Heroux Devtek Inc
TSX:HRX

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Heroux Devtek Inc
TSX:HRX
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2021-Q3

from 0
Operator

Good morning. My name Tacan, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Héroux-Devtek's Fiscal 2021 Third Quarter Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Before turning the meeting over to management, please be advised that this conference call will contain statements that are forward-looking and subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. We refer you to Slide 2 of the accompanying presentation available on the company's website for the complete forward-looking statement. I would like to remind everyone that this conference call is being recorded today, Friday, February 5, 2021, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. I will now turn the conference over to Mr. Martin Brassard, President and Chief Executive Officer; and to Mr. Stéphane Arsenault, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Héroux-Devtek. Mr. Brassard, please go ahead, sir.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Thank you very much, Tacan, and good morning, everyone. [Foreign Language]. On behalf of all of us here in Longueuil, welcome to the earnings conference call for our third quarter of fiscal 2021. As usual, I invite you to follow along by referring to the financial statements, MD&A, press release and presentation, which can be found in the Investors section of our website. I am quite pleased with our strong Q3 performance. Clearly, the strategy we have adopted since the onset of the pandemic is yielding positive results on a number of fronts. First, our defense revenue growth has compensated for nearly all of the civil revenue decline. Second, we have maintained our profitability. Third, our cash flow has improved. And finally, our balance sheet has come -- has become even stronger with our net debt-to-EBITDA ratio now standing at 2.1 compared to 2.6, 9 months ago. This would be a noteworthy accomplishment in normal circumstances, but is a feat we are particularly proud of in the current context. Operationally, in the third quarter, one of our key areas of focus was inventory management. We entered Q3 with much higher inventory levels than what we wanted. As indicated by the $12.2 million reduction this quarter, we have clearly turned the corner and now trending towards a level of civil inventory that is closer to the new demand reality. Before I invite Stéphane to present an overview of our Q3 results, I want to provide you with a quick update on our ongoing restructuring efforts. We are progressing well in the execution of our plan to rightsize our production capacity to new market conditions. Approximately 76% of the 15% overall planned workforce reductions have been completed to date. And $9.5 million out of the $12 million of restructuring charge announced earlier during the year have been incurred in the first 9 months of the current fiscal year. The remaining staff reductions will occur after the closure -- the definite closure of Alta Precision facility and the APPH Wichita plant in the next fiscal year. Now on to results. Stéphane?

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Thank you, Martin, and good morning, everyone. As usual, please be aware that we will be referring to certain non-IFRS measures during the call, including adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted EPS. All non-IFRS measures are defined and reconciled in the MD&A issued earlier today. Consolidated sales decreased 4.4% to $150.3 million from $157.3 million last year. Defense sales were up a strong 21.1% from $84.1 to $101.8 million this year. Civil sales declined 33.7% in Q3 from $73.2 million to $48.5 million, mainly as a result of the 44% decrease in OEM demand for twin-aisle programs. Gross profit grew $26.8 million to $28.1 million, up a strong 160 basis points as a percentage of sales from 17.1% last year to 18.7%. This increase is the result of a better sales mix, the positive effect of restructuring activities on the corporation cost structure and lower depreciation costs. Operating income in Q3 remained stable at $13.4 million but grew from 8.6% as a percentage of sales last year to 8.9% this quarter, or 9.4% excluding $0.8 million of restructuring charge. Adjusted EBITDA, which excludes nonrecurring items, stood at $23.7 million or 15.8% of sales compared to $24.6 million or 15.6% of sales a year ago. Finally, earnings per share remained stable at $0.24 and increased to $0.26 per share, excluding nonrecurring items. Let's now turn to our financial position. As at December 31, 2020, our net debt stood at $189.7 million, down $29.1 million from $218.8 million 3 months earlier or down $57.2 million since the beginning of the year. The decrease in net debt was fueled by strong cash flow related to operating activities, which totaled $26.7 million in Q3 or $57.6 million over 9 months. As a result and as pointed out by Martin earlier, our net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio stood at 2.1x as at December 31 compared to 2.6x 9 months ago. Our available liquidity was up $57 million since March sitting at $250 million at the end of Q3. Back to you, Martin.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Well, thank you, Stéphane. As noted in our press release, Héroux-Devtek was selected by Boeing to join its Premier Bidder Program. This program recognizes and rewards high-performing Boeing commercial airplane suppliers and provide them with additional consideration and opportunities to increase their business with Boeing. This recognition is, again, a demonstration of our team's ability to exceed our customers' expectations in delivering high-quality products on time. We are very proud of this accomplishment and look forward to continue performing at the level expected as a member of the program as well as to exploring the future opportunity that it presents. Before we open up the call to questions, I want to conclude my remarks by thanking our employees. The resilience, commitment and passion for excellence that our teams in Canada, in the U.S., in Spain and in the U.K. have displayed since day 1 of this pandemic is both inspiring and motivating. We are very fortunate to be able to count on such great people, and I want to sincerely thank all of the teams. Thank you. Tacan, we are now ready to answer questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Konark Gupta of Scotiabank.

