MDA Q1-2021 Earnings Call - Alpha Spread

MDA Ltd
TSX:MDA

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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2021-Q1

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Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Joanna, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the MDA Q1 2021 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Mr. Greenley, you may begin your conference.

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

Great. Thanks very much, operator. Hello, everyone. Welcome to the first earnings call of the new MDA. It's our pleasure to be here and start this journey with you as a newly publicly traded company.We're pleased to announce our first set of quarterly results as a new publicly traded company. With our IPO behind us, we are well capitalized to fund our strategic growth initiatives, and we see an increasing pipeline of business opportunities ahead. Our focus continues to be on successful program execution, including the 3 flagship programs which we've discussed through our IPO, which will underpin our growth over the next number of years.MDA is off to a strong start in 2021, as you'll hear from Vito when he reviews our financial performance. You'll see that 2021 should be a steady year with consistent financial performance as we execute on a business that is returning to more traditional levels. As we execute on our business throughout the year, we will be hiring significantly to build up our execution teams for our flagship programs. This execution will be enhanced by a growing backlog throughout the year that will result in a unique step function increase to our business levels as we transition from 2021 into 2022. You will see us track this pattern through the year, steady business execution, constant hiring, building backlog, followed by a significant step-up in business activity level in 2022. The first quarter of the year has started this pattern of steady execution, combined with backlog growth. During the quarter, the company was awarded a number of new orders, a number of which I will quickly highlight. First, we were awarded the initial contract to the flagship Canadian Surface Combatant program, valued at more than $60 million, to provide the laser warning and countermeasure system that will protect the World Canadian Navy warships against laser and optical threats. This starts our production orders on this key flagship program. In addition, in the past quarter, it was announced that MDA was selected for a major role with Telesat on their Lightspeed program for a LEO constellation communications satellite constellation. Our role is to provide critical digital satellite technology subsystems for that program. MDA will provide the direct radiating array, a revolutionary phased array electronically steered multi-beam antenna that will provide unlimited coverage flexibility and agility through advanced beam-forming technology. In addition, we're engaging in negotiations for full satellite production for spacecraft assembly integration and test. MDA was also awarded a 3-year contract under the Dark Vessel Detection program this quarter to use satellite technology to detect vessels engaged in illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing when they had turned off key ship identification sensors. Our advanced analytics, multi-sensor data-fusion platform and expertise in maritime domain awareness will support the international community to combat the challenges facing our oceans and environments through illegal fishing. In addition, we were very pleased to be awarded a contract with the Canadian Space Agency this past quarter to provide satellite flight operations and data management services for CSA's Earth observation and space situational awareness satellite missions. The total estimated contract value is -- contract price is valued at more than $30 million, and covers a 3-year period, with an option to renew the contract for up to 2 additional years. Q1 has seen our Satellite Systems business return to typical revenue levels, with new orders from Airbus for subsystems on their one-side digital satellite platform. This is an important program for MDA as it will provide significant heritage for new technologies and cement our position as a key provider of equipment for next-generation reconfigurable satellites. On OneWeb, MDA revised its production contract and returned to full volume production activities in Q1. OneWeb's first-generation constellation will consist of 648 lower-orbit satellites and will deliver high-speed, low-latency global connectivity, with MDA continuing as a key supplier to that program. Finally, I'd like to highlight a string of awards in recent months to provide sensors to support flight to the lunar surface over the next several years. The company now has contracts to provide sensor solutions for 5 lunar missions and expect more to come as we progress through 2021. So overall, an exciting quarter with these new developments, combined with solid execution as we grow our backlog and deliver on solid financial results. I'd like to pass it over to Vito Culmone, our CFO, to review that financial performance associated with all these developments.

