Lundin Mining Corp
TSX:LUN
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one LUN stock under the Base Case scenario is 18.73 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 14.14 CAD, Lundin Mining Corp is Undervalued by 25%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Lundin Mining Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Lundin Mining Corp. is a dynamic mining company that has carved out a significant niche in the global metals market. With operations spanning across key mining regions in North America, South America, and Europe, Lundin Mining focuses on the production of essential metals such as copper, zinc, nickel, and gold. The company's commitment to sustainable practices and operational excellence positions it as a leader in the mining sector. Investors are drawn to Lundin for not only its robust and diversified asset base, including the renowned Candelaria and Neves-Corvo mines, but also for its strategic initiatives aimed at expanding production while maintaining a strong balance sheet. Lundin has de...
Lundin Mining Corp. is a dynamic mining company that has carved out a significant niche in the global metals market. With operations spanning across key mining regions in North America, South America, and Europe, Lundin Mining focuses on the production of essential metals such as copper, zinc, nickel, and gold. The company's commitment to sustainable practices and operational excellence positions it as a leader in the mining sector. Investors are drawn to Lundin for not only its robust and diversified asset base, including the renowned Candelaria and Neves-Corvo mines, but also for its strategic initiatives aimed at expanding production while maintaining a strong balance sheet. Lundin has demonstrated resilience in navigating commodity price fluctuations, making it an appealing choice for those looking to invest in a company with both solid fundamentals and growth potential.
At the heart of Lundin Mining's growth story is its focus on value creation through disciplined capital allocation and a clear vision for sustainable development. The company continues to invest in exploration and development projects that align with its strategic objectives, ensuring a pipeline of future growth. Additionally, Lundin's experienced management team and strong corporate governance further bolster investor confidence, as they navigate the challenges and opportunities presented by the mining industry. As the global demand for metals continues to rise, driven by advancements in technology and renewable energy, Lundin Mining Corp. stands at the forefront, ready to capitalize on these trends. For investors who seek exposure to a well-run mining company with a commitment to sustainability, Lundin Mining presents a compelling opportunity.
Lundin Mining Corporation is a diversified Canadian mining company primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of base metals. As of my last update in October 2023, the core business segments of Lundin Mining can be categorized into several key areas:
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Copper Mining: Lundin Mining has a strong focus on copper production, which is a key revenue driver. Major operations include:
- Candelaria (Chile): A significant copper and gold mining operation.
- Eagle Mine (USA): A high-grade underground nickel and copper mine.
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Zinc Mining: The company also has a sizable presence in the zinc market, with notable operations such as:
- Neves-Corvo (Portugal): Produces both copper and zinc, contributing to the company's overall zinc output.
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Nickel Mining: Lundin produces nickel as a by-product of its other operations, particularly from the Eagle Mine, enhancing its portfolio of base metals.
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Gold Production: Some of Lundin's operations also yield gold, adding to its revenue base. The company often benefits from the synergies of producing precious metals alongside base metals.
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Exploration and Development: Lundin is actively engaged in exploration projects in various regions. The company's philosophy includes investing in exploration to extend the life of its existing mines and to discover new mineral resources.
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Sustainability and Environmental Stewardship: While not a direct business segment, Lundin emphasizes sustainable mining practices and corporate responsibility, which are integral to its operations and long-term strategy.
Lundin Mining’s portfolio is characterized by its diverse geographical footprint and a mix of commodities, which helps to mitigate risks associated with commodity price volatility and operational challenges. This diversification aligns with the investment principles espoused by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, emphasizing the importance of a strong competitive position and sustainable business practices.
Lundin Mining Corporation has several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the mining sector:
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Diversified Asset Portfolio: Lundin Mining operates a diverse portfolio of high-quality mining assets, including copper, zinc, and nickel mines across various geographical locations. This diversification reduces geopolitical risk and market volatility, providing a more stable revenue stream.
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Strong Operational Efficiency: The company prioritizes operational excellence, often investing in advanced mining technologies and processes that enhance productivity and reduce costs. This focus on efficiency can give Lundin a cost advantage over competitors.
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Experienced Management Team: Lundin Mining benefits from a highly experienced management team with a proven track record in the mining sector. Their expertise in project management, operations, and strategic planning underpins the company's competitive positioning.
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Strong Financial Position: Lundin Mining has demonstrated strong financial management with healthy cash flow and balance sheet metrics. This financial strength allows the company to invest in growth opportunities, weather market downturns, and return capital to shareholders.
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Focus on Sustainability: Increasingly, mining companies are being evaluated on their environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices. Lundin Mining emphasizes sustainable practices and community engagement, potentially giving it an edge in attracting investment and securing social licenses to operate.
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Strategic Acquisitions: Lundin Mining has a history of strategic acquisitions that have bolstered its asset base. This growth strategy can enhance its competitive positioning by adding valuable resources and operational synergies.
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Strong Market Demand for Commodities: With a focus on copper and other essential metals, Lundin Mining is positioned to benefit from the growing demand driven by trends such as electrification, renewable energy, and infrastructure investments globally.
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Exploration and Development Pipeline: The company invests in exploration to find new resources, ensuring long-term growth potential. Their portfolio includes opportunities for development that can lead to future production increases.
