Imperial Oil Ltd
TSX:IMO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one IMO stock under the Base Case scenario is 108.72 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 101 CAD, Imperial Oil Ltd is Undervalued by 7%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Imperial Oil Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Imperial Oil Ltd., a prominent player in Canada's energy sector, has a rich history that dates back to its founding in 1880. As one of the largest integrated oil companies in the nation, Imperial operates across the entire petroleum value chain, from upstream exploration and production to downstream refining and marketing. The company is notably known for its involvement in the oil sands and its significant refining capacity, which supports a robust network of fuel retail stations across the country. Investing in Imperial means engaging with a firm that not only benefits from Canada’s rich natural resources but also prioritizes operational excellence and environmental stewardship. In recent...
Imperial Oil Ltd., a prominent player in Canada's energy sector, has a rich history that dates back to its founding in 1880. As one of the largest integrated oil companies in the nation, Imperial operates across the entire petroleum value chain, from upstream exploration and production to downstream refining and marketing. The company is notably known for its involvement in the oil sands and its significant refining capacity, which supports a robust network of fuel retail stations across the country. Investing in Imperial means engaging with a firm that not only benefits from Canada’s rich natural resources but also prioritizes operational excellence and environmental stewardship.
In recent years, Imperial has demonstrated resilience and adaptability amid fluctuating oil prices and a growing emphasis on sustainability. The company is focusing on innovation and technology to enhance efficiency and lower greenhouse gas emissions, positioning itself for a more sustainable future. With a strong financial foundation, steady dividend payouts, and a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, Imperial Oil provides a compelling opportunity for investors. Its strategic partnerships and investments in renewable energy projects further illustrate its vision of navigating the energy transition while maintaining profitability. By choosing Imperial, investors are not just betting on oil but are also supporting a company that is evolving to meet the challenges of tomorrow's energy landscape.
Imperial Oil Ltd. is one of Canada’s largest integrated oil and gas companies, and its core business segments can be categorized primarily into three main areas:
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Upstream: This segment involves the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. Imperial Oil operates various oil sands projects in Canada, particularly in Alberta, and engages in conventional oil and gas production. Upstream activities include drilling, extraction, and management of oil and gas fields.
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Downstream: This segment encompasses the refining of crude oil and the distribution and marketing of petroleum products. Imperial Oil owns and operates several refineries in Canada and markets a variety of petroleum products, including gasoline, diesel, and petrochemicals, through a network of service stations and commercial customers.
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Chemical: The chemical segment involves the production and sale of petrochemicals, such as polyolefins, aromatics, and various specialty chemicals. These products are supplied to industries for use in manufacturing plastics, coatings, and other chemical products.
These segments are supported by strong supply chain and logistics capabilities, ensuring that Imperial Oil can effectively manage its operations and meet the demands of its customers. The company is also committed to integrating sustainable practices within its operations, focusing on reducing environmental impacts and enhancing energy efficiency.
Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) is one of Canada's leading integrated oil companies and has several competitive advantages that help it stand out among its rivals:
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Strong Brand Recognition: Imperial Oil has a long-standing reputation and strong brand presence in Canada, which can enhance customer loyalty and recognition.
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Access to Resources: Through its ownership of significant upstream assets in the oil sands and its partnerships in high-quality reserves, Imperial has secure access to vital hydrocarbon resources.
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Integrated Operations: The company's integrated business model—spanning upstream exploration and production, downstream refining, and marketing—allows it to capture value across the entire oil supply chain. This integration helps in risk management and cost control.
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Efficient Operations: Imperial Oil is known for its operational efficiency, utilizing advanced technology and practices to optimize production and reduce costs. This efficiency can offer a competitive edge over less efficient rivals.
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Financial Strength: With a solid balance sheet and strong cash flow generation, Imperial Oil can invest in projects, weather downturns in the oil market, and return capital to shareholders, providing a financial cushion that some competitors might lack.
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Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with companies like ExxonMobil (its majority shareholder) provide operational synergies, technological advantages, and access to global markets, enhancing competitiveness.
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Market Position: As one of the largest market players in Canada, Imperial has pricing power in certain segments and benefits from economies of scale that smaller competitors may not enjoy.
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Focus on Sustainability: Imperial is increasingly investing in cleaner energy technologies and sustainability practices, positioning itself favorably in a market that is increasingly sensitive to environmental issues. This focus can help attract socially conscious investors and consumers.
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Diverse Portfolio: A diverse portfolio of products, including gasoline, diesel, lubricants, and petrochemicals, allows Imperial to mitigate risks associated with volatile oil prices and capture demand across different segments.
