Fortis Inc
TSX:FTS
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one FTS stock under the Base Case scenario is 86.01 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 63.22 CAD, Fortis Inc is Undervalued by 26%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Fortis Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Fortis Inc., a North American leader in the utility sector, has firmly established itself as a reliable investment choice for those seeking stability and growth in their portfolios. Founded in 1885, the company operates in the electric and gas distribution industries, catering to nearly 3 million customers across Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean. With a diverse array of regulated assets, Fortis has built a reputation for strong operational performance and consistent dividend growth. Its commitment to sustainable energy initiatives and infrastructure investments aligns with shifting market trends, positioning the company to benefit from the global transition towards cleaner energy...
Fortis Inc., a North American leader in the utility sector, has firmly established itself as a reliable investment choice for those seeking stability and growth in their portfolios. Founded in 1885, the company operates in the electric and gas distribution industries, catering to nearly 3 million customers across Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean. With a diverse array of regulated assets, Fortis has built a reputation for strong operational performance and consistent dividend growth. Its commitment to sustainable energy initiatives and infrastructure investments aligns with shifting market trends, positioning the company to benefit from the global transition towards cleaner energy sources.
As an investor, Fortis Inc. offers an attractive combination of growth potential and predictable income through its robust dividend policy, which has seen payouts increase annually for over 45 consecutive years. The company’s extensive capital investment plan, targeting around $20 billion over the next five years, aims to enhance its infrastructure and expand its renewable energy portfolio. Coupled with a strong credit rating and a well-defined growth strategy, Fortis is not only focused on delivering value to its shareholders but is also positioned to thrive amidst the evolving energy landscape. With its proven track record and strategic vision, investing in Fortis represents a compelling opportunity for those looking to participate in the future of energy while enjoying reliable returns.
Fortis Inc. is a leader in the North American regulated electric and gas utility sector. Its core business segments primarily include:
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Electric Utilities: This segment generates, transmits, and distributes electricity. Fortis operates various electric utilities across North America, serving customers in Canada and the United States. Key subsidiaries include Newfoundland Power, Maritime Electric, and Arizona Public Service.
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Gas Utilities: Fortis provides natural gas distribution services through several subsidiaries. This segment includes companies like FortisBC, which serves customers in British Columbia, and other utilities in Alberta and New York. The focus here is on distributing natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
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Energy Infrastructure: Through this segment, Fortis invests in renewable energy projects and related infrastructure, contributing to the shift towards a more sustainable energy future. This could include hydroelectric plants, wind farms, and solar energy facilities.
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Other Diversified Utilities and Services: Fortis also engages in various ancillary services and investments, which may include technology solutions and partnerships aimed at enhancing energy efficiency and sustainability.
Overall, Fortis Inc. is focused on providing reliable energy services while investing in infrastructure to support a transition to cleaner energy sources. The company's strategy aligns with the growing emphasis on sustainability and regulatory support for renewable energy initiatives.
Fortis Inc, a leader in the regulated utility sector, has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals. Here are some key factors:
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Diversified Asset Base: Fortis operates across multiple provinces in Canada and the U.S., providing utilities and energy generation. This geographical diversification helps mitigate risks associated with localized economic downturns or regulatory changes.
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Regulated Revenue Model: As a utility company, Fortis benefits from a stable, regulated revenue model. The bulk of its earnings comes from long-term contracts and regulated rates, which provide predictability and stability compared to unregulated companies in the energy sector.
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Strong Regulatory Relationships: Fortis has established positive relationships with regulators, which is crucial in the utility industry. These relationships can lead to favorable rate approvals and allow the company to invest in necessary infrastructure while ensuring customer service standards.
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Focus on Renewable Energy: Fortis has made significant investments in renewable energy sources, aiding its transition towards sustainability. This not only positions the company favorably in terms of regulatory requirements but also aligns with growing consumer and investor preferences for environmentally responsible practices.
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Robust Capital Plan: Fortis has a well-structured capital investment plan that focuses on infrastructure upgrades and expansions. This forward-thinking approach helps maintain the reliability of services and contributes to future revenue growth.
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Strong Credit Ratings: The company maintains strong credit ratings, which allows it to access capital markets more easily and at lower costs. This financial strength supports its ability to finance large capital projects and sustain its dividend policy.
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Experienced Management Team: Fortis has an experienced management team that has proven adept at navigating the complexities of the utility sector. Their operational expertise can provide a competitive edge in project execution and regulatory negotiations.
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Customer Loyalty and Brand Trust: The company has built a reputation for reliability and customer service, which can foster customer loyalty and trust. This intangible asset is vital for maintaining a solid customer base and can be a distinguishing factor in competitive dynamics.
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Dividend Growth Policy: Fortis has a strong history of paying and increasing dividends, which attracts income-focused investors and creates a loyalty effect among shareholders.
These competitive advantages enable Fortis Inc. to sustain its operations effectively in a highly regulated and competitive industry, positioning it for continued growth in the future.
Fortis Inc., a North American utility company, is subject to several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance. Here are some of the most significant ones to consider:
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Regulatory Challenges: Fortis operates in a heavily regulated industry. Changes in regulatory frameworks, including new regulations or adjustments to existing ones, can affect profitability and operating procedures. Regulatory bodies may also impose stricter environmental standards.
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Market Fluctuations: Changes in energy demand due to economic conditions can impact revenue. Economic downturns can lead to decreased consumption from both residential and commercial customers.
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Rising Interest Rates: Fortis finances a significant portion of its operations through debt. Rising interest rates can increase borrowing costs and affect cash flow, potentially leading to higher rates for customers and impacting investment in infrastructure.
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Environmental and Climate Change Risks: As a utility company, Fortis faces pressure to transition to renewable energy sources and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Failure to effectively manage these transitions could lead to regulatory fines, reputational risk, or financial liabilities.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As utilities digitize more of their operations, they become increasingly vulnerable to cyber threats. A successful attack could disrupt service, compromise customer data, and result in significant remediation costs.
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Competition and Market Disruption: The energy sector is evolving with the rise of decentralized power generation and renewable energy systems. Fortis may face competition from alternative energy sources and technologies that could disrupt its traditional business model.
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Operational Risks: The company’s infrastructure is susceptible to natural disasters (e.g., hurricanes, floods, wildfires), which can cause power outages and require expensive repairs.
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Capital Expenditure Management: Fortis has significant capital expenditures for infrastructure renewal and expansion. Managing these costs while maintaining acceptable rates of return can be challenging, particularly if projects experience delays or cost overruns.
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Public Perception and Stakeholder Engagement: Increasing public scrutiny on climate change and energy sustainability may require Fortis to invest more in public relations and community engagement strategies to maintain its license to operate.
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Labor Relations: As a large employer, Fortis is subject to labor union negotiations and potential strikes or employee unrest, which could disrupt operations and impact service delivery.
These risks require ongoing assessment and strategic planning from Fortis Inc. to ensure long-term sustainability and profitability.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Fortis Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Fortis Inc
Current Assets | 4.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 896m |
Receivables | 1.7B |
Other Current Assets | 1.6B |
Non-Current Assets | 65.4B |
PP&E | 46.3B |
Intangibles | 14B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 5.1B |
Current Liabilities | 5.7B |
Accounts Payable | 3.1B |
Short-Term Debt | 97m |
Other Current Liabilities | 2.5B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 41.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 30.1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 11.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Fortis Inc
Revenue
|
11.4B
CAD
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Cost of Revenue
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-3.4B
CAD
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Gross Profit
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8.1B
CAD
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Operating Expenses
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-4.9B
CAD
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Operating Income
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3.2B
CAD
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Other Expenses
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-1.6B
CAD
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Net Income
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1.6B
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Fortis Inc
CAD | |
Free Cash Flow | CAD |
Fortis delivered strong Q3 results with adjusted EPS of $0.85, up $0.01 year-over-year. Significant growth drivers included new customer rates in Arizona and ongoing investments, leading to $3.6 billion allocated through September 2024, with a projected total of $5.2 billion for the year. The company announced a 4% increase in its fourth-quarter dividend, extending its annual dividend growth guidance of 4% to 6% through 2029. Fortis highlighted a new five-year capital plan of $26 billion, supporting an average rate base growth of 6.5%. This aligns with their commitment to enhancing infrastructure while ensuring affordability for customers.
What is Earnings Call?
FTS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Fortis Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Fortis Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
FTS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Fortis Inc's solvency score is 35/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Fortis Inc's solvency score is 35/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
FTS Price Targets Summary
Fortis Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FTS is 62.64 CAD with a low forecast of 54.85 CAD and a high forecast of 68.25 CAD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for FTS is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Fortis, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in energy generation and distribution. The company is headquartered in St. Johns, Newfoundland And Labrador and currently employs 9,095 full-time employees. The firm's regulated utility businesses includes ITC Investment Holdings Inc., ITC Holdings Corp. and the electric transmission operations of its regulated operating subsidiaries, which include International Transmission Company, Michigan Electric Transmission Company, LLC, ITC Midwest LLC and ITC Great Plains, LLC; UNS Energy Corporation, which primarily includes Tucson Electric Power Company (TEP), UNS Electric, Inc. and UNS Gas, Inc.; CH Energy Group, Inc, which primarily includes Central Hudson Gas and Electric Corporation; FortisBC Energy Inc.; FortisAlberta Inc. and FortisBC Inc. The firm's Non-regulated energy infrastructure consists of Aitken Creek Gas Storage ULC (Aitken Creek) a natural gas storage facility in British Columbia, and Belize Electric Company Limited (BECOL) a three hydroelectric generation facilities with a combined capacity of 51 Megawatts in Belize.
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The intrinsic value of one FTS stock under the Base Case scenario is 86.01 CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 63.22 CAD, Fortis Inc is Undervalued by 26%.