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Strategic Partnerships: Lundin Mining often engages in partnerships and joint ventures that allow it to share risks and acquire additional expertise. These alliances can enhance operational capabilities and market access.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Lundin Mining can effectively navigate industry challenges and position itself for sustainable growth in the mining sector.
Lundin Mining Corp, like any mining company, faces a range of risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance. Here are some of the key risks and challenges the company may encounter in the near future:
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Commodity Price Volatility: The prices of copper, zinc, nickel, and other metals are subject to fluctuations driven by global supply and demand dynamics. A significant drop in metal prices could adversely affect revenue and profitability.
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Operational Risks: Mining operations involve numerous hazards, including equipment failures, accidents, and safety incidents. Any of these occurrences can lead to production disruptions.
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Regulatory Challenges: The mining industry is heavily regulated, and changes in laws or regulations in jurisdictions where Lundin operates could pose significant challenges, including increased compliance costs and potential operational delays.
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Environmental and Social Risks: Mining operations are under increasing scrutiny regarding their environmental impact and social responsibility. Failure to adhere to environmental regulations or to engage with local communities effectively can result in reputational damage and operational interruptions.
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Geopolitical Risks: Lundin operates in several countries, some of which have political instability or uneven regulatory environments. Changes in government policies, expropriation risks, or civil unrest can significantly impact mining operations.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The global supply chain for mining inputs—such as equipment, labor, and consumables—can be affected by various factors, including geopolitical tensions, transportation issues, and pandemics, which can disrupt mining schedules.
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Financing Risks: The need for funding for exploration, development, and expansion projects can be a risk, particularly if access to capital markets becomes constrained or if the company's share prices decline.
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Technological Disruption: The mining industry is seeing shifts due to technological advancements. Companies that do not adapt to new technologies may find themselves at a competitive disadvantage.
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Labor Relations: Strikes, labor unrest, or challenges in workforce management can lead to production delays and increased costs, impacting operational efficiency.
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Impact of Climate Change: The increasing impacts of climate change can affect natural resource availability, alter regulatory landscapes, and raise operational costs associated with required adaptations and mitigations.
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Investment Risks: Risks associated with investments in exploration projects that may not yield a profitable return. Successful exploration is inherently uncertain and can entail substantial capital expenditure.
To navigate these challenges, Lundin Mining Corp may need to adopt robust risk management practices, actively engage with stakeholders, and maintain flexibility to adapt to changing market conditions.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Lundin Mining Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Lundin Mining Corp
Current Assets | 1.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 349.6m |
Receivables | 853.2m |
Other Current Assets | 696m |
Non-Current Assets | 9.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 9m |
PP&E | 7.8B |
Intangibles | 282.2m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1B |
Current Liabilities | 1.4B |
Accounts Payable | 331.5m |
Accrued Liabilities | 296.2m |
Other Current Liabilities | 726.8m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3B |
Earnings Waterfall
Lundin Mining Corp
Revenue
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4.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-3.2B
USD
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Gross Profit
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945.6m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-115.4m
USD
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Operating Income
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830.2m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-554.7m
USD
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Net Income
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275.4m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Lundin Mining Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, Lundin Mining posted nearly $1.1 billion in revenue, supported by strong copper production of 100,000 tonnes. The company has revised annual copper guidance to 366,000 to 389,000 tonnes. Candelaria achieved outstanding results, producing 50,000 tonnes of copper at a cash cost of $1.55 per pound. Operational optimizations are expected to reduce cash costs at Chapada, dropping guidance to $1.55 to $1.65 per pound. Furthermore, diversifying its portfolio, Lundin increased its stake in Caserones to 70%, adding additional production capacity. The company maintained quarterly dividends, marking 31 consecutive payments, and expects continued strong cash flow into Q4.
What is Earnings Call?
LUN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Lundin Mining Corp's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Lundin Mining Corp's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
LUN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Lundin Mining Corp's solvency score is 46/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Lundin Mining Corp's solvency score is 46/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
LUN Price Targets Summary
Lundin Mining Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LUN is 17.56 CAD with a low forecast of 9.6 CAD and a high forecast of 24.29 CAD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for LUN is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Lundin Mining Corp. is a metal based company, engages in mining, exploration and development of mineral properties, primarily in Chile, USA, Portugal, and Sweden. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Ontario and currently employs 4,567 full-time employees. The firm is engaged in mining, exploration and development of mineral properties, primarily in Chile, Brazil, Portugal, Sweden and the United States of America, primarily producing copper, zinc, gold and nickel. Its segments include Candeleria, Chapada, Eagle, Neves-Corvo and Zinkgruvan. Its geographical segments include Europe, Asia, South America and North America. Its operating assets include the Eagle mine located in the United States, the Neves-Corvo mine located in Portugal and the Zinkgruvan mine located in Sweden. The firm's Candelaria Copper Mining is located in Chile’s Atacama Region, Region III, at an elevation of approximately 650 meters above sea level and 20 kilometers(km) south of the city of Copiapo. Its Chapada project is located in approximately 320 km north of the state capital of Goiania and 270 km northwest of the national capital of Brasilia.
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The intrinsic value of one LUN stock under the Base Case scenario is 18.73 CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 14.14 CAD, Lundin Mining Corp is Undervalued by 25%.