K
Konark Gupta
Analyst

So maybe the first question is on defense. There seems to be a decent acceleration or continued acceleration in defense sales growth this quarter as well. Just wondering what caused this acceleration. Any particular programs that ramped up strongly -- stronger than you anticipated or something else came in, in this quarter as a short-term driver?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Well, it was -- Konark, thank you. Good morning to you, too. Well, it was like we announced, the industrialization of the F-18, CH-53K, LRIP, Saab Gripen E, and I'm missing one, Stéphane.

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

You got them all.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

I got them all. So this is -- it was 0 sales last year, and now we're gradually increasing our production rate in these programs.

K
Konark Gupta
Analyst

Okay. And is there any significant contribution from aftermarket sales in defense at this point? Or that's something you expect going forward?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Sorry?

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Is there any increase in the aftermarket or...

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Aftermarket?

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Aftermarket. Yes.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Yes, we have -- we do have opportunity, and we are looking for some opportunity. And we have some orders in the backlog that covers both aftermarket and OEM. And of course, when you get into a new program like that, the opener -- the aftermarket opens like F-18. So we ain't going to -- it's not only the OE business. But we're well positioned to seize the opportunities in the aftermarket as well.

K
Konark Gupta
Analyst

Okay. Defense typically has a pretty good quarter seasonally in Q4. And given the momentum you're seeing, do you expect these ramp-up programs to continue in Q4 and perhaps sales in defense is stronger again in Q4 this year?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

The -- of course. For the 12 months, defense sales will be stronger than 12 years (sic) [ months ] prior. Because as we said at the early of the pandemic, we said that we will realign our production capacity towards defense product towards revenue drivers. So that's what we have done. And like we said, at the end of the Q2, we wanted to react quickly into the pandemic to realign our production capacity to the new demand, civil aerospace demand. We consolidated production facilities. We optimized our costs. Now the second step was to stabilize our production system, which we are doing. Like we said during the call, in Q2, we want to stabilize this production system and the revenue for 6 quarters and optimize our cost structure. And once the market recovers, we'll be ready to absorb the market recovery with the same amount of resource. That's our objective.

K
Konark Gupta
Analyst

Okay. And then moving on the civil side. On 777X and Boeing, so congrats on being announced as part of the Premier Bidder Program. So you talked about potential for increase in business opportunity with Boeing. I know they are looking at a potential narrow-body competitor to Airbus A321. And at the same time, the 777X has kind of delayed the first delivery to 2023. Wondering if you can share any thoughts on Boeing. How the relationship evolves with that program that you have enrolled in now? And how the 777X path looks forward to you guys, given the recent delays and risk to the backlog they've announced?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Of course. So the entry in service will be delayed by 1 year. That's what you're referring to on the 777X. For us, we -- in our plan, we consider the 777 and the 777X altogether. So there's not much difference or materially different with our expectation that we've done at last April, right? So the revenue and the level of activity for the 777 all combined because you have good news on the freighter. So you have pushback, and they will continue to produce some of the 777X because they want to have an airplane ready to deliver. So for us, it does not differ materially from our expectations. As to the new program, I know that's what you're referring to, some article and the call -- on the conference call. So there's nothing announced yet for Boeing, officially announced. And -- but with our performance, we'll be invited to bid if they decide -- should they decide to launch a new aircraft. So that's what we said all along. The best guarantee of the sales growth is to perform, meet the customer expectation and deliver quality product on time. So that's what we're going to continue to do there.

K
Konark Gupta
Analyst

That's great. All the best for that. And then last 1 for me before I turn it over. You're sitting at a pretty good cash position here, and liquidity is also very strong.Given you're free cash positive throughout, I'm wondering if you have any opportunities to incrementally deploy the cash on hand. You have, be it, new product development, acquisitions or shareholder returns, please?

