Wheaton Precious Metals Corp

TSX:WPM

Earnings Call Analysis

Solid Financial Performance and Strategic Growth Plans for Wheaton Precious Metals

Wheaton Precious Metals reported robust performance in Q2 2024, with revenue up 13% to $299 million, driven by strong commodity prices and increased production. The company achieved operating cash flows of $234 million for the quarter, contributing to a record $450 million for the first half of the year. Production totaled over 305,000 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) year-to-date, on track to meet the annual target of 550,000 to 620,000 GEOs. A strong cash position of $540 million, coupled with a $2 billion undrawn credit facility, ensures financial flexibility for future opportunities.

Introduction and Highlights

Wheaton Precious Metals had a robust second quarter in 2024, producing substantial operating cash flows and achieving a record financial performance for the first half of the year. The company generated over $450 million in operating cash flows, underpinned by the strength of their precious metal streaming model.

Production Achievements

In the first half of 2024, Wheaton produced more than 305,000 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs), keeping them on track to meet their annual production guidance of between 550,000 and 620,000 GEOs. This solid production was driven by strong performances at assets such as Salobo, Penasquito, and Antamina.

Financial Position

Wheaton remains in a strong liquidity position with $540 million in cash and a $2 billion undrawn revolving credit facility. This financial flexibility enables the company to fund current commitments and consider additional acquisitions of mineral stream interests.

Revenue Growth and Tax Implications

Revenue for the quarter increased by 13% year-over-year to $299 million, bolstered by strong commodity prices. However, the newly implemented Global Minimum Tax (GMT) in Canada impacted earnings. Adjusted net earnings still increased by $7 million compared to the prior year, reaching $150 million, demonstrating robust performance despite the new tax burden.

Operational Insights

In Q2 2024, Wheaton's total production was 147,000 GEOs, a 7% increase from the previous year. Sales volumes, however, decreased by 4% due to timing differences in ounces produced but not yet delivered. Silver production at Penasquito saw a significant boost of 30% year-over-year, driven by higher throughput.

Future Growth and Development Projects

Wheaton's outlook for production growth is promising, with an average anticipated production of over 850,000 GEOs per year between 2029 and 2033. The company is focusing on advancing several development projects like Platreef's Phase I concentrator and the Phase III expansion to increase production capacity significantly.

Sustainability and Corporate Responsibility

Wheaton published its annual sustainability and climate change reports, achieving recognition among the top 10 in Corporate Knight's 50 Best Corporate Citizens in Canada for 2024. This highlights the company's commitment to responsible business practices.

Dividend and Cash Flow

Wheaton declared a quarterly dividend of $0.155 per share, a 3% increase from the prior year. The company continues to maintain strong cash flows, with $234 million generated from operations in the second quarter alone.

Guidance for Second Half of 2024

For the second half of the year, Wheaton expects production splits to be relatively even between Q3 and Q4. They anticipate continued strong performance at Salobo and have a positive outlook despite challenges such as the fire at Salobo III. The overall production guidance for the year remains at 550,000 to 620,000 GEOs.

Earnings Call Transcript 2024-Q2

[Operator]

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to Wheaton Precious Metals 2024 Second Quarter Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would like to remind everyone that this conference call is being recorded on Thursday, August 8, 2024 at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time.

I will now turn the conference over to Emma Murray, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

[Emma Murray, executive]

Thank you, operator. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for participating in today's call. I'm joined today by Randy Smallwood, Wheaton Precious Metals' President and Chief Executive Officer; Gary Brown, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Haytham Hodaly, Senior Vice President, Corporate Development; and Wes Carson, Vice President, Mining Operations.

Please note that for those not currently on the webcast, a slide presentation accompanying this conference call is available in PDF format on the Presentations page of our website.

Some of the commentary on today's call may contain forward-looking statements, and I would direct everyone to review Slide 2 of the presentation, which contains important cautionary notes regarding forward-looking statements. It should be noted that all figures referred to on today's call are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.

With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Randy Smallwood, our President and Chief Executive Officer.