V
Vito Culmone
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Mike, and good evening, everyone. It's an absolute pleasure to be here with you today to walk through our Q1 results. I wanted to start off with a few administrative matters. As you may have noticed, the Q1 interim financial statements, other than the balance sheet for the 3 months ended March 31, 2021, do not provide comparative information. And the reason for this is straightforward. The company only commenced active operations on April 8, 2020, the date of the acquisition from Maxar. However, we thought it was important to give you as much context to our Q1 results as possible. And accordingly, in the MD&A, you will find constructed Q1 2020 MDA carve-out results. And as we move beyond Q1 and into Q2, the financial statements themselves will display the prior year comparatives. Second matter, you might notice a few tweaks to the P&L presentation, the most meaningful one being the stand-alone reporting of the amortization of the acquisition-related intangible assets and operating expenses. These expenses were previously included in cost of revenue. Our team's overriding objective when arriving at financial statements presentation is a set of statements that best convey to the reader our underlying business, while, of course, complying with all necessary accounting standards, and we feel these changes are in service of that. Let's get into the Q1 results. Overall, as Mike has noted, we're quite pleased with how Q1 has unfolded. Total revenue for the 3-month period ended March 31, 2021, was $123.4 million. This is up $20.2 million or 19.6% over the same 3-month period ended Q1 2020. GeoIntelligence revenue was $49 million, $4.7 million or 10.6% ahead of Q1 2020, primarily due to an increase in sales of satellite imagery and analytics services. Robotics and Space Operations revenue was $34.3 million in Q1 2021, $8.2 million or 31.4% ahead of Q1 2020. This was primarily due to the ramp-up of work performed on the new Canadarm3 program and an increase in activity across a number of other programs. Last but not least, Satellite Systems revenue in Q1 2021 was $40.1 million. This is $7.2 million or 21.9% ahead of Q1 2020. And this increase was primarily due to the growth in work performed on newly awarded contracts in the back half of 2020. Gross profit reflects our revenue less our cost of revenue. And gross profit for the 3 months ended March 31, 2021, was $38.4 million compared to $23.2 million for the same period last year. A significant portion of the increase was due to increased volume in satellite imagery and analytics services sales and increased activity on awarded programs across all 3 businesses, as already noted. Gross profit percentage for the 3 months ended March 31, 2021, was 31.1% compared to 22.5% for the same period last year. We're pleased with this level of GP percentage, and the increase reflects increased volume and higher-margin data sales and improved cost performance on programs. Turning to operating expenses. Operating expenses for Q1 2021 were $33.6 million compared to $17 million for Q1 2020. And the increase was almost exclusively driven by noncash expense increases in both the amortization of intangible assets of $13.6 million and share-based compensation of $2.6 million. And both these items resulting, of course, from the April 20 -- April 2020, excuse me, acquisition of MDA by Northern Private Capital. Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2021 was $39.1 million compared to $17.1 million, attributed primarily to the increase in gross profit of $15.2 million, combined with the inclusion of Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy income received in the quarter of $10.1 million. Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of revenue for Q1 was 31.7% versus 16.6% for the prior year. Excluding the impact of the Canadian Emergency Wage Subsidy in Q1 this year, the adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of revenue remains a healthy 23.5%. In terms of cash flow in Q1, a couple of items to call out. Our capital expenditures in Q1 aggregated to a modest $10 million. And consistent with our IPO messaging via our capital expenditures will ramp up significantly, meaningfully in the coming quarters with 2021 focus on SARnext, our next-generation commercial EO satellite mission, providing Synthetic Aperture Radar, imagery and analytics and information services, and Telesat Lightspeed, the Telesat LEO Constellation program. Second item on cash. Our cash from operations in Q1 was essentially 0, and it reflected a larger-than-normal increase in working capital. This was largely attributable to a reduction in year-end provisions and an increase in accounts receivable related to the increased revenue and higher-than-normal collections in the prior quarter that would be Q4 of 2020. We do not expect the balance-of-year working capital requirements -- excuse me, we do expect the balance-of-year working capital requirements to settle into a more normative range, and our early Q2 activity supports that. On April 7, 2021, MDA completed its initial public offering. Pursuant to which, MDA issued 28,571,500 common shares at a price of $14 per common share for total gross proceeds of approximately $400 million. Following the closing of the offering on April 14, 2021, the over-allotment option granted to the underwriters under the offering to purchase up to an additional 4,285,725 common shares at a price of $14 per common share was exercised in full, generating additional gross proceeds to the company of approximately $60 million. Post the IPO and the exercise of the overallotment option and giving consideration to the share consolidation, the resulting outstanding common shares are approximately 119 million. The company intends to use the net proceeds of the offering to repay a substantial amount of its outstanding indebtedness in Q2 and fund a portion of our ongoing growth initiatives that require capital investments. In summary, we are executing on specific growth strategy and leveraging our competitive strengths to capitalize on the fastest growing areas of the space economy. As we articulated in our prospectus, we believe an opportunity exists to grow our revenues from approximately $411 million in fiscal 2020 to between $800 million and $900 million in fiscal 2022, and further grow our adjusted EBITDA from approximately $127 million in fiscal 2020 to between $160 million and $180 million in fiscal 2022. Our backlog at the end of Q1 stood at $684 million, an increase of $122 million from the end of 2020. We expect the backlog to continue to build as we move through 2021. A significant portion of this expected growth is underpinned by the recent award of our flagship programs that Mike walked you through. Mike, before I hand the call back to you, I just wanted to give a shout out to all the amazing folks who work here at MDA. In my short time here, I've been so impressed with their commitment, the customer-centric passion and, above all, their amazing talents. The combination of our incredibly talented people and our proprietary technologies positions us very well to execute what is before us here in the next couple of years, and further step into the evolving broader and deeper strategic growth opportunities. Mike, back to you.