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Yes. Well, essentially -- we have essentially did what we said we would do. So we have reduced our net debt position. So that's -- that remained our first priority. And obviously, we'll continue to look at opportunities, being M&A or other opportunity with customers to grow organically. So all of it -- so for now, there's no discussion at this point other than this one.

Operator

Your next question comes from Cameron Doerksen of National Bank Financial.

C
Cameron Doerksen
Analyst

So just a question on the margins, another good performance in the third quarter. And just sort of wondering, obviously, there's some wage subsidy benefit in there. But if we look back to Q2, I believe your message was sort of that you had excess costs in the quarter that essentially offset any benefit you might have gotten from the wage subsidy. Was the same true in Q3?

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Yes. So let me answer this one, so -- maybe to clear that up. The Canadian wage subsidy was $2.5 million this quarter, so representing essentially most of the year-over-year increase in the government assistance of $3 million compared to last year. This is a big decrease, as expected, from almost $5 million in the second quarter of Canadian wage subsidies. So this quarter, again, we still have direct costs associated to the COVID-19 being essentially an efficiency in certain operations that we have, and also some commercial risk that we had to consider on our balance sheet. So essentially on inventory. So it's almost all as said, the $2.5 million of Canadian wage subsidy this quarter.

C
Cameron Doerksen
Analyst

Okay. And what's your expectation for wage subsidy, I guess, in future quarters? I presume it probably continues to go down. And I guess, what's the incremental cost benefit when you finally close the 2 plants that are, I guess, that's going to happen next year?

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Yes. So maybe just to help you here. I think the fourth quarter will see a small reduction of the wage subsidy. So this quarter that we are in. And after that, it's difficult to say. We know the government of Canada have extended the program to June. But the rules are not yet specified for April to June for us. So there will be something to that level. So this quarter, we see, in our financial statement, a reduction year-over-year of almost 10% of our labor costs, reflecting the restructuring and the adjustment we had to make on our cost structure. And this is without the wage subsidies, almost 10%. And as we complete the restructuring, as Martin said, we are expecting 15% workforce reduction at completion of the closure of Wichita and the Alta 2 plant for -- here in Montreal. So which should yield saving of about an additional 3% on our labor costs. So that's where we are in now.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

And just to give a color, maybe in the note, it wasn't clear, Cameron, but Alta have 2 facilities. One is already -- the machining operation has seized now at December. The assembly is planned to close in March and Wichita facility is supposed to be in the mid of next year.

Operator

Your next question comes from Benoit Poirier of Desjardins Capital Markets.

B
Benoit Poirier

Congratulations for the good quarter.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Benoit, thank you very much. With all the questions that Konark and Cameron asked, it's difficult to find a question.

B
Benoit Poirier

It's my job to make -- to ask some relevant questions. So I'll do my best. Okay. Congrats, by the way, for Boeing's Premier Bidder Program. So it seems a very nice award. We know how strong the relationship is between Héroux-Devtek and Boeing already when looking at the 777, 777X, the opportunities on commercial. So I would be curious to know what will be the incremental benefits of this award? And how quick could you leverage that? What it will allow you to open down the road with such a nice award?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Thank you, Benoit for the question. And thank you also for your comments about our performance. So this bidder program, there's not many suppliers that are on this bidder program. So that means that you have kept a performance level -- a very good performance level for 12 consecutive months. So what it gives us is, one, the time. So they have packaged. Boeing is issuing package, and some points are given to the suppliers that are on this program. So that means that they're willing. So we do not need to get to file the lowest pricing. So it's a best value solution, and that brings a lot of points into the valuation when they compare us against the competitor. So -- and it sends the message throughout the organization, not only to the people that we know. So for people that don't know us in the actuation part of the business. Yes, that gives us additional opportunities. So of course -- and Boeing is a very good company, and there's a lot of potential for us to grow our business into this market despite the current situation. Does that answer your question, Benoit?