[Randy Smallwood, executive]

Thank you, Emma, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss Wheaton's second quarter results of 2024.

I am pleased to announce that our portfolio of long-life, low-cost assets has delivered another solid quarter, generating $234 million in operating cash flows, resulting in record cash flows of over $450 million for the first half of this year. This performance underscores the effectiveness of our business model in leveraging rising commodity prices while maintaining strong margins.

The company has produced over 305,000 gold equivalent ounces year-to-date, and we are well on track to achieve our 2024 production guidance of 550,000 to 620,000 gold equivalent ounces.

The company also remains very liquid with $540 million in cash at our quarter end and a $2 billion undrawn revolving credit facility, which, when coupled with the strength of our forecasted operating cash flows, provides strong flexibility to fund all outstanding commitments as well as the capacity to acquire additional accretive mineral stream interests.

Our corporate development team remains actively engaged in evaluating new opportunities and we continue to see a healthy appetite for streaming as a source of capital for the mining industry.

In addition, during the quarter, we published our annual sustainability and climate change reports, and we are proud to have been ranked among the top 10 in Corporate Knight's 50 Best Corporate Citizens in Canada for 2024. As the founders and architects of sustainable streaming, this accomplishment is reflective of our commitment to operating responsibly in all facets of our business.

Our performance in the first half of 2024 supports our belief that the strength of our organic growth profile combined with favorable commodity price trends firmly positions Wheaton as the premier choice for high-quality, long-life precious metals exposure.

With that, I would like to turn the call over to Wes Carson, our Vice President of Operations, who will provide more details on our operating results. Wes?

[Wesley Carson, executive]

Thanks, Randy, and good morning. Overall production in the second quarter came in higher than expected, driven by strong outperformances at Salobo, Penasquito and Antamina. In the second quarter of 2024, Salobo produced 63,200 ounces of attributable gold, an increase of approximately 23% relative to the second quarter of 2023, driven primarily by higher throughput.

Salobo's strong production in Q2 is attributable primarily to the continued ramp-up of Salobo III expansion and sustained overall improvements at both Salobo I and II. On June 17, Vale reported a conveyor fire at Salobo III. And on July 25, they announced that plant operations at Salobo III had resumed after a 31-day repair period. Vale has maintained their copper guidance for the year, and we anticipate that any impacts to Wheaton guidance will be minimal and offset by outperformances in the first half of the year.

In the second quarter of 2024, Constancia produced 450,000 ounces of attributable silver and 6,100 ounces of attributable gold, an increase of approximately 7% and a decrease of 18% respectively, relative to the second quarter of 2023. The decrease in gold production was primarily the result of lower grades due to planned stripping activity in the Pampacancha pit, which commenced in the second quarter and is expected to continue through the third quarter of 2024. Hudbay has reported that mill ore feed has now reverted to a typical blend of approximately 1/3 of Pampacancha and 2/3 from Constancia, which is expected to continue throughout 2024.

In the second quarter of 2024, Penasquito produced 2.3 million ounces of attributable silver, an increase of approximately 30% relative to the second quarter of 2023, primarily due to higher throughput, partially offset by slightly lower grades. Production in the second quarter continued to focus on mining in the Chile Colorado pit, which contains higher silver, lead and zinc metal and silver grades than the main Penasquito or Penasco pit. Grades are expected to decrease slightly in the back half of the year as mining moves back into the Penasco pit.

On July 31, 2024, Ivanhoe reported that construction of Platreef's Phase I concentrator was completed on schedule subsequent to the quarter. Cold commissioning has started with water being fed through the concentrator and construction of Platreef's Shaft 2 headgear at approximately 60% complete. An updated independent feasibility study on an optimized development plan for the acceleration of Phase II is planned to be completed and published in the fourth quarter of 2024.

In addition, our preliminary economic assessment on the Phase III expansion is expected to be completed at the same time with the expansion forecast to increase Platreef's processing capacity up to approximately 10 million tonnes per annum. Our Phase III expansion of 10 million tonnes processing capacity is expected to rank Platreef as one of the world's largest platinum group metal, nickel, copper and gold producers.

