Nexus Industrial REIT
TSX:NXR.UN

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Nexus Industrial REIT
TSX:NXR.UN
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Price: 7.93 CAD -0.25% Market Closed
Market Cap: 561m CAD
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2019-Q1

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Operator

Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to the Nexus REIT Q1 2019 Conference Call. [Operators Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Kelly Hanczyk, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Welcome, everyone. Joining me today is Robert Chiasson, Chief Financial Officer of the REIT. Before we begin, I'd like to caution with regards to forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures. Certain statements made during this conference call may constitute forward-looking statements, which reflect the REIT's current expectations and projections about future results. Also during this call, we will be discussing non-GAAP measures. Please refer to our MD&A and the REIT's other securities filings, which can be found at sedar.com, for cautions regarding forward-looking information and for information about non-GAAP measures.So the first quarter of 2019 was another stable quarter for the REIT, which is typically a weaker quarter due to seasonality of expenses. Our AFFO payout ratio continues to be in the low 80s, while our debt to gross book value remains conservative at 51.8%. Things look pretty good for the balance of this year with revenues from our recent industrial acquisitions in Western Canada beginning on April 1. These assets were purchased at a 9.33% cap rate with mortgage debt of 3.47%, so it should add nicely to our AFFO per unit. From a leasing perspective, the overall portfolio ended the quarter at approximately 95.6% occupancy, up from the previous quarter. We are in advanced negotiation for the last remaining full floor at 2045 Rue Stanley, which if successful, will bring committed space in the property to approximately 91%.We listed for sale, 2 of our smaller properties, in Montréal, which represents approximately $7 million in value. And then on the acquisition front, we continue to see a number of deals and hope to continue to be successful in our ability to complete the REIT unit transaction. So we closed on 2 properties, representing about $25 million in value but after diligence, we decided not to continue to pursue them at this time. One, however, may come back in the future so there is possibility there.I'll now hand it over to Rob Chiasson to review the financials.

R
Robert Paul Chiasson
CFO & Secretary

Thanks, Kelly. Our portfolio continues to deliver consistent results. Same-store NOI was up by approximately $175,000 quarter-over-quarter with CPI increases on a number of our Western Canadian industrial properties contributing approximately $45,000 of that increase with changes in occupancy contributing the remainder. As mentioned in the last call, we've built a 23,000 square foot vacancy at one of our Montréal area industrial properties with rents commencing on March 1. Our retail office and industrial properties have all performed consistently. Once again, a reminder that the property we acquired in Richmond, D.C. is undergoing tenant fit-up and the vendor is obligated to complete the build-out at the vendor's cost and then guaranteed NOI until the build-out is completed and tenants are occupying and paying rents per their leases. For IFRS accounting purposes, this vendor income guarantee is not included in NOI. And accordingly, we have normalized FFO and AFFO to include this.In the quarter, we re-evaluated revised time lines for completion of this work, which is now progressing well but had been delayed. As a result, we booked other income in the amount of approximately $2.5 million in the quarter, which is also excluded from normalized FFO and AFFO.Q1 2019 net income of $4.6 million was down from Q1 2018 net income of $6.425 million primarily as a result of fluctuations in fair value adjustments. In Q1 2018, we had a $1.5 million fair value gain related to 2 investment properties, which were sold in April 2018. In Q1 2019, we had a fair value loss on revaluation of Class B LP units at $2.3 million due to an increase in the trading price of REIT units at March 31 as compared to December 31.Net income, excluding fair value adjustments, distribution on Class B LP units and other income of $5.377 million was up approximately $298,000 as compared to Q1 2018 primarily due to net acquisitions completed in 2018. Excluding fair value adjustments, other income and distributions on Class B LP units, Q1 2019 results were consistent with Q4 2018 results.NOI was down by approximately $70,000 as compared to Q4, with Q4 having included higher percentage rent income. Normalized AFFO per unit for the quarter of $0.049 increased 5.6% as compared to Q1 2018 normalized AFFO per unit of $0.046. Normalized AFFO payout ratio for the quarter of 81.5% is down from 86.1% for the same quarter of 2018.Looking to the balance sheet, our debt to total assets is 51.8% at March 31, 2019. Our $65 million credit facility matures in July of this year, and we have $60 million of principal maturities on mortgage debt coming up in the remainder of 2019. We refinanced $37 million of that $60 million in April. We're in discussions with respect to the remainder of debt maturing in -- later in 2019. Bond yields continue to be at relatively low levels with yesterday's 5-year bond yield just 3 basis points [ off below ] for the last year, [ pulling relative ] returns that we may be able to get for these refinancings.I'll now pass it back to Kelly.