B
Benoit Poirier

Yes. No, that's great color, I must say. And I would just be curious, when you look on the actuation side, if you could provide an update on where you are in terms of the strategy of growing that piece. Obviously, you've got a nice contract back in October with Boeing for the manufacturing of the several actuation systems. So I was wondering whether this contract was kind of a marquee announcement and whether it has ring the bells and open some other opportunities with some other OEMs.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Yes, it brings other opportunities, Benoit. We are now industrializing. It's about -- it's close to 2 dozen of actuators. So we are industrializing, we're starting. We have started in January to cut what we're saying in our language is we start to cut chips. So the program -- the progress are -- it's progressing very well as we speak, even a bit ahead of schedule. And once we deliver like the 777, if you remember back in 2016, we delivered the first article ahead of schedule. We delivered our F-18 ahead of schedule. And so the 777 led to other opportunities, such as the F-18, F-15 and then MQ-25. And then led to actuation. So if we deliver ahead of schedule, that will bring other opportunities. That's for sure. And we need to perform that we see, actually, the pipeline is -- we're working on other stuff, yes.

B
Benoit Poirier

Okay. And Martin, could you maybe give us an update on the Dassault, the 6X, just to give us an update? I know it's still early, but it's ramping up right now. So I would be curious to know when will -- it will start to be more impactful on your revenues monthly?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

So entry in service, it was in 2022, right? It's still 2022. We're supporting the campaign there with Dassault with certification of the aircraft. So far, they're holding the schedule. We are in the process of retrofitting the landing gear because it changed from the 5X to the 6X. So things are going well there. So revenue increase for us, fiscal 2023, right, Stéphane? Would you say so?

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Yes.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Yes.

B
Benoit Poirier

Yes. Okay. That's great color, Martin. Maybe for Stéphane. When you look at the free cash flow, obviously, big inventory reduction that play out in Q3. So just looking forward, would it be fair to say that the inventory has stabilized at kind of a more normalized level? And how we should be thinking about CapEx for fiscal '21 and maybe a glimpse at fiscal '22 in terms of CapEx or free cash flow generation?

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Yes, certainly, so we are very happy of the direction the inventory has taken this quarter, thanks to all the operation. I know there's a lot of people on the line that are on this call. So they've done a very good job. The good news, we are now about at the same level as the beginning of the fiscal year, $241 million. So that means there's more opportunity to reduce. So I still see opportunity to bring inventory down in the coming months. So this is not the end. So there's still opportunity there as far as reduction of inventory, and will drive towards that to continue to show reduction in the coming quarters.

B
Benoit Poirier

Okay. And in terms of capital deployment, just to come back a little bit on that. Obviously, debt payment was a focus, but now we are standing at 2.1. And when we look at valuation in the space, we've seen large defense companies announcing major buybacks over the last few months on the back of the attractive valuation. So I would be curious whether it's a potential avenue you might consider down the road in terms of buyback or given where we are right now from a valuation standpoint?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Yes, that's a good question. It's always things that we're discussing. But so far, we have not reached that decision yet. So capital allocation is very important to us but we're looking at all the opportunities as we speak, Benoit.

Operator

Your next question comes from Tim James of TD Securities.

T
Tim James
Research Analyst

Congratulations on a great quarter, really impressive. Just wanted to circle back to 1 question earlier, just to kind of ask it a slightly different way. I'm just wondering with the fourth quarter of this year, is there anything unusual that will occur to impact just the normal seasonal trend of higher revenue in the fourth quarter relative to the third quarter? Is there anything that might be unusual this year?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Again, Tim, do not expect the traditional increase of fourth quarter over 3 quarter. I do not want to set you false expectation there. Like I said, for us, it's very important to level our production system, consistency of the -- of our operation. This is how we can optimize our costs. So do not expect the traditional fourth quarter way over the Q3. So that's not our objective yet. Now as to something extraordinary that could impact us, well the COVID-19 could impact us. We saw some cases. Our protocol is very strong. So we have preventive quarantine in there. So it's very difficult for me to say what will be the impact on our Q4 results. But so far, we've been very good in managing those. We had some absentees in the third quarter. The return of the holidays, we saw some increase in cases. However, we -- our protocol works very well. For us, it's important to provide a safe environment for our working employees. So that could have a -- somewhat have an impact on our production. But so far, we can manage it. So I do not see, today, something unexpected that could materially affect the results, right, Stéphane?

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Yes.

T
Tim James
Research Analyst

Okay. Great. And just looking at the defense business, really, really nice growth here, of course, in the third quarter. Can you talk through those -- you've got those 3 key programs that have been ramping up. And I think you mentioned earlier, there was virtually no revenue from those last year. Can you talk about when the ramp-up in those will more or less be finished and those -- the F-18, the CH-53 and the Gripen will sort of reach more of a steady-state production or revenue profile?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Well, I think we see -- maybe there was a question earlier said about aftermarket, right? We see some opportunity on the aftermarket that should contribute in the coming quarter on the key programs you mentioned. And as you know, we are also ramping up. We're going to produce the first F-15 set in December of 2021. So this will also contribute to the defense work that we currently have. So we are in a good place on the defense side.

