Tanzanian Gold Corp
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TNX stock under the Base Case scenario is 0.81 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 43.09 CAD, Tanzanian Gold Corp is Overvalued by 98%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Tanzanian Gold Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Tanzanian Gold Corp. is a promising company focused on gold exploration and development in the resource-rich regions of Tanzania. With an experienced management team and a robust portfolio of assets, the company is strategically positioned to capitalize on the growing global demand for gold. Its flagship project, the Buckreef Gold Project, holds significant potential, boasting rich deposits that are undergoing advanced exploration and development stages. Tanzanian Gold Corp. prides itself on its commitment to sustainable mining practices and community engagement, ensuring that it not only prioritizes shareholder value but also contributes positively to the local economy and environment. As...
Tanzanian Gold Corp. is a promising company focused on gold exploration and development in the resource-rich regions of Tanzania. With an experienced management team and a robust portfolio of assets, the company is strategically positioned to capitalize on the growing global demand for gold. Its flagship project, the Buckreef Gold Project, holds significant potential, boasting rich deposits that are undergoing advanced exploration and development stages. Tanzanian Gold Corp. prides itself on its commitment to sustainable mining practices and community engagement, ensuring that it not only prioritizes shareholder value but also contributes positively to the local economy and environment.
As the company moves forward, impressive preliminary economic assessments have highlighted the viability of the Buckreef project, underscoring its capacity to become a key player in the Tanzanian gold sector. Investors are encouraged by recent milestones such as successful drilling results and favorable agreements with the Tanzanian government, which further validate the company’s operational strategies. With the global gold market remaining robust, fueled by uncertainties in other asset classes, Tanzanian Gold Corp. stands out as an attractive investment opportunity for those looking to gain exposure to a company with strong growth prospects, sound management practices, and a clear vision for success in the burgeoning gold mining landscape.
Tanzanian Gold Corp. (TGZ) is a mining company primarily engaged in the exploration and development of gold properties in Tanzania. Its core business segments can typically be broken down into the following categories:
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Gold Exploration: This segment focuses on identifying and assessing new gold deposits. The company conducts geological surveys, drilling programs, and feasibility studies to evaluate the potential viability of mining projects.
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Mining Operations: Once gold deposits have been confirmed and deemed economically viable, TGZ may move into the extraction phase. This includes the actual mining of gold, processing of ore, and managing operations at their mining sites.
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Resource Management: This involves the ongoing assessment and management of mineral resources, maintaining compliance with environmental regulations, and ensuring sustainable practices in mining operations.
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Development Projects: TGZ may also engage in the development of new mine projects, which entails planning, financing, and constructing mining facilities to bring new gold resources into production.
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Partnerships and Joint Ventures: The company may engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures with other mining firms, local entities, or government agencies to leverage expertise, share resources, and mitigate risks associated with exploration and production.
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Investment in Technology: Incorporating modern technologies in exploration and extraction processes to improve efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance recovery rates of gold resources.
These segments reflect the company's integrated approach to gold mining, from initial exploration through to production and resource management, all while focusing on sustainable practices and community engagement in Tanzania.
Tanzanian Gold Corp (TRX) has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the mining industry, particularly in the gold sector. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Rich Deposits and Exploration Potential: Tanzanian Gold Corp is focused on the Buckreef Gold Project, which has shown promising results in gold deposits. The presence of high-grade mineralization in their projects provides a strong foundation for profitability.
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Strategic Location: The company’s projects are located in Tanzania, a country known for its rich mineral resources. The government has shown support for mining operations, and proximity to existing infrastructure can reduce operational costs.
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Strong Exploration and Development Team: The company boasts a team with deep expertise in resource extraction and mining operations. Having seasoned professionals can enhance the company’s ability to discover and develop mineral deposits efficiently.
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Partnerships and Joint Ventures: Collaborative relationships with leading industry players can facilitate access to additional resources, technology, and expertise, thereby enhancing operational capabilities.
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Focus on Sustainable Practices: As environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards become increasingly important in the mining industry, the company’s commitment to sustainable mining practices can differentiate it from less responsible competitors.
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Cost-effective Production Strategies: Implementing lean operational strategies can help keep production costs low, which is critical in the current commodity price environment.
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Upside Potential in Mining Licenses: The company has secured mining licenses with potential for expansion and additional explorations that may lead to increased resource estimates.
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Access to Capital Markets: Being listed on major exchanges allows Tanzanian Gold Corp to access capital for expansion and development, which is vital for growth and innovation.
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Positive Regulatory Environment: Compared to some neighboring countries, Tanzania has relatively transparent mining regulations, which can facilitate smoother operations and investment.