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Thanks, Rob. I'll now open up the call to any kind of questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Stephan Boire with Echelon Wealth Partners.

S
Stephan Boire
Analyst

I was just wondering if you could give some color on the refinancing terms of the 36 -- well, $37 million that was renewed post quarter. It seems like the weighted average interest rate jumped a little bit from last quarter's, from 3.86% to 4.18%. So I was just wondering if you could give us some color on that.

R
Robert Paul Chiasson
CFO & Secretary

Yes. So the refinancings were actually in fairly favorable terms. We provided the $37 million at our interest, so the $74 million total mortgage amount. But -- however, this is on properties that we co-own with Sandalwood, our partner. So $37 million in our interest broken into a 5-year tranche, a 7-year tranche and a 10-year tranche. And interest rates on those were in the range of 3.87%, 3.74% and 3.67%. So fairly good rates given where bond yields were at.

S
Stephan Boire
Analyst

Right, okay. And should we -- I guess this would be probably in line with what's left to renew for the rest of the year and also rent?

R
Robert Paul Chiasson
CFO & Secretary

Yes. I mean we'll look at different strategies for different properties. We like the longer-term debt where we can get it, given how small the spread is between 5-year, 7-year and 10-year money. But when after 5-year money, as Kelly mentioned, we did the acquisition at 3.47%. The 5-year tranche on that retail portfolio refinancing was 3.67%. So somewhere in that range would be a good estimate going forward, I think.

S
Stephan Boire
Analyst

Okay. And in terms of the acquisition pipeline, can you comment on, which segment and geographic location do you see the most attractive opportunities at the moment? I mean I know that the focus is mainly on industrials but do you see a good flow of attractive opportunities? Especially given the cap rates at the moment?

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Yes. Well, cap rates are pretty compressed. So -- and there's lots of competition out there for us. So I see, I guess, there's a lot that's for sale in Quebec, and it's finding things that I guess fit our model. We did have one in the Montréal area that we actually dropped. It may come back in the future. But we actually dropped it in our due diligence. And then I had another one west that's -- last minute they decided to take another course of action with the assets. So that was unfortunate. It was an industrial asset as well. So there's a couple more that we're looking at, and they're industrial. And it's the same, it takes a little longer because we are structuring them as unit deals for REIT units. So again, a lot of the stuff I do see is Quebec-based. We don't spend a lot of time looking in the GTA just because of the cost and the low cap rate. So we're looking at ones out west. And if they're tenanted, well tenanted with a solid covenant, we'll start to look at them and continue to look at them. So that's where we see a lot.

S
Stephan Boire
Analyst

Okay. And I guess from the transactions that didn't go through, at least -- well, one of them obviously is the one that you guys were working on last quarter, correct?

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Yes. Absolutely. Actually, we've been working on it for a year. So it's the longest [ commitments ] I've ever seen. But unfortunately, the asset just got some last-minute type of vacancy issues. And I just didn't want to take them on at this time with vendor rent obligation in that. So we just decided to table it for now, and we'll see if it comes back to us in the future.

S
Stephan Boire
Analyst

Right. I guess it's better to know now than after.

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Yes. Absolutely.

S
Stephan Boire
Analyst

And just one last question. Last year, it was mentioned on the call that you would like to see an AFFO payout ratio at around 75% this year. Do you think this is still possible? I mean obviously, the payout ratio was decreasing from quarter-to-quarter, which is good. But is it still a possibility for 2019? Or are we looking at maybe the front end of next year?

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Yes. I would think -- I think with the asset transaction we just did and some of the leases we have that are going to be rolling and I think -- I'm not sure of 75%, but I definitely -- I think we're -- will fall below the 80% range. That's what I'm guessing. And I have to look at it but that's kind of the target I'm looking at right now.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Brad Sturges with IA Securities.