As mentioned by Randy, with over 305,000 ounces produced year-to-date, the company remains well on track to achieve our annual production guidance this year. Wheaton's estimated attributable production in 2024 continues to be forecast at 325,000 to 370,000 ounces of gold, 18.5 million to 20.5 million ounces of silver, and 12,000 to 15,000 ounces of our GEOs of other metals, resulting in an overall production of approximately 550,000 to 620,000 GEOs.

Production is forecast to increase an industry-leading rate of approximately 40% to over 800,000 ounces by 2028, primarily due to growth from operating assets, including Salobo, Antamina, Penasquito, Voisey's Bay and Marmato. Development projects which are in construction and/or permitted, including Blackwater Platreef, Goose, Mineral Park, Fenix, Curipamba and Santo Domingo, and predevelopment projects, including Marathon and Copper World, from which production is anticipated towards the latter end of the 5-year forecast period.

From 2029 to 2033, attributable production is forecast to average over 850,000 ounces of gold equivalent ounces annually for the 5-year period.

And that concludes the operational review. And with that, I will turn the call over to Gary.

[Gary Brown, executive]

Thank you, Wes. As described by Wes, production in the second quarter amounted to 147,000 GEOs, a 7% increase relative to the comparable period of the prior year with higher production from Salobo, Zinkgruvan and Penasquito being offset by lower production from San Dimas and Constancia, combined with the cessation of production from Aljustrel and Minto.

Sales volumes amounted to 124,000 GEOs, a 4% decrease relative to the comparable period of the prior year, primarily due to timing of sales resulting from the relative changes in ounces produced but not yet delivered, or PBND, which resulted in a reduction in sales volumes relative to Q2 2023 of over 23,000 GEOs.

Strong commodity prices, coupled with our solid production base, resulted in revenue increasing by 13% to $299 million relative to Q2 2023. Of this revenue, 61% was attributable to gold, 37% to silver, 1% to palladium and 1% to cobalt. As at June 30, 2024, approximately 128,000 GEOs were in PBND, representing approximately 2.9 months of payable production, a slight increase from the preceding 4 quarters due to relative differences in timing of sales, but within our guided range of 2 to 3 months.

G&A expenses amounted to $10 million for the second quarter, and the company continues to anticipate that G&A will total $41 million to $45 million for the year, with these figures excluding share-based compensation as well as donations and community investments.

On June 20, 2024, Canada's Global Minimum Tax Act, or GMTA, received royal assent, and as such, the income from our Cayman Island subsidiaries will be subject to a 15% minimum tax. As we previously messaged, as the global minimum tax is retroactive to January 1, 2024, the company has recorded 2 quarters worth of global minimum tax amounting to $51 million in its financial statements for the period ending June 30, 2024, with $25 million relating to Q1 2024. Going forward, the quarterly tax expense associated with GMT will be recognized in our consolidated financial statements in the appropriate reporting period.

Removing the GMT associated with the Q1 2024 earnings and other smaller items, adjusted net earnings amounted to $150 million, with the $7 million increase from the prior year due primarily to the higher gross margin, partially offset by the higher income tax expense relative to the global minimum tax. I believe it is worth pausing here to emphasize that we were able to generate higher adjusted earnings despite the implementation of a 15% global minimum tax. Quite remarkable.

Wheaton continued to deliver robust cash operating margins in the second quarter, resulting in cash flow from operations of $234 million with a $32 million increase from the prior year due primarily to higher gross margins. As mentioned by Randy, the strength of our second quarter cash flows resulted in cash flows for the first half of the year of over $450 million, representing a new record for Wheaton.

Lastly, we declared a quarterly dividend of $0.155 per share, a 3% increase from the prior year. During the quarter, Wheaton made total upfront cash payments of approximately $45 million, $25 million of which was relative to the Mineral Park stream and $10 million of which was relative to the Cangrejos stream with the remaining $10 million relating to the Mt. Todd royalty. Additionally, the company made 2 dividend payments totaling $139 million and disposed of its investment in Hecla Mining Company for gross proceeds of $177 million.