T
Tim James
Research Analyst

Okay. And then just my last question, again, just returning to the kind of working capital issue. Good to hear. I mean, it sounds like you've got more opportunities there on the inventory side. If we look at fiscal '22, is there anything notable there? I mean I assume by the time we get partway into fiscal '22, you'll have kind of accomplished what you want in terms of inventory. What about other aspects of working capital, like on the payables, receivable side? Should those sort of be in a fairly steady state over the course of that next fiscal year?

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Well, you've seen this quarter, I mean, both the reduction in the receivables and the payables. So this is adjusting basically with the current level despite the increase in size of the quarter. So there's outstanding work being done there with all of our team regarding the receivables. So we are expecting to continue to do that. So to manage well our working capital, both on the receivable side and the payable side. So I have nothing to mention other than whatever we did this quarter, we will continue to do. So you can anticipate the same thing on the receivable and payable side. And as I said, for inventory, remains an opportunity for us. As we have an inventory now that is same level as of March 31 just over [indiscernible]. So we know on the commercial side, we have not reached yet the current production rate in terms of level of inventory. So there's still some reduction expected there.

Operator

Our next question comes from Mona Nazir of Laurentian Bank.

M
Mona Nazir
Director of Research & Industrials Analyst

Congratulations on the strong performance.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Thank you.

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Thank you.

M
Mona Nazir
Director of Research & Industrials Analyst

I'm just looking to get your initial thoughts. When you actively pivoted the business towards a greater defense mix, is this level, the 21% growth, and I do fully understand, you said, do not take this as a run rate. But is this something that you had factored in or thought was possible or even budgeted for going back 6, 9 months or even a year ago?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Yes, we did. However, our Q2 performance is better than expected. But yes, that's what we had. So everything fall in place. And we were -- that's why we were pleased. I'm quite pleased with all the results. So when you reshift something, you expect that something would fall at 1 point. But everything, the team, like Stéphane said, did an outstanding job and everybody contributed to the results of Q3.

M
Mona Nazir
Director of Research & Industrials Analyst

Perfect. And this second question is just really more for my understanding. I'm just wondering if you could speak about the profitability on the defense side. Can we really view the entire sector as perhaps more lucrative than the civil? Is it on a program-by-program basis? Or is it something that you're doing internally on the cost side?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

It's a constant battle to reduce costs. So even on the defense side, you got to be competitive to win programs such as F-18, such as Gripen, such as F-15. I've been 25 years into that business. And when I have some meeting with investors, I work very hard to find a customer that is willing to pay higher -- more. So it's always -- you got to provide the customer not only your know-how and your reliability, but also, you've got to be affordable. So it's on a case by case, it's a program by program, and you have to look at who's the competition in order to make the right pricing. So you have to know the business and who you're going to compete with in order to win and to grow the business of different sizes. So everyone is different. Right, Stéphane, what do say?

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Yes.

M
Mona Nazir
Director of Research & Industrials Analyst

No, that's very helpful. And I know in the early days of the pandemic last February, March, there was a lot of discussion as to how long this could impact the civil side. The Boeing CEO stated it could take 3 to 5 years. I believe even from our discussions on your conference call, it was stated, even 2 to 3 years. Now looking at the IATA demand from Q4, RPKs are still down over 70% year-over-year. I'm just wondering if I could get your thoughts on the timing for a rebound. And if or when that does occur, are you thinking that defense could stay at the current level, so you would effectively be doing both? Do you have the capacity to do so?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Yes, yes and yes. So Boeing and Airbus knows and the analyst knows much more than us about the traffic and expectation and when it can rebound. So -- but I'm following the Boeing conference call, and I agree with them. And that's basically, like I said, our long-term, even our 2-, 3- and 4-years forecast that we've done in April, does not materially differ than what was announced last week. So that's why when we took the decision to consolidate our production facility in our capacity, we had taken that into account. And yes, we can support the demand from -- the increased demand compared to historical level of the military product or defense side. So without adding extra capital there. Do you want to add something, Stéphane?

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

No.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

And does that answer your question, Mona?