B
Bradley Sturges
Equity Research Analyst

Maybe just following up on the payout questions there at the end. I guess with that favorable payout continuing to trend lower, at what point do you foresee the potential to raise distributions? Or do you prefer to still retain cash to fund growth?

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

It's an interesting question that we [ batted ] around at the Board level. And so it is on our radar. Not going to commit to anything right now because, on the other hand, I do like the cash position that we're in. So we're looking at it. So I think by probably the next Board meeting, we'll sit down and talk about it again. And if we continue to be successful on leasing, and we really start to see a movement, I think, it will gain more momentum as an option.

B
Bradley Sturges
Equity Research Analyst

Right. I guess second question in which I would imagine is happening at the Board level. Just when you think in the context of taking on development risk with the REIT, in relation to the Richmond project. I mean is there any initial thoughts or commentary you can provide in terms of, what type of exposure would be appropriate for the REIT today? Or what the guidelines might be in terms of what the idea or maximum exposure could be from a development point of view?

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Yes. I don't think we're there yet. That's the Phase 1. So the original building where we have the vendor-rent obligations. It's moving along quite nicely right now. So it's -- we'll get more and more comfortable as it continues to gain steam and get built out. And then we will sit down and have, later on, maybe the next quarterly, more earnest chat at the Board level of what level we want to proceed from a development risk standpoint going forward.

B
Bradley Sturges
Equity Research Analyst

Lastly, I guess, with cap rates compressing and seeing some strong pricing in the market, what's your thoughts on at least to be looking at asset sales, maybe trimming the bond portfolio, that type of thing to high grade?

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Yes. So we have 2 that we have listed. So that will free up a little bit of cash for us as well, and we'll continue to kind of look at ones that are either underperforming or too small going forward. So definitely, it's something we look at kind of every quarter.

Operator

Our next question is from Himanshu Gupta with GMP Securities.

H
Himanshu Gupta
VP & Equity Research Analyst

So just to follow up on the Richmond sports mall. When do you expect the Phase 1 project to be complete?

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

The Phase 1 should be complete by about the end of the year. I know one of the tenants, big one, that's actually a swim school going in the pools and everything that are going in. That one's expected to be turned over to the tenant in July. So -- and then the rest will follow. So I'd say by November, December, the project will be substantially complete.

H
Himanshu Gupta
VP & Equity Research Analyst

Got it. And then the additional vendor rent obligation of that $2.5 million, which you recorded as other income, does that assume that the completion of the project by year-end? I mean if the project is further delayed, will you receive a higher vendor income?

R
Robert Paul Chiasson
CFO & Secretary

So I guess the thing to note is, we're guaranteed a level of NOI and even though for accounting, it doesn't apply to NOI. The amount that we've received in respect of property will be the same, whether we're receiving it from the vendor or whether we're receiving it from the tenants directly. It's just a matter of geography on the P&L. So the total amount of cash we changed -- we received, won't change. The schedule changes. It's just a matter of who we receive it from.

H
Himanshu Gupta
VP & Equity Research Analyst

Got it. And then assuming once the Phase 1 is completed and at that point of time I guess you think about the Phase 2 or Phase 3 of the project. Or do you have any preliminary thoughts in which direction you want to go with Phase 2?

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

No. I mean the good thing about this project, and it's like the great part is, upon completion of Phase 1, we'll have it be appraised. And it will increase its value in appraisal, could be bought at considerably cheaper from a cap rate perspective, again, what the market is out there. So there'll be a lift on our NAV rate from that get-go. So that -- as we get further along in its fall and we're going, we have that NAV lift, we know it's there. We'll either decide to -- and it's a little tricky too because there's an existing tenant in the Phase 2. So it's a little bit of a puzzle piece. So we'll have to either make a decision full-scale development, small redevelopment. Or do you look to just liquefy and take your profit and go? So those are type of decisions that we'll have at the Board level. Maybe how much appetite for risk for a big development project do we want to take, or do we want to take the money off the table.

H
Himanshu Gupta
VP & Equity Research Analyst

Sure. And I guess the decision on Phase 2 is also like a driver on your potential distribution increase, given the AFFO payout being so low right now? Will that be a driver as well? I mean assuming in a way you just want to decide the fate of Phase 2, you can have a better clarity on what kind of payout ratio you want to keep.