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Operational Expertise: With decades of experience in the oil and gas sector, Imperial has built a considerable depth of expertise in exploration, drilling, refining, and distribution, fostering innovation and efficiency.
These advantages contribute to Imperial Oil's competitive positioning in the energy sector, allowing it to navigate challenges and capitalize on opportunities more effectively than some of its competitors.
Imperial Oil Ltd, as a major player in the Canadian oil and gas industry, faces several risks and challenges in the near future that could impact its operations and financial performance:
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Market Volatility: Fluctuations in oil prices due to geopolitical tensions, OPEC+ decisions, and changes in global demand can significantly affect revenue. A downturn in prices may lead to reduced profits and operational cutbacks.
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Regulatory Changes: The oil and gas industry is heavily regulated, and changes in environmental regulations, taxes, or royalty structures can increase operating costs. Stringent climate policies may require companies to invest in cleaner technologies.
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Environmental Concerns: Increasing public and governmental scrutiny on environmental impacts, including greenhouse gas emissions, may lead to reputational risks and increased pressure to adopt sustainable practices.
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Competition from Renewables: As the world shifts towards renewable energy sources, Imperial Oil must compete not only with traditional energy producers but also with growing renewable energy markets. This transition may require strategic investments in alternative energy solutions.
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Operational Risks: The nature of oil extraction and processing presents inherent risks, including accidents, equipment failures, and natural disasters. Such events can lead to production interruptions and significant financial liabilities.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Ongoing disruptions, whether from health crises, geopolitical tensions, or trade disputes, can affect the availability of materials and increase costs.
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Financial Risks: High levels of debt, fluctuating interest rates, and currency fluctuations can pose significant financial risks, particularly in a capital-intensive industry like oil and gas.
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Technological Advancements: The need for continuous technological innovation to improve efficiency and reduce environmental impact can represent both an opportunity and a challenge. Failing to keep pace with advancements may compromise competitiveness.
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Workforce Concerns: Attracting and retaining skilled labor in a rapidly changing industry can be challenging, especially as younger workers tend to prioritize sustainability. Talent shortages can impact operational efficiency.
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Social License to Operate: Gaining and maintaining public support is critical for oil and gas companies. Opposition from communities and Indigenous groups can lead to project delays and additional costs.
By addressing these risks through strategic planning, effective stakeholder engagement, and innovation, Imperial Oil can better prepare for the challenges ahead while pursuing growth opportunities in a changing energy landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Imperial Oil Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Imperial Oil Ltd
Current Assets | 9.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.5B |
Receivables | 5.5B |
Other Current Assets | 2.4B |
Non-Current Assets | 33.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 805m |
PP&E | 30.8B |
Intangibles | 166m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.3B |
Current Liabilities | 6.5B |
Accounts Payable | 6.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 98m |
Other Current Liabilities | 163m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 12.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 8.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Imperial Oil Ltd
Revenue
|
51.8B
CAD
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Cost of Revenue
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-40.2B
CAD
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Gross Profit
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11.7B
CAD
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Operating Expenses
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-5.4B
CAD
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Operating Income
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6.2B
CAD
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Other Expenses
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-1.3B
CAD
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Net Income
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4.9B
CAD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Imperial Oil Ltd
CAD | |
Free Cash Flow | CAD |
IMO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Imperial Oil Ltd's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Imperial Oil Ltd's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
IMO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Imperial Oil Ltd's solvency score is 76/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Imperial Oil Ltd's solvency score is 76/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
IMO Price Targets Summary
Imperial Oil Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IMO is 101.35 CAD with a low forecast of 74.98 CAD and a high forecast of 126 CAD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for IMO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Imperial Oil Ltd. engages in the provision of integrated oil business. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Alberta and currently employs 5,400 full-time employees. The firm is engaged in all the phases of the petroleum industry in Canada, including exploration for, and production and sale of, crude oil and natural gas. The firm operates through three segments: Upstream, Downstream and Chemical. Upstream operations include the exploration for, and production of, crude oil, natural gas, synthetic oil and bitumen. Downstream operations consist of the transportation and refining of crude oil, blending of refined products and the distribution and marketing of those products. Chemical operations consist of the manufacturing and marketing of various petrochemicals. Its operations include Cold Lake, Kearl, Nanticoke, Sarnia and Strathcona refinery. Its Cold Lake oil sands operation is located in Northeastern Alberta and covers approximately 780 square kilometers. The firm holds a 70.96% participating interest in the Kearl oil sands operation.
Contact
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one IMO stock under the Base Case scenario is 108.72 CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 101 CAD, Imperial Oil Ltd is Undervalued by 7%.