M
Mona Nazir
Director of Research & Industrials Analyst

Yes, that answers it perfectly. And just lastly for me, and apologies if you answered this question. I missed 1 reply trying to get my daughter out the door. But you mentioned capital allocation. And I know last quarter, you stated it was too early to discuss M&A. But I'm just wondering, would you place M&A ahead of a buyback program perhaps? And also with the meaningful downtick in leverage that you've seen over the last few months, has this changed your M&A thinking at all?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

So for the -- so yes, we will place M&A if the right opportunity present before a buyback, yes. We believe that we have proven that we can integrate the business, that we can generate synergies from acquisition and the return on these capital allocation will be good for the shareholders. That's what we believe. So in terms of activity in M&A, yes, we're watching. We're getting ready. We're preparing ourselves and -- but it always take two to tango. So yes, for the right opportunity, we'll be ready.

Operator

Your next question comes from Bryan Fast of Raymond James.

B
Bryan Fast
Senior Associate

I just wanted to get your view on, I guess, the business jet markets, understanding that it makes up a smaller portion of the civil side. Are you seeing a quicker recovery in this market relative to, say, the regional jets or the wide-body?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

I look at the -- of course, but I was impressed with the hours of operation by the business jet compared to last year. I look at how many hours the business jet flown. Of course, you had a very down -- a very big decrease in April, March and the second quarter of the calendar year last year. But when you look at the fourth quarter of calendar, the last quarter last year, there's not much a big drop, right, Stéphane, about what the traffic was.

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Yes.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

and I'm pretty surprised with the resilience because you know that we're on the Predator or the Legacy 450/500. Embraer is doing well. We are in new products there. Of course, our Lear, Lear 45 or 85, we're -- there's a lot of airplane flying. So there's still some aftermarket revenue there as well as the OE business and the introduction of new jets with Dassault. So for us, again, it's going to be a growth. Does that answer your question?

B
Bryan Fast
Senior Associate

Yes, for sure. And then just on the actuator side of the business. Are there other actuation markets outside of aerospace that you can apply your technical expertise to? I'm not implying a pivot away from your core business. But I'm just curious if there are other opportunities that you have considered?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

So outside of the aerospace, it's very difficult for an aerospace with all the level of safety and requirement and the quality to be competitive in the industrial side. If you allude to this, as well as an industrial company to get into the aerospace is very difficult. We're -- you know what our products are flying, and it has to be 150% secured, right? It has to be 100%. So all the mechanism and all the control we're putting to deliver a quality product are second to none here. Is that what -- so we want to continue in our core business, actuate some things that we know, actuation, landing gear, and we'll focus on that, too. There's a lot of market opportunities in there that we can grow our business.

Operator

Your next question comes from Konark Gupta of Scotiabank.

K
Konark Gupta
Analyst

Just a quick follow-up on the commercial business you have. So like if I look at the commercial revenue or civil revenue this year, in the fiscal 2021. I'm -- like you probably are tracking it toward 30% decline, which is kind of obviously slightly better than the declines in the wide-body aircraft production rates, which is in the 45% range or so. I'm curious as to any early indications from Airbus and Boeing on commercial aircraft production rate increase in the future. What sort of is the timing for that production increase? And would you think next year, which is fiscal 2022, commercial programs can be flat in terms of revenue?

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Yes, it will be -- because we're -- for us in our business, we're mainly in the twin-aisle or the wide-body. So we should still continue to see a small decrease, even though if we have a big decrease or 44% decrease compared to previous year. We should see a further decrease next year before it picks up in our fiscal 2023, right? So that will be our timing.

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

And we see the BJ, the business jet market, has been -- our business jet sale has been also stable compared to last year. So we haven't seen a big decrease for the 9 months period in the business jet sales. So the diversification we have also is helping there because we are on helicopter business jet, regional jet and large commercial aircraft.

K
Konark Gupta
Analyst

Right. So that's the question I'm trying to get to. And I guess you have business jets, regional aircraft and helicopter, there's some other kind of lesser, kind of weaker, not as weak kind of segments in the commercial or civil business you have. So like with that and some stability in commercial programs in perhaps fiscal 2022 overall could still be slightly down, right? I'm like it's not going to be up next year.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

I don't think so.

S
Stéphane Arsenault
CFO & VP

Yes.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

That's what we believe.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will turn the call over to Mr. Brassard for closing remarks.

M
Martin Brassard
President, CEO & Director

Well, thank you, Tacan, and thank you very much, everyone, for having us this morning. We appreciate your continued support and your interest in Héroux-Devtek. Stay safe, stay healthy, and have a great day, and have a nice weekend. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.