, particularly regarding trade policies, environmental regulations, and data security.
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Currency Fluctuations: As a global company, TSMC’s financial performance can be impacted by fluctuations in currency exchange rates. A strong New Taiwan Dollar could affect export competitiveness.
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Labor Shortages: The semiconductor industry requires highly skilled workers. There is a global shortage of qualified engineers and technicians, which could limit TSMC’s ability to expand production capabilities.
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Environmental Concerns: TSMC’s manufacturing processes are resource-intensive, raising concerns about environmental impact. Compliance with environmental regulations and seeking sustainable practices is critical.
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Market Demand Volatility: The semiconductor market is cyclical, with demand fluctuations driven by various factors, including consumer electronics, automotive, and other sectors. Economic downturns can lead to reduced demand and excess inventory.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As TSMC is heavily reliant on digital infrastructure, it is vulnerable to cyberattacks that could disrupt operations or compromise sensitive data.
In conclusion, while TSMC is a leader in its field, it must navigate these challenges strategically to maintain its position and continue to meet global semiconductor demand.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd
Current Assets | 2.6T |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2.1T |
Receivables | 212.6B |
Other Current Assets | 294.8B |
Non-Current Assets | 3.4T |
Long-Term Investments | 140.2B |
PP&E | 3.1T |
Intangibles | 22.4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 82.7B |
Current Liabilities | 1T |
Accounts Payable | 63.9B |
Accrued Liabilities | 449.7B |
Other Current Liabilities | 535.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 1.1T |
Long-Term Debt | 1T |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 139.5B |
Earnings Waterfall
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd
Revenue
|
2.4T
TWD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.1T
TWD
|
Gross Profit
|
1.3T
TWD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-277.2B
TWD
|
Operating Income
|
1T
TWD
|
Other Expenses
|
-100.8B
TWD
|
Net Income
|
923B
TWD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd
TWD | |
Free Cash Flow | TWD |
In Q3 2024, TSMC's revenue soared 12.8% sequentially to USD 23.5 billion, driven by robust smartphone and AI demand, particularly in their advanced 3-nanometer technology. Gross margin rose to 57.8%, reflecting operational efficiencies, while operating margin hit 47.5%. Looking ahead, TSMC expects Q4 revenue between USD 26.1 billion and USD 26.9 billion, a 35% year-over-year increase, with gross margin guidance at 57%-59%. The company forecasts full-year revenue to rise close to 30% due to a tripling of server AI processor contributions, underscoring optimistic growth prospects in the semiconductor industry.
What is Earnings Call?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd's profitability score is 74/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd's profitability score is 74/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd's solvency score is 87/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd's solvency score is 87/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is 1 408.23 TWD with a low forecast of 1 181.7 TWD and a high forecast of 1 680 TWD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. The company is headquartered in Hsinchu, Hsinchu. The firm is mainly engaged in the manufacture, sale and packaging test of integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices, the manufacture of masks, as well as the provision of computer-aided design services. The firm's products are applied to personal computer (PCs) and peripheral products, information applications, wired and wireless communication systems, industrial equipment, consumer electronics such as digital video disc players, digital TVs, game consoles and digital cameras. The firm is also engaged in the development of 5 nanometer process technology, mask technology, complementary metal oxide semiconductor (CMOS) image sensor technology, three dimensional (3D) IC and TSMC system on integrated chips (TSMC-SoIC) technology, among others. The firm distributes its products to the United States, Asia and Europe.
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Employees
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The intrinsic value of one Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 055.87 TWD.
Compared to the current market price of 1 010 TWD, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd is Undervalued by 4%.