When coupled with cash generated from operating activities, our overall net cash inflows amounted to $234 million in the second quarter of 2024, resulting in cash and cash equivalents at June 30 of $540 million. We believe this cash balance, combined with the strength of our forecasted operating cash flows and the fully undrawn $2 billion revolving credit facility, which was recently extended by an additional year, positions the company exceptionally well to satisfy its funding commitments and provides us with financial flexibility to acquire additional accretive mineral stream interests.

That concludes the financial summary. And with that, I will turn the call back over to Randy.

[Randy Smallwood, executive]

Thank you, Gary. In closing, we believe Wheaton is well positioned to continue delivering value to all of our stakeholders for a number of different reasons.

Firstly, by offering our shareholders exposure to our diversified portfolio of long-life, low-cost assets that we believe has one of the best organic growth profiles in the entire mining industry. Secondly, by continuing to generate strong operating cash flows and maintaining low predictable costs, which when coupled with our leverage to increase commodity prices result in some of the highest margins in the precious metal space. Thirdly, a pipeline of significantly derisked development projects, which further supports our impressive organic growth profile of over 40% by 2028. And lastly, our commitment to sustainability and supporting our partners and the communities in which we live and operate.

So with that, I would like to open the call up for questions, operator.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from the line of Richard Hatch with Berenberg.

[Richard Hatch, analyst]

Just wonder if you might help us a bit with Salobo, clearly a better quarter, which is really good to see. But I just wonder if you might be able to help us a bit as we look at '25, '26. Are you able to give us kind of broad expectations of grade and such like? I know it's one that's kind of sometimes a bit challenging, but any kind of color there would be super helpful. That's the first one.

[Randy Smallwood, executive]

I'll let Wes take that one off.

[Wesley Carson, executive]

Yes. Perfect. Thanks for the question, Richard. So we are starting to see a slight drop-off in grades over the next couple of years, so into '25, '26. But with that, we're also seeing that the ramp-up of Salobo III and really an increase in throughput there. So over the next few years, we do expect a slight increase in production, and we'll see that continue really as Salobo III really comes online and comes to the other.

So for the rest of this year, I mean, we see that kind of flattening of the production. And then as the throughput comes up on Salobo III, we'll see a better year next year, I think, and into the next couple of years.

[Richard Hatch, analyst]

Okay. That's really helpful. And then just on the business development kind of piece, and perhaps for Randy and Haytham. Can you just talk a bit about what kind of deals you're seeing at the moment? It feels like the diversifieds have got strong balance sheets, not necessarily looking for large sort of ticket sort of transactions at this point. But maybe as we go into the next sort of copper cycle that that opportunity might present itself. But just as you're looking down the list of your current BD opportunities, are we still kind of mainly focusing on those gold producers and such like in the mid sort of few hundred million dollar ranges? Or are we seeing something a bit more large scale? That such line would be helpful.

[Randy Smallwood, executive]

I'll let Haytham answer that one.

[Haytham Hodaly, executive]

Thanks for the question, Richard. To put it simply, we've got a number of opportunities that we're actually advancing through the due diligence phase right now. I would say development stage funding is still the focus, although we are seeing a resurgence in some balance sheet strengthening opportunities. The majority of the opportunities we're seeing is probably 50-50 between polymetallic opportunities, which have a precious metal byproduct and actually precious metals companies that have some very, very strong margins that are looking for continued growth.

So it's a very robust market. I would say the majority of the opportunities fall somewhere between $100 million to $700 million, in that range, with a couple of those being north of $500 million.

[Randy Smallwood, executive]

Yes. I would say just to add to that, the deal size, the opportunity size seems to be a little bit bigger than what we've seen in, say, the last year. It seems to be a little bit more of an appetite. And a lot of these projects are actually a lot closer to the production construction stage and production. So I think overall, it actually looks a little bit healthier, but it's still very busy on that front.

[Operator]

And your next question comes from the line of Martin Pradier with Veritas Investment Research.

[Martin Pradier, analyst]

If coal production in second half is similar to first half, you would hit at least the middle of your guidance range for gold and exceed the upper end of the guidance for silver. So the question is, is gold production expected to be weaker or stronger in the second half versus the first half? And in terms of silver production, if you expect a weaker second half versus first half?

[Randy Smallwood, executive]

I'll let Wes add some color to that.

[Wesley Carson, executive]

Sure. So right now, Martin, we're looking at probably a split of about 52% in the first half of the year and 48% in the second half of the year on an overall basis. We are expecting a weakening in the gold production at Salobo with some of the impacts from the fire and really just a lower grade, particularly in the fourth quarter.

And then we are, as mentioned on Penasquito on the silver side, seeing that drop as they move back into the Penasco pit. So overall, as I said, about that kind of 52-48 is about what we're expecting for the rest of this year.

[Martin Pradier, analyst]

Okay. Great. And in terms of Salobo, is the impact of the fire expected to be around 10,000 ounces in terms of production?

[Wesley Carson, executive]

It will be in that range. I would say we're hoping lower than that certainly because they did get things back up and running fairly quickly. It wasn't one of the major conveyors and really just affected the third line. So Salobo I and II were running through that period. And also during that period, they had some planned maintenance shutdowns during that period as well. So we haven't seen the full results of it yet, but that's in the range, hopefully slightly better than that.

[Randy Smallwood, executive]

I think it might be worth, just talking about the type of Salobo, outperformed a bit in the first half of this year. And I think that fire probably consumed up some of that outperformance. And so from an overall annual basis, it's probably net neutral. But that outperformance, as I said, was probably eaten up a little bit by the impact of the fire.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Tanya Jakusconek with Scotiabank.

[Tanya Jakusconek, analyst]

Just wanted to come back just on the guidance and thank you for the 52%, 48%. But with all these little moving parts in the second half, I just want to confirm, I think previously we were looking for fairly even Q3 equal to Q4. Should that -- is that something how we should be thinking about given the fire and some of the other grade movements?

[Randy Smallwood, executive]

Go ahead, Wes. Yes. Go ahead.

[Wesley Carson, executive]

Yes, I would say that that is correct. It will be fairly even. I mean there's a lot of moving parts, as you say, between the quarters there, but it is fairly even between Q3 and Q4.

[Randy Smallwood, executive]

I think the impacts of the fire are going to Q3 and then we have definitely lower grade scheduled into Q4. And so it's probably going to split up pretty evenly there at Salobo.

[Tanya Jakusconek, analyst]

Okay. And I just wanted to ask, Gary, the DD&A forecast for the year, usually we get that in August in terms of depreciation. And sorry, maybe in your information provided there, we just had a number of companies report last night.

[Gary Brown, executive]

Sorry, the question was with respect to what we expect G&A to be?

[Tanya Jakusconek, analyst]

No, depreciation, DD&A. Sorry. Depreciation.

[Gary Brown, executive]

Yes. I mean, Tanya, we provide the asset-by-asset, the depletion numbers in the MD&A. I would suggest looking at what we depleted for Q2 as an indication of what our per ounce depletion will be by asset.

[Tanya Jakusconek, analyst]

Okay. All right. So Q2 is a benchmark going forward. And then can I just ask, Haytham, just coming back to you on these transactions and opportunities that are out there. And interesting that we have the $100 million to $700 million and a couple over $500 million, and you mentioned in sort of the development stage or early construction. How does platinum-palladium fit in right now given their weak prices? Are those opportunities you're looking at in addition to the gold side -- gold, silver?

[Haytham Hodaly, executive]

I would say even on -- you're right, the PGMs, given where PGM prices have gone, there's probably a few opportunities in there that we're also looking at. I would say that we're still looking at the gold components of the PGM typically. If we're looking at anything else outside of the gold, maybe it's platinum and only to top up if they need more capital than the gold could provide them. But we're seeing not just the PGM opportunities, but obviously we're seeing some gold opportunities that people try to capitalize on the strong commodity price to try and get some additional funding.

[Tanya Jakusconek, analyst]

Okay. That's helpful. And then where would the corporate transactions fit in as you look at the phase?

[Haytham Hodaly, executive]

So we'll always consider looking at our peers and seeing if and when it makes sense for us to actually make any type of corporate transaction. I will say that at this point in time, it doesn't make sense to pay a premium on a multiple when I can still purchase streams at or below net asset value.

[Tanya Jakusconek, analyst]

Yes. No, I agree. And just as you look at the environment, I mean, I always hear everyone say that so much of it is so much out there. Maybe just give us an idea from like a timing perspective because just that I've heard so many comments on this, so many deals out there. Like how long do these deals take to actually do? Like from the time you actually say, okay, we're working on something, to actually do your due diligence. I know it's moment by moment, each one has a different time frame, but just so that we can understand from the moment you're saying you're seeing so much to actually completing some of these things so that we can kind of understand the process.

[Haytham Hodaly, executive]

Sure, Tanya. I'm happy to answer that as well. So generally speaking, if an opportunity -- it depends whether it would be proactive or reactive. Most of the time, we're proactively out there looking at opportunities. Probably, I'd say 20% or 30% at the time right now, we're being reactive to opportunities coming in the door. Once an opportunity comes in the door, it takes us usually a couple of weeks to actually do our first pass impulse just to see if it actually makes sense to put a stream on it. If we do that and if we find that the asset can actually handle, the margins are solid, the asset can handle the stream, we'll do a deep dive and that usually takes another couple of weeks.

We'll -- somewhere along the way, we'll put out an indication of value. We will -- assuming the indication of value is interesting to the counterparty, then we'll head to site. At the same time, we'll start working on term sheets. And once we typically conclude term sheets, we look for exclusivity. Once that exclusivity is attained, usually it takes about another 4 weeks to get the definitives in place. So you're talking, from starting to finish, anywhere from, I'd say, 6 to 8 weeks is a typical time line for a stream.

[Tanya Jakusconek, analyst]

Okay. I actually thought it was longer.

[Randy Smallwood, executive]

Sometimes it takes longer, but usually it has to do with database issues and stuff like that. It's always a matter of having to make sure that we're getting good information in when we're assessing these projects. And so sometimes that does drag on a bit.

[Tanya Jakusconek, analyst]

Okay. About 2 months would be something that we should kind of think about?

[Haytham Hodaly, executive]

Yes. I mean, if you ask our lawyers, they'd rather we said 3, but we've done it in 4 weeks and it's taken as long as 3 months. So yes, it's probably a good average.

[Operator]

And your next question comes from the line of Ralph Profiti with Eight Capital.

[Ralph Profiti, analyst]

Just one question from me. I did see some rephasing of the Santo Domingo upfront payment that came with the updated feasibility study. And I'm just wondering, where does that upfront stream payment rank in sort of the project capital spending? Is it sort of Pari-passu with the project financing? Or is it on project sanctioning? Just wondering how that works.

[Randy Smallwood, executive]

That money goes in ahead of debt. And so it's in the earlier part of the construction phase. They have to commence construction and move forward, but it does go into the ground before any project debt gets applied to it.

[Haytham Hodaly, executive]

But that being said, we have to make sure that they have to ensure that the full funding package is in place and arranged before we would actually provide any capital.

[Randy Smallwood, executive]

Well, thank you, everyone, for your time today. We are pleased to have reported a strong first half of the year. Wheaton's high-quality portfolio of assets, sector-leading growth profile and commitment to sustainability provides all of our shareholders, all of our stakeholders with a solid outlook for the future and what we believe to be one of the best vehicles for investing into the gold and precious metal space.

And as we celebrate our 20th anniversary throughout 2024, I am sincerely thankful to all of our stakeholders for being part of Wheaton's success, and I look forward to a golden future together. We look forward to speaking with you all again soon. Thank you.

[Operator]

Thank you, presenters. And this concludes this conference call for today. Thank you for participating. Please disconnect your lines.