R
Robert Paul Chiasson
CFO & Secretary

Yes.

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Yes, absolutely.

H
Himanshu Gupta
VP & Equity Research Analyst

Sure. Okay. And then just shifting gears on Rue Stanley. And I know there's a full floor vacant, what is the progress there? And what kind of rents are you seeing? Or what kind of interest are you seeing in that vacancy? On the vacancy.

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Yes. We actually are in pretty advanced negotiations with someone. I'm hoping that in the next week or so that gets inked. So we will see. Our rents that we've been getting are in the $18 to $22 range per square foot. So depending on how much TI is required in the project. So just remember that 9,000 [ something ] per floor like our interest is half that because that is a joint venture, so 50% interest. But it's been a lot slower than I thought it would be. But if we are successful here, it's in the 91% range for the building. It won't affect our income that much. This deal wouldn't even start probably until January of next year. So -- but what it does do is, it just solidifies the rent going forward.

H
Himanshu Gupta
VP & Equity Research Analyst

Sure. And I guess in terms of the acquisition opportunities, and I know you already gave some color there. Is it fair to say that most of your pipeline is industrial? And then retail and office will be mostly on opportunistic basis?

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Yes. Yes. Most of the stuff we see and that we go after is typically in the industrial side of things. Every now and then we see an office building or a retail, and we'll take a look at it. But the majority of the things that we do look at right now are on the industrial side.

H
Himanshu Gupta
VP & Equity Research Analyst

And is there a particular cap rate range that you're looking at? Because the last acquisition was pretty healthy at 9.33% cap rate. So do you have any target cap rate or target asset quality or target geography in mind?

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Yes. I mean it's a little opportunistic till now. But I mean the 9.3% cap rate was pretty awesome. I like that one. But we look at 6.5% and above as -- where we can get some sort of accretion on an AFFO per unit. So industrial last -- it's hard to compete -- you're not going to find that in Toronto, GTA, industrial or that. So you have to be a little bit opportunistic there. In retail, you can find a lot too, but we're very careful with the retail. We do have a substantial portion of retail in Quebec already. So I don't overly pursue the retail assets right now.

H
Himanshu Gupta
VP & Equity Research Analyst

Got it. And in fact, that was my next question. How are the retail assets performing? I mean do you see any impact from store closures in the first half?

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

No. Actually, our -- I'm looking at the numbers right now, and our occupancy in retail, which is the Quebec-based. Everything's pretty much Quebec-based. The occupancy there is pretty consistently along with our underwriting that we underwrote it at. So the nature of that business is turning tenants. That happens in the retail side. But when I look at the portfolio quarter-over-quarter, it's hovering rate at our underwriting just slightly over 90% occupancy. So it's been fairly healthy.

R
Robert Paul Chiasson
CFO & Secretary

It tends to be more grocery store, drugstore anchored type of retail more so than fashion retail, I would say. And we have Canadian tire at a few of the locations. That's a fairly strong tenant for us as well. So the nature of our retail is a little different than some of the retail that has bigger issues. We have a fairly stable tenant base.

H
Himanshu Gupta
VP & Equity Research Analyst

Sure, sure. And maybe, just one last question I can ask on the NOI growth profile. And I know it was flat quarter-over-quarter sequentially. What percentage of your leases, I mean do you have CPI increases our annual rent escalators in place?

R
Robert Paul Chiasson
CFO & Secretary

I can give you a percentage. Yes. I mean we have...

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

It represents somewhere around 125 -- 100 and -- depending on what the inflation is for a year. But it's somewhere around 125,000, kind of on an annual basis.

R
Robert Paul Chiasson
CFO & Secretary

For CPI.

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

For CPI increase basis.

R
Robert Paul Chiasson
CFO & Secretary

And then we have other leases that have embedded increases. Those increases don't impact our NOI because of straight lining. But I couldn't give you a percentage offhand.

Operator

This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Kelly Hanczyk for any closing remarks.

K
Kelly Clark Hanczyk
CEO & Trustee

Well, I'd just like to say thank everyone for calling in. I look forward to the next call next quarter.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.