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Local Community Engagement: Building relationships with local communities can enhance the company’s reputation and ensure smoother relationships with stakeholders, which is crucial for long-term operational success.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Tanzanian Gold Corp positions itself to capture value in a sector that can experience significant volatility.
Tanzanian Gold Corp faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and profitability in the near future. Here are some key factors to consider:
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Political and Regulatory Environment: Tanzania has a history of regulatory changes that can affect the mining sector. Changes in laws, tax policies, and government regulations can introduce uncertainty and may impact profit margins.
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Operational Risks: Mining operations are inherently risky, including challenges related to exploration, production, and supply chain disruptions. Operational inefficiencies or unexpected geological challenges could hinder productivity.
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Market Volatility: The prices of gold and other commodities are subject to market fluctuations. A decline in gold prices could significantly affect revenue and profitability, making financial planning challenging.
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Environmental Concerns: Mining companies face increasing scrutiny regarding their environmental impact. Compliance with environmental regulations and managing community relations are crucial to maintaining their license to operate.
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Financing Risks: Access to financing can be challenging, especially for junior mining companies. Fluctuations in investor interest and market conditions can impact the ability to secure funds for operations or expansion projects.
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Infrastructure Challenges: Tanzania’s infrastructure, including roads, ports, and power supply, can be a limiting factor in operational efficiency and may increase operational costs.
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Currency Fluctuations: As a company operating in Tanzania, currency risk with the Tanzanian shilling may impact financial results when revenues and expenses are converted to other currencies.
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Labor Issues: Industrial relations and labor disputes can disrupt operations. Changes in labor regulations may also introduce additional costs or operational constraints.
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Competition: The mining industry in Africa is competitive, with both local and international companies vying for resources. Competition can affect market share and negotiating power.
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COVID-19 and Health Risks: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted health-related risks that can disrupt operations, supply chains, and workforce availability.
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Technological Changes: Keeping up with technological advancements in mining and exploration is crucial. Failing to adopt new technologies can hinder competitiveness and efficiency.
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Community Relations: Mining operations must maintain positive relationships with local communities affected by their operations. Failure to engage adequately could result in opposition, protests, or operational disruptions.
In summary, Tanzanian Gold Corp must navigate a multifaceted landscape of risks and challenges to ensure its viability and growth. Careful management, strategic planning, and attention to regulatory and community engagement will be key to mitigating these challenges.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Tanzanian Gold Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Tanzanian Gold Corp
Current Assets | 17.2m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 8.3m |
Receivables | 2.1m |
Other Current Assets | 6.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 69.9m |
PP&E | 66.6m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 3.2m |
Current Liabilities | 19.1m |
Accounts Payable | 13m |
Other Current Liabilities | 6.2m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 14.5m |
Long-Term Debt | 27k |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 14.4m |
Earnings Waterfall
Tanzanian Gold Corp
Revenue
|
38m
CAD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-21.4m
CAD
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Gross Profit
|
16.6m
CAD
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Operating Expenses
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-8m
CAD
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Operating Income
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8.6m
CAD
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Other Expenses
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-6.7m
CAD
|
Net Income
|
1.9m
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Tanzanian Gold Corp
CAD | |
Free Cash Flow | CAD |
The company's quarter showed financial strength, selling nearly 4,900 ounces of gold, resulting in over $9 million in revenues and a high operating margin with gross profit just under $4 million. While the reported cash cost of over $1,000 an ounce exceeded the annual guidance range of $800 to $900, the balance sheet remained robust with over $8 million in cash. The new crushing circuit, crucial for milling process efficiency and set to increase recovery rates, is 65% complete. Looking ahead, they reiterate production guidance of 25,000-30,000 ounces with the mill expansion and cash cost guidance of $800 to $900 per ounce. The company is now self-funded and maintains a stock price that holds well against peers.
What is Earnings Call?
TNX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Tanzanian Gold Corp's profitability score is 36/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Tanzanian Gold Corp's profitability score is 36/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TNX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Tanzanian Gold Corp's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Tanzanian Gold Corp's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TNX Price Targets Summary
Tanzanian Gold Corp
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TNX is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Tanzanian Gold Corp. along with its joint venture partner, State Mining Corporation of Tanzania (STAMICO), is building a gold project at Buckreef in Tanzania. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Ontario and currently employs 88 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2001-10-29. The Company’s Buckreef Project is located in the Geita District of the Geita Region south of Lake Victoria, approximately 110 kilometers southwest of the city of Mwanza, Tanzania. The Buckreef Project comprises over five prospects, namely Buckreef, Bingwa, Tembo, Eastern Porphyry and Buziba. The Buckreef Project itself encompasses over three mineralized zones, including Buckreef South, Buckreef Main and Buckreef North.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one TNX stock under the Base Case scenario is 0.81 CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 43.09 CAD, Tanzanian Gold Corp is Overvalued by 98%.