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

Thanks very much, Vito. That's a solid overview of a solid quarter. It's been a great adventure working with everybody in the community as we've brought MDA out into the public markets, and we've really enjoyed that process and all the interactions. As you can see, it's been a solid steady quarter. Not much new information for those who are involved in the IPO process, but important for us to make sure that we did the call. We provided everybody with an update, and we continue the excellent dialogue that we started throughout the process that we've been on the last several months. Operator, we can turn it over to you to be able to manage the phones for any questions that people might have.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] First question comes from Thanos Moschopoulos at BMO Capital Markets.

T
Thanos Moschopoulos
VP & Analyst

Congrats on the IPO and on a solid first quarter. I appreciate you don't provide quarterly guidance, but as we think about the remainder of the year, any quarterly nuances we should think of heading into Q2. Should we think about revenue to gather the similar level? Or anything you'd call out, just thinking about that quarterly dynamics.

V
Vito Culmone
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. Thanos, I think first of all, it's great to hear your voice. And as you heard Mike articulated, 2022 is really about building the backlogs into -- 2021 is really about building the backlog orders into 2022. We expect steady performance, but with strong gross profit percentages consistent with what we reported here in Q1. With respect to the revenue profile, the big step-up is into 2022 as we've articulated.

T
Thanos Moschopoulos
VP & Analyst

Okay. And I realize it hasn't been that long since the roadshow and IPO. But in that brief period of time, how would you characterize your progress in the flagship programs? Is that exactly as expected? Or any variation there in terms of mutual expectations?

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

Yes. It's Mike. I would say that's absolutely as expected. All the teams continue to make progress on those programs. And we continue to build momentum on each one.

T
Thanos Moschopoulos
VP & Analyst

Okay. And Maxar recently called out an industry-wide issue related to a shortage of Honeywell components. Is that something that might affect your business? Or is that not something that will impact you?

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

It could affect our business in terms of like the overall satellite programs that are relying on those components. But in terms of us having our orders and delivering into them, we're -- that does not get in the way of our systems and subsystems and what we're delivering. So right now, we're not impacted by that in any material way.

T
Thanos Moschopoulos
VP & Analyst

Great. And last one for me. How should we think about the wage subsidy dynamic for the upcoming quarter?

V
Vito Culmone
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, Thanos, we're digesting, obviously, the latest update from the government in that respect. There are some provisions going forward with respect to a potential clawback going forward as you look at executive compensation in 2021 versus 2019. So we'll continue to make the claims and obviously continue to digest it. There's not a lot of information on how to interpret some of that at this point in time, so TBD on that, going forward.

T
Thanos Moschopoulos
VP & Analyst

Congrats again.

V
Vito Culmone
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

Thanks a lot.

Operator

The next question comes from Kristine Liwag at Morgan Stanley.

K
Kristine Tan Liwag
Equity Analyst

Congratulations on your IPO.

V
Vito Culmone
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Kristine.

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

Thanks, Kristine.

K
Kristine Tan Liwag
Equity Analyst

Mike, to clarify, the orders that you mentioned from Telesat LightSpeed, is this the same contract you were expecting? Or was there an expansion of your expected work scope?

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

This is the same contract we were expecting. As we go through the flagship programs, there'll be like a series. We've been selected for them all, received all our initial orders, run the work, and then we'll keep getting incremental orders as they -- as we round out the order book around those programs. So it's just a continuation of that process.

K
Kristine Tan Liwag
Equity Analyst

Great. And can you quantify the 5 sensors to the lunar missions that you highlighted in your prepared remarks. So how big are these programs?

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

In combination, they're in millions of dollars. I don't want to be able to quote individual sensor orders for competitive reasons. It's a super competitive market area right now.

K
Kristine Tan Liwag
Equity Analyst

Great. And maybe last one modeling question. Vito, how should we think about share-based compensation beyond this year? Should we think about it to be in a similar amount of about $5 million when we get to '22-'23.

V
Vito Culmone
Chief Financial Officer

I think your Q1 share-based comp, which is over 3 million, clearly reflects a little bit of a catch-up. And I think your range as you go into the out years, Kristine, you should be seeing share-based compensation come down off of our 2021 levels. Probably premature for me to give you guidance around an absolute number, but directionally, what you're describing is what we would expect for sure.

Operator

Next question comes from Doug Taylor at Canaccord.

D
Douglas Taylor
Director

I think you confirmed the $350 million you expect from flagship programs anticipated next year towards that $800 million to $900 million bogey that you've laid out. I wonder if you could help us think about what, out of those flagship programs, you might expect this year, however small or large, so that we might think about the growth in your business outside of those programs and track that over the coming year.

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

I'm just trying to think about it. In terms of like sort of where we're at the moment, like I'm trying not to be too specific on revenue by program as it relates to the flagships. Like they're performing at a steady level with inside that revenue level that we're seeing right now, which we expect to hold steady as we go through the year.

V
Vito Culmone
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. And Doug, I'll jump on, on that one a little bit, too. When it comes to our 2021 revenue, the 3 flagship programs will contribute a de minimis amount to that revenue. So I think when you really step into 2022 is when you'll see the flagship from a revenue perspective. Clearly, as we build the order book here into the out years and as our backlog builds, flagship program will be contributing significantly to the composition of that. But as far as our 2021 revenue, I'll use the word de minimis, but that's basically our core existing business.

D
Douglas Taylor
Director

Okay. I asked only because you mentioned that you had done some work from the Canadarm3 program, which contributed to the strong robotics in the quarter, I believe.

V
Vito Culmone
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. And I think we would be the largest 1 of the 3 flagships contributed into our 2021 revenue, but again, still a fairly small percentage of our overall revenue.

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

Compared to the rest. Yes.

D
Douglas Taylor
Director

Okay. Congrats on your first quarter. And I'll pass the line.

V
Vito Culmone
Chief Financial Officer

Okay. Thank you.

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

Thank you, Doug.

Operator

Next question comes from Paul Steep at Scotia Capital.

P
Paul Steep
Analyst

Congrats on the IPO. And I guess the first question would be for Mike. Mike, can you maybe talk about the Airbus product that you -- the project that you talked about in the MD&A on Page 9. You talked about the one set digital satellite platform doing a long-term supply agreement there. Maybe give us context around that as much as you can.

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

We provide like a number of components into that satellite. Some of those are mechanical components, some of those are antenna related. And so we have like 2 or 3 different products that are in that arrangement. So that as that new line of reconfigurable satellites moves out, then we are, as you would say, designed into that satellite in the long-term supply agreement so that we can participate on a regular basis.

P
Paul Steep
Analyst

Great. And then, Vito, maybe just talk to, I guess, 3 impacts. I'll wrap it in one to be mindful of people's time. How we should think about FX with the Canadian dollar rocketing up here, the impact to top line and bottom line in Q2 and 3. Anything we should think about around lockdowns. Obviously, it would mainly, I guess, affect Brampton given the current circumstance. And then the final one, maybe broader than where Thanos went, any impact you guys are seeing supply chain with component shortages.

V
Vito Culmone
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you. Do you want to take COVIDd and supply chain?

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

So from a lockdown perspective and a supply chain perspective, We're doing well. We continue -- we have operated with essential operations in Montreal, satellite manufacturing, Brampton Robotics, rover-related manufacturing throughout the entire COVID period. We've implemented really strong safety measures within the facility. We continue to track all aspects around COVID really well. We've implemented antigen-based rapid screening. I remember everyone on-site is available to be able to screen for COVID twice a week, and we continue to do that while encouraging the population to get vaccinated as the opportunity to do so increases throughout the community. So we continue to operate well even in the hotspots like Brampton, like you mentioned.From a supply chain perspective, when COVID first started a year ago, there was a normal clumsiness as everyone tried to figure out how to adjust their work practices. But in the current performance environment, we don't have any COVID-specific supply chain challenges. People have worked the kinks out of that. The space community in general, I find has been able to work through the COVID period very well.

V
Vito Culmone
Chief Financial Officer

And Paul, in respect to your foreign exchange question, you would have seen that, at least as it relates to Q1, there was a just under a $3 million loss recognized in our operating expenses. And all of that is essentially unrealized.As we move forward here into -- in the back half of the year, you're absolutely right. Our U.S. dollar cash inflows do exceed our U.S. dollar projected cash outflows. So to the extent that there is some continued strengthening in the Canadian dollar, there's a potential headwind there. But overall, we feel pretty good with where we're sitting right now. We do have a, I'll say, a modest hedging program in place. We're reviewing that to ensure that we feel comfortable with where we're standing. But nothing, I would say, overly material from a financial statement perspective to call out at this point.

Operator

We have no further questions at this time. I will now turn it back over for closing comments.

M
Mike Greenley
CEO & Director

Great. Thanks very much. From my perspective, it's just -- it's been great to be able to continue to engage the community post IPO, and be able to report on a steady quarter as we go through the year. Vito?

V
Vito Culmone
Chief Financial Officer

No, that's great. Thank you, Mike. And we're really excited to be here. And everything we've seen on the ground since IPO just gives us even further confidence not only in the growth aspects but also the capabilities of the team. So very excited. And we'll catch you on the Q2 call. Thanks very much.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating, and we ask that you please disconnect your lines. Enjoy the